27 November 2020
2020- n° 306In September 2020, sales volume in trade fell back Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - September 2020
In September 2020, the sales volume in trade declined (−2.1%) after a rise in August (+1.9%). Its level was higher than before the first lockdown, for the fourth consecutive month (+1.5% in September compared to February).
All data are corrected for seasonal and working day effects (SA-WDA).
In the following paragraphs, percentage changes by subsections are presented in descending order of their contribution to the overall percentage change of the volume of sales in wholesale and retail trade index. The contribution of a subsection takes into account its weight and the magnitude of its evolution.
In September 2020, the sales volume in trade declined (−2.1%) after a rise in August (+1.9%). Its level was higher than before the first lockdown, for the fourth consecutive month (+1.5% in September compared to February).
In September 2020, the sales volume in trade fell back
In September, the sales volume in retail trade decreased (−3.6% after +7.0% in August). It decreased in all sectors: specialised stores (−4.4% after +6.7% in August), non-specialised stores (−2.7% after +4.7%), and retail trade not in stores (−2.4% after +18.6%) - where the sales volume remained at a sharply higher level than before the first lockdown (+11.7% compared to February). Among specialised stores, it decreased in all subsections, especially in those which seem to have benefited in August from the shift in the dates of the summer sales: retail sale of other goods (clothing, shoes etc.: −4.0% after +9.3%) and retail sale of other household equipment (excluding information and communication equipment: −3.5% after +5.6%). The sales volume dwindled in the subsection of automotive fuel (−4.0% after +2.1% in August).
The sales volume in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles fell in September (−4.0% after +0.4% in August). It decreased in all sectors, particularly in the sale of motor vehicles (−4.2% in September after −1.6% in August). In this sector, the sales volume remained significantly higher than before the first lockdown (+8.5% compared to February).
In September, the sales volume in wholesale trade kept falling (−0.8% after −0.3% in August). The sales volume decreased in other specialised wholesale (fuels, wood, chemical products etc.: −3.4% after +3.0%) and fell again sharply in information and communication equipment (−7.1% after −9.8%).
Forecast
According to the early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except of motor vehicles and motorcycles should increase in October 2020 (+2.9%). For the period running from August to October, it should rise by 4.9% compared to the same period one year earlier.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01 | 105.41 | 101.79 | 102.4 | 102.43 |
| 2016-02 | 104.29 | 102.02 | 103.09 | 102.62 |
| 2016-03 | 104.76 | 102.39 | 102.25 | 102.65 |
| 2016-04 | 105.97 | 101.63 | 101.75 | 102.22 |
| 2016-05 | 105.89 | 101.78 | 102.79 | 102.6 |
| 2016-06 | 105.82 | 100.26 | 102.53 | 101.64 |
| 2016-07 | 103.41 | 100.41 | 102.73 | 101.48 |
| 2016-08 | 107.77 | 100.77 | 102.54 | 102.18 |
| 2016-09 | 108.17 | 100.8 | 102.96 | 102.37 |
| 2016-10 | 107.18 | 100.92 | 104.68 | 102.83 |
| 2016-11 | 110.67 | 103.64 | 103.91 | 104.62 |
| 2016-12 | 109.62 | 102.11 | 104.17 | 103.67 |
| 2017-01 | 110.64 | 102.32 | 105.02 | 104.18 |
| 2017-02 | 111.49 | 103.11 | 105.6 | 104.91 |
| 2017-03 | 113.53 | 104.82 | 105.84 | 106.23 |
| 2017-04 | 109.28 | 102.6 | 105.33 | 104.25 |
| 2017-05 | 114.27 | 103.96 | 106.29 | 105.96 |
| 2017-06 | 114.1 | 104.78 | 105.73 | 106.25 |
| 2017-07 | 114.98 | 106.17 | 107.33 | 107.63 |
| 2017-08 | 114.37 | 105.44 | 105.92 | 106.72 |
| 2017-09 | 116.33 | 106.02 | 109.37 | 108.32 |
| 2017-10 | 117.69 | 104.24 | 106.11 | 106.51 |
| 2017-11 | 117.79 | 106.28 | 109.74 | 108.77 |
| 2017-12 | 121.49 | 106.79 | 108.48 | 109.16 |
| 2018-01 | 117.2 | 105.27 | 107.77 | 107.52 |
| 2018-02 | 116.94 | 105.72 | 108.64 | 108.01 |
| 2018-03 | 118.97 | 105.57 | 110.28 | 108.67 |
| 2018-04 | 118.92 | 105.89 | 108.14 | 108.21 |
| 2018-05 | 119.1 | 107.31 | 109.81 | 109.55 |
| 2018-06 | 120.34 | 107.49 | 110.03 | 109.87 |
| 2018-07 | 118.37 | 105.53 | 110.04 | 108.49 |
| 2018-08 | 118.7 | 107.16 | 110.12 | 109.5 |
| 2018-09 | 118.23 | 105.19 | 110.2 | 108.33 |
| 2018-10 | 120.2 | 108.55 | 111.41 | 110.88 |
| 2018-11 | 118.14 | 107.32 | 110.91 | 109.75 |
| 2018-12 | 111.81 | 107.42 | 110.21 | 108.8 |
| 2019-01 | 121.87 | 107.78 | 110.83 | 110.47 |
| 2019-02 | 122.25 | 109.13 | 112.22 | 111.71 |
| 2019-03 | 121.33 | 108.74 | 111.62 | 111.19 |
| 2019-04 | 121.47 | 109.74 | 112.61 | 112.08 |
| 2019-05 | 121.95 | 109.77 | 112.23 | 112.04 |
| 2019-06 | 122.49 | 109.35 | 112.75 | 112.03 |
| 2019-07 | 123.45 | 109.36 | 111.93 | 111.91 |
| 2019-08 | 124.43 | 110.39 | 114.15 | 113.28 |
| 2019-09 | 124.06 | 110.33 | 113.22 | 112.93 |
| 2019-10 | 123.49 | 110.44 | 113.23 | 112.92 |
| 2019-11 | 124.79 | 110.11 | 114.57 | 113.29 |
| 2019-12 | 123.85 | 109.52 | 113.14 | 112.41 |
| 2020-01 | 123.6 | 110.55 | 113.92 | 113.2 |
| 2020-02 | 119.62 | 109.79 | 113.57 | 112.16 |
| 2020-03 | 64.13 | 95.6 | 95.71 | 91.63 |
| 2020-04 | 29.48 | 80.68 | 78.37 | 73.49 |
| 2020-05 | 88.18 | 97.15 | 107.6 | 99.09 |
| 2020-06 | 128.81 | 110.12 | 116.7 | 114.44 |
| 2020-07 | 133.71 | 110.26 | 113.01 | 114.06 |
| 2020-08 | 134.24 | 109.91 | 120.9 | 116.24 |
| 2020-09 | 128.86 | 109.08 | 116.55 | 113.8 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Nace Classification | Weight | Sept. 2020 | Change in % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept./Aug. | Aug./July | Sept./Feb. | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | |||
| G Wolesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 113.8 | -2.1 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 19.9 | 1.8 |
| 45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and moto. | 1272 | 128.9 | -4.0 | 0.4 | 7.7 | 61.0 | 6.7 |
| 451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 135.3 | -4.2 | -1.6 | 8.5 | 73.6 | 8.5 |
| 452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 117.3 | -2.1 | 0.5 | 7.6 | 34.6 | 2.4 |
| 453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 114.7 | -3.4 | 8.3 | 5.2 | 36.6 | 1.0 |
| 454 Sale, maintenance and repair of moto. and related parts and accessories | 27 | 125.4 | -8.9 | -6.3 | 9.5 | 47.9 | 21.0 |
| 46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 5777 | 109.1 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -0.6 | 14.3 | -0.2 |
| 461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 116.9 | 4.3 | -4.1 | 2.1 | 11.5 | 2.1 |
| 462 Wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 85.8 | -3.5 | -4.0 | -11.9 | -5.3 | -6.2 |
| 463 Wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 104.2 | 1.2 | -1.3 | -0.6 | 13.8 | -1.0 |
| 464 Wholesale of household goods | 1130 | 117.8 | -1.1 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 21.9 | 3.9 |
| 465 Wholesale of information and communication equipment | 331 | 120.0 | -7.1 | -9.8 | -4.7 | 8.2 | 2.1 |
| 466 Wholesale of other machinery, equipmt and supplies | 716 | 109.7 | -0.6 | 0.3 | -4.2 | 18.8 | -5.7 |
| 467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 99.9 | -3.4 | 3.0 | -5.6 | 15.5 | -3.2 |
| 469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 127.3 | 0.8 | -3.1 | 12.7 | 16.2 | 9.5 |
| 47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 2952 | 116.5 | -3.6 | 7.0 | 2.6 | 15.8 | 3.3 |
| 471 Non-specialised stores | 1109 | 111.3 | -2.7 | 4.7 | -1.3 | 4.1 | 1.8 |
| 472 to 477 Specialised stores | 1622 | 115.3 | -4.4 | 6.7 | 3.8 | 28.4 | 3.8 |
| 472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco | 155 | 129.7 | -2.0 | 1.2 | 5.2 | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| 473 Retail sale of automotive fuel | 224 | 89.1 | -4.0 | 2.1 | -4.6 | 55.1 | -3.0 |
| 474 Retail sale of information and communication equipmt | 65 | 130.0 | -11.0 | 6.9 | -4.5 | 42.1 | 2.2 |
| 475 Retail sale of other household equipment | 310 | 122.6 | -3.5 | 5.6 | 12.4 | 28.9 | 13.3 |
| 476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods | 118 | 114.6 | -8.3 | 8.3 | 4.1 | 41.2 | 5.9 |
| 477 Retail sale of other goods | 750 | 116.0 | -4.0 | 9.3 | 3.0 | 25.7 | 0.6 |
| 478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 151.7 | -2.4 | 18.6 | 11.7 | 1.2 | 6.0 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
The sales volume of the past three months increased by 1.8% over a year
The turnover of the third quarter in overall trade increased by 1.8% compared to the same quarter one year earlier. It rose in retail trade (+3.3%), in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+6.7%), while it fell slightly in wholesale trade (−0.2%). Within retail trade, it grew in specialised stores (+3.8%), in non-specialised stores (+1.8%) and in retail trade not in stores (+6.0%).
Revisions
The percentage change in the sales volume of overall trade in August 2020 has been slightly revised downwards, at +1.9% instead of +2.0% initially published.
tableauRevision of variationsin percentage points
| Aug./July | July/June | June/May | Q2 2020/Q1 2020 | 2019/2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Overall trade | -0.13 | -0.02 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Raw series | 0.02 | -0.04 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.00 |
| SA-WDA parameters | -0.15 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
- How to read : in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between July 2020 and August 2020 is revised by -0.13 points. +0.02 points are due to the raw series’ revision and -0.15 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For further information
Next issue: 22 December 2020 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Next issue: 22 December 2020 at 12h00
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade
