26 April 2019
2019In April 2019, households’ confidence has stabilized Monthly consumer confidence survey - April 2019
In April 2019, households’ confidence in the economic situation has been stable: the synthetic index has remained steady at 96. It stands however below its long term average (100).
In April 2019, households’ confidence in the economic situation has been stable: the synthetic index has remained steady at 96. It stands however below its long term average (100).
tableauConsumer confidence synthetic index
Consumer confidence synthetic index | |
---|---|
2000-01 | 118 |
2000-02 | 118 |
2000-03 | 119 |
2000-04 | 122 |
2000-05 | 122 |
2000-06 | 122 |
2000-07 | 123 |
2000-08 | 121 |
2000-09 | 118 |
2000-10 | 119 |
2000-11 | 119 |
2000-12 | 123 |
2001-01 | 126 |
2001-02 | 124 |
2001-03 | 122 |
2001-04 | 120 |
2001-05 | 116 |
2001-06 | 114 |
2001-07 | 114 |
2001-08 | 112 |
2001-09 | 110 |
2001-10 | 111 |
2001-11 | 112 |
2001-12 | 112 |
2002-01 | 112 |
2002-02 | 111 |
2002-03 | 111 |
2002-04 | 109 |
2002-05 | 112 |
2002-06 | 111 |
2002-07 | 109 |
2002-08 | 108 |
2002-09 | 106 |
2002-10 | 107 |
2002-11 | 108 |
2002-12 | 108 |
2003-01 | 104 |
2003-02 | 102 |
2003-03 | 98 |
2003-04 | 99 |
2003-05 | 101 |
2003-06 | 101 |
2003-07 | 100 |
2003-08 | 100 |
2003-09 | 99 |
2003-10 | 98 |
2003-11 | 98 |
2003-12 | 99 |
2004-01 | 99 |
2004-02 | 98 |
2004-03 | 99 |
2004-04 | 101 |
2004-05 | 100 |
2004-06 | 99 |
2004-07 | 99 |
2004-08 | 100 |
2004-09 | 102 |
2004-10 | 101 |
2004-11 | 100 |
2004-12 | 99 |
2005-01 | 97 |
2005-02 | 99 |
2005-03 | 97 |
2005-04 | 97 |
2005-05 | 95 |
2005-06 | 94 |
2005-07 | 94 |
2005-08 | 93 |
2005-09 | 92 |
2005-10 | 92 |
2005-11 | 92 |
2005-12 | 95 |
2006-01 | 97 |
2006-02 | 98 |
2006-03 | 97 |
2006-04 | 96 |
2006-05 | 95 |
2006-06 | 96 |
2006-07 | 98 |
2006-08 | 98 |
2006-09 | 99 |
2006-10 | 99 |
2006-11 | 99 |
2006-12 | 98 |
2007-01 | 99 |
2007-02 | 99 |
2007-03 | 101 |
2007-04 | 101 |
2007-05 | 108 |
2007-06 | 108 |
2007-07 | 107 |
2007-08 | 104 |
2007-09 | 101 |
2007-10 | 100 |
2007-11 | 94 |
2007-12 | 94 |
2008-01 | 90 |
2008-02 | 90 |
2008-03 | 89 |
2008-04 | 88 |
2008-05 | 85 |
2008-06 | 82 |
2008-07 | 81 |
2008-08 | 82 |
2008-09 | 84 |
2008-10 | 82 |
2008-11 | 83 |
2008-12 | 83 |
2009-01 | 84 |
2009-02 | 84 |
2009-03 | 84 |
2009-04 | 86 |
2009-05 | 86 |
2009-06 | 89 |
2009-07 | 89 |
2009-08 | 89 |
2009-09 | 90 |
2009-10 | 90 |
2009-11 | 93 |
2009-12 | 94 |
2010-01 | 94 |
2010-02 | 92 |
2010-03 | 91 |
2010-04 | 89 |
2010-05 | 88 |
2010-06 | 87 |
2010-07 | 87 |
2010-08 | 89 |
2010-09 | 90 |
2010-10 | 91 |
2010-11 | 93 |
2010-12 | 90 |
2011-01 | 89 |
2011-02 | 89 |
2011-03 | 87 |
2011-04 | 86 |
2011-05 | 87 |
2011-06 | 86 |
2011-07 | 89 |
2011-08 | 86 |
2011-09 | 84 |
2011-10 | 87 |
2011-11 | 84 |
2011-12 | 83 |
2012-01 | 84 |
2012-02 | 85 |
2012-03 | 89 |
2012-04 | 90 |
2012-05 | 92 |
2012-06 | 92 |
2012-07 | 89 |
2012-08 | 86 |
2012-09 | 85 |
2012-10 | 84 |
2012-11 | 84 |
2012-12 | 86 |
2013-01 | 85 |
2013-02 | 86 |
2013-03 | 83 |
2013-04 | 84 |
2013-05 | 80 |
2013-06 | 79 |
2013-07 | 83 |
2013-08 | 85 |
2013-09 | 86 |
2013-10 | 87 |
2013-11 | 84 |
2013-12 | 85 |
2014-01 | 86 |
2014-02 | 85 |
2014-03 | 88 |
2014-04 | 85 |
2014-05 | 85 |
2014-06 | 86 |
2014-07 | 87 |
2014-08 | 86 |
2014-09 | 86 |
2014-10 | 86 |
2014-11 | 87 |
2014-12 | 90 |
2015-01 | 89 |
2015-02 | 92 |
2015-03 | 94 |
2015-04 | 95 |
2015-05 | 93 |
2015-06 | 93 |
2015-07 | 93 |
2015-08 | 94 |
2015-09 | 97 |
2015-10 | 96 |
2015-11 | 96 |
2015-12 | 96 |
2016-01 | 97 |
2016-02 | 96 |
2016-03 | 95 |
2016-04 | 94 |
2016-05 | 98 |
2016-06 | 97 |
2016-07 | 95 |
2016-08 | 97 |
2016-09 | 98 |
2016-10 | 98 |
2016-11 | 99 |
2016-12 | 99 |
2017-01 | 100 |
2017-02 | 101 |
2017-03 | 101 |
2017-04 | 100 |
2017-05 | 102 |
2017-06 | 108 |
2017-07 | 104 |
2017-08 | 103 |
2017-09 | 102 |
2017-10 | 100 |
2017-11 | 103 |
2017-12 | 105 |
2018-01 | 105 |
2018-02 | 100 |
2018-03 | 100 |
2018-04 | 100 |
2018-05 | 99 |
2018-06 | 97 |
2018-07 | 97 |
2018-08 | 97 |
2018-09 | 94 |
2018-10 | 95 |
2018-11 | 92 |
2018-12 | 87 |
2019-01 | 92 |
2019-02 | 95 |
2019-03 | 96 |
2019-04 | 96 |
graphiqueConsumer confidence synthetic index
![Chargement en cours](/static/img/preloader.gif)
- Source: INSEE.
Personal situation
Personal financial situation: slight improvement
In April, households’ opinion balance on their future personal situation continued to recover: it has gained 2 points but still remains below its long term average. Households’ opinion balance regarding their past financial situation has been virtually stable and also remains below its long term average.
The share of households considering it is a suitable time to make major purchases has increased again. The corresponding balance has gained 3 points and almost returns to its long term average.
Saving capacity: increasing sharply
In April, the share of households considering it is a suitable time to save has increased sharply. The corresponding balance has gained 11 points and gets closer to its long term average.
However, households’ opinion balance on their saving capacity has declined. The excepted saving capacity balance has decreased clearly: it has lost 4 points therefore equalizing its long term average. The current saving capacity balance also decreased: it has lost 2 points and almost reaches its long term average.
tableauBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
Standard of living, future | Standard of living, past | Financial situation, future | Financial situation, past | |
---|---|---|---|---|
2010-01 | -32 | -62 | -9 | -24 |
2010-02 | -34 | -67 | -12 | -27 |
2010-03 | -40 | -69 | -13 | -26 |
2010-04 | -46 | -69 | -16 | -27 |
2010-05 | -52 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
2010-06 | -55 | -71 | -19 | -27 |
2010-07 | -49 | -71 | -19 | -30 |
2010-08 | -43 | -66 | -18 | -29 |
2010-09 | -42 | -64 | -18 | -28 |
2010-10 | -40 | -64 | -15 | -28 |
2010-11 | -38 | -64 | -11 | -23 |
2010-12 | -42 | -68 | -16 | -26 |
2011-01 | -44 | -70 | -18 | -26 |
2011-02 | -46 | -67 | -18 | -27 |
2011-03 | -51 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
2011-04 | -56 | -71 | -21 | -31 |
2011-05 | -49 | -68 | -20 | -31 |
2011-06 | -48 | -68 | -21 | -33 |
2011-07 | -42 | -67 | -18 | -31 |
2011-08 | -56 | -71 | -23 | -30 |
2011-09 | -55 | -75 | -24 | -31 |
2011-10 | -51 | -73 | -21 | -29 |
2011-11 | -59 | -74 | -25 | -30 |
2011-12 | -57 | -74 | -30 | -32 |
2012-01 | -54 | -73 | -27 | -32 |
2012-02 | -49 | -73 | -26 | -32 |
2012-03 | -40 | -68 | -19 | -29 |
2012-04 | -38 | -66 | -16 | -29 |
2012-05 | -30 | -65 | -16 | -26 |
2012-06 | -30 | -68 | -16 | -27 |
2012-07 | -43 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
2012-08 | -51 | -72 | -19 | -29 |
2012-09 | -57 | -75 | -21 | -29 |
2012-10 | -60 | -73 | -25 | -29 |
2012-11 | -55 | -73 | -25 | -31 |
2012-12 | -54 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
2013-01 | -58 | -69 | -25 | -28 |
2013-02 | -56 | -71 | -24 | -27 |
2013-03 | -61 | -75 | -26 | -29 |
2013-04 | -62 | -76 | -25 | -28 |
2013-05 | -63 | -79 | -26 | -37 |
2013-06 | -66 | -80 | -27 | -35 |
2013-07 | -57 | -77 | -24 | -34 |
2013-08 | -50 | -73 | -22 | -33 |
2013-09 | -46 | -72 | -20 | -33 |
2013-10 | -45 | -69 | -18 | -35 |
2013-11 | -53 | -75 | -19 | -34 |
2013-12 | -50 | -73 | -22 | -34 |
2014-01 | -48 | -71 | -18 | -35 |
2014-02 | -52 | -72 | -20 | -34 |
2014-03 | -47 | -69 | -19 | -29 |
2014-04 | -45 | -70 | -27 | -32 |
2014-05 | -50 | -70 | -22 | -33 |
2014-06 | -48 | -69 | -20 | -36 |
2014-07 | -49 | -70 | -17 | -32 |
2014-08 | -47 | -70 | -20 | -33 |
2014-09 | -51 | -71 | -20 | -30 |
2014-10 | -50 | -73 | -20 | -31 |
2014-11 | -48 | -68 | -17 | -33 |
2014-12 | -44 | -67 | -16 | -27 |
2015-01 | -42 | -67 | -17 | -29 |
2015-02 | -37 | -61 | -15 | -27 |
2015-03 | -34 | -59 | -13 | -27 |
2015-04 | -35 | -58 | -13 | -24 |
2015-05 | -34 | -58 | -13 | -27 |
2015-06 | -35 | -58 | -12 | -27 |
2015-07 | -36 | -59 | -12 | -29 |
2015-08 | -33 | -57 | -12 | -29 |
2015-09 | -28 | -52 | -6 | -26 |
2015-10 | -30 | -54 | -10 | -24 |
2015-11 | -31 | -53 | -10 | -24 |
2015-12 | -31 | -54 | -7 | -26 |
2016-01 | -27 | -56 | -9 | -24 |
2016-02 | -32 | -56 | -10 | -24 |
2016-03 | -36 | -57 | -12 | -24 |
2016-04 | -37 | -58 | -14 | -25 |
2016-05 | -28 | -48 | -10 | -25 |
2016-06 | -33 | -53 | -10 | -23 |
2016-07 | -32 | -53 | -10 | -28 |
2016-08 | -34 | -54 | -10 | -22 |
2016-09 | -29 | -54 | -9 | -23 |
2016-10 | -28 | -53 | -7 | -23 |
2016-11 | -25 | -48 | -7 | -24 |
2016-12 | -24 | -52 | -8 | -22 |
2017-01 | -27 | -49 | -5 | -22 |
2017-02 | -23 | -48 | -6 | -22 |
2017-03 | -23 | -47 | -8 | -21 |
2017-04 | -23 | -52 | -11 | -20 |
2017-05 | -17 | -46 | -6 | -19 |
2017-06 | 1 | -38 | -3 | -14 |
2017-07 | -10 | -39 | -11 | -17 |
2017-08 | -19 | -40 | -9 | -17 |
2017-09 | -20 | -41 | -10 | -21 |
2017-10 | -23 | -39 | -15 | -21 |
2017-11 | -17 | -38 | -9 | -19 |
2017-12 | -15 | -32 | -10 | -17 |
2018-01 | -19 | -32 | -12 | -16 |
2018-02 | -24 | -36 | -18 | -23 |
2018-03 | -25 | -39 | -12 | -24 |
2018-04 | -23 | -37 | -12 | -26 |
2018-05 | -28 | -40 | -13 | -25 |
2018-06 | -32 | -45 | -14 | -27 |
2018-07 | -31 | -46 | -11 | -28 |
2018-08 | -29 | -46 | -12 | -29 |
2018-09 | -35 | -49 | -16 | -30 |
2018-10 | -31 | -51 | -16 | -29 |
2018-11 | -43 | -57 | -17 | -28 |
2018-12 | -42 | -67 | -22 | -33 |
2019-01 | -32 | -64 | -14 | -29 |
2019-02 | -29 | -58 | -13 | -26 |
2019-03 | -29 | -53 | -11 | -26 |
2019-04 | -30 | -55 | -9 | -25 |
graphiqueBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
![Chargement en cours](/static/img/preloader.gif)
- Source: INSEE.
tableauCONSUMER OPINION: synthetic index and opinion balances
Avg. (1) | January 19 | February 19 | March 19 | April 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Synthetic index (2) | 100 | 92 | 95 | 96 | 96 |
Financial sit., past 12 m. | -21 | -29 | -26 | -26 | -25 |
Financial sit., next 12 m. | -6 | -14 | -13 | -11 | -9 |
Current saving capacity | 8 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
Expected saving capacity | -9 | -12 | -8 | -5 | -9 |
Savings intentions, next 12 m. | 17 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 |
Major purchases intentions, next 12 m. | -14 | -22 | -21 | -18 | -15 |
Standard of living, past 12 m. | -45 | -64 | -58 | -53 | -55 |
Standard of living, next 12 m. | -25 | -32 | -29 | -29 | -30 |
Unemployment, next 12 m. | 33 | 33 | 12 | 23 | 28 |
Consumer prices, past 12 m. | -17 | -33 | -27 | -20 | -18 |
Consumer prices, next 12 m. | -33 | -39 | -19 | -24 | -22 |
- (1) Average value between January 1987 and December 2018
- (2) The indicator is normalised in such a way that its average equals 100 and standard error equals 10 over the estimation period (1987–2018).
- Source: INSEE, monthly consumer confidence survey
Economic situation in France
Past standard of living in France: decreasing slightly
In April, the share of households considering that the past standard of living in France has increased during the past twelve months has decreased slightly: the corresponding balance has lost 2 points and remains below its long term average.
Households’ opinion balance about the future standard of living in France has been virtually stable and remains below its long term average.
Unemployment: fears rising again
Households' fears about the unemployment trend have increased again in April: the corresponding balance has gained 5 points, after having already increased strongly in March (+11 points). It remains however below its long term average.
Perceived and excepted inflation: rising slightly
In April, households considering that prices were on the rise during the past twelve months have been a little more numerous than in March: the corresponding balance has gained 2 points and almost stands at its long term average. Likewise, households are a little more numerous than the previous month to consider that prices will be on the rise during the next twelve months: the corresponding balance has gained 2 points and remains above its long term average.
tableauHouseholds' unemployment expectations
Households' unemployment expectations | |
---|---|
2010-01 | 55 |
2010-02 | 49 |
2010-03 | 58 |
2010-04 | 57 |
2010-05 | 58 |
2010-06 | 65 |
2010-07 | 59 |
2010-08 | 46 |
2010-09 | 31 |
2010-10 | 35 |
2010-11 | 35 |
2010-12 | 34 |
2011-01 | 37 |
2011-02 | 41 |
2011-03 | 33 |
2011-04 | 35 |
2011-05 | 27 |
2011-06 | 28 |
2011-07 | 37 |
2011-08 | 51 |
2011-09 | 57 |
2011-10 | 49 |
2011-11 | 61 |
2011-12 | 59 |
2012-01 | 57 |
2012-02 | 56 |
2012-03 | 52 |
2012-04 | 55 |
2012-05 | 43 |
2012-06 | 53 |
2012-07 | 65 |
2012-08 | 73 |
2012-09 | 73 |
2012-10 | 73 |
2012-11 | 70 |
2012-12 | 74 |
2013-01 | 72 |
2013-02 | 73 |
2013-03 | 77 |
2013-04 | 74 |
2013-05 | 78 |
2013-06 | 78 |
2013-07 | 61 |
2013-08 | 56 |
2013-09 | 51 |
2013-10 | 37 |
2013-11 | 62 |
2013-12 | 48 |
2014-01 | 56 |
2014-02 | 55 |
2014-03 | 55 |
2014-04 | 57 |
2014-05 | 60 |
2014-06 | 67 |
2014-07 | 67 |
2014-08 | 62 |
2014-09 | 67 |
2014-10 | 52 |
2014-11 | 66 |
2014-12 | 66 |
2015-01 | 66 |
2015-02 | 58 |
2015-03 | 44 |
2015-04 | 61 |
2015-05 | 61 |
2015-06 | 61 |
2015-07 | 58 |
2015-08 | 50 |
2015-09 | 44 |
2015-10 | 47 |
2015-11 | 36 |
2015-12 | 45 |
2016-01 | 36 |
2016-02 | 45 |
2016-03 | 40 |
2016-04 | 52 |
2016-05 | 23 |
2016-06 | 26 |
2016-07 | 28 |
2016-08 | 33 |
2016-09 | 28 |
2016-10 | 30 |
2016-11 | 28 |
2016-12 | 19 |
2017-01 | 18 |
2017-02 | 20 |
2017-03 | 22 |
2017-04 | 17 |
2017-05 | 20 |
2017-06 | 6 |
2017-07 | 9 |
2017-08 | -2 |
2017-09 | 14 |
2017-10 | 12 |
2017-11 | 4 |
2017-12 | 7 |
2018-01 | 1 |
2018-02 | 5 |
2018-03 | 6 |
2018-04 | 6 |
2018-05 | 1 |
2018-06 | 16 |
2018-07 | 14 |
2018-08 | 22 |
2018-09 | 20 |
2018-10 | 7 |
2018-11 | 28 |
2018-12 | 31 |
2019-01 | 33 |
2019-02 | 12 |
2019-03 | 23 |
2019-04 | 28 |
graphiqueHouseholds' unemployment expectations
![Chargement en cours](/static/img/preloader.gif)
- Source: INSEE.
tableauHouseholds' perception of prices
Past prices | Future prices | |
---|---|---|
2010-01 | -14 | -41 |
2010-02 | -19 | -41 |
2010-03 | -19 | -39 |
2010-04 | -10 | -34 |
2010-05 | -11 | -28 |
2010-06 | -10 | -29 |
2010-07 | -6 | -27 |
2010-08 | -4 | -24 |
2010-09 | -2 | -29 |
2010-10 | 0 | -25 |
2010-11 | 3 | -25 |
2010-12 | 9 | -22 |
2011-01 | 18 | -19 |
2011-02 | 25 | -9 |
2011-03 | 30 | 6 |
2011-04 | 46 | 0 |
2011-05 | 40 | -13 |
2011-06 | 33 | -14 |
2011-07 | 32 | -18 |
2011-08 | 27 | -18 |
2011-09 | 25 | -20 |
2011-10 | 22 | -23 |
2011-11 | 20 | -15 |
2011-12 | 19 | -16 |
2012-01 | 21 | -16 |
2012-02 | 23 | -11 |
2012-03 | 22 | -21 |
2012-04 | 27 | -20 |
2012-05 | 12 | -32 |
2012-06 | 12 | -34 |
2012-07 | -2 | -25 |
2012-08 | -1 | -16 |
2012-09 | 3 | -13 |
2012-10 | -1 | -15 |
2012-11 | -4 | -14 |
2012-12 | -7 | -19 |
2013-01 | -8 | -19 |
2013-02 | -10 | -22 |
2013-03 | -10 | -14 |
2013-04 | -13 | -20 |
2013-05 | -16 | -17 |
2013-06 | -11 | -19 |
2013-07 | -8 | -17 |
2013-08 | -3 | -21 |
2013-09 | 4 | -25 |
2013-10 | -8 | -21 |
2013-11 | -8 | -22 |
2013-12 | -8 | -17 |
2014-01 | -15 | -16 |
2014-02 | -19 | -22 |
2014-03 | -23 | -28 |
2014-04 | -24 | -29 |
2014-05 | -23 | -26 |
2014-06 | -28 | -31 |
2014-07 | -31 | -31 |
2014-08 | -35 | -37 |
2014-09 | -40 | -33 |
2014-10 | -38 | -28 |
2014-11 | -38 | -36 |
2014-12 | -46 | -43 |
2015-01 | -50 | -45 |
2015-02 | -51 | -45 |
2015-03 | -53 | -48 |
2015-04 | -51 | -43 |
2015-05 | -56 | -40 |
2015-06 | -54 | -38 |
2015-07 | -52 | -37 |
2015-08 | -50 | -36 |
2015-09 | -52 | -41 |
2015-10 | -50 | -41 |
2015-11 | -50 | -40 |
2015-12 | -51 | -39 |
2016-01 | -52 | -41 |
2016-02 | -56 | -39 |
2016-03 | -58 | -38 |
2016-04 | -57 | -37 |
2016-05 | -53 | -39 |
2016-06 | -53 | -36 |
2016-07 | -51 | -37 |
2016-08 | -51 | -35 |
2016-09 | -45 | -34 |
2016-10 | -52 | -38 |
2016-11 | -52 | -38 |
2016-12 | -48 | -29 |
2017-01 | -44 | -23 |
2017-02 | -46 | -31 |
2017-03 | -47 | -26 |
2017-04 | -50 | -27 |
2017-05 | -56 | -34 |
2017-06 | -55 | -40 |
2017-07 | -53 | -31 |
2017-08 | -55 | -32 |
2017-09 | -54 | -30 |
2017-10 | -50 | -24 |
2017-11 | -46 | -27 |
2017-12 | -47 | -34 |
2018-01 | -41 | -15 |
2018-02 | -34 | -20 |
2018-03 | -39 | -24 |
2018-04 | -39 | -26 |
2018-05 | -30 | -18 |
2018-06 | -25 | -20 |
2018-07 | -26 | -21 |
2018-08 | -26 | -21 |
2018-09 | -15 | -16 |
2018-10 | -14 | -15 |
2018-11 | -10 | -11 |
2018-12 | -10 | -24 |
2019-01 | -33 | -39 |
2019-02 | -27 | -19 |
2019-03 | -20 | -24 |
2019-04 | -18 | -22 |
graphiqueHouseholds' perception of prices
![Chargement en cours](/static/img/preloader.gif)
- Source: INSEE.
For more information
Definition – The synthetic households’ confidence index summarizes households’ opinion on the economic situation: the higher its value, the more favorable households’ judgment of the economic situation is. It is calculated using a factor analysis technique, which enables to summarize concomitant movements of highly correlated variables. The index describes here the common factor of 8 balances of opinion: past and future general economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, major purchases intentions, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity.
Calculation method – Around 2,000 households are surveyed by telephone, during the first three weeks of each month. Answers to this survey were collected between March 27 and April 17 2019.For each question, a balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentages of positive and negative answers. Since the level of these balances is not open to direct interpretation, comments are based on their changes and their distance to their long–term average. Seasonal coefficients are calculated again every month, hence the slight revision of the seasonal adjusted balances history at each publication. Moreover, long term averages and seasonal coefficient models have been updated for this publication, thanks to the integration of a complete year of additional data.
Next publication: May 28 at 8:45 am