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Informations Rapides · 26 October 2021 · n° 277
Informations rapidesIn October 2021, real estate developers’ opinion on demand for new housing is unchanged Quaterly business survey in the real-estate development - October 2021

In October 2021, as many real estate developers as in the previous quarter consider that demand for new housing addressed to them is strong: the corresponding balance of opinion is stable in comparison to July 2021, above its long-term average.

Informations rapides
No 277
Paru le :Paru le26/10/2021

In October 2021, as many real estate developers as in the previous quarter consider that demand for new housing addressed to them is strong: the corresponding balance of opinion is stable in comparison to July 2021, above its long-term average.

Prospects for housing starts have diminished compared to July 2021

In October 2021, fewer developers than in July have expected a rise in housing starts over the next three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has decreased and has returned to its long-term average. This drop is more marked for housing for sale than for housing for rent.

At the same time, fewer developers than in July have reported an increase in their unsold dwelling stock. The corresponding balance has fallen again, therefore remaining below its long-term average.

New housing average price remains deemed on the rise overall

In October 2021, slightly fewer real estate developers than in July have reported an increase in the average price of new housing for sale. The corresponding balance has fallen back very slightly, but remains far above its long-term average. Regarding financing, fewer developers than in July have deemed that downpayment to purchase new housing has increased over the last three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has fallen back but remains well above its long-term average. Finally, many fewer developers than in the previous quarter have considered that the financing resources devoted to new home purchases will increase over the next three months. The corresponding balance has sharply decreased and returned to its level of last April, which, however, is well above its long-term average.

Real-estate development economic outlook

Balances of opinion, in %, SA
Real-estate development economic outlook (Balances of opinion, in %, SA) - NA : not available
Mean* Jan. 21 Jan. 21 July 21 Oct 21
New dwelling demand -9 -15 2 -1 -1
Expected housing starts -7 -3 -3 -3 -7
- for sale -15 -13 -13 -13 -18
- for rent 1 14 14 15 14
Unsold dwelling stock tendency -26 -26 -24 -29 -31
Housing average price for sale 6 23 25 44 42
Downpayment -19 -11 1 7 0
Financing capacity -20 -11 -4 9 -4
  • * Mean since July 1991.
  • NA : not available
  • Source: French business survey on real-estate development - INSEE

New dwelling demand tendency

New dwelling demand tendency
New dwelling demand tendency
2007-Q1 9.2
2007-Q2 1.4
2007-Q3 3.1
2007-Q4 -1.8
2008-Q1 -7.0
2008-Q2 -13.7
2008-Q3 -13.4
2008-Q4 -33.1
2009-Q1 -26.7
2009-Q2 -13.8
2009-Q3 -10.6
2009-Q4 -8.6
2010-Q1 -3.9
2010-Q2 -8.5
2010-Q3 -6.5
2010-Q4 -0.3
2011-Q1 -10.2
2011-Q2 -15.1
2011-Q3 -20.8
2011-Q4 -22.7
2012-Q1 -24.6
2012-Q2 -33.6
2012-Q3 -42.1
2012-Q4 -47.7
2013-Q1 -47.7
2013-Q2 -47.7
2013-Q3 -42.8
2013-Q4 -42.1
2014-Q1 -44.4
2014-Q2 -45.7
2014-Q3 -53.3
2014-Q4 -51.8
2015-Q1 -46.0
2015-Q2 -36.7
2015-Q3 -28.1
2015-Q4 -26.0
2016-Q1 -26.1
2016-Q2 -11.9
2016-Q3 -9.7
2016-Q4 -5.1
2017-Q1 -1.8
2017-Q2 -3.6
2017-Q3 -2.5
2017-Q4 -4.3
2018-Q1 -7.0
2018-Q2 -11.1
2018-Q3 -15.5
2018-Q4 -20.1
2019-Q1 -25.2
2019-Q2 -19.8
2019-Q3 -12.0
2019-Q4 -8.6
2020-Q1 -4.5
2020-Q2 NaN
2020-Q3 -13.2
2020-Q4 -17.5
2021-Q1 -15.0
2021-Q2 1.7
2021-Q3 -0.9
2021-Q4 -0.5
  • Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available as the survey was canceled in the context of the health crisis.

New dwelling demand tendency

  • Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available as the survey was canceled in the context of the health crisis.
  • Source: INSEE.

For further information

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

The responses to this survey have been collected between 27 September and 21 October 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 25 January 2021 at 12:00 am

Pour en savoir plus

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

The responses to this survey have been collected between 27 September and 21 October 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 25 January 2021 at 12:00 am

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