Insee
Informations Rapides · 31 March 2021 · n° 091
Informations rapidesIn January 2021, sales volume in trade fell back slightly Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - January 2021

In January 2021, the volume of sales in trade decreased slightly (−0.5%), following a sharp rebound in December 2020 (+8.9%).

Informations rapides
No 091
Paru le :Paru le31/03/2021
Prochaine parution le : 30/04/2024 at 08:45 - February 2024
Warning

All data are corrected for seasonal and working day effects (SA-WDA).

In the following paragraphs, percentage changes by subsections are presented in descending order of their contribution to the overall percentage change of the volume of sales in wholesale and retail trade index. The contribution of a subsection takes into account its weight and the magnitude of its evolution.

In January 2021, the volume of sales in trade decreased slightly (−0.5%), following a sharp rebound in December 2020 (+8.9%).

In January 2021, a downturn in the volume of sales concentrated in retail trade

In January 2021, the volume of sales in retail trade dwindled sharply (−4.4% after +20.8%), in the context of a reinforced curfew, and postponed winter sales. The volume of sales thus decreased in all sectors: in specialised stores (−5.4% after +30.3%), in non-specialised stores (−2.3% after +13.4%), and in retail trade not in stores (−6.5% after +5.2%). Among specialised stores, the volume of sales decreased markedly in "other goods" (clothing, footwear, leather goods, etc.: −7.2% after +33.5%), other household equipment (furniture, appliances, hardware, etc.: −6.3% after +28.9%), and cultural and recreation goods (−13.8% after +76.4%). The percentage change of these sub-sectors was all the more significant as it came after a particularly dynamic December, with the reopening of all stores and the delay of "Black Friday" discounts from November to December. The volume of sales in automotive fuel kept recovering in January (+6.6% after +20.3%) while remaining at a lower level than that of February 2020, before the pandemic (−11.4%).

The volume of sales in wholesale trade kept increasing in January (+1.0% after +2.2% in December 2020). It ramped up strongly in the wholesale on a fee or contract basis (+6.3% after +0.5%), and dwindled in household goods (−2.7% after +6.6%).

In January, the volume of sales in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles carried on rising (+2.5%), after a sharp rebound in December (+13.0%).

Forecast

According to early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except that of motor vehicles and motorcycles is expected to have decreased in February 2021 (−1.2%), especially due to the continuation of the curfew measures, and the closure of some non-food shopping centres. From December 2020 to February 2021, it should have increased by 3.8% when compared with the same period one year earlier.

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 Wholesale - 46 Retail trade - 47 Wholesale and retail trade - G
2016-01 105.32 101.76 102.44 102.42
2016-02 104.4 101.98 103.07 102.61
2016-03 104.83 102.36 102.26 102.64
2016-04 105.96 101.6 101.76 102.2
2016-05 105.96 101.77 102.78 102.6
2016-06 105.83 100.26 102.52 101.63
2016-07 103.3 100.38 102.77 101.46
2016-08 107.73 100.76 102.56 102.18
2016-09 108.17 100.82 102.82 102.34
2016-10 107.0 100.91 104.77 102.82
2016-11 110.63 103.69 103.87 104.62
2016-12 109.78 102.16 104.15 103.72
2017-01 110.67 102.31 105.05 104.18
2017-02 111.64 103.1 105.6 104.93
2017-03 113.61 104.82 105.86 106.24
2017-04 109.17 102.53 105.34 104.2
2017-05 114.29 103.92 106.27 105.93
2017-06 114.02 104.75 105.74 106.22
2017-07 114.83 106.12 107.35 107.59
2017-08 114.3 105.43 105.96 106.72
2017-09 116.23 106.07 109.19 108.29
2017-10 117.52 104.27 106.22 106.53
2017-11 117.77 106.4 109.68 108.81
2017-12 121.87 106.85 108.44 109.23
2018-01 117.22 105.19 107.8 107.49
2018-02 117.18 105.68 108.62 108.01
2018-03 118.94 105.53 110.34 108.65
2018-04 118.83 105.83 108.15 108.17
2018-05 119.04 107.27 109.81 109.52
2018-06 120.21 107.47 110.07 109.86
2018-07 118.24 105.53 110.02 108.47
2018-08 118.53 107.15 110.18 109.5
2018-09 118.13 105.25 110.04 108.3
2018-10 119.93 108.63 111.56 110.93
2018-11 118.08 107.44 110.86 109.8
2018-12 112.53 107.57 110.11 108.95
2019-01 121.76 107.61 110.91 110.39
2019-02 122.51 109.07 112.27 111.72
2019-03 121.27 108.67 111.86 111.22
2019-04 121.39 109.69 112.76 112.08
2019-05 121.87 109.76 112.47 112.1
2019-06 122.3 109.35 113.0 112.08
2019-07 123.22 109.35 112.16 111.94
2019-08 124.1 110.38 114.37 113.3
2019-09 124.1 110.46 113.5 113.09
2019-10 122.97 110.54 113.5 113.0
2019-11 124.65 110.27 114.51 113.35
2019-12 125.23 109.71 113.09 112.68
2020-01 123.3 110.2 114.05 113.0
2020-02 120.22 109.92 113.72 112.35
2020-03 64.21 95.7 95.96 91.77
2020-04 30.18 80.86 78.31 73.66
2020-05 88.14 97.13 107.79 99.14
2020-06 128.72 110.68 117.13 114.88
2020-07 133.74 111.05 113.36 114.62
2020-08 133.55 110.1 121.2 116.36
2020-09 129.83 109.72 116.82 114.37
2020-10 126.99 109.97 119.68 115.0
2020-11 107.48 107.4 100.94 105.5
2020-12 121.5 109.77 121.94 114.85
2021-01 124.52 110.83 116.58 114.27

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015
Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015)
Nace Classification Weight Jan. 2021 Change in %
Jan. 2021/Dec. 2020 Dec. 2020/Nov. 2020 Jan. 2021/Feb. 2020 q-o-q(1) y-o-y(2)
G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 10000 114.3 -0.5 8.9 1.7 -3.2 -1.3
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 1272 124.5 2.5 13.0 3.6 -9.4 -5.3
451 Sale of motor vehicles 850 130.5 3.5 12.8 4.5 -10.1 -5.6
452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles 89 112.4 -0.7 7.9 -0.9 -6.1 -6.3
453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories 306 112.1 1.0 14.4 2.1 -8.0 -4.0
454 Sale, maintenance and repair of motorcycles and related parts and accessories 27 117.5 -4.7 25.3 2.2 -11.5 -3.2
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 5777 110.8 1.0 2.2 0.8 -0.5 -0.7
461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis 813 120.6 6.3 0.5 5.5 0.9 0.7
462 Agricultural raw materials and live animals 390 85.6 -3.8 -1.6 -15.5 -2.7 -6.1
463 Food, beverages and tobacco 1029 99.2 -0.8 2.8 -5.3 -4.3 -5.4
464 Household goods 1130 117.6 -2.7 6.6 5.8 -0.7 3.0
465 Information and communication equipment 331 132.7 8.1 5.4 5.7 -1.4 -1.8
466 Other machinery, equipment and supplies 716 115.8 4.1 -6.6 1.2 2.4 0.2
467 Other specialised wholesale 1132 106.0 0.9 3.9 0.6 2.4 -0.1
469 Non specialised wholesale trade 236 114.5 -5.2 6.4 2.4 -6.6 0.0
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles 2952 116.6 -4.4 20.8 2.5 -5.1 -0.6
471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores 1109 113.2 -2.3 13.4 0.3 -3.0 0.5
472 to 477 Retail sale in specialised stores 1622 112.9 -5.4 30.3 1.4 -8.6 -5.0
472 Food, beverages and tobacco in specialised stores 155 133.8 -1.9 8.8 8.4 -0.3 6.9
473 Automotive fuel in specialised stores 224 82.7 6.6 20.3 -11.4 -17.1 -20.6
474 Information and communication equipment in specialised stores 65 138.5 0.2 30.4 2.3 -5.3 -7.4
475 Other household equipment in specialised stores 310 123.9 -6.3 28.9 13.5 -4.8 8.5
476 Cultural and recreation goods in specialised stores 118 107.4 -13.8 76.4 -2.7 -14.9 -10.4
477 Other goods in specialised stores 750 111.6 -7.2 33.5 -1.3 -9.5 -8.1
478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores 221 160.7 -6.5 5.2 18.5 6.4 21.7
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
  • (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

The sales volume of the past three months decreased by 1.3% over a year

The volume of sales of the past three months (November 2020 to January 2021) in overall trade decreased by 1.3% when compared with that of the same period one year earlier. It decreased in all the main sectors: in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−5.3%), in wholesale trade (−0.7%), and in retail trade (−0.6%). Within retail trade, the volume of sales fell in specialised stores (−5.0%), while it increased sharply in retail trade not in stores (+21.7%), and slightly in non-specialised stores (+0.5%).

Revisions

The percentage change in the sales volume of overall trade in December 2020 has been slightly revised upwards, at +8.9% instead of +8.6% initially published.

Revision of variationsin percentage points

Revision of variations
Dec./Nov. Nov./Oct. Oct./Sept. Q4 2020/Q3 2020 2020/2019
G Overall trade 0.25 -0.09 0.00 0.06 0.03
Raw series 0.18 -0.01 -0.03 0.05 0.03
SA-WDA parameters 0.07 -0.08 0.03 0.01 0.00
  • How to read : in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between November and December 2020 is revised by +0.25 points. +0.18 points are due to the raw series’ revision and +0.07 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

For further information

Next issue: 30 April 2021 at 12h00

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Next issue: 30 April 2021 at 12h00

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