24 November 2020
2020- n° 296In November 2020, the business climate has deteriorated very sharply in retail trade
and in trade and repair of vehicles Monthly survey of retailing - November 2020
In November 2020, in the context of the second lockdown, the business climate has deteriorated very sharply in retail trade and in trade and repair of vehicles.
At 72, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost 23 points and stands far below its long-term average (100). However, this sudden drop is somewhat less pronounced than the one recorded last April (-30 points), when the indicator fell to its lowest point (60) since the beginning of the series (1989).
Company responses were collected between 28 October and 19 November 2020 through Internet only considering the ongoing lockdown. Therefore the response rate is slightly lower this month than in October.
- The balances of opinion on general business outlook and on ordering intentions have dropped steeply
- The pessimism has grown on the future trend of workforce size
- In retail trade, the business climate has deteriorated sharply, despite the clear improvement in the balances of opinion on sales in non-specialized retail trade
- The business climate has also deteriorated in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Revisions
- For more information
In November 2020, in the context of the second lockdown, the business climate has deteriorated very sharply in retail trade and in trade and repair of vehicles.
At 72, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost 23 points and stands far below its long-term average (100). However, this sudden drop is somewhat less pronounced than the one recorded last April (-30 points), when the indicator fell to its lowest point (60) since the beginning of the series (1989).
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 2005-01 | 105.8 |
| 2005-02 | 103.2 |
| 2005-03 | 103.8 |
| 2005-04 | 102.9 |
| 2005-05 | 101.2 |
| 2005-06 | 97.5 |
| 2005-07 | 95.7 |
| 2005-08 | 97.1 |
| 2005-09 | 98.1 |
| 2005-10 | 100.6 |
| 2005-11 | 99.4 |
| 2005-12 | 103.1 |
| 2006-01 | 102.5 |
| 2006-02 | 101.7 |
| 2006-03 | 101.8 |
| 2006-04 | 102.5 |
| 2006-05 | 105.3 |
| 2006-06 | 106.8 |
| 2006-07 | 107.7 |
| 2006-08 | 108.8 |
| 2006-09 | 109.7 |
| 2006-10 | 110.8 |
| 2006-11 | 109.3 |
| 2006-12 | 107.5 |
| 2007-01 | 106.7 |
| 2007-02 | 111.1 |
| 2007-03 | 110.0 |
| 2007-04 | 111.7 |
| 2007-05 | 113.5 |
| 2007-06 | 118.8 |
| 2007-07 | 115.8 |
| 2007-08 | 114.1 |
| 2007-09 | 112.3 |
| 2007-10 | 110.7 |
| 2007-11 | 112.5 |
| 2007-12 | 113.3 |
| 2008-01 | 109.6 |
| 2008-02 | 108.0 |
| 2008-03 | 107.9 |
| 2008-04 | 103.3 |
| 2008-05 | 102.3 |
| 2008-06 | 99.5 |
| 2008-07 | 96.6 |
| 2008-08 | 93.8 |
| 2008-09 | 94.5 |
| 2008-10 | 82.5 |
| 2008-11 | 82.2 |
| 2008-12 | 77.8 |
| 2009-01 | 78.6 |
| 2009-02 | 79.9 |
| 2009-03 | 79.7 |
| 2009-04 | 76.5 |
| 2009-05 | 79.7 |
| 2009-06 | 79.5 |
| 2009-07 | 85.1 |
| 2009-08 | 86.2 |
| 2009-09 | 89.7 |
| 2009-10 | 91.7 |
| 2009-11 | 96.6 |
| 2009-12 | 96.2 |
| 2010-01 | 98.0 |
| 2010-02 | 98.2 |
| 2010-03 | 97.7 |
| 2010-04 | 102.3 |
| 2010-05 | 101.5 |
| 2010-06 | 100.0 |
| 2010-07 | 100.9 |
| 2010-08 | 105.0 |
| 2010-09 | 105.3 |
| 2010-10 | 106.7 |
| 2010-11 | 103.6 |
| 2010-12 | 106.7 |
| 2011-01 | 105.7 |
| 2011-02 | 105.8 |
| 2011-03 | 103.7 |
| 2011-04 | 103.1 |
| 2011-05 | 104.2 |
| 2011-06 | 102.4 |
| 2011-07 | 102.1 |
| 2011-08 | 98.6 |
| 2011-09 | 94.5 |
| 2011-10 | 95.4 |
| 2011-11 | 94.1 |
| 2011-12 | 93.6 |
| 2012-01 | 89.5 |
| 2012-02 | 91.1 |
| 2012-03 | 94.3 |
| 2012-04 | 96.4 |
| 2012-05 | 91.2 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-07 | 89.1 |
| 2012-08 | 90.7 |
| 2012-09 | 86.9 |
| 2012-10 | 88.2 |
| 2012-11 | 88.5 |
| 2012-12 | 88.1 |
| 2013-01 | 86.3 |
| 2013-02 | 89.4 |
| 2013-03 | 86.6 |
| 2013-04 | 84.6 |
| 2013-05 | 84.1 |
| 2013-06 | 85.2 |
| 2013-07 | 86.3 |
| 2013-08 | 93.3 |
| 2013-09 | 96.9 |
| 2013-10 | 95.4 |
| 2013-11 | 91.2 |
| 2013-12 | 94.2 |
| 2014-01 | 95.4 |
| 2014-02 | 94.5 |
| 2014-03 | 94.9 |
| 2014-04 | 96.1 |
| 2014-05 | 96.0 |
| 2014-06 | 94.4 |
| 2014-07 | 96.0 |
| 2014-08 | 90.6 |
| 2014-09 | 88.9 |
| 2014-10 | 89.1 |
| 2014-11 | 92.3 |
| 2014-12 | 94.1 |
| 2015-01 | 97.6 |
| 2015-02 | 100.5 |
| 2015-03 | 100.9 |
| 2015-04 | 101.6 |
| 2015-05 | 101.8 |
| 2015-06 | 103.1 |
| 2015-07 | 102.5 |
| 2015-08 | 105.0 |
| 2015-09 | 105.0 |
| 2015-10 | 106.9 |
| 2015-11 | 104.0 |
| 2015-12 | 101.1 |
| 2016-01 | 103.9 |
| 2016-02 | 101.9 |
| 2016-03 | 102.8 |
| 2016-04 | 102.6 |
| 2016-05 | 105.2 |
| 2016-06 | 102.9 |
| 2016-07 | 104.0 |
| 2016-08 | 103.8 |
| 2016-09 | 102.7 |
| 2016-10 | 101.8 |
| 2016-11 | 103.9 |
| 2016-12 | 107.9 |
| 2017-01 | 106.4 |
| 2017-02 | 105.2 |
| 2017-03 | 106.4 |
| 2017-04 | 104.9 |
| 2017-05 | 106.3 |
| 2017-06 | 110.5 |
| 2017-07 | 111.2 |
| 2017-08 | 108.7 |
| 2017-09 | 112.6 |
| 2017-10 | 114.3 |
| 2017-11 | 115.2 |
| 2017-12 | 115.7 |
| 2018-01 | 114.9 |
| 2018-02 | 115.3 |
| 2018-03 | 112.9 |
| 2018-04 | 112.4 |
| 2018-05 | 112.0 |
| 2018-06 | 112.0 |
| 2018-07 | 112.8 |
| 2018-08 | 111.3 |
| 2018-09 | 108.6 |
| 2018-10 | 105.9 |
| 2018-11 | 107.0 |
| 2018-12 | 99.9 |
| 2019-01 | 100.2 |
| 2019-02 | 102.3 |
| 2019-03 | 103.0 |
| 2019-04 | 106.3 |
| 2019-05 | 104.4 |
| 2019-06 | 104.3 |
| 2019-07 | 105.3 |
| 2019-08 | 100.6 |
| 2019-09 | 105.6 |
| 2019-10 | 105.3 |
| 2019-11 | 106.3 |
| 2019-12 | 108.4 |
| 2020-01 | 104.3 |
| 2020-02 | 105.4 |
| 2020-03 | 91.2 |
| 2020-04 | 60.6 |
| 2020-05 | 63.3 |
| 2020-06 | 84.6 |
| 2020-07 | 88.2 |
| 2020-08 | 93.4 |
| 2020-09 | 95.4 |
| 2020-10 | 94.9 |
| 2020-11 | 72.2 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE
The balances of opinion on general business outlook and on ordering intentions have dropped steeply
In November 2020, all balances of opinion relating to economic activity over the near future have fallen steeply, whether it was the general business outlook for the sector, ordering intentions or expected sales. Conversely, the balance of opinion on recent sales has sharply increased this month. The balance on the level of stocks has risen sharply while that on the expected selling prices has fallen back. The bimonthly balance of opinion on past selling prices is virtually stable compared to September. The one on the cash position, also bimonthly, has fallen sharply and has returned below its average.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Mean (1) | Aug. 20 | Sept. 20 | Oct. 20 | Nov. 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 93 | 95 | 95 | 72 |
| General business outlook | -28 | -38 | -35 | -38 | -75 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -9 | 3 | -4 | 7 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -7 | -10 | -14 | -38 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -8 | -8 | -3 | -36 |
| Stocks | 11 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 8 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -6 | -3 | -2 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -11 | -17 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 0 | -17 | -17 | -14 | -11 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -9 | -8 | -11 | -28 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -13.1 | -4.8 |
| 2010-02 | -9.7 | -13.2 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.2 |
| 2010-04 | -4.6 | -3.0 |
| 2010-05 | -6.7 | 2.2 |
| 2010-06 | -5.2 | -0.9 |
| 2010-07 | -8.0 | -5.1 |
| 2010-08 | -2.2 | 4.2 |
| 2010-09 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| 2010-10 | 2.0 | -3.9 |
| 2010-11 | -5.3 | -8.1 |
| 2010-12 | -1.2 | 4.1 |
| 2011-01 | -1.4 | 4.3 |
| 2011-02 | -2.5 | 1.6 |
| 2011-03 | -5.7 | -6.3 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.5 |
| 2011-05 | -7.8 | 3.5 |
| 2011-06 | -11.6 | 0.2 |
| 2011-07 | -11.9 | -9.3 |
| 2011-08 | -11.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-09 | -13.3 | -17.3 |
| 2011-10 | -13.0 | -15.7 |
| 2011-11 | -13.0 | -13.2 |
| 2011-12 | -14.0 | -17.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.4 | -20.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.3 | -15.3 |
| 2012-03 | -15.7 | -12.4 |
| 2012-04 | -13.5 | -8.2 |
| 2012-05 | -17.0 | -14.9 |
| 2012-06 | -12.8 | -18.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.7 | -19.4 |
| 2012-08 | -15.4 | -8.2 |
| 2012-09 | -22.1 | -23.8 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -22.9 |
| 2012-11 | -18.6 | -16.6 |
| 2012-12 | -18.2 | -21.0 |
| 2013-01 | -24.9 | -17.2 |
| 2013-02 | -13.6 | -27.2 |
| 2013-03 | -16.6 | -25.9 |
| 2013-04 | -19.4 | -31.8 |
| 2013-05 | -22.0 | -29.9 |
| 2013-06 | -19.2 | -24.4 |
| 2013-07 | -23.2 | -26.1 |
| 2013-08 | -13.7 | -18.3 |
| 2013-09 | -7.8 | -12.8 |
| 2013-10 | -13.9 | -11.4 |
| 2013-11 | -13.8 | -13.0 |
| 2013-12 | -15.8 | -10.5 |
| 2014-01 | -11.8 | -10.6 |
| 2014-02 | -12.8 | -13.1 |
| 2014-03 | -10.4 | -17.0 |
| 2014-04 | -9.5 | -21.3 |
| 2014-05 | -11.6 | -14.8 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-07 | -10.4 | -5.9 |
| 2014-08 | -17.5 | -19.8 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-10 | -17.8 | -23.6 |
| 2014-11 | -13.7 | -14.8 |
| 2014-12 | -13.2 | -10.1 |
| 2015-01 | -4.0 | -8.6 |
| 2015-02 | -1.7 | -4.4 |
| 2015-03 | -2.8 | -5.6 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.5 |
| 2015-05 | -2.9 | -4.4 |
| 2015-06 | -1.5 | -8.3 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.6 | 8.1 |
| 2015-09 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| 2015-10 | -1.1 | 4.5 |
| 2015-11 | -3.2 | 3.0 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.2 |
| 2016-01 | -5.6 | -4.9 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.3 |
| 2016-03 | -3.2 | -5.4 |
| 2016-04 | -9.0 | 1.6 |
| 2016-05 | -3.7 | 4.8 |
| 2016-06 | -4.1 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -4.8 | -5.0 |
| 2016-08 | -4.0 | -4.1 |
| 2016-09 | -5.5 | -10.6 |
| 2016-10 | -9.8 | -10.6 |
| 2016-11 | -8.0 | -6.3 |
| 2016-12 | 0.7 | -1.1 |
| 2017-01 | -0.1 | 2.4 |
| 2017-02 | -0.6 | 4.3 |
| 2017-03 | 0.4 | -2.4 |
| 2017-04 | -2.5 | -12.1 |
| 2017-05 | -1.0 | -5.2 |
| 2017-06 | -0.5 | -5.2 |
| 2017-07 | 1.1 | 8.2 |
| 2017-08 | -6.3 | 0.3 |
| 2017-09 | 4.6 | -5.2 |
| 2017-10 | 7.6 | -3.0 |
| 2017-11 | 9.8 | -6.7 |
| 2017-12 | 6.9 | 0.4 |
| 2018-01 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 2018-02 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| 2018-03 | 2.0 | -8.8 |
| 2018-04 | 3.1 | -8.9 |
| 2018-05 | 4.6 | -6.9 |
| 2018-06 | 5.7 | -8.1 |
| 2018-07 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| 2018-08 | 8.2 | 2.0 |
| 2018-09 | 1.5 | -1.2 |
| 2018-10 | -5.0 | -9.9 |
| 2018-11 | 0.9 | -7.5 |
| 2018-12 | -4.5 | -9.2 |
| 2019-01 | -7.8 | -7.9 |
| 2019-02 | -5.6 | -9.8 |
| 2019-03 | -2.8 | -18.3 |
| 2019-04 | 1.5 | -12.3 |
| 2019-05 | -4.4 | -11.0 |
| 2019-06 | -7.2 | -8.6 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| 2019-08 | -12.5 | -3.7 |
| 2019-09 | -4.0 | -2.7 |
| 2019-10 | -5.9 | -8.1 |
| 2019-11 | 0.5 | -6.7 |
| 2019-12 | 2.9 | -1.3 |
| 2020-01 | -3.7 | 12.5 |
| 2020-02 | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2020-03 | -12.8 | -4.7 |
| 2020-04 | -55.3 | -3.6 |
| 2020-05 | -45.6 | -56.3 |
| 2020-06 | -13.3 | -48.1 |
| 2020-07 | -7.4 | -40.3 |
| 2020-08 | -7.7 | -8.7 |
| 2020-09 | -7.6 | 2.9 |
| 2020-10 | -3.4 | -3.9 |
| 2020-11 | -36.0 | 7.2 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE
The pessimism has grown on the future trend of workforce size
In November 2020, business leaders are even more pessimistic about employment prospects than in the previous month. The balance of opinion on the expected change in the workforce size over the next three months has declined again, much more significantly than in October. Conversely, that on the recent change in the workforce size has continued to rise slightly. These two balances stand well below their average.
In retail trade, the business climate has deteriorated sharply, despite the clear improvement in the balances of opinion on sales in non-specialized retail trade
In November 2020, in retail trade, the business climate has fallen dramatically. At 68, it has lost 19 points and stands far below his average (100), without however plunging to the low point reached last May (58).
Future-oriented balances of opinion – on general business outlook of the sector, expected sales, ordering intentions and expected workforce size - have fallen very strongly and stand significantly below their long-term average.
In particular, the balance of opinion on expected sales for the next three months has fallen sharply, due to a strong fall in specialized retail trade. This deterioration is mitigated by an increase in non-specialized retail trade, driven by the surge in the balance of opinion on expected sales of food products.
Conversely, the balance of opinion on recent trends in sales has improved markedly, due to a strong rebound in non-specialized retail trade, again mainly concerning food products.
The balances of opinion on the level of stocks and on the recent workforce size have increased slightly this month. The bimonthly balance on the recent selling price trend is virtually stable compared to September, while that on the cash position, also bimonthly, has decreased slightly.
The business climate has also deteriorated in trade and repair of motor vehicles
In trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has deteriorated sharply. At 82, it has lost 19 points and stands significantly below its average (100). However, this drop is almost twice as small as that recorded in April (−34 points).
The balances of opinion on the general business outlook of the sector, on expected sales and on ordering intentions have f plummeted and are far below their average. The other future-oriented balances – on expected selling prices and expected workforce size - have fallen significantly and are below their average.
The balance of opinion on the level of stocks has risen sharply while remaining below its long-term average. The one on recent workforce size has continued its slow recovery that began in August.
The bimonthly balance of opinion on recent prices has increased slightly compared to September, while the one on the cash position, also bimonthly, has fallen sharply and has returned just below its average.
Revisions
The subsectoral business climate in retail trade for October 2020 has been revised upwards by one point. This revision is mainly explained by the inclusion of late responses from businesses.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14.4 | 12.0 |
| 2010-02 | -19.2 | 0.8 |
| 2010-03 | -21.0 | -22.9 |
| 2010-04 | -16.2 | -3.5 |
| 2010-05 | -21.0 | -0.4 |
| 2010-06 | -15.8 | -14.7 |
| 2010-07 | -15.3 | -6.3 |
| 2010-08 | -14.4 | -7.5 |
| 2010-09 | -6.9 | -16.0 |
| 2010-10 | -5.1 | -8.7 |
| 2010-11 | -7.5 | -6.9 |
| 2010-12 | -9.5 | 10.8 |
| 2011-01 | -7.9 | 16.7 |
| 2011-02 | -8.6 | 10.5 |
| 2011-03 | -11.3 | 2.2 |
| 2011-04 | -15.3 | 9.1 |
| 2011-05 | -15.3 | 2.4 |
| 2011-06 | -16.5 | 1.3 |
| 2011-07 | -10.1 | -7.5 |
| 2011-08 | -12.2 | -11.8 |
| 2011-09 | -16.6 | -25.4 |
| 2011-10 | -8.7 | -17.3 |
| 2011-11 | -20.7 | -4.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012-01 | -35.0 | -22.4 |
| 2012-02 | -19.7 | -31.9 |
| 2012-03 | -25.9 | -32.6 |
| 2012-04 | -16.0 | -31.5 |
| 2012-05 | -23.0 | -26.3 |
| 2012-06 | -29.2 | -35.6 |
| 2012-07 | -34.7 | -37.3 |
| 2012-08 | -25.8 | -24.4 |
| 2012-09 | -35.7 | -32.3 |
| 2012-10 | -46.9 | -50.2 |
| 2012-11 | -31.4 | -35.1 |
| 2012-12 | -31.1 | -35.3 |
| 2013-01 | -35.5 | -29.8 |
| 2013-02 | -17.5 | -43.9 |
| 2013-03 | -25.7 | -43.4 |
| 2013-04 | -27.3 | -38.6 |
| 2013-05 | -24.5 | -29.2 |
| 2013-06 | -20.9 | -29.8 |
| 2013-07 | -19.9 | -21.3 |
| 2013-08 | -18.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-09 | -12.1 | -17.1 |
| 2013-10 | -9.9 | -23.0 |
| 2013-11 | -14.7 | -17.5 |
| 2013-12 | -17.5 | -15.4 |
| 2014-01 | -13.4 | -12.2 |
| 2014-02 | -16.5 | -17.0 |
| 2014-03 | -10.5 | -12.3 |
| 2014-04 | -10.7 | -13.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.6 | -4.4 |
| 2014-06 | -14.2 | -9.3 |
| 2014-07 | -8.7 | -6.5 |
| 2014-08 | -12.3 | -10.8 |
| 2014-09 | -21.5 | -25.3 |
| 2014-10 | -14.7 | -20.4 |
| 2014-11 | -10.9 | 3.0 |
| 2014-12 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| 2015-01 | -0.2 | 7.8 |
| 2015-02 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 2015-03 | -0.4 | 1.7 |
| 2015-04 | 0.9 | 17.6 |
| 2015-05 | 3.2 | 17.9 |
| 2015-06 | 6.4 | 11.9 |
| 2015-07 | -7.2 | 11.2 |
| 2015-08 | -0.7 | 20.8 |
| 2015-09 | 3.1 | -5.1 |
| 2015-10 | -0.7 | 4.0 |
| 2015-11 | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| 2015-12 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 2016-01 | 3.6 | -0.2 |
| 2016-02 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 2016-03 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| 2016-04 | -0.7 | 13.9 |
| 2016-05 | -2.0 | 13.6 |
| 2016-06 | 3.9 | 13.7 |
| 2016-07 | 3.3 | 16.6 |
| 2016-08 | 2.7 | 12.4 |
| 2016-09 | -3.8 | -3.6 |
| 2016-10 | -1.3 | -2.4 |
| 2016-11 | -3.5 | 4.7 |
| 2016-12 | -2.3 | 2.4 |
| 2017-01 | -5.1 | 9.9 |
| 2017-02 | -4.2 | 6.9 |
| 2017-03 | 3.7 | 7.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2.4 | 10.2 |
| 2017-05 | -0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2017-06 | 2.6 | -2.9 |
| 2017-07 | 3.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-08 | 1.4 | 15.1 |
| 2017-09 | 9.7 | 1.9 |
| 2017-10 | 13.0 | 2.5 |
| 2017-11 | 12.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-12 | 9.7 | 14.7 |
| 2018-01 | 14.0 | 23.7 |
| 2018-02 | 16.1 | 21.3 |
| 2018-03 | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| 2018-04 | 10.3 | 16.3 |
| 2018-05 | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| 2018-06 | 6.9 | 15.0 |
| 2018-07 | 7.3 | 22.8 |
| 2018-08 | 7.2 | 15.7 |
| 2018-09 | 4.4 | 9.6 |
| 2018-10 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| 2018-11 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 2018-12 | 1.6 | -2.9 |
| 2019-01 | -0.1 | -11.5 |
| 2019-02 | -0.7 | -10.4 |
| 2019-03 | 0.4 | -10.4 |
| 2019-04 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| 2019-05 | 2.9 | -5.1 |
| 2019-06 | 4.5 | -1.3 |
| 2019-07 | 2.5 | 9.4 |
| 2019-08 | 2.8 | 13.3 |
| 2019-09 | 1.2 | -1.1 |
| 2019-10 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 2019-11 | -2.1 | -1.1 |
| 2019-12 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| 2020-01 | 5.1 | 23.2 |
| 2020-02 | 2.8 | 11.6 |
| 2020-03 | -14.6 | 9.4 |
| 2020-04 | -88.8 | -13.4 |
| 2020-05 | -69.2 | -84.3 |
| 2020-06 | -10.0 | -80.4 |
| 2020-07 | 13.1 | -62.6 |
| 2020-08 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 2020-09 | 1.4 | 11.8 |
| 2020-10 | -1.3 | 10.3 |
| 2020-11 | -52.3 | 15.7 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | Retail trade | |
|---|---|---|
| 2005-01 | 103.1 | 108.7 |
| 2005-02 | 102.6 | 102.9 |
| 2005-03 | 102.5 | 104.2 |
| 2005-04 | 101.3 | 105.0 |
| 2005-05 | 102.1 | 103.7 |
| 2005-06 | 99.2 | 100.0 |
| 2005-07 | 100.7 | 95.7 |
| 2005-08 | 100.5 | 98.5 |
| 2005-09 | 100.4 | 100.7 |
| 2005-10 | 101.6 | 102.4 |
| 2005-11 | 99.0 | 102.0 |
| 2005-12 | 102.5 | 103.7 |
| 2006-01 | 102.8 | 102.1 |
| 2006-02 | 103.6 | 98.8 |
| 2006-03 | 102.5 | 101.6 |
| 2006-04 | 104.0 | 101.1 |
| 2006-05 | 104.9 | 106.3 |
| 2006-06 | 107.8 | 105.8 |
| 2006-07 | 107.8 | 107.3 |
| 2006-08 | 106.8 | 108.3 |
| 2006-09 | 106.2 | 108.6 |
| 2006-10 | 105.5 | 112.2 |
| 2006-11 | 106.1 | 107.3 |
| 2006-12 | 104.9 | 106.5 |
| 2007-01 | 104.9 | 105.6 |
| 2007-02 | 108.0 | 110.4 |
| 2007-03 | 106.5 | 110.9 |
| 2007-04 | 107.9 | 111.9 |
| 2007-05 | 106.4 | 111.8 |
| 2007-06 | 115.5 | 114.8 |
| 2007-07 | 109.5 | 114.5 |
| 2007-08 | 109.1 | 114.4 |
| 2007-09 | 109.3 | 113.7 |
| 2007-10 | 109.3 | 108.7 |
| 2007-11 | 109.5 | 113.1 |
| 2007-12 | 107.1 | 115.8 |
| 2008-01 | 105.1 | 112.8 |
| 2008-02 | 102.6 | 112.3 |
| 2008-03 | 106.5 | 107.9 |
| 2008-04 | 101.1 | 107.2 |
| 2008-05 | 102.5 | 103.9 |
| 2008-06 | 97.2 | 104.4 |
| 2008-07 | 95.8 | 102.0 |
| 2008-08 | 94.1 | 96.2 |
| 2008-09 | 96.6 | 94.9 |
| 2008-10 | 80.9 | 89.7 |
| 2008-11 | 82.0 | 84.8 |
| 2008-12 | 74.8 | 83.5 |
| 2009-01 | 76.4 | 82.2 |
| 2009-02 | 78.3 | 83.8 |
| 2009-03 | 85.6 | 74.0 |
| 2009-04 | 78.9 | 76.2 |
| 2009-05 | 88.1 | 71.7 |
| 2009-06 | 85.0 | 73.5 |
| 2009-07 | 89.1 | 78.0 |
| 2009-08 | 92.8 | 78.3 |
| 2009-09 | 95.1 | 81.4 |
| 2009-10 | 96.1 | 83.6 |
| 2009-11 | 100.0 | 89.4 |
| 2009-12 | 97.6 | 92.1 |
| 2010-01 | 100.7 | 92.9 |
| 2010-02 | 98.8 | 94.4 |
| 2010-03 | 95.0 | 97.5 |
| 2010-04 | 100.6 | 100.3 |
| 2010-05 | 98.8 | 102.2 |
| 2010-06 | 96.8 | 100.6 |
| 2010-07 | 99.3 | 102.0 |
| 2010-08 | 100.5 | 104.4 |
| 2010-09 | 101.1 | 104.5 |
| 2010-10 | 102.4 | 105.9 |
| 2010-11 | 102.7 | 100.3 |
| 2010-12 | 103.6 | 104.1 |
| 2011-01 | 103.9 | 102.7 |
| 2011-02 | 105.2 | 102.9 |
| 2011-03 | 104.6 | 100.6 |
| 2011-04 | 101.9 | 101.2 |
| 2011-05 | 102.1 | 102.9 |
| 2011-06 | 101.3 | 100.8 |
| 2011-07 | 102.4 | 100.1 |
| 2011-08 | 98.5 | 98.5 |
| 2011-09 | 95.1 | 95.6 |
| 2011-10 | 95.5 | 95.5 |
| 2011-11 | 92.2 | 96.1 |
| 2011-12 | 92.2 | 96.5 |
| 2012-01 | 86.8 | 92.9 |
| 2012-02 | 88.8 | 92.2 |
| 2012-03 | 89.1 | 96.9 |
| 2012-04 | 91.4 | 97.2 |
| 2012-05 | 87.9 | 91.9 |
| 2012-06 | 87.7 | 95.1 |
| 2012-07 | 82.5 | 90.5 |
| 2012-08 | 85.4 | 93.5 |
| 2012-09 | 82.8 | 91.9 |
| 2012-10 | 78.7 | 95.8 |
| 2012-11 | 82.7 | 93.6 |
| 2012-12 | 84.1 | 90.4 |
| 2013-01 | 82.8 | 90.3 |
| 2013-02 | 84.5 | 91.2 |
| 2013-03 | 80.7 | 90.4 |
| 2013-04 | 81.1 | 88.3 |
| 2013-05 | 82.8 | 87.6 |
| 2013-06 | 86.1 | 86.9 |
| 2013-07 | 88.0 | 87.5 |
| 2013-08 | 91.2 | 94.3 |
| 2013-09 | 95.0 | 96.2 |
| 2013-10 | 94.3 | 96.7 |
| 2013-11 | 92.6 | 89.7 |
| 2013-12 | 93.9 | 95.5 |
| 2014-01 | 94.1 | 97.0 |
| 2014-02 | 93.4 | 95.5 |
| 2014-03 | 94.8 | 94.5 |
| 2014-04 | 98.2 | 96.7 |
| 2014-05 | 97.0 | 97.3 |
| 2014-06 | 94.8 | 95.1 |
| 2014-07 | 97.8 | 95.6 |
| 2014-08 | 95.5 | 90.0 |
| 2014-09 | 92.9 | 88.8 |
| 2014-10 | 95.1 | 88.0 |
| 2014-11 | 98.1 | 90.3 |
| 2014-12 | 99.0 | 93.0 |
| 2015-01 | 102.5 | 93.1 |
| 2015-02 | 101.8 | 98.3 |
| 2015-03 | 105.1 | 96.6 |
| 2015-04 | 107.1 | 95.6 |
| 2015-05 | 108.5 | 95.9 |
| 2015-06 | 108.0 | 97.9 |
| 2015-07 | 104.9 | 99.3 |
| 2015-08 | 109.3 | 98.7 |
| 2015-09 | 107.3 | 100.4 |
| 2015-10 | 106.7 | 103.3 |
| 2015-11 | 107.3 | 96.4 |
| 2015-12 | 105.7 | 96.4 |
| 2016-01 | 106.3 | 100.0 |
| 2016-02 | 107.1 | 96.1 |
| 2016-03 | 106.0 | 97.3 |
| 2016-04 | 107.3 | 97.7 |
| 2016-05 | 108.3 | 99.5 |
| 2016-06 | 108.9 | 97.3 |
| 2016-07 | 109.4 | 99.2 |
| 2016-08 | 107.3 | 100.0 |
| 2016-09 | 105.8 | 98.5 |
| 2016-10 | 106.2 | 98.7 |
| 2016-11 | 106.7 | 99.0 |
| 2016-12 | 108.2 | 102.9 |
| 2017-01 | 107.3 | 101.5 |
| 2017-02 | 106.7 | 100.9 |
| 2017-03 | 108.8 | 102.9 |
| 2017-04 | 107.6 | 100.9 |
| 2017-05 | 108.4 | 102.0 |
| 2017-06 | 110.8 | 105.3 |
| 2017-07 | 112.3 | 104.1 |
| 2017-08 | 112.3 | 103.4 |
| 2017-09 | 113.7 | 106.0 |
| 2017-10 | 114.7 | 107.6 |
| 2017-11 | 116.0 | 108.5 |
| 2017-12 | 115.4 | 108.4 |
| 2018-01 | 116.5 | 108.8 |
| 2018-02 | 118.9 | 109.0 |
| 2018-03 | 116.0 | 107.4 |
| 2018-04 | 116.9 | 106.4 |
| 2018-05 | 116.3 | 105.7 |
| 2018-06 | 116.1 | 106.7 |
| 2018-07 | 115.5 | 109.1 |
| 2018-08 | 113.2 | 105.4 |
| 2018-09 | 112.9 | 103.5 |
| 2018-10 | 112.1 | 100.5 |
| 2018-11 | 111.9 | 102.3 |
| 2018-12 | 108.1 | 96.3 |
| 2019-01 | 107.0 | 96.3 |
| 2019-02 | 106.9 | 97.8 |
| 2019-03 | 108.2 | 96.2 |
| 2019-04 | 108.8 | 101.1 |
| 2019-05 | 109.7 | 98.8 |
| 2019-06 | 108.5 | 97.8 |
| 2019-07 | 108.1 | 99.7 |
| 2019-08 | 110.6 | 87.9 |
| 2019-09 | 109.5 | 96.9 |
| 2019-10 | 108.3 | 97.8 |
| 2019-11 | 108.1 | 95.6 |
| 2019-12 | 108.3 | 100.3 |
| 2020-01 | 110.3 | 96.0 |
| 2020-02 | 110.6 | 95.4 |
| 2020-03 | 99.6 | 82.6 |
| 2020-04 | 65.9 | 59.8 |
| 2020-05 | 69.2 | 57.8 |
| 2020-06 | 87.1 | 73.4 |
| 2020-07 | 96.9 | 77.4 |
| 2020-08 | 103.3 | 84.9 |
| 2020-09 | 103.9 | 87.1 |
| 2020-10 | 100.6 | 87.4 |
| 2020-11 | 82.2 | 68.3 |
graphiqueBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauDetailed data
| Ave.(1) | Aug. 20 | Sept 20 | Oct 20 | Nov 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade - Global data | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 85 | 87 | 87 | 68 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -29 | -40 | -35 | -37 | -72 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -14 | -1 | -10 | 3 |
| Expected sales | -1 | -15 | -14 | -16 | -30 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -13 | -12 | -4 | -29 |
| Stocks | 10 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -5 | -4 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -5 | -4 | -2 | -4 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | -10 | -13 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -21 | -21 | -17 | -14 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -11 | -10 | -12 | -31 |
| Non-specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -2 | -11 | 5 | -19 | 11 |
| Expected sales | 6 | -13 | -10 | -14 | -5 |
| Ordering intentions | 2 | -6 | -4 | 0 | -13 |
| Stocks | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -3 | -3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | 0 | -5 | 0 | -3 |
| Cash position (2) | -7 | -4 | -5 | ||
| Specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -13 | -16 | -8 | 0 | -5 |
| Expected sales | -9 | -17 | -18 | -18 | -58 |
| Ordering intentions | -17 | -20 | -20 | -9 | -45 |
| Stocks | 13 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -7 | -6 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -9 | -3 | -6 | -6 |
| Cash position (2) | -22 | -16 | -23 | ||
| Trade and repair of motor cars and motocycles | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 103 | 104 | 101 | 82 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -25 | -32 | -36 | -41 | -82 |
| Recent sales | -6 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 16 |
| Expected sales | -5 | 10 | 0 | -11 | -54 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | 4 | 1 | -1 | -52 |
| Stocks | 15 | 1 | -11 | -14 | 9 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 1 | 1 | 3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | 4 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -3 |
| Cash position (2) | -23 | -13 | -24 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | -7 | -5 | -3 | -2 | 2 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -6 | -3 | 0 | -7 | -16 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.
A balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
Since the definitive data of April 2020, the way of correcting non-response has been modified. The usual method was to fill in missing answers by carrying on past answers from non-responding companies. The results are now computed on the sole basis of responding companies.
Next issue: 17 December 2020 at 8:45 am
Documentation
Methodology Note (pdf,4 Mo)
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