In September 2016, the sales volume slowed in overall retail trade and in accommodation and food services activitiesSales volume in the retail trade and personal services - September 2016

Every index in this issue (except those on large scale food retailing survey) is in volume (tax excluded), seasonally and working day adjusted (SA-WDA). The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In September 2016, the sales volume slowed slightly in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+0.2% after +0.3%). It also slowed down in accommodation and food service activities although it has been significantly increasing since June (+0.5% on monthly average). It levelled off in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+0.1%) after a strong rebound in August (+3.6%) . The sales volume decreased again in household services (−0.5% after +1.1%).

Publications for experts
Informations rapides – No 317
Paru le : 11/30/2016

Every index in this issue (except those on large scale food retailing survey) is in volume (tax excluded), seasonally and working day adjusted (SA-WDA). The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In September 2016, the sales volume slowed slightly in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+0.2% after +0.3%). It also slowed down in accommodation and food service activities although it has been significantly increasing since June (+0.5% on monthly average). It levelled off in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+0.1%) after a strong rebound in August (+3.6%). The sales volume decreased again in household services (−0.5% after +1.1%).

Graph1 – Sales volume in the retail trade and personal services

  • Source: Insee

Slight slowdown in retail trade

In September 2016, the sales volume in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles slowed sligthly (+0.2% after +0.3%). According to early estimates, it should be virtually stable in October (+0.1%).

The sales volume grew again in non-specialised stores (+0.5% as in August). It recovered slightly in specialised stores (+0.2% after −0.5%): it increased again in the retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco (+1.7%) and

rebounded in the retail sale of information and communication equipment (+2.8% after −2.4%). On the other hand, it fell back in retail trade not in stores (−1.6% after +5.8% in August).

The sales volume in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles was stable over the third quarter and increased sharply year-on-year (+1.8% y-o-y).

Table1 – Variation of sales volume in the retail trade and personal services

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2010
Variation of sales volume in the retail trade and personal services
Change in %
NACE Classification Weight Sept./ Aug. Aug./ July q-o-q (1) y-o-y (2)
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1000 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.8
471 Retail sale in non-specialized stores 370 0.5 0.5 1.5 1.1
472 to 477 Retail sale in specialized stores 572 0.2 –0.5 –0.6 2.0
478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores 58 –1.6 5.8 –2.8 3.3
45 Trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1000 0.1 3.6 0.0 4.2
I Accommodation and food service activities 1000 0.4 0.8 1.3 3.3
R+S Household services 1000 –0.5 –1.1 1.0 3.6
R Arts, entertainment and recreation 422 0.3 –5.6 1.8 7.6
S Other service activities 578 –1.3 2.9 0.3 0.4
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months.
  • (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of the previous year.
  • The codes correspond to different levels of aggregation of the classification NAF rev.2
  • Source: INSEE

Table2 – Sales volume in the retail trade: early estimate*

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2010
Sales volume in the retail trade: early estimate*
Change in %
Oct. 2016/ Sept. 2016 Oct. 2016/ Oct. 2015
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 0.1 2.0
  • * Econometric estimate from a set of sources available within 30 days after the end of the reference month
  • Source: INSEE

Slowdown in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

After a sharp rebound in August, the sales volume in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles stalled in September (+0.1%). It was virtually stable in sale of motor vehicles. Whereas it fell back in sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories (−0.6% after +1.4%), it rose again in maintenance and repair of motor vehicles (+1.1% after +2.1%) and in sale, maintenance and repair of motorcycles and related parts and accessories (+3.7% after +2.0%).

The sales volume of the whole sector held steady over the third quarter and grew substantially year-on-year (+4.5% y-o-y).

Table3 – Sales volume in the retail trade and personal services

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2010
Sales volume in the retail trade and personal services
Change in %
Nace Classification Weight Sept. 2016 Sept./Aug. Aug./July q-o-q (1)
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1000 116.9 0.2 0.3 0.0
471 Non-specialised stores 370 111.4 0.5 0.5 1.5
472 to 477 Specialised stores 572 120.1 0.2 –0.5 –0.6
472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco in specialised stores 48 133.0 1.7 1.5 0.7
473 Retail sale of automotive fuel 77 93.6 –1.8 1.1 –2.2
474 Retail sale of information and communication equipment 28 179.4 2.8 –2.4 –1.3
475 Retail sale of other household equipment 113 103.6 –0.1 –0.4 –2.5
476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods 48 107.5 0.0 0.3 0.6
477 Retail sale of other goods in specialised stores 259 128.6 0.1 –1.0 0.1
478 et 479 Retail trade not in stores 58 120.4 –1.6 5.8 –2.8
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1000 113.9 0.1 3.6 0.0
451 Sale of motor vehicles 671 110.6 0.1 4.7 –0.2
452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles 78 105.2 1.1 2.1 0.0
453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories 227 128.7 –0.6 1.4 0.6
454 Sale, maintenance and repair of motorcycles and related parts and accessories 24 93.8 3.7 2.0 2.4
I Accommodation and food service activities 1000 112.2 0.4 0.8 1.3
55 Accommodation 239 104.6 1.5 –1.7 0.7
56 Food and beverage service activities 761 114.6 0.1 1.5 1.5
561 Restaurants… 560 115.6 0.6 1.8 2.0
562 Event catering… 119 103.0 –2.2 –0.3 –2.6
563 Beverage serving activities 82 124.7 –0.6 2.2 3.6
R+S Household services 1000 111.9 –0.5 –1.1 1.0
R Arts, entertainment and recreation 422 119.9 0.3 –5.6 1.8
90 Creative, arts and entertainment activities 116 110.6 –1.4 3.7 2.2
91 Libraries, archives, museums… 10 129.3 2.5 –2.6 2.7
92 Gambling and betting activities 106 117.1 3.3 –3.3 –1.3
93 Sports activities and amusement... 190 126.8 –0.4 –11.0 3.1
S Other service activities 578 106.0 –1.3 2.9 0.3
95 Repair of computers… 206 88.0 –2.2 2.1 –2.3
96 Other personal service activities 372 115.9 –0.8 3.3 1.5
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
  • Source: INSEE

Further rise in accommodation and food service activities

In September, the sales volume grew again in accommodation and food service activities (+0.5% on average over the last four months), due to a recovery in accommodation (+1.5% after −1.7% in August). The sales volume flattened out in food and beverage service activities (+0.1% after +1.5% in August). The rise in sales volume in restaurants and fast food activities (+1.6%) was offset by the decrease in event catering and other food services (−2.2%) and in beverage serving activities (−0.6%)

The sales volume of the whole sector improved markedly over the third quarter (+1.3% q-o-q) and year-on-year (+3.3% y-o-y).

New decrease in household services

In September, the sales volume in household services declined again but at a lower pace (−0.5% after −1.5%). This decrease was due to a sharp drop in other service activities (−1.3% after +2.9 %): repair of computers (−2.2%) and other personal service activities (hairdressing, laundry services, etc.: −0.8%). The sales volume recovered slightly in arts, entertainment and recreation (+0.3% after −5.6%), more significantly in gambling and betting activities (+3.3% after −3.3%).

The growth in sales volume in household services was robust over the third quarter (+1.0% q-o-q) and year-on-year (+3.6% y-o-y).

Revisions

The variation in the sales volume for August 2016 has been raised by 0.2 points in household services and by 0.1 points in retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles. It was unchanged in the other sectors.

In October 2016, turnover declined in large-scale food retailing

In October 2016, the turnover in large-scale food retailing fell slightly (−0.2% after +1.2% in September). Whereas sales of food products strongly declined (−2.1% after +2.4%), those of non food-products recovered slightly (+0.4% after –0.2%). Sales of automotive fuel accelerated (+3.1% after +1.4% in September).

Table4 – Monthly turnover indices in large-scale food retailing

SA-WDA value, Base year 2010
Monthly turnover indices in large-scale food retailing
Change in %
Oct. 16/ Sept. 16 Sept. 16/ Aug. 16 q-o-q (1) y-o-y (1)
Turnover –0.2 1.2 0.7 –0.1
Including
Sales of food products –2.1 2.4 1.9 0.3
Sales of non-food products 0.4 –0.2 –1.0 –2.2
Sales of automotive fuel 3.1 1.4 –1.1 –0.8
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months.
  • Source: INSEE - Monthly survey on large scale food retailing (Emagsa)