Informations Rapides ·
24 October 2025 · n° 268
In October 2025, difficulties due to a lack of demand have increased sharply in the
public works sector Quaterly survey of public works - October 2025
In October 2025, civil engineering business managers’ opinion on their past activity has bounced back and has returned to the level last observed in April. They consider their order books to be less depleted than in July, but report a sharp increase in perceived economic uncertainty. They once again expect a decline in activity over the next three months. One in two companies considers that a lack of demand is the main constraint to their activity, a proportion not seen since 2016.
- Entrepreneurs’ opinion on their past activity over the past three months has rebounded; that on expected activity has continued to deteriorate.
- Order books are considered less depleted than in July
- Employment prospects are virtually stable
- Difficulties due to a lack of demand have increased markedly and reached a level not seen since 2016
- For further information
In October 2025, civil engineering business managers’ opinion on their past activity has bounced back and has returned to the level last observed in April. They consider their order books to be less depleted than in July, but report a sharp increase in perceived economic uncertainty. They once again expect a decline in activity over the next three months. One in two companies considers that a lack of demand is the main constraint to their activity, a proportion not seen since 2016.
Entrepreneurs’ opinion on their past activity over the past three months has rebounded; that on expected activity has continued to deteriorate.
In October 2025, entrepreneurs’ opinion on their activity over the past three months has rebounded after its drop in July: the balance has gone back above its long-term average and has returned to its levels of April and January 2025. Among the entrepreneurs distinguishing their type of clientele (private or public), both balances have increased sharply, with an even stronger rise among those serving public clients.
Regarding expected activity over the next three months, business managers express a slightly more pessimistic view than in the previous quarter: the corresponding balance of opinion, which has been decreasing almost continuously since April 2024, has moved further away from its long-term average. For those distinguishing their type of clientele, the balance of opinion on expected activity for public clients has decreased again, while it has resumed its growth for private clients. Both stand below their long-term average.
tableauPublic works economic outlook
| Average* | Jan. 25 | Apr. 25 | Jul. 25 | Oct, 25 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Past activity | -5 | 2 | 2 | -10 | 2 |
| Past activity in the public-sector | -11 | -9 | -9 | -18 | -3 |
| Past activity in the private-sector | -8 | -5 | -1 | -18 | -6 |
| Expected activity | -11 | -11 | -12 | -12 | -13 |
| Expected activity in the public-sector | -16 | -16 | -17 | -20 | -21 |
| Expected activity in the private-sector | -14 | -15 | -12 | -18 | -15 |
| Opinion on order books | -23 | -17 | -18 | -24 | -21 |
| Opinion on order books from public-sector | -30 | -28 | -29 | -28 | -38 |
| Opinion on order books from private-sector | -27 | -20 | -23 | -29 | -27 |
| Paiement delays | 22 | 30 | 23 | 12 | 25 |
| Obstacles to production increase because of workforce shortage (in %) *** | 19 | 30 | 33 | 34 | 29 |
| Obstacles to production increase because of a lack of demand (in %) *** | 37 | 44 | 45 | 37 | 50 |
| Expected workforce | -11 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -6 |
| Economic uncertainty felt ** | 25 | 29 | 22 | 24 | 36 |
- Note: the balances of opinion by customer may differ from the balance of the whole, because sometimes the firms don't distinguish public-sector project and private-sector project.
- * Average since January 1981 and since April 2021 for the balances of opinion on the economic uncertainty felt.
- ** Non-seasonally adjusted balance of opinion.
- *** Seasonally adjusted percentage of responses.
- Source: INSEE and FNTP.
tableauActivity tendency in civil engineering
| Past activity | Expected activity | |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-Q4 | 2.1 | -13.1 |
| 2025-Q3 | -10.2 | -11.9 |
| 2025-Q2 | 1.9 | -11.6 |
| 2025-Q1 | 1.6 | -11.2 |
| 2024-Q4 | -3.0 | -11.4 |
| 2024-Q3 | -16.4 | -9.1 |
| 2024-Q2 | -1.3 | -8.4 |
| 2024-Q1 | -4.3 | 2.4 |
| 2023-Q4 | -5.4 | -11.8 |
| 2023-Q3 | -11.5 | -15.5 |
| 2023-Q2 | -8.1 | -9.6 |
| 2023-Q1 | 3.4 | -11.5 |
| 2022-Q4 | -2.6 | -5.1 |
| 2022-Q3 | 6.7 | -19.2 |
| 2022-Q2 | 1.4 | -15.0 |
| 2022-Q1 | -4.8 | 0.9 |
| 2021-Q4 | -2.3 | 6.9 |
| 2021-Q3 | 15.4 | 3.9 |
| 2021-Q2 | -10.0 | -9.7 |
| 2021-Q1 | -7.6 | -16.7 |
| 2020-Q4 | 2.7 | -29.6 |
| 2020-Q3 | -90.9 | 15.8 |
| 2020-Q2 | NaN | NaN |
| 2020-Q1 | 21.1 | -0.8 |
| 2019-Q4 | 27.7 | 10.3 |
| 2019-Q3 | 28.7 | 16.7 |
| 2019-Q2 | 38.3 | 21.4 |
| 2019-Q1 | 34.6 | 29.5 |
| 2018-Q4 | 41.5 | 26.0 |
| 2018-Q3 | 28.7 | 26.1 |
| 2018-Q2 | 29.0 | 31.6 |
| 2018-Q1 | 37.8 | 25.7 |
| 2017-Q4 | 31.1 | 30.8 |
| 2017-Q3 | 34.9 | 27.2 |
| 2017-Q2 | 29.0 | 18.8 |
| 2017-Q1 | 12.8 | 5.6 |
| 2016-Q4 | 9.4 | -5.5 |
| 2016-Q3 | -5.6 | -1.0 |
| 2016-Q2 | -16.8 | -15.4 |
| 2016-Q1 | -18.5 | -15.6 |
| 2015-Q4 | -37.5 | -15.0 |
| 2015-Q3 | -41.0 | -31.7 |
| 2015-Q2 | -50.2 | -43.5 |
| 2015-Q1 | -59.9 | -42.3 |
| 2014-Q4 | -60.3 | -54.5 |
| 2014-Q3 | -45.6 | -48.4 |
| 2014-Q2 | 4.2 | -30.4 |
| 2014-Q1 | -4.2 | -25.6 |
| 2013-Q4 | 3.3 | -15.6 |
| 2013-Q3 | -7.4 | -11.9 |
| 2013-Q2 | -18.4 | -13.5 |
| 2013-Q1 | -11.3 | -13.3 |
| 2012-Q4 | -9.8 | -26.5 |
| 2012-Q3 | -22.6 | -7.6 |
| 2012-Q2 | -12.9 | -6.8 |
| 2012-Q1 | 7.0 | -12.4 |
| 2011-Q4 | 8.6 | -4.3 |
| 2011-Q3 | 26.5 | 0.1 |
| 2011-Q2 | 36.8 | 2.3 |
| 2011-Q1 | -32.5 | 0.0 |
| 2010-Q4 | -7.9 | -17.9 |
| 2010-Q3 | -15.9 | -23.9 |
| 2010-Q2 | -33.7 | -20.5 |
| 2010-Q1 | -23.1 | -16.7 |
| 2009-Q4 | -33.3 | -16.1 |
| 2009-Q3 | -50.5 | -34.0 |
| 2009-Q2 | -48.8 | -52.0 |
| 2009-Q1 | -55.3 | -50.6 |
| 2008-Q4 | -30.5 | -47.6 |
| 2008-Q3 | -10.8 | -26.0 |
| 2008-Q2 | 16.3 | -16.0 |
| 2008-Q1 | 20.1 | 2.7 |
| 2007-Q4 | 22.8 | 14.6 |
| 2007-Q3 | 36.2 | 13.9 |
| 2007-Q2 | 39.7 | 21.5 |
| 2007-Q1 | 39.0 | 16.9 |
- Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available, the response rate to this survey was greatly affected in April in the context of the health crisis.
graphiqueActivity tendency in civil engineering

- Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available, the response rate to this survey was greatly affected in April in the context of the health crisis.
- Source: FNTP and INSEE.
The balance of opinion on economic uncertainty felt by entrepreneurs has increased sharply and risen back well above its long-term average, reaching its highest level since April 2022.
Order books are considered less depleted than in July
In October 2025, the balance of opinion relating to the level of order books of business managers in the sector has increased and has returned above its long-term average. Among those who distinguish their type of clientele, this balance has decreased particularly sharply for orders from public-sector clients and has fallen back below its average. The balance relating to private-sector clients has improved slightly, reaching its average level.
The balance of opinion on payment delays has rebounded sharply after two consecutive quarters of decline, thus going back above its long-term average.
Employment prospects are virtually stable
In October 2025, the balance of opinion regarding the evolution of the workforce size over the next three months is virtually stable, following a sharp decline in July, and remains above its long-term average.
Difficulties due to a lack of demand have increased markedly and reached a level not seen since 2016
In October 2025, the share of companies reporting that they are facing demand constraints has sharply bounced back: at 50%, it stands well above its long-term average, at a level not seen since 2016. 29% of companies report difficulties linked to a lack of manpower: this proportion, smaller than in July, is continuing on the downward trend that started in July 2023, but is still hovering well above its long-term average.
For further information
A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.
Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.
The responses to this survey have been collected between 19 September and 16 October 2025.
Next issue: 27 January 2026 at 12:00 pm.
Documentation
Abbreviated methodology (pdf,123 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.
Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.
The responses to this survey have been collected between 19 September and 16 October 2025.
Next issue: 27 January 2026 at 12:00 pm.