Informations Rapides ·
27 January 2026 · n° 21
In January 2026, activity prospects have deteriorated sharply in the public works
sector Quaterly survey of public works - January 2026
In January 2026, civil engineering business managers’ opinion on their past activity has deteriorated strongly, reaching a level unobserved since 2015 (excluding the COVID 19 pandemic). Their opinion regarding their past activity has also fallen back sharply. They also consider their order books to be markedly less full than in October 2025.
- Entrepreneurs’ opinion on their activity, both past and expected, has deteriorated sharply
- Order books are considered markedly more depleted than in October, particularly among public clients
- Employment prospects have increased slightly
- Difficulties due to a lack of demand or manpower are virtually stable
- For further information
In January 2026, civil engineering business managers’ opinion on their past activity has deteriorated strongly, reaching a level unobserved since 2015 (excluding the COVID 19 pandemic). Their opinion regarding their past activity has also fallen back sharply. They also consider their order books to be markedly less full than in October 2025.
Entrepreneurs’ opinion on their activity, both past and expected, has deteriorated sharply
In January 2026, entrepreneurs’ opinion on their activity over the past three months has fallen back sharply: the balance of opinion has gone back below its long-term average. Among the entrepreneurs distinguishing their type of clientele (private or public), both balances have strongly resumed declining, even more sharply among public clients. Both have moved back below their long-term average.
Regarding expected activity over the next three months, business managers are way more pessimistic than in the previous quarter: the corresponding balance of opinion, which had been almost stable in 2025, has deviated sharply away from its long-term average and has returned to its lowest level since July 2015 (excluding the COVID 19 pandemic). For those distinguishing their type of clientele, the balance of opinion relating to public clients has decreased strongly, moving away from its long-term average. The balance relating to private clients has also fallen back sharply, and has moved away from its long-term average, which it had nearly regained in October 2025.
tableauPublic works economic outlook
| Average* | Apr. 25 | Jul. 25 | Oct.25 | Jan. 26 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past activity | -5 | 2 | -10 | 2 | -8 |
| Past activity in the public-sector | -11 | -9 | -18 | -3 | -18 |
| Past activity in the private-sector | -9 | -1 | -18 | -6 | -15 |
| Expected activity | -12 | -12 | -12 | -13 | -27 |
| Expected activity in the public-sector | -16 | -17 | -20 | -21 | -34 |
| Expected activity in the private-sector | -14 | -12 | -18 | -15 | -26 |
| Opinion on order books | -23 | -18 | -24 | -21 | -34 |
| Opinion on order books from public-sector | -30 | -29 | -28 | -38 | -45 |
| Opinion on order books from private-sector | -27 | -23 | -29 | -27 | -30 |
| Paiement delays | 22 | 23 | 12 | 25 | 14 |
| Obstacles to production increase because of workforce shortage (in %) *** | 19 | 33 | 34 | 29 | 29 |
| Obstacles to production increase because of a lack of demand (in %) *** | 37 | 45 | 37 | 50 | 49 |
| Expected workforce | -11 | 5 | -7 | -6 | -3 |
| Economic uncertainty felt ** | 26 | 22 | 24 | 36 | 36 |
- Note: the balances of opinion by customer may differ from the balance of the whole, because sometimes the firms don't distinguish public-sector project and private-sector project.
- * Average since January 1981 and since April 2021 for the balances of opinion on the economic uncertainty felt.
- ** Non-seasonally adjusted balance of opinion.
- *** Seasonally adjusted percentage of responses.
- Source: INSEE and FNTP.
tableauActivity tendency in civil engineering
| Past activity | Expected activity | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-Q1 | -7.9 | -27.4 |
| 2025-Q4 | 2.1 | -13.1 |
| 2025-Q3 | -10.2 | -11.9 |
| 2025-Q2 | 1.9 | -11.6 |
| 2025-Q1 | 1.6 | -11.2 |
| 2024-Q4 | -3.0 | -11.4 |
| 2024-Q3 | -16.4 | -9.1 |
| 2024-Q2 | -1.3 | -8.4 |
| 2024-Q1 | -4.3 | 2.4 |
| 2023-Q4 | -5.4 | -11.8 |
| 2023-Q3 | -11.5 | -15.5 |
| 2023-Q2 | -8.1 | -9.6 |
| 2023-Q1 | 3.4 | -11.5 |
| 2022-Q4 | -2.6 | -5.1 |
| 2022-Q3 | 6.7 | -19.2 |
| 2022-Q2 | 1.4 | -15.0 |
| 2022-Q1 | -4.8 | 0.9 |
| 2021-Q4 | -2.3 | 6.9 |
| 2021-Q3 | 15.4 | 3.9 |
| 2021-Q2 | -10.0 | -9.7 |
| 2021-Q1 | -7.6 | -16.7 |
| 2020-Q4 | 2.7 | -29.6 |
| 2020-Q3 | -90.9 | 15.8 |
| 2020-Q2 | NaN | NaN |
| 2020-Q1 | 21.1 | -0.8 |
| 2019-Q4 | 27.7 | 10.3 |
| 2019-Q3 | 28.7 | 16.7 |
| 2019-Q2 | 38.3 | 21.4 |
| 2019-Q1 | 34.6 | 29.5 |
| 2018-Q4 | 41.5 | 26.0 |
| 2018-Q3 | 28.7 | 26.1 |
| 2018-Q2 | 29.0 | 31.6 |
| 2018-Q1 | 37.8 | 25.7 |
| 2017-Q4 | 31.1 | 30.8 |
| 2017-Q3 | 34.9 | 27.2 |
| 2017-Q2 | 29.0 | 18.8 |
| 2017-Q1 | 12.8 | 5.6 |
| 2016-Q4 | 9.4 | -5.5 |
| 2016-Q3 | -5.6 | -1.0 |
| 2016-Q2 | -16.8 | -15.4 |
| 2016-Q1 | -18.5 | -15.6 |
| 2015-Q4 | -37.5 | -15.0 |
| 2015-Q3 | -41.0 | -31.7 |
| 2015-Q2 | -50.2 | -43.5 |
| 2015-Q1 | -59.9 | -42.3 |
| 2014-Q4 | -60.3 | -54.5 |
| 2014-Q3 | -45.6 | -48.4 |
| 2014-Q2 | 4.2 | -30.4 |
| 2014-Q1 | -4.2 | -25.6 |
| 2013-Q4 | 3.3 | -15.6 |
| 2013-Q3 | -7.4 | -11.9 |
| 2013-Q2 | -18.4 | -13.5 |
| 2013-Q1 | -11.3 | -13.3 |
| 2012-Q4 | -9.8 | -26.5 |
| 2012-Q3 | -22.6 | -7.6 |
| 2012-Q2 | -12.9 | -6.8 |
| 2012-Q1 | 7.0 | -12.4 |
| 2011-Q4 | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 2011-Q3 | 26.5 | 0.1 |
| 2011-Q2 | 36.8 | 2.3 |
| 2011-Q1 | -32.5 | 0.0 |
| 2010-Q4 | -7.9 | -17.9 |
| 2010-Q3 | -15.9 | -23.9 |
| 2010-Q2 | -33.7 | -20.5 |
| 2010-Q1 | -23.1 | -16.7 |
| 2009-Q4 | -33.3 | -16.1 |
| 2009-Q3 | -50.5 | -34.0 |
| 2009-Q2 | -48.8 | -52.0 |
| 2009-Q1 | -55.3 | -50.6 |
| 2008-Q4 | -30.5 | -47.6 |
| 2008-Q3 | -10.8 | -26.0 |
| 2008-Q2 | 16.3 | -16.0 |
| 2008-Q1 | 20.1 | 2.7 |
| 2007-Q4 | 22.8 | 14.6 |
| 2007-Q3 | 36.2 | 13.9 |
| 2007-Q2 | 39.7 | 21.5 |
| 2007-Q1 | 39.0 | 16.9 |
- Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available, the response rate to this survey was greatly affected in April in the context of the health crisis.
graphiqueActivity tendency in civil engineering

- Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available, the response rate to this survey was greatly affected in April in the context of the health crisis.
- Source: FNTP and INSEE.
The balance of opinion on economic uncertainty felt by entrepreneurs is stable, well above its long-term average. It remains at its highest level since April 2022.
Order books are considered markedly more depleted than in October, particularly among public clients
In January 2026, the balance of opinion relating to the level of order books of business managers in the sector has decreased strongly and has returned well below its long-term average. It has reached a level unobserved since October 2016 (excluding the COVID 19 pandemic). Among those who distinguish their type of clientele, this balance has decreased again, particularly sharply for orders from public-sector clients, and has deviated from its average. The balance relating to private-sector clients has fallen back, more moderately, and has departed from its average level.
The balance of opinion on payment delays has retreated sharply and moved back below its long-term average.
Employment prospects have increased slightly
In January 2026, the balance of opinion regarding the evolution of the workforce size over the next three months has increased slightly and has moved away from its long-term average.
Difficulties due to a lack of demand or manpower are virtually stable
In January 2026, the share of companies reporting that they are facing demand constraints is virtually stable: at 49%, it still stands well above its long-term average, after reaching last October its highest level since 2016 (including the COVID 19 pandemic). 29% of companies report difficulties linked to a lack of manpower: this proportion remains stable, well above its long-term average.
For further information
A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.
Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.
The responses to this survey have been collected between 26 December 2025 and 20 January 2026.
Next issue: 24 Avril 2026 at 12:00 pm.
Documentation
Abbreviated methodology (pdf,123 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.
Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.
The responses to this survey have been collected between 26 December 2025 and 20 January 2026.
Next issue: 24 Avril 2026 at 12:00 pm.