Informations Rapides ·
31 March 2021 · n° 091In January 2021, sales volume in trade fell back slightly Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - January 2021
In January 2021, the volume of sales in trade decreased slightly (−0.5%), following a sharp rebound in December 2020 (+8.9%).
All data are corrected for seasonal and working day effects (SA-WDA).
In the following paragraphs, percentage changes by subsections are presented in descending order of their contribution to the overall percentage change of the volume of sales in wholesale and retail trade index. The contribution of a subsection takes into account its weight and the magnitude of its evolution.
In January 2021, the volume of sales in trade decreased slightly (−0.5%), following a sharp rebound in December 2020 (+8.9%).
In January 2021, a downturn in the volume of sales concentrated in retail trade
In January 2021, the volume of sales in retail trade dwindled sharply (−4.4% after +20.8%), in the context of a reinforced curfew, and postponed winter sales. The volume of sales thus decreased in all sectors: in specialised stores (−5.4% after +30.3%), in non-specialised stores (−2.3% after +13.4%), and in retail trade not in stores (−6.5% after +5.2%). Among specialised stores, the volume of sales decreased markedly in "other goods" (clothing, footwear, leather goods, etc.: −7.2% after +33.5%), other household equipment (furniture, appliances, hardware, etc.: −6.3% after +28.9%), and cultural and recreation goods (−13.8% after +76.4%). The percentage change of these sub-sectors was all the more significant as it came after a particularly dynamic December, with the reopening of all stores and the delay of "Black Friday" discounts from November to December. The volume of sales in automotive fuel kept recovering in January (+6.6% after +20.3%) while remaining at a lower level than that of February 2020, before the pandemic (−11.4%).
The volume of sales in wholesale trade kept increasing in January (+1.0% after +2.2% in December 2020). It ramped up strongly in the wholesale on a fee or contract basis (+6.3% after +0.5%), and dwindled in household goods (−2.7% after +6.6%).
In January, the volume of sales in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles carried on rising (+2.5%), after a sharp rebound in December (+13.0%).
Forecast
According to early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except that of motor vehicles and motorcycles is expected to have decreased in February 2021 (−1.2%), especially due to the continuation of the curfew measures, and the closure of some non-food shopping centres. From December 2020 to February 2021, it should have increased by 3.8% when compared with the same period one year earlier.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016-01 | 105.32 | 101.76 | 102.44 | 102.42 |
2016-02 | 104.4 | 101.98 | 103.07 | 102.61 |
2016-03 | 104.83 | 102.36 | 102.26 | 102.64 |
2016-04 | 105.96 | 101.6 | 101.76 | 102.2 |
2016-05 | 105.96 | 101.77 | 102.78 | 102.6 |
2016-06 | 105.83 | 100.26 | 102.52 | 101.63 |
2016-07 | 103.3 | 100.38 | 102.77 | 101.46 |
2016-08 | 107.73 | 100.76 | 102.56 | 102.18 |
2016-09 | 108.17 | 100.82 | 102.82 | 102.34 |
2016-10 | 107.0 | 100.91 | 104.77 | 102.82 |
2016-11 | 110.63 | 103.69 | 103.87 | 104.62 |
2016-12 | 109.78 | 102.16 | 104.15 | 103.72 |
2017-01 | 110.67 | 102.31 | 105.05 | 104.18 |
2017-02 | 111.64 | 103.1 | 105.6 | 104.93 |
2017-03 | 113.61 | 104.82 | 105.86 | 106.24 |
2017-04 | 109.17 | 102.53 | 105.34 | 104.2 |
2017-05 | 114.29 | 103.92 | 106.27 | 105.93 |
2017-06 | 114.02 | 104.75 | 105.74 | 106.22 |
2017-07 | 114.83 | 106.12 | 107.35 | 107.59 |
2017-08 | 114.3 | 105.43 | 105.96 | 106.72 |
2017-09 | 116.23 | 106.07 | 109.19 | 108.29 |
2017-10 | 117.52 | 104.27 | 106.22 | 106.53 |
2017-11 | 117.77 | 106.4 | 109.68 | 108.81 |
2017-12 | 121.87 | 106.85 | 108.44 | 109.23 |
2018-01 | 117.22 | 105.19 | 107.8 | 107.49 |
2018-02 | 117.18 | 105.68 | 108.62 | 108.01 |
2018-03 | 118.94 | 105.53 | 110.34 | 108.65 |
2018-04 | 118.83 | 105.83 | 108.15 | 108.17 |
2018-05 | 119.04 | 107.27 | 109.81 | 109.52 |
2018-06 | 120.21 | 107.47 | 110.07 | 109.86 |
2018-07 | 118.24 | 105.53 | 110.02 | 108.47 |
2018-08 | 118.53 | 107.15 | 110.18 | 109.5 |
2018-09 | 118.13 | 105.25 | 110.04 | 108.3 |
2018-10 | 119.93 | 108.63 | 111.56 | 110.93 |
2018-11 | 118.08 | 107.44 | 110.86 | 109.8 |
2018-12 | 112.53 | 107.57 | 110.11 | 108.95 |
2019-01 | 121.76 | 107.61 | 110.91 | 110.39 |
2019-02 | 122.51 | 109.07 | 112.27 | 111.72 |
2019-03 | 121.27 | 108.67 | 111.86 | 111.22 |
2019-04 | 121.39 | 109.69 | 112.76 | 112.08 |
2019-05 | 121.87 | 109.76 | 112.47 | 112.1 |
2019-06 | 122.3 | 109.35 | 113.0 | 112.08 |
2019-07 | 123.22 | 109.35 | 112.16 | 111.94 |
2019-08 | 124.1 | 110.38 | 114.37 | 113.3 |
2019-09 | 124.1 | 110.46 | 113.5 | 113.09 |
2019-10 | 122.97 | 110.54 | 113.5 | 113.0 |
2019-11 | 124.65 | 110.27 | 114.51 | 113.35 |
2019-12 | 125.23 | 109.71 | 113.09 | 112.68 |
2020-01 | 123.3 | 110.2 | 114.05 | 113.0 |
2020-02 | 120.22 | 109.92 | 113.72 | 112.35 |
2020-03 | 64.21 | 95.7 | 95.96 | 91.77 |
2020-04 | 30.18 | 80.86 | 78.31 | 73.66 |
2020-05 | 88.14 | 97.13 | 107.79 | 99.14 |
2020-06 | 128.72 | 110.68 | 117.13 | 114.88 |
2020-07 | 133.74 | 111.05 | 113.36 | 114.62 |
2020-08 | 133.55 | 110.1 | 121.2 | 116.36 |
2020-09 | 129.83 | 109.72 | 116.82 | 114.37 |
2020-10 | 126.99 | 109.97 | 119.68 | 115.0 |
2020-11 | 107.48 | 107.4 | 100.94 | 105.5 |
2020-12 | 121.5 | 109.77 | 121.94 | 114.85 |
2021-01 | 124.52 | 110.83 | 116.58 | 114.27 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Nace Classification | Weight | Jan. 2021 | Change in % | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan. 2021/Dec. 2020 | Dec. 2020/Nov. 2020 | Jan. 2021/Feb. 2020 | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | |||
G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 114.3 | -0.5 | 8.9 | 1.7 | -3.2 | -1.3 |
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 1272 | 124.5 | 2.5 | 13.0 | 3.6 | -9.4 | -5.3 |
451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 130.5 | 3.5 | 12.8 | 4.5 | -10.1 | -5.6 |
452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 112.4 | -0.7 | 7.9 | -0.9 | -6.1 | -6.3 |
453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 112.1 | 1.0 | 14.4 | 2.1 | -8.0 | -4.0 |
454 Sale, maintenance and repair of motorcycles and related parts and accessories | 27 | 117.5 | -4.7 | 25.3 | 2.2 | -11.5 | -3.2 |
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 5777 | 110.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | -0.5 | -0.7 |
461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 120.6 | 6.3 | 0.5 | 5.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
462 Agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 85.6 | -3.8 | -1.6 | -15.5 | -2.7 | -6.1 |
463 Food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 99.2 | -0.8 | 2.8 | -5.3 | -4.3 | -5.4 |
464 Household goods | 1130 | 117.6 | -2.7 | 6.6 | 5.8 | -0.7 | 3.0 |
465 Information and communication equipment | 331 | 132.7 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 5.7 | -1.4 | -1.8 |
466 Other machinery, equipment and supplies | 716 | 115.8 | 4.1 | -6.6 | 1.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 |
467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 106.0 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.6 | 2.4 | -0.1 |
469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 114.5 | -5.2 | 6.4 | 2.4 | -6.6 | 0.0 |
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 2952 | 116.6 | -4.4 | 20.8 | 2.5 | -5.1 | -0.6 |
471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores | 1109 | 113.2 | -2.3 | 13.4 | 0.3 | -3.0 | 0.5 |
472 to 477 Retail sale in specialised stores | 1622 | 112.9 | -5.4 | 30.3 | 1.4 | -8.6 | -5.0 |
472 Food, beverages and tobacco in specialised stores | 155 | 133.8 | -1.9 | 8.8 | 8.4 | -0.3 | 6.9 |
473 Automotive fuel in specialised stores | 224 | 82.7 | 6.6 | 20.3 | -11.4 | -17.1 | -20.6 |
474 Information and communication equipment in specialised stores | 65 | 138.5 | 0.2 | 30.4 | 2.3 | -5.3 | -7.4 |
475 Other household equipment in specialised stores | 310 | 123.9 | -6.3 | 28.9 | 13.5 | -4.8 | 8.5 |
476 Cultural and recreation goods in specialised stores | 118 | 107.4 | -13.8 | 76.4 | -2.7 | -14.9 | -10.4 |
477 Other goods in specialised stores | 750 | 111.6 | -7.2 | 33.5 | -1.3 | -9.5 | -8.1 |
478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 160.7 | -6.5 | 5.2 | 18.5 | 6.4 | 21.7 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
The sales volume of the past three months decreased by 1.3% over a year
The volume of sales of the past three months (November 2020 to January 2021) in overall trade decreased by 1.3% when compared with that of the same period one year earlier. It decreased in all the main sectors: in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−5.3%), in wholesale trade (−0.7%), and in retail trade (−0.6%). Within retail trade, the volume of sales fell in specialised stores (−5.0%), while it increased sharply in retail trade not in stores (+21.7%), and slightly in non-specialised stores (+0.5%).
Revisions
The percentage change in the sales volume of overall trade in December 2020 has been slightly revised upwards, at +8.9% instead of +8.6% initially published.
tableauRevision of variationsin percentage points
Dec./Nov. | Nov./Oct. | Oct./Sept. | Q4 2020/Q3 2020 | 2020/2019 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
G Overall trade | 0.25 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
Raw series | 0.18 | -0.01 | -0.03 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
SA-WDA parameters | 0.07 | -0.08 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
- How to read : in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between November and December 2020 is revised by +0.25 points. +0.18 points are due to the raw series’ revision and +0.07 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For further information
Next issue: 30 April 2021 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Next issue: 30 April 2021 at 12h00
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade