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Informations Rapides · 23 October 2025 · n° 256
Informations rapidesIn October 2025, the business climate in services has retreated Monthly survey of services - October 2025

According to the business managers surveyed in October 2025, the business climate in services has retreated. At 96, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost two points and has reached its level of summer 2025, well below its long-term average (100).

Informations rapides
No 256
Paru le :Paru le23/10/2025
Prochaine parution le : 21/11/2025 at 08:45 - November 2025

According to the business managers surveyed in October 2025, the business climate in services has retreated. At 96, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost two points and has reached its level of summer 2025, well below its long-term average (100).

Business climate composite indicator

Business climate composite indicator
Business climate composite indicator
2025-10 95.5
2025-09 97.7
2025-08 95.8
2025-07 96.3
2025-06 95.5
2025-05 95.0
2025-04 99.2
2025-03 97.4
2025-02 97.5
2025-01 96.2
2024-12 96.5
2024-11 97.8
2024-10 99.9
2024-09 98.3
2024-08 97.5
2024-07 96.1
2024-06 101.6
2024-05 102.8
2024-04 101.2
2024-03 102.7
2024-02 100.0
2024-01 101.6
2023-12 100.5
2023-11 99.6
2023-10 100.1
2023-09 100.6
2023-08 101.6
2023-07 102.3
2023-06 102.3
2023-05 101.8
2023-04 104.4
2023-03 103.9
2023-02 105.5
2023-01 104.8
2022-12 104.3
2022-11 104.4
2022-10 105.2
2022-09 105.1
2022-08 106.7
2022-07 106.2
2022-06 107.6
2022-05 109.3
2022-04 109.6
2022-03 108.5
2022-02 112.5
2022-01 106.1
2021-12 108.5
2021-11 114.5
2021-10 113.9
2021-09 110.3
2021-08 108.7
2021-07 111.2
2021-06 112.5
2021-05 107.5
2021-04 92.7
2021-03 94.0
2021-02 87.5
2021-01 91.4
2020-12 90.0
2020-11 76.1
2020-10 88.0
2020-09 93.5
2020-08 93.4
2020-07 88.6
2020-06 76.7
2020-05 48.7
2020-04 37.8
2020-03 91.9
2020-02 105.5
2020-01 106.4
2019-12 106.8
2019-11 106.3
2019-10 106.0
2019-09 105.9
2019-08 105.4
2019-07 105.4
2019-06 106.3
2019-05 106.1
2019-04 106.9
2019-03 105.0
2019-02 103.9
2019-01 103.9
2018-12 102.7
2018-11 104.4
2018-10 103.8
2018-09 104.8
2018-08 104.2
2018-07 104.9
2018-06 104.9
2018-05 104.8
2018-04 106.7
2018-03 107.4
2018-02 106.6
2018-01 107.6
2017-12 109.3
2017-11 107.9
2017-10 107.2
2017-09 107.0
2017-08 106.9
2017-07 104.4
2017-06 103.7
2017-05 103.4
2017-04 103.9
2017-03 103.6
2017-02 103.1
2017-01 101.8
2016-12 103.6
2016-11 100.9
2016-10 100.7
2016-09 100.7
2016-08 100.1
2016-07 100.3
2016-06 99.1
2016-05 100.8
2016-04 98.2
2016-03 99.5
2016-02 99.9
2016-01 100.1
2015-12 97.0
2015-11 99.2
2015-10 99.4
2015-09 97.5
2015-08 98.5
2015-07 97.4
2015-06 96.8
2015-05 95.3
2015-04 93.8
2015-03 92.2
2015-02 91.2
2015-01 91.0
2014-12 91.1
2014-11 91.0
2014-10 91.0
2014-09 90.8
2014-08 91.3
2014-07 92.3
2014-06 92.0
2014-05 92.0
2014-04 93.1
2014-03 92.9
2014-02 92.0
2014-01 92.1
2013-12 90.6
2013-11 92.2
2013-10 91.6
2013-09 92.2
2013-08 88.4
2013-07 86.3
2013-06 85.6
2013-05 84.4
2013-04 82.9
2013-03 83.8
2013-02 86.9
2013-01 88.0
2012-12 86.8
2012-11 85.2
2012-10 85.8
2012-09 87.0
2012-08 87.1
2012-07 89.3
2012-06 89.8
2012-05 91.8
2012-04 95.5
2012-03 93.1
2012-02 91.7
2012-01 92.2
2011-12 94.5
2011-11 94.9
2011-10 97.2
2011-09 98.2
2011-08 100.5
2011-07 105.1
2011-06 107.3
2011-05 107.6
2011-04 109.1
2011-03 110.7
2011-02 109.4
2011-01 107.3
2010-12 107.0
2010-11 104.9
2010-10 102.8
2010-09 101.6
2010-08 100.7
2010-07 99.1
2010-06 98.3
2010-05 99.4
2010-04 97.8
2010-03 94.3
2010-02 94.2
2010-01 93.9
2009-12 92.5
2009-11 92.1
2009-10 90.6
2009-09 87.3
2009-08 83.8
2009-07 81.3
2009-06 77.3
2009-05 72.5
2009-04 68.2
2009-03 67.8
2009-02 73.1
2009-01 74.3
2008-12 77.0
2008-11 80.0
2008-10 84.1
2008-09 93.0
2008-08 94.9
2008-07 96.5
2008-06 101.1
2008-05 104.4
2008-04 106.9
2008-03 108.7
2008-02 108.7
2008-01 110.7
2007-12 109.2
2007-11 110.5
2007-10 110.3
2007-09 111.8
2007-08 112.6
2007-07 113.5
2007-06 112.9
2007-05 113.2
2007-04 113.3
2007-03 113.7
2007-02 112.8
2007-01 111.2
2006-12 111.7
2006-11 113.5
2006-10 111.1
2006-09 111.0
2006-08 110.8
2006-07 110.7
2006-06 109.5
2006-05 110.9
2006-04 108.1
2006-03 107.8
2006-02 106.5
2006-01 109.3
2005-12 107.2
2005-11 106.8
2005-10 108.7
2005-09 107.2
2005-08 107.6
2005-07 107.9
2005-06 108.6
2005-05 106.4
2005-04 108.3
2005-03 108.6
2005-02 106.5
2005-01 106.7

Business climate composite indicator

  • Source: INSEE.

The forward-looking balances of opinion on both activity and demand have sharply fallen back

In October 2025, the business managers in services are more pessimistic than in the previous month about their personal business outlook. The associated balances on the expected demand and on the expected activity have sharply fallen back, below their respective average. The balance on the past activity has retreated too, and has moved away from its average. Conversely, the business managers are more optimistic than in the previous month about the business outlook of their sector: the associated balance of opinion has rebounded and has almost reached its average.

Concerning the workforce size, the associated balances of opinion on their past and expected change have sharply rebounded, but remain below their average.

The balance on the economic uncertainty felt has sharply increased again: he has left its average and has reached its highest level since April 2023.

In October 2025, the share of business managers reporting difficulties in recruitment is virtually stable compared to the previous quarter, at its average.

Business managers are more numerous than in July to report only difficulties of demand or only difficulties of supply as obstacles preventing them from increasing their activity. The share of those reporting difficulties of demand and supply at the same time has decreased, and has moved below its average level.

The quarterly balance of opinion on the expected investment for the next three months has rebounded, but remain below its average for two years.

The quarterly balance on the cash position is stable, at its average level.

Economic outlook in the services sector

Balances of opinion, in %, seasonally adjusted
Economic outlook in the services sector (Balances of opinion, in %, seasonally adjusted)
Average* Jul. 2025 Aug. 2025 Sept. 2025 Oct. 2025
Composite indicator 100 96 96 98 96
General outlook -7 -9 -7 -10 -8
Past activity 2 -4 -11 1 -2
Expected activity 1 -3 -4 1 -5
Expected demand 0 -4 -5 -2 -7
Past selling prices -3 -4 1 2 2
Expected selling prices -2 1 3 0 2
Past employment 2 -7 -11 -12 -7
          Past employment except temporary work agencies 0 -6 -10 -10 -10
Expected employment 2 -7 -2 -8 -5
          Expected employment except temporary work agencies 0 -5 -5 -6 -4
Cash position*** -10 -10 -10
Difficulties
          difficulties of supply and demand (in %)*** 9 11 7
          difficulties of supply only (in %)*** 23 16 19
          difficulties of demand only (in %)*** 27 17 20
Difficulties in recruitment (in %)*** 31 30 31
Expected investments*** 3 -4 -1
Economic uncertainty felt** 12 12 7 12 17
  • * Average since 1989 for the composite indicator and since 1988 for the balances of opinion, except general outlook (June 2000) and uncertainty (April 2021).
  • ** Balance of opinion not seasonally adjusted.
  • *** Balance of opinion from the quarterly section of the survey.

The business climate remains gloomy in corporate services

In information-communication, the business climate has retreated, partially erasing its September rebound, and has moved away from its long-term average. This decrease is mainly due to the sharp downturn in the forward-looking balances on the activity, on the demand and on the workforce size, which have moved away from their average.

In professional, scientific and technical activities, the business climate has darkened again, and remains below its average level for the twenty first month in a row. The balances on the past activity and on the past workforce size have sharply diminished. The latter has reached an unobserved level since 2012 (excluding health crises).

In administrative and support services, the business climate has slightly brightened, but remains below its average. The balances on the workforce size have sharply improved, whereas those on the expected demand and activity have slightly decreased.

The business climate in real estate activities has rebounded after five months of decrease, but remains below its long-term average. In particular, the balances on the past workforce size and on the expected activity have sharply risen.

In accommodation and food services, the business climate indicator has diminished for the third month in a row: it has lost one point and has moved away from its average. On the one hand, the balances of opinion on both expected activity and demand have sharply decreased, on the other hand, those on the workforce size, on the past activity and on the general business outlook have increased.

Finally, in road freight transport, the business climate has rebounded, but remains below its average. The balances on the expected activity, on the workforce size and on the business outlook for the sector have sharply increased.

Business climate composite indicator and balances of opinion by sub-sector in services

Balances of opinion, in %, seasonally adjusted
Business climate composite indicator and balances of opinion by sub-sector in services (Balances of opinion, in %, seasonally adjusted)
Aggregated classification (NA 2008) at level A21 Average* Jul. 2025 Aug. 2025 Sept. 2025 Oct. 2025
Road freight transport (8%)
Composite indicator 100 98 98 95 97
General outlook -19 -20 -20 -23 -18
Past activity -6 -5 5 -1 -1
Expected activity -7 -13 -11 -15 -12
Expected demand -10 -11 -13 -21 -21
Past employment -6 -6 -17 -12 -9
Expected employment -7 -10 -16 -16 -10
Accommodation and food service activities (8%)
Composite indicator 100 103 100 99 98
General outlook -13 -9 -15 -17 -10
Past activity -7 -7 -5 -12 -3
Expected activity -8 1 -4 -11 -17
Expected demand -9 -8 -13 -10 -21
Past employment -5 0 -2 -8 -1
Expected employment -5 -8 9 -2 1
Information and communication (29%)
Composite indicator 100 94 93 99 96
General outlook 0 -6 -1 -3 -2
Past activity 8 -2 -28 9 6
Expected activity 9 -4 -7 18 3
Expected demand 10 4 -1 14 5
Past employment 6 -5 -3 -13 -7
Expected employment 10 2 2 5 -1
Real estate activities (10%)
Composite indicator 100 99 95 94 97
General outlook -4 -2 -3 -3 -3
Past activity 6 5 1 1 0
Expected activity 6 11 3 0 5
Expected demand 1 1 2 -5 -3
Past employment 2 -5 -6 -4 2
Expected employment 2 -3 -5 -3 -6
Professional, scientific and technical activities (25%)
Composite indicator 100 98 96 95 93
General outlook -8 -10 -9 -13 -12
Past activity -1 -5 -6 -1 -12
Expected activity -3 -3 -5 -10 -11
Expected demand -6 -9 -13 -13 -13
Past employment 0 -4 -6 -2 -8
Expected employment 1 -2 -10 -7 -7
Administrative and support service activities (18%)
Composite indicator 100 91 98 94 95
General outlook -3 -7 -5 -8 -4
Past activity 5 -9 -2 -2 -2
Expected activity 4 -7 0 -2 -3
Expected demand 2 -8 5 -3 -4
Past employment 6 -13 -22 -22 -7
Expected employment 6 -14 -1 -17 -4
  • The figures in parentheses indicate the weights used to aggregate the sub-sector balances of opinion. The “other services” sub-sector is not displayed due to its low weight.
  • *Composite indicator: average since 1989 (2006 for road transport); balances of opinion: average since 1988, except general outlook since June 2000 (2006 for road transport).
  • Source: INSEE, monthly business survey in services.

Revision

The business climate indicator in services of September 2025 has not been revised (after rounding).

For further information

The composite indicators of business climate presented here are estimated independently of one another. Thus, that of the whole services cannot be deduced from the others. The same balances of opinion are included into their calculations, but they are not assigned the same weightings. Also, the indicators are scaled to have a long-run average of 100 and a standard deviation of 10. The climate series do not have the same historical beginning, so their standardisation differs slightly. Discrepancies may therefore appear from time to time.

For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the weighted percentage of “increase” responses and the weighted percentage of “decrease” responses.

This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.

The responses to this survey were collected between 26 September and 20 October 2025; most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of the web page of this publication.

Next issue: 21 November 2025 at 8:45 am.

Pour en savoir plus

The composite indicators of business climate presented here are estimated independently of one another. Thus, that of the whole services cannot be deduced from the others. The same balances of opinion are included into their calculations, but they are not assigned the same weightings. Also, the indicators are scaled to have a long-run average of 100 and a standard deviation of 10. The climate series do not have the same historical beginning, so their standardisation differs slightly. Discrepancies may therefore appear from time to time.

For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the weighted percentage of “increase” responses and the weighted percentage of “decrease” responses.

This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.

The responses to this survey were collected between 26 September and 20 October 2025; most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of the web page of this publication.

Next issue: 21 November 2025 at 8:45 am.

: bureau-de-presse@insee.fr