Informations Rapides ·
28 July 2021 · n° 194
In July 2021, households’ confidence has decreased a little Monthly consumer confidence survey - July 2021
In July 2021, households’ confidence in the economic situation has decreased a little. At 101, the indicator that summaries it has lost two points but remains above its long-term average (100).
- Personal situation
- Opportunity to make major purchases: clear decrease, while remaining above its average
- Opportunity to save: high level but falling again
- Economic situation in France
- Future standard of living in France: clear decrease
- Unemployment: slight increase of fears
- Future inflation: sharp increase
- For more information
In July 2021, households’ confidence in the economic situation has decreased a little. At 101, the indicator that summaries it has lost two points but remains above its long-term average (100).
tableauConsumer confidence synthetic index
| Consumer confidence synthetic index | |
|---|---|
| 2000-01 | 119 |
| 2000-02 | 119 |
| 2000-03 | 120 |
| 2000-04 | 122 |
| 2000-05 | 123 |
| 2000-06 | 123 |
| 2000-07 | 124 |
| 2000-08 | 122 |
| 2000-09 | 119 |
| 2000-10 | 120 |
| 2000-11 | 120 |
| 2000-12 | 124 |
| 2001-01 | 127 |
| 2001-02 | 125 |
| 2001-03 | 123 |
| 2001-04 | 121 |
| 2001-05 | 117 |
| 2001-06 | 115 |
| 2001-07 | 114 |
| 2001-08 | 113 |
| 2001-09 | 111 |
| 2001-10 | 111 |
| 2001-11 | 112 |
| 2001-12 | 112 |
| 2002-01 | 112 |
| 2002-02 | 111 |
| 2002-03 | 111 |
| 2002-04 | 109 |
| 2002-05 | 113 |
| 2002-06 | 112 |
| 2002-07 | 109 |
| 2002-08 | 108 |
| 2002-09 | 107 |
| 2002-10 | 108 |
| 2002-11 | 108 |
| 2002-12 | 108 |
| 2003-01 | 104 |
| 2003-02 | 102 |
| 2003-03 | 98 |
| 2003-04 | 99 |
| 2003-05 | 101 |
| 2003-06 | 100 |
| 2003-07 | 100 |
| 2003-08 | 100 |
| 2003-09 | 99 |
| 2003-10 | 98 |
| 2003-11 | 98 |
| 2003-12 | 98 |
| 2004-01 | 99 |
| 2004-02 | 98 |
| 2004-03 | 99 |
| 2004-04 | 101 |
| 2004-05 | 100 |
| 2004-06 | 99 |
| 2004-07 | 99 |
| 2004-08 | 100 |
| 2004-09 | 102 |
| 2004-10 | 101 |
| 2004-11 | 100 |
| 2004-12 | 99 |
| 2005-01 | 97 |
| 2005-02 | 99 |
| 2005-03 | 97 |
| 2005-04 | 98 |
| 2005-05 | 95 |
| 2005-06 | 94 |
| 2005-07 | 94 |
| 2005-08 | 93 |
| 2005-09 | 93 |
| 2005-10 | 92 |
| 2005-11 | 92 |
| 2005-12 | 95 |
| 2006-01 | 97 |
| 2006-02 | 98 |
| 2006-03 | 97 |
| 2006-04 | 96 |
| 2006-05 | 95 |
| 2006-06 | 96 |
| 2006-07 | 98 |
| 2006-08 | 98 |
| 2006-09 | 99 |
| 2006-10 | 99 |
| 2006-11 | 99 |
| 2006-12 | 98 |
| 2007-01 | 99 |
| 2007-02 | 99 |
| 2007-03 | 101 |
| 2007-04 | 101 |
| 2007-05 | 108 |
| 2007-06 | 108 |
| 2007-07 | 107 |
| 2007-08 | 104 |
| 2007-09 | 101 |
| 2007-10 | 100 |
| 2007-11 | 94 |
| 2007-12 | 94 |
| 2008-01 | 90 |
| 2008-02 | 90 |
| 2008-03 | 89 |
| 2008-04 | 89 |
| 2008-05 | 86 |
| 2008-06 | 82 |
| 2008-07 | 82 |
| 2008-08 | 82 |
| 2008-09 | 84 |
| 2008-10 | 82 |
| 2008-11 | 83 |
| 2008-12 | 83 |
| 2009-01 | 84 |
| 2009-02 | 83 |
| 2009-03 | 84 |
| 2009-04 | 86 |
| 2009-05 | 86 |
| 2009-06 | 89 |
| 2009-07 | 88 |
| 2009-08 | 89 |
| 2009-09 | 90 |
| 2009-10 | 90 |
| 2009-11 | 93 |
| 2009-12 | 93 |
| 2010-01 | 94 |
| 2010-02 | 92 |
| 2010-03 | 91 |
| 2010-04 | 89 |
| 2010-05 | 88 |
| 2010-06 | 87 |
| 2010-07 | 87 |
| 2010-08 | 89 |
| 2010-09 | 90 |
| 2010-10 | 91 |
| 2010-11 | 93 |
| 2010-12 | 90 |
| 2011-01 | 89 |
| 2011-02 | 89 |
| 2011-03 | 87 |
| 2011-04 | 86 |
| 2011-05 | 87 |
| 2011-06 | 87 |
| 2011-07 | 89 |
| 2011-08 | 85 |
| 2011-09 | 84 |
| 2011-10 | 86 |
| 2011-11 | 84 |
| 2011-12 | 83 |
| 2012-01 | 84 |
| 2012-02 | 85 |
| 2012-03 | 89 |
| 2012-04 | 90 |
| 2012-05 | 92 |
| 2012-06 | 91 |
| 2012-07 | 88 |
| 2012-08 | 86 |
| 2012-09 | 84 |
| 2012-10 | 84 |
| 2012-11 | 84 |
| 2012-12 | 86 |
| 2013-01 | 85 |
| 2013-02 | 85 |
| 2013-03 | 83 |
| 2013-04 | 83 |
| 2013-05 | 80 |
| 2013-06 | 79 |
| 2013-07 | 83 |
| 2013-08 | 85 |
| 2013-09 | 86 |
| 2013-10 | 87 |
| 2013-11 | 84 |
| 2013-12 | 85 |
| 2014-01 | 86 |
| 2014-02 | 85 |
| 2014-03 | 88 |
| 2014-04 | 85 |
| 2014-05 | 85 |
| 2014-06 | 86 |
| 2014-07 | 87 |
| 2014-08 | 86 |
| 2014-09 | 86 |
| 2014-10 | 86 |
| 2014-11 | 88 |
| 2014-12 | 90 |
| 2015-01 | 89 |
| 2015-02 | 93 |
| 2015-03 | 94 |
| 2015-04 | 95 |
| 2015-05 | 93 |
| 2015-06 | 94 |
| 2015-07 | 93 |
| 2015-08 | 94 |
| 2015-09 | 98 |
| 2015-10 | 96 |
| 2015-11 | 97 |
| 2015-12 | 97 |
| 2016-01 | 97 |
| 2016-02 | 96 |
| 2016-03 | 95 |
| 2016-04 | 94 |
| 2016-05 | 99 |
| 2016-06 | 97 |
| 2016-07 | 96 |
| 2016-08 | 96 |
| 2016-09 | 97 |
| 2016-10 | 98 |
| 2016-11 | 99 |
| 2016-12 | 100 |
| 2017-01 | 101 |
| 2017-02 | 101 |
| 2017-03 | 101 |
| 2017-04 | 101 |
| 2017-05 | 102 |
| 2017-06 | 108 |
| 2017-07 | 104 |
| 2017-08 | 103 |
| 2017-09 | 101 |
| 2017-10 | 100 |
| 2017-11 | 103 |
| 2017-12 | 106 |
| 2018-01 | 105 |
| 2018-02 | 101 |
| 2018-03 | 101 |
| 2018-04 | 102 |
| 2018-05 | 100 |
| 2018-06 | 97 |
| 2018-07 | 97 |
| 2018-08 | 97 |
| 2018-09 | 94 |
| 2018-10 | 95 |
| 2018-11 | 92 |
| 2018-12 | 88 |
| 2019-01 | 93 |
| 2019-02 | 96 |
| 2019-03 | 97 |
| 2019-04 | 98 |
| 2019-05 | 99 |
| 2019-06 | 101 |
| 2019-07 | 102 |
| 2019-08 | 102 |
| 2019-09 | 104 |
| 2019-10 | 104 |
| 2019-11 | 106 |
| 2019-12 | 102 |
| 2020-01 | 104 |
| 2020-02 | 105 |
| 2020-03 | 103 |
| 2020-04 | 94 |
| 2020-05 | 91 |
| 2020-06 | 95 |
| 2020-07 | 93 |
| 2020-08 | 93 |
| 2020-09 | 94 |
| 2020-10 | 93 |
| 2020-11 | 89 |
| 2020-12 | 95 |
| 2021-01 | 92 |
| 2021-02 | 92 |
| 2021-03 | 95 |
| 2021-04 | 95 |
| 2021-05 | 98 |
| 2021-06 | 103 |
| 2021-07 | 101 |
graphiqueConsumer confidence synthetic index
- Source: INSEE.
Personal situation
Opportunity to make major purchases: clear decrease, while remaining above its average
In July, the share of households considering it is a suitable time to make major purchases has decreased markedly, after a sharp increase in June. The corresponding balance has lost five points but remains above its long term average.
The households’ opinion balance related to their future financial situation has decreased by three points. The one relative to their personal past financial situation has lost one point. Both balances stay well above their long-term averages.
Opportunity to save: high level but falling again
In July, the share of households considering it is a suitable time to save has fallen for the third consecutive month. The corresponding balance has lost four points but remains well above its average.
In the same way, households’ opinion balance related to their current saving capacity has decreased by three points. The one relative to their future saving capacity has lost two points. Both balances stay well above their long-term averages.
tableauBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
| Standard of living, future | Standard of living, past | Financial situation, future | Financial situation, past | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2005-01 | -30 | -56 | -5 | -21 |
| 2005-02 | -29 | -53 | -4 | -20 |
| 2005-03 | -31 | -54 | -6 | -22 |
| 2005-04 | -32 | -54 | -5 | -22 |
| 2005-05 | -37 | -59 | -8 | -24 |
| 2005-06 | -33 | -65 | -6 | -25 |
| 2005-07 | -36 | -65 | -7 | -25 |
| 2005-08 | -37 | -65 | -8 | -25 |
| 2005-09 | -38 | -66 | -8 | -26 |
| 2005-10 | -40 | -66 | -10 | -29 |
| 2005-11 | -41 | -65 | -10 | -28 |
| 2005-12 | -35 | -63 | -7 | -23 |
| 2006-01 | -33 | -60 | -5 | -22 |
| 2006-02 | -31 | -55 | -4 | -21 |
| 2006-03 | -34 | -57 | -6 | -19 |
| 2006-04 | -38 | -59 | -6 | -21 |
| 2006-05 | -38 | -61 | -6 | -23 |
| 2006-06 | -38 | -59 | -7 | -21 |
| 2006-07 | -33 | -55 | -5 | -19 |
| 2006-08 | -33 | -57 | -4 | -20 |
| 2006-09 | -28 | -54 | -4 | -20 |
| 2006-10 | -24 | -55 | -3 | -22 |
| 2006-11 | -25 | -56 | -4 | -22 |
| 2006-12 | -26 | -56 | -5 | -21 |
| 2007-01 | -23 | -57 | -4 | -22 |
| 2007-02 | -19 | -56 | -4 | -22 |
| 2007-03 | -17 | -56 | -2 | -20 |
| 2007-04 | -15 | -56 | -2 | -20 |
| 2007-05 | 3 | -50 | 7 | -16 |
| 2007-06 | 0 | -44 | 3 | -13 |
| 2007-07 | -6 | -44 | -1 | -15 |
| 2007-08 | -16 | -48 | -4 | -16 |
| 2007-09 | -25 | -51 | -5 | -17 |
| 2007-10 | -23 | -54 | -6 | -20 |
| 2007-11 | -37 | -61 | -10 | -23 |
| 2007-12 | -30 | -63 | -10 | -26 |
| 2008-01 | -42 | -67 | -16 | -29 |
| 2008-02 | -40 | -69 | -14 | -29 |
| 2008-03 | -37 | -71 | -14 | -33 |
| 2008-04 | -41 | -70 | -16 | -32 |
| 2008-05 | -46 | -75 | -18 | -34 |
| 2008-06 | -55 | -78 | -24 | -37 |
| 2008-07 | -54 | -80 | -21 | -38 |
| 2008-08 | -51 | -81 | -20 | -37 |
| 2008-09 | -49 | -79 | -17 | -35 |
| 2008-10 | -57 | -81 | -21 | -33 |
| 2008-11 | -53 | -78 | -20 | -33 |
| 2008-12 | -56 | -78 | -20 | -32 |
| 2009-01 | -56 | -75 | -19 | -31 |
| 2009-02 | -57 | -77 | -20 | -30 |
| 2009-03 | -56 | -77 | -20 | -30 |
| 2009-04 | -50 | -76 | -17 | -29 |
| 2009-05 | -46 | -76 | -15 | -30 |
| 2009-06 | -43 | -73 | -12 | -25 |
| 2009-07 | -43 | -75 | -12 | -26 |
| 2009-08 | -40 | -72 | -12 | -30 |
| 2009-09 | -38 | -71 | -11 | -27 |
| 2009-10 | -38 | -70 | -12 | -27 |
| 2009-11 | -33 | -67 | -8 | -25 |
| 2009-12 | -34 | -65 | -10 | -23 |
| 2010-01 | -32 | -62 | -9 | -24 |
| 2010-02 | -34 | -67 | -12 | -27 |
| 2010-03 | -40 | -69 | -13 | -26 |
| 2010-04 | -46 | -69 | -16 | -27 |
| 2010-05 | -52 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
| 2010-06 | -55 | -71 | -19 | -27 |
| 2010-07 | -49 | -71 | -19 | -30 |
| 2010-08 | -43 | -66 | -18 | -29 |
| 2010-09 | -42 | -64 | -18 | -28 |
| 2010-10 | -40 | -64 | -15 | -28 |
| 2010-11 | -38 | -64 | -11 | -23 |
| 2010-12 | -42 | -68 | -16 | -26 |
| 2011-01 | -44 | -70 | -18 | -26 |
| 2011-02 | -46 | -67 | -18 | -27 |
| 2011-03 | -51 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
| 2011-04 | -56 | -71 | -21 | -31 |
| 2011-05 | -49 | -68 | -20 | -31 |
| 2011-06 | -48 | -68 | -21 | -33 |
| 2011-07 | -42 | -67 | -18 | -31 |
| 2011-08 | -56 | -71 | -23 | -30 |
| 2011-09 | -55 | -75 | -24 | -32 |
| 2011-10 | -51 | -73 | -21 | -29 |
| 2011-11 | -59 | -74 | -25 | -30 |
| 2011-12 | -57 | -74 | -30 | -32 |
| 2012-01 | -54 | -73 | -27 | -32 |
| 2012-02 | -49 | -73 | -26 | -32 |
| 2012-03 | -40 | -68 | -19 | -29 |
| 2012-04 | -38 | -66 | -16 | -29 |
| 2012-05 | -30 | -65 | -16 | -26 |
| 2012-06 | -30 | -68 | -16 | -27 |
| 2012-07 | -43 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
| 2012-08 | -51 | -72 | -19 | -29 |
| 2012-09 | -57 | -75 | -21 | -29 |
| 2012-10 | -60 | -73 | -25 | -29 |
| 2012-11 | -55 | -73 | -25 | -31 |
| 2012-12 | -54 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
| 2013-01 | -58 | -69 | -25 | -28 |
| 2013-02 | -56 | -71 | -24 | -27 |
| 2013-03 | -61 | -75 | -26 | -29 |
| 2013-04 | -62 | -76 | -25 | -28 |
| 2013-05 | -63 | -79 | -26 | -37 |
| 2013-06 | -66 | -80 | -27 | -35 |
| 2013-07 | -57 | -77 | -24 | -34 |
| 2013-08 | -50 | -73 | -22 | -33 |
| 2013-09 | -46 | -72 | -20 | -33 |
| 2013-10 | -45 | -69 | -18 | -35 |
| 2013-11 | -53 | -75 | -19 | -34 |
| 2013-12 | -50 | -72 | -22 | -34 |
| 2014-01 | -48 | -71 | -19 | -35 |
| 2014-02 | -52 | -72 | -20 | -34 |
| 2014-03 | -47 | -69 | -19 | -29 |
| 2014-04 | -45 | -70 | -27 | -32 |
| 2014-05 | -50 | -70 | -23 | -33 |
| 2014-06 | -48 | -69 | -20 | -36 |
| 2014-07 | -49 | -70 | -17 | -32 |
| 2014-08 | -47 | -70 | -20 | -33 |
| 2014-09 | -51 | -71 | -20 | -30 |
| 2014-10 | -50 | -73 | -20 | -31 |
| 2014-11 | -48 | -68 | -17 | -33 |
| 2014-12 | -43 | -66 | -16 | -27 |
| 2015-01 | -42 | -66 | -17 | -29 |
| 2015-02 | -37 | -61 | -15 | -27 |
| 2015-03 | -34 | -59 | -13 | -27 |
| 2015-04 | -34 | -58 | -12 | -24 |
| 2015-05 | -34 | -58 | -14 | -27 |
| 2015-06 | -35 | -58 | -12 | -27 |
| 2015-07 | -36 | -59 | -12 | -29 |
| 2015-08 | -33 | -57 | -12 | -29 |
| 2015-09 | -28 | -52 | -6 | -26 |
| 2015-10 | -31 | -54 | -10 | -24 |
| 2015-11 | -31 | -53 | -10 | -24 |
| 2015-12 | -31 | -54 | -7 | -26 |
| 2016-01 | -27 | -55 | -9 | -24 |
| 2016-02 | -32 | -56 | -10 | -24 |
| 2016-03 | -35 | -57 | -12 | -24 |
| 2016-04 | -36 | -57 | -13 | -25 |
| 2016-05 | -28 | -48 | -10 | -25 |
| 2016-06 | -33 | -54 | -10 | -23 |
| 2016-07 | -33 | -53 | -10 | -29 |
| 2016-08 | -35 | -54 | -11 | -22 |
| 2016-09 | -29 | -54 | -9 | -23 |
| 2016-10 | -29 | -53 | -7 | -23 |
| 2016-11 | -25 | -49 | -8 | -24 |
| 2016-12 | -23 | -51 | -7 | -22 |
| 2017-01 | -26 | -47 | -5 | -22 |
| 2017-02 | -23 | -48 | -5 | -22 |
| 2017-03 | -22 | -47 | -7 | -20 |
| 2017-04 | -21 | -51 | -9 | -20 |
| 2017-05 | -17 | -45 | -6 | -20 |
| 2017-06 | 0 | -40 | -4 | -14 |
| 2017-07 | -12 | -40 | -11 | -18 |
| 2017-08 | -21 | -40 | -10 | -18 |
| 2017-09 | -21 | -41 | -11 | -21 |
| 2017-10 | -25 | -40 | -16 | -21 |
| 2017-11 | -17 | -39 | -10 | -19 |
| 2017-12 | -12 | -30 | -9 | -17 |
| 2018-01 | -18 | -30 | -12 | -15 |
| 2018-02 | -24 | -35 | -18 | -22 |
| 2018-03 | -22 | -39 | -12 | -24 |
| 2018-04 | -19 | -36 | -10 | -26 |
| 2018-05 | -28 | -39 | -14 | -26 |
| 2018-06 | -34 | -47 | -14 | -27 |
| 2018-07 | -34 | -48 | -12 | -28 |
| 2018-08 | -31 | -47 | -12 | -30 |
| 2018-09 | -38 | -50 | -18 | -30 |
| 2018-10 | -33 | -52 | -16 | -29 |
| 2018-11 | -43 | -57 | -18 | -28 |
| 2018-12 | -38 | -65 | -21 | -33 |
| 2019-01 | -30 | -62 | -14 | -28 |
| 2019-02 | -28 | -56 | -12 | -24 |
| 2019-03 | -26 | -53 | -10 | -26 |
| 2019-04 | -25 | -54 | -7 | -25 |
| 2019-05 | -25 | -51 | -5 | -24 |
| 2019-06 | -25 | -44 | -6 | -23 |
| 2019-07 | -26 | -42 | -5 | -20 |
| 2019-08 | -25 | -43 | -5 | -18 |
| 2019-09 | -25 | -39 | -3 | -17 |
| 2019-10 | -24 | -38 | -4 | -18 |
| 2019-11 | -20 | -34 | -2 | -17 |
| 2019-12 | -28 | -38 | -6 | -20 |
| 2020-01 | -27 | -38 | -3 | -15 |
| 2020-02 | -25 | -37 | -4 | -14 |
| 2020-03 | -34 | -32 | -7 | -13 |
| 2020-04 | -67 | -31 | -20 | -8 |
| 2020-05 | -72 | -48 | -20 | -10 |
| 2020-06 | -56 | -58 | -8 | -13 |
| 2020-07 | -54 | -66 | -9 | -15 |
| 2020-08 | -54 | -65 | -9 | -14 |
| 2020-09 | -48 | -67 | -5 | -16 |
| 2020-10 | -54 | -66 | -8 | -15 |
| 2020-11 | -63 | -70 | -14 | -15 |
| 2020-12 | -41 | -70 | -4 | -14 |
| 2021-01 | -49 | -70 | -9 | -16 |
| 2021-02 | -53 | -72 | -8 | -16 |
| 2021-03 | -36 | -74 | -4 | -15 |
| 2021-04 | -35 | -73 | -7 | -13 |
| 2021-05 | -26 | -70 | -4 | -13 |
| 2021-06 | -15 | -66 | 2 | -11 |
| 2021-07 | -23 | -64 | -1 | -12 |
graphiqueBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
- Source: INSEE
tableauCONSUMER OPINION: synthetic index and opinion balances
| Avg. (1) | Apr 21 | May 21 | June 21 | July 21 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synthetic index (2) | 100 | 95 | 98 | 103 | 101 |
| Financial sit., past 12 m. | -21 | -13 | -13 | -11 | -12 |
| Financial sit., next 12 m. | -6 | -7 | -4 | 2 | -1 |
| Current saving capacity | 9 | 25 | 29 | 28 | 25 |
| Expected saving capacity | -8 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
| Savings intentions, next 12 m. | 17 | 44 | 40 | 35 | 31 |
| Major purchases intentions, next 12 m. | -14 | -11 | -11 | -2 | -7 |
| Standard of living, past 12 m. | -46 | -73 | -70 | -66 | -64 |
| Standard of living, next 12 m. | -26 | -35 | -26 | -15 | -23 |
| Unemployment, next 12 m. | 34 | 59 | 44 | 24 | 27 |
| Consumer prices, past 12 m. | -18 | -34 | -28 | -23 | -9 |
| Consumer prices, next 12 m. | -32 | -21 | -15 | -16 | -13 |
- (1) Average value between January 1987 and December 2020
- (2) The indicator is normalised in such a way that its average equals 100 and standard error equals 10 over the estimation period (1987–2020).
- Source: INSEE, monthly consumer confidence survey
Economic situation in France
Future standard of living in France: clear decrease
In July, the share of households considering that the standard of living in France will improve in the next twelve months has decreased markedly. The corresponding balance has lost eight points but remains above its long-term average.
The share of households considering that the standard of living in France has improved during the past twelve months has increased a little. The corresponding balance has gained two points but remains well below its long-term average.
Unemployment: slight increase of fears
Households' fears about unemployment trend have increased a little in July after a series of declines in the first half of the year. The corresponding balance has gained three points but remains below its long-term average.
tableauHouseholds' unemployment expectations
| Households' unemployment expectations | |
|---|---|
| 2005-01 | 47 |
| 2005-02 | 37 |
| 2005-03 | 42 |
| 2005-04 | 45 |
| 2005-05 | 59 |
| 2005-06 | 36 |
| 2005-07 | 36 |
| 2005-08 | 29 |
| 2005-09 | 22 |
| 2005-10 | 16 |
| 2005-11 | 15 |
| 2005-12 | 14 |
| 2006-01 | 9 |
| 2006-02 | 8 |
| 2006-03 | 24 |
| 2006-04 | 17 |
| 2006-05 | 13 |
| 2006-06 | 15 |
| 2006-07 | 5 |
| 2006-08 | 6 |
| 2006-09 | 0 |
| 2006-10 | 5 |
| 2006-11 | 3 |
| 2006-12 | 21 |
| 2007-01 | 7 |
| 2007-02 | 6 |
| 2007-03 | 9 |
| 2007-04 | 3 |
| 2007-05 | -14 |
| 2007-06 | -10 |
| 2007-07 | -15 |
| 2007-08 | -5 |
| 2007-09 | 3 |
| 2007-10 | 2 |
| 2007-11 | 3 |
| 2007-12 | -3 |
| 2008-01 | 1 |
| 2008-02 | 6 |
| 2008-03 | 7 |
| 2008-04 | 3 |
| 2008-05 | 15 |
| 2008-06 | 14 |
| 2008-07 | 27 |
| 2008-08 | 39 |
| 2008-09 | 45 |
| 2008-10 | 64 |
| 2008-11 | 69 |
| 2008-12 | 76 |
| 2009-01 | 75 |
| 2009-02 | 75 |
| 2009-03 | 74 |
| 2009-04 | 78 |
| 2009-05 | 81 |
| 2009-06 | 85 |
| 2009-07 | 75 |
| 2009-08 | 64 |
| 2009-09 | 67 |
| 2009-10 | 60 |
| 2009-11 | 55 |
| 2009-12 | 54 |
| 2010-01 | 55 |
| 2010-02 | 49 |
| 2010-03 | 58 |
| 2010-04 | 57 |
| 2010-05 | 58 |
| 2010-06 | 65 |
| 2010-07 | 59 |
| 2010-08 | 46 |
| 2010-09 | 31 |
| 2010-10 | 34 |
| 2010-11 | 35 |
| 2010-12 | 34 |
| 2011-01 | 37 |
| 2011-02 | 41 |
| 2011-03 | 33 |
| 2011-04 | 35 |
| 2011-05 | 27 |
| 2011-06 | 29 |
| 2011-07 | 37 |
| 2011-08 | 51 |
| 2011-09 | 57 |
| 2011-10 | 49 |
| 2011-11 | 61 |
| 2011-12 | 59 |
| 2012-01 | 57 |
| 2012-02 | 56 |
| 2012-03 | 52 |
| 2012-04 | 55 |
| 2012-05 | 43 |
| 2012-06 | 53 |
| 2012-07 | 65 |
| 2012-08 | 73 |
| 2012-09 | 73 |
| 2012-10 | 73 |
| 2012-11 | 70 |
| 2012-12 | 74 |
| 2013-01 | 72 |
| 2013-02 | 73 |
| 2013-03 | 77 |
| 2013-04 | 74 |
| 2013-05 | 78 |
| 2013-06 | 78 |
| 2013-07 | 61 |
| 2013-08 | 56 |
| 2013-09 | 51 |
| 2013-10 | 38 |
| 2013-11 | 62 |
| 2013-12 | 48 |
| 2014-01 | 55 |
| 2014-02 | 55 |
| 2014-03 | 54 |
| 2014-04 | 57 |
| 2014-05 | 60 |
| 2014-06 | 67 |
| 2014-07 | 67 |
| 2014-08 | 63 |
| 2014-09 | 67 |
| 2014-10 | 52 |
| 2014-11 | 66 |
| 2014-12 | 65 |
| 2015-01 | 66 |
| 2015-02 | 58 |
| 2015-03 | 43 |
| 2015-04 | 60 |
| 2015-05 | 61 |
| 2015-06 | 60 |
| 2015-07 | 58 |
| 2015-08 | 51 |
| 2015-09 | 45 |
| 2015-10 | 47 |
| 2015-11 | 36 |
| 2015-12 | 45 |
| 2016-01 | 36 |
| 2016-02 | 44 |
| 2016-03 | 39 |
| 2016-04 | 51 |
| 2016-05 | 23 |
| 2016-06 | 25 |
| 2016-07 | 28 |
| 2016-08 | 35 |
| 2016-09 | 29 |
| 2016-10 | 30 |
| 2016-11 | 28 |
| 2016-12 | 19 |
| 2017-01 | 18 |
| 2017-02 | 19 |
| 2017-03 | 20 |
| 2017-04 | 15 |
| 2017-05 | 20 |
| 2017-06 | 5 |
| 2017-07 | 9 |
| 2017-08 | 1 |
| 2017-09 | 17 |
| 2017-10 | 13 |
| 2017-11 | 5 |
| 2017-12 | 6 |
| 2018-01 | 0 |
| 2018-02 | 3 |
| 2018-03 | 3 |
| 2018-04 | 3 |
| 2018-05 | 1 |
| 2018-06 | 14 |
| 2018-07 | 14 |
| 2018-08 | 27 |
| 2018-09 | 24 |
| 2018-10 | 8 |
| 2018-11 | 30 |
| 2018-12 | 31 |
| 2019-01 | 31 |
| 2019-02 | 9 |
| 2019-03 | 19 |
| 2019-04 | 23 |
| 2019-05 | 11 |
| 2019-06 | 12 |
| 2019-07 | 12 |
| 2019-08 | 11 |
| 2019-09 | 5 |
| 2019-10 | 5 |
| 2019-11 | 1 |
| 2019-12 | 11 |
| 2020-01 | 7 |
| 2020-02 | -11 |
| 2020-03 | 16 |
| 2020-04 | 57 |
| 2020-05 | 77 |
| 2020-06 | 79 |
| 2020-07 | 79 |
| 2020-08 | 74 |
| 2020-09 | 73 |
| 2020-10 | 76 |
| 2020-11 | 78 |
| 2020-12 | 68 |
| 2021-01 | 74 |
| 2021-02 | 72 |
| 2021-03 | 63 |
| 2021-04 | 59 |
| 2021-05 | 44 |
| 2021-06 | 24 |
| 2021-07 | 27 |
graphiqueHouseholds' unemployment expectations
- Source: INSEE
Future inflation: sharp increase
In July, households considering that prices were on the rise during the past twelve months have been much more numerous. The corresponding balance has gained fourteen points and exceeds its long-term average.
Households considering that prices will be on the rise during the next twelve months have also been slightly more numerous. The corresponding balance has gained three points, and remains above its long-term average.
tableauHouseholds' perception of prices
| Past prices | Future prices | |
|---|---|---|
| 2005-01 | 14 | -44 |
| 2005-02 | 15 | -41 |
| 2005-03 | 15 | -40 |
| 2005-04 | 14 | -40 |
| 2005-05 | 15 | -40 |
| 2005-06 | 11 | -40 |
| 2005-07 | 13 | -35 |
| 2005-08 | 12 | -32 |
| 2005-09 | 12 | -31 |
| 2005-10 | 11 | -32 |
| 2005-11 | 9 | -35 |
| 2005-12 | 4 | -35 |
| 2006-01 | 1 | -37 |
| 2006-02 | 4 | -36 |
| 2006-03 | -3 | -35 |
| 2006-04 | 7 | -32 |
| 2006-05 | 18 | -29 |
| 2006-06 | 11 | -32 |
| 2006-07 | 7 | -34 |
| 2006-08 | 10 | -37 |
| 2006-09 | 14 | -40 |
| 2006-10 | 12 | -39 |
| 2006-11 | 13 | -38 |
| 2006-12 | 18 | -35 |
| 2007-01 | 17 | -38 |
| 2007-02 | 11 | -39 |
| 2007-03 | 6 | -36 |
| 2007-04 | 5 | -34 |
| 2007-05 | -1 | -43 |
| 2007-06 | -3 | -31 |
| 2007-07 | 6 | -27 |
| 2007-08 | 13 | -21 |
| 2007-09 | 20 | -15 |
| 2007-10 | 27 | -20 |
| 2007-11 | 45 | -8 |
| 2007-12 | 54 | -25 |
| 2008-01 | 51 | -15 |
| 2008-02 | 51 | -30 |
| 2008-03 | 67 | -45 |
| 2008-04 | 63 | -38 |
| 2008-05 | 71 | -39 |
| 2008-06 | 70 | -31 |
| 2008-07 | 67 | -30 |
| 2008-08 | 60 | -42 |
| 2008-09 | 50 | -53 |
| 2008-10 | 43 | -37 |
| 2008-11 | 29 | -47 |
| 2008-12 | 19 | -50 |
| 2009-01 | 6 | -51 |
| 2009-02 | 7 | -49 |
| 2009-03 | -1 | -54 |
| 2009-04 | -6 | -56 |
| 2009-05 | -11 | -57 |
| 2009-06 | -16 | -56 |
| 2009-07 | -19 | -52 |
| 2009-08 | -18 | -53 |
| 2009-09 | -25 | -48 |
| 2009-10 | -16 | -45 |
| 2009-11 | -14 | -48 |
| 2009-12 | -14 | -44 |
| 2010-01 | -14 | -41 |
| 2010-02 | -19 | -41 |
| 2010-03 | -19 | -39 |
| 2010-04 | -10 | -34 |
| 2010-05 | -11 | -28 |
| 2010-06 | -10 | -29 |
| 2010-07 | -6 | -27 |
| 2010-08 | -4 | -24 |
| 2010-09 | -2 | -29 |
| 2010-10 | 0 | -25 |
| 2010-11 | 3 | -25 |
| 2010-12 | 9 | -22 |
| 2011-01 | 18 | -19 |
| 2011-02 | 25 | -9 |
| 2011-03 | 30 | 6 |
| 2011-04 | 46 | 0 |
| 2011-05 | 40 | -13 |
| 2011-06 | 33 | -14 |
| 2011-07 | 32 | -18 |
| 2011-08 | 27 | -18 |
| 2011-09 | 25 | -20 |
| 2011-10 | 22 | -23 |
| 2011-11 | 20 | -15 |
| 2011-12 | 19 | -16 |
| 2012-01 | 21 | -17 |
| 2012-02 | 23 | -11 |
| 2012-03 | 22 | -21 |
| 2012-04 | 27 | -20 |
| 2012-05 | 12 | -32 |
| 2012-06 | 12 | -34 |
| 2012-07 | -2 | -25 |
| 2012-08 | -1 | -16 |
| 2012-09 | 3 | -13 |
| 2012-10 | -1 | -15 |
| 2012-11 | -4 | -14 |
| 2012-12 | -7 | -19 |
| 2013-01 | -8 | -19 |
| 2013-02 | -10 | -22 |
| 2013-03 | -10 | -14 |
| 2013-04 | -13 | -20 |
| 2013-05 | -16 | -17 |
| 2013-06 | -11 | -19 |
| 2013-07 | -8 | -17 |
| 2013-08 | -3 | -21 |
| 2013-09 | 4 | -24 |
| 2013-10 | -8 | -21 |
| 2013-11 | -8 | -22 |
| 2013-12 | -8 | -17 |
| 2014-01 | -15 | -16 |
| 2014-02 | -19 | -22 |
| 2014-03 | -23 | -28 |
| 2014-04 | -24 | -29 |
| 2014-05 | -23 | -26 |
| 2014-06 | -28 | -31 |
| 2014-07 | -31 | -31 |
| 2014-08 | -35 | -37 |
| 2014-09 | -41 | -33 |
| 2014-10 | -38 | -28 |
| 2014-11 | -38 | -36 |
| 2014-12 | -46 | -43 |
| 2015-01 | -50 | -45 |
| 2015-02 | -51 | -45 |
| 2015-03 | -53 | -48 |
| 2015-04 | -51 | -43 |
| 2015-05 | -56 | -40 |
| 2015-06 | -54 | -38 |
| 2015-07 | -52 | -37 |
| 2015-08 | -50 | -36 |
| 2015-09 | -53 | -41 |
| 2015-10 | -50 | -41 |
| 2015-11 | -50 | -40 |
| 2015-12 | -51 | -38 |
| 2016-01 | -52 | -42 |
| 2016-02 | -55 | -39 |
| 2016-03 | -58 | -37 |
| 2016-04 | -57 | -37 |
| 2016-05 | -53 | -39 |
| 2016-06 | -53 | -36 |
| 2016-07 | -51 | -37 |
| 2016-08 | -51 | -35 |
| 2016-09 | -46 | -34 |
| 2016-10 | -52 | -38 |
| 2016-11 | -52 | -39 |
| 2016-12 | -47 | -27 |
| 2017-01 | -43 | -23 |
| 2017-02 | -45 | -31 |
| 2017-03 | -46 | -26 |
| 2017-04 | -49 | -28 |
| 2017-05 | -56 | -35 |
| 2017-06 | -56 | -42 |
| 2017-07 | -54 | -31 |
| 2017-08 | -55 | -32 |
| 2017-09 | -56 | -29 |
| 2017-10 | -50 | -23 |
| 2017-11 | -45 | -28 |
| 2017-12 | -46 | -32 |
| 2018-01 | -40 | -15 |
| 2018-02 | -33 | -20 |
| 2018-03 | -38 | -24 |
| 2018-04 | -37 | -27 |
| 2018-05 | -31 | -20 |
| 2018-06 | -27 | -22 |
| 2018-07 | -26 | -21 |
| 2018-08 | -27 | -21 |
| 2018-09 | -17 | -15 |
| 2018-10 | -15 | -14 |
| 2018-11 | -9 | -12 |
| 2018-12 | -8 | -20 |
| 2019-01 | -30 | -38 |
| 2019-02 | -25 | -18 |
| 2019-03 | -17 | -23 |
| 2019-04 | -16 | -23 |
| 2019-05 | -20 | -26 |
| 2019-06 | -20 | -24 |
| 2019-07 | -28 | -24 |
| 2019-08 | -30 | -21 |
| 2019-09 | -31 | -23 |
| 2019-10 | -27 | -20 |
| 2019-11 | -31 | -24 |
| 2019-12 | -33 | -20 |
| 2020-01 | -32 | -22 |
| 2020-02 | -32 | -24 |
| 2020-03 | -38 | -13 |
| 2020-04 | -47 | 12 |
| 2020-05 | -29 | 0 |
| 2020-06 | -32 | -15 |
| 2020-07 | -30 | -23 |
| 2020-08 | -21 | -27 |
| 2020-09 | -31 | -32 |
| 2020-10 | -38 | -31 |
| 2020-11 | -39 | -22 |
| 2020-12 | -39 | -28 |
| 2021-01 | -39 | -27 |
| 2021-02 | -36 | -28 |
| 2021-03 | -35 | -23 |
| 2021-04 | -34 | -21 |
| 2021-05 | -28 | -15 |
| 2021-06 | -23 | -16 |
| 2021-07 | -9 | -13 |
graphiqueHouseholds' perception of prices
- Source: INSEE
For more information
Definition – The synthetic households’ confidence index summarizes households’ opinion on the economic situation: the higher its value, the more favorable households’ judgment of the economic situation is. It is calculated using a factor analysis technique, which enables to summarize concomitant movements of highly correlated variables. The index describes here the common factor of 8 balances of opinion: past and future general economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, major purchases intentions, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity.
Calculation method – Around 2,000 households are surveyed by telephone, during the first three weeks of each month. Answers to this survey were collected between June 28, 2021 and July 19, 2021. For each question, a balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentages of positive and negative answers. Since the level of these balances is not open to direct interpretation, comments are based on their changes and their distance to their long-term average. Seasonal coefficients are calculated again every month, hence the slight revision of the seasonal adjusted balances history at each publication.
Next publication: August 27, 2021 at 8:45 am
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