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Informations Rapides · 24 September 2026 · n° 232
Informations rapidesIn September 2026, the business climate in wholesale trade has deteriorated again Bimonthly survey of wholesaling - September 2026

According to the business managers surveyed in September 2026, the bimonthly business climate in wholesale trade has deteriorated again. At 93, the synthetic indicator has lost two points and has moved away from its long-term average (100), below which it has stood since January 2023. The balance of opinion related to past export sales has sharply dropped and the one related to ordering intentions has retreated.

Informations rapides
No 232
Paru le :Paru le24/09/2026
Prochaine parution le : 20/11/2026 at 08:45 - November 2026

According to the business managers surveyed in September 2026, the bimonthly business climate in wholesale trade has deteriorated again. At 93, the synthetic indicator has lost two points and has moved away from its long-term average (100), below which it has stood since January 2023. The balance of opinion related to past export sales has sharply dropped and the one related to ordering intentions has retreated.

Composite indicator

Composite indicator
Composite indicator
2026-B5 93.1
2026-B4 95.4
2026-B3 96.8
2026-B2 95.3
2026-B1 99.3
2025-B6 97.7
2025-B5 98.9
2025-B4 96.7
2025-B3 94.6
2025-B2 94.3
2025-B1 92.6
2024-B6 93.2
2024-B5 95.2
2024-B4 93.0
2024-B3 95.2
2024-B2 96.0
2024-B1 91.3
2023-B6 92.0
2023-B5 93.9
2023-B4 93.2
2023-B3 94.7
2023-B2 98.7
2023-B1 97.4
2022-B6 100.7
2022-B5 96.0
2022-B4 101.7
2022-B3 101.7
2022-B2 105.4
2022-B1 116.5
2021-B6 113.8
2021-B5 109.1
2021-B4 113.3
2021-B3 110.6
2021-B2 99.2
2021-B1 96.5
2020-B6 85.7
2020-B5 89.7
2020-B4 78.4
2020-B3 66.0
2020-B2 96.9
2020-B1 104.9
2019-B6 106.2
2019-B5 106.8
2019-B4 106.0
2019-B3 107.7
2019-B2 105.8
2019-B1 100.6
2018-B6 103.5
2018-B5 104.1
2018-B4 102.1
2018-B3 105.0
2018-B2 109.9
2018-B1 108.5
2017-B6 110.8
2017-B5 109.1
2017-B4 109.7
2017-B3 104.9
2017-B2 103.0
2017-B1 105.0
2016-B6 98.2
2016-B5 97.5
2016-B4 103.3
2016-B3 102.0
2016-B2 99.7
2016-B1 102.8
2015-B6 101.9
2015-B5 99.6
2015-B4 102.2
2015-B3 101.2
2015-B2 96.4
2015-B1 95.8
2014-B6 95.4
2014-B5 90.8
2014-B4 96.3
2014-B3 98.0
2014-B2 98.1
2014-B1 97.2
2013-B6 98.0
2013-B5 97.1
2013-B4 87.5
2013-B3 87.7
2013-B2 88.3
2013-B1 88.9
2012-B6 89.1
2012-B5 91.0
2012-B4 94.9
2012-B3 92.9
2012-B2 99.6
2012-B1 95.5
2011-B6 96.2
2011-B5 100.4
2011-B4 106.3
2011-B3 107.7
2011-B2 108.7
2011-B1 106.5
2010-B6 104.9
2010-B5 105.5
2010-B4 100.7
2010-B3 94.8
2010-B2 85.0
2010-B1 85.0
2009-B6 77.7
2009-B5 76.2
2009-B4 70.5
2009-B3 68.2
2009-B2 66.8
2009-B1 79.0
2008-B6 83.9
2008-B5 94.4
2008-B4 96.8
2008-B3 101.8
2008-B2 107.1
2008-B1 107.8
2007-B6 109.4
2007-B5 112.1
2007-B4 108.0
2007-B3 111.0
2007-B2 112.2
2007-B1 108.6
2006-B6 110.7
2006-B5 107.3
2006-B4 107.9
2006-B3 102.2
2006-B2 99.5
2006-B1 104.1
2005-B6 99.7
2005-B5 94.9
2005-B4 96.2
2005-B3 92.5
2005-B2 97.6
2005-B1 101.0

Composite indicator

  • Source: INSEE – business tendency survey in wholesale trade.

The balance related to past export sales has clearly dropped

In September 2026, the balance of opinion of wholesalers related to past export sales has sharply fallen back and has moved below its long-term average. This decrease has been mainly driven by other specialised wholesale trade, where the balance has dropped and has reached a level unobserved since July 2013, excluding the health crisis. Although the decrease has been less pronounced, it has also clearly fallen in wholesale trade of food and beverages.

The balance of opinion related to ordering intentions has retreated and has moved away from its average. It has decreased notably in wholesale trade of food and beverages, of household goods, as well as in other specialised wholesale trade.

The balance of opinion related to the volume of past sales has been virtually stable and remains below its long-term average. However, it has sharply decreased in other specialised wholesale trade, in wholesale trade of information and communication equipment and in wholesale trade of household goods.

The balance related to the general business outlook has retreated and remains well below its long-term average.

The balance related to deliveries received has decreased again and has moved away from its average. Conversely, the one related to deliveries received from abroad has rebounded and has returned to its May level, while remaining below its own average; this improvement has been notably driven by wholesale trade of agricultural raw products and live animals and by other specialised wholesale trade.

Lastly, the balance of opinion on the level of stocks has been virtually stable and remains below its average.

Economic outlook in the wholesale trade sector

Balances of opinion in %, S.A.
Economic outlook in the wholesale trade sector (Balances of opinion in %, S.A.)
Ave. (1) Mar. 26 May 26 July 26 Sept. 26
Business climate 100 95 97 95 93
General business outlook -23 -34 -43 -37 -39
Past sales -14 -28 -15 -23 -24
  including export sales -16 -19 -14 -13 -25
Received merchandise -10 -17 -11 -15 -18
   received from abroad -11 -14 -14 -16 -14
Ordering intentions -15 -12 -19 -17 -20
   ordering from abroad -15 -10 -20 -18 -17
Shipments abroad -15 -16 -12 -23 -22
Stocks 8 11 -3 1 0
Past workforce -1 -11 -8 -7 -7
Expected workforce -2 -5 -9 -5 -8
Cash position -9 -9 -12 -10 -12
Past selling prices 8 10 18 8 21
Expected selling prices 14 18 21 9 12
  • (1) Average since July 1979.
  • Source: INSEE - business tendency survey in wholesale trade.

Employment prospects have deteriorated

In September 2026, the balance of opinion related to past workforce size has been stable and remains below its long-term average. The one related to expected workforce size has retreated and has moved away from its own. The balance related to the cash position has fallen anew: it has moved away from its average and has returned to its May level. In wholesale trade of agricultural raw products and live animals in particular, this balance has reached a level unobserved since November 2022.

Pressures on selling prices have sharply accentuated

The balances of opinion related to past and expected selling prices have both rebounded. The balance related to past selling prices has clearly increased and has left its long-term average. It has sharply risen in wholesale trade of agricultural raw products and live animals as well as in other specialised wholesale trade; in both sub-sectors, it has reached a level unobserved since January 2023. The balance of opinion of wholesalers related to expected selling prices has increased more moderately and has moved closer to its long-term average. It has sharply increased in wholesale trade of agricultural raw products and live animals, where it has moved above its average.

Expected prices in wholesale trade

Expected prices in wholesale trade
Expected prices
2026-B5 12.1
2026-B4 8.7
2026-B3 20.8
2026-B2 18.2
2026-B1 9.3
2025-B6 8.5
2025-B5 7.4
2025-B4 6.9
2025-B3 4.3
2025-B2 7.4
2025-B1 7.1
2024-B6 8.5
2024-B5 2.1
2024-B4 6.8
2024-B3 5.3
2024-B2 4.4
2024-B1 3.3
2023-B6 5.9
2023-B5 9.0
2023-B4 6.1
2023-B3 9.5
2023-B2 26.8
2023-B1 34.3
2022-B6 40.0
2022-B5 40.7
2022-B4 45.3
2022-B3 51.3
2022-B2 46.7
2022-B1 38.2
2021-B6 39.3
2021-B5 31.2
2021-B4 30.0
2021-B3 25.4
2021-B2 17.4
2021-B1 9.6
2020-B6 -1.6
2020-B5 5.1
2020-B4 0.5
2020-B3 -2.2
2020-B2 -0.6
2020-B1 6.0
2019-B6 6.3
2019-B5 3.4
2019-B4 2.7
2019-B3 3.1
2019-B2 4.6
2019-B1 7.8
2018-B6 8.4
2018-B5 12.9
2018-B4 8.3
2018-B3 6.0
2018-B2 12.9
2018-B1 8.5
2017-B6 10.5
2017-B5 4.1
2017-B4 4.4
2017-B3 4.3
2017-B2 4.6
2017-B1 9.4
2016-B6 2.4
2016-B5 -2.8
2016-B4 0.1
2016-B3 -0.9
2016-B2 -3.4
2016-B1 -5.7
2015-B6 -1.4
2015-B5 -8.2
2015-B4 2.9
2015-B3 5.1
2015-B2 -0.5
2015-B1 -6.7
2014-B6 -10.7
2014-B5 -8.7
2014-B4 -4.2
2014-B3 -0.8
2014-B2 2.1
2014-B1 6.0
2013-B6 0.5
2013-B5 0.3
2013-B4 -3.9
2013-B3 -3.2
2013-B2 -2.2
2013-B1 5.1
2012-B6 5.5
2012-B5 11.3
2012-B4 8.9
2012-B3 6.0
2012-B2 11.7
2012-B1 11.0
2011-B6 14.2
2011-B5 6.2
2011-B4 11.9
2011-B3 19.8
2011-B2 24.6
2011-B1 22.9
2010-B6 8.7
2010-B5 11.5
2010-B4 8.6
2010-B3 5.1
2010-B2 0.2
2010-B1 -3.9
2009-B6 -7.2
2009-B5 -6.8
2009-B4 -11.9
2009-B3 -7.5
2009-B2 -12.5
2009-B1 -5.5
2008-B6 0.4
2008-B5 10.3
2008-B4 18.8
2008-B3 15.3
2008-B2 18.6
2008-B1 26.9
2007-B6 23.9
2007-B5 20.9
2007-B4 16.2
2007-B3 14.1
2007-B2 10.1
2007-B1 10.2

Expected prices in wholesale trade

  • Source: INSEE – business tendency survey in wholesale trade.

Balances of opinion by sub-sector in wholesale trade

Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.
Balances of opinion by sub-sector in wholesale trade (Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.)
Ave. (1) Mar. 26 May 26 July 26 Sept. 26
Raw agricultural products and live animals
Past sales -13 -12 -19 -24 -22
Export sales -17 -20 -22 -23 -20
Merchandise received from abroad -12 -18 -24 -23 -12
Ordering intentions -13 -12 -23 -23 -21
Current stocks 5 5 6 3 8
Food products and beverages
Past sales -15 -29 -19 -25 -26
Export sales -13 -28 -21 -11 -17
Merchandise received from abroad -13 -18 -22 -20 -17
Ordering intentions -11 -7 -12 -7 -11
Current stocks 4 3 4 6 5
Household goods
Past sales -10 -18 -1 -4 -9
Export sales -11 -11 -1 -5 -1
Merchandise received from abroad -6 -16 -4 -6 -12
Ordering intentions -13 -7 -12 -2 -9
Current stocks 11 5 6 7 4
Information and communication equipment
Past Sales -8 1 -3 6 -5
Export sales -12 -7 1 -4 -3
Merchandise received from abroad -8 13 -3 0 -7
Ordering intentions -10 1 -7 -4 -5
Current stocks 8 16 23 21 26
Other industrial capital goods
Past sales -17 -32 -26 -23 -21
Export sales -21 -32 -22 -31 -31
Merchandise received from abroad -12 -18 -21 -20 -18
Ordering intentions -21 -26 -25 -25 -26
Current stocks 12 13 6 9 9
Other specialised wholesale trade
Past sales -18 -45 -29 -29 -38
Export sales -18 -14 -19 -15 -48
Merchandise received from abroad -13 -13 -13 -23 -14
Ordering intentions -18 -15 -22 -24 -29
Current stocks 6 21 -11 1 -1
  • (1) Average since July 1979.
  • Source: INSEE – business tendency survey in wholesale trade.

Revisions

The business climate in wholesale trade in July 2026 has not been revised (after rounding).

Further information

A balance of opinion is the difference between the weighted percentage of “above normal” or “increase” answers and the weighted percentage of “below normal” or “decrease” answers.

Answers to this survey have been gathered between 27 August and 21 September 2026, most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.

Additional information (methodology, links, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of the web page of this publication.

Next issue: 20 November 2026 at 8:45 am.

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