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Growth under an amber warning
Growth under an amber warning
Economic Outlook - september 2026
Conjoncture in France
Paru le :
Paru le
18/09/2026
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Conjoncture in France
- September 2026
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Overview
International economic outlook and detailed forecasts for France
Focus
The summer heatwave episodes are projected to cost the French economy 0.1 points of annual growth in 2026, mainly due to the decline in agricultural output
In 2025, GDP growth exceeded expectations by 0.3 points relative to the June forecast, mainly due to aeronautical production
The average quarterly growth forecast error in the Economic Outlook is 0.2 points, with no upward or downward bias
Slightly more French people underestimate the change in their income than overestimate it, particularly among retirees and the most affluent individuals
Statistical appendix
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