30 October 2020
2020- n° 284In August 2020, sales volume in trade bounced back Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - August 2020
In August 2020, the sales volume in trade bounced back (+2.0%) after a slight fall in July (−0.3%). Since June, its level is higher than before the general lockdown (+3.7% in August compared to February).
All data are corrected for seasonal and working day effects (SA-WDA).
In the following paragraphs, percentage changes by subsections are presented in descending order of their contribution to the overall percentage change of the volume of sales in wholesale and retail trade index. The contribution of a subsection takes into account its weight and the magnitude of its evolution.
In August 2020, the sales volume in trade bounced back (+2.0%) after a slight fall in July (−0.3%). Since June, its level is higher than before the general lockdown (+3.7% in August compared to February).
In August 2020, the sales volume in trade bounced back
In August, the sales volume in retail trade recovered strongly (+7.1% after −3.3% in July). This rebound concerned all sectors: specialised stores (+6.9% after −2.3% in July), non-specialised stores (+4.7% after −1.2%) and retail trade not in stores (+18.6% after −16.4%). Among specialised stores, the rise came mainly from retail sale of other goods (clothing, shoes etc.: +9.9% after −2.5%) and retail sale of other household equipment (excluding information and communication equipment: +5.4% after −9.4%). Part of this increase (in particular for clothing-shoes) could be explained by the date shift of the summer sales. The subsection of automotive fuel slowed down (+2.2%) after the strong rise observed in June and July (respectively +28.2% and +15.5%). It almost reached its pre-lockdown level (−0.3% compared to February).
In August, the sales volume in wholesale trade was virtually stable (−0.1%), following a slight increase in July (+0.3%). The sales volume bounced back in wholesale of household goods (+5.2% after −1.7%) and fell back in information and communication equipment (−10.0% after +11.3%).
In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the sales volume slowed down in August (+0.2% after +3.8% in July). Its level remained significantly higher than before the general lockdown (+12.0% compared to February). However, sale of motor vehicles dwindled (−1.6%) after the strong progress observed in June and July (respectively +55% and +7.2%).
Forecast
According to the early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except of motor vehicles and motorcycles should decrease in September 2020 (−4.6%). From July to September, it should increase by 3.1% compared to the same period one year earlier.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01 | 105.43 | 101.8 | 102.41 | 102.44 |
| 2016-02 | 104.29 | 102.05 | 103.15 | 102.66 |
| 2016-03 | 104.75 | 102.38 | 102.2 | 102.63 |
| 2016-04 | 105.97 | 101.61 | 101.92 | 102.25 |
| 2016-05 | 105.9 | 101.78 | 102.79 | 102.6 |
| 2016-06 | 105.82 | 100.24 | 102.52 | 101.62 |
| 2016-07 | 103.42 | 100.38 | 102.75 | 101.47 |
| 2016-08 | 107.75 | 100.78 | 102.52 | 102.18 |
| 2016-09 | 108.17 | 100.81 | 102.85 | 102.34 |
| 2016-10 | 107.17 | 100.93 | 104.67 | 102.83 |
| 2016-11 | 110.66 | 103.62 | 103.94 | 104.61 |
| 2016-12 | 109.61 | 102.15 | 104.16 | 103.69 |
| 2017-01 | 110.68 | 102.33 | 105.0 | 104.18 |
| 2017-02 | 111.49 | 103.13 | 105.59 | 104.92 |
| 2017-03 | 113.51 | 104.79 | 105.79 | 106.19 |
| 2017-04 | 109.29 | 102.59 | 105.53 | 104.31 |
| 2017-05 | 114.28 | 103.95 | 106.28 | 105.95 |
| 2017-06 | 114.11 | 104.73 | 105.73 | 106.22 |
| 2017-07 | 114.99 | 106.13 | 107.36 | 107.62 |
| 2017-08 | 114.35 | 105.48 | 105.9 | 106.73 |
| 2017-09 | 116.32 | 106.05 | 109.22 | 108.29 |
| 2017-10 | 117.67 | 104.26 | 106.08 | 106.5 |
| 2017-11 | 117.78 | 106.26 | 109.77 | 108.76 |
| 2017-12 | 121.5 | 106.84 | 108.47 | 109.19 |
| 2018-01 | 117.24 | 105.27 | 107.75 | 107.53 |
| 2018-02 | 116.95 | 105.74 | 108.64 | 108.02 |
| 2018-03 | 118.96 | 105.55 | 110.24 | 108.64 |
| 2018-04 | 118.92 | 105.88 | 108.35 | 108.27 |
| 2018-05 | 119.11 | 107.29 | 109.83 | 109.54 |
| 2018-06 | 120.36 | 107.4 | 110.08 | 109.84 |
| 2018-07 | 118.41 | 105.48 | 110.01 | 108.46 |
| 2018-08 | 118.68 | 107.24 | 110.11 | 109.54 |
| 2018-09 | 118.19 | 105.19 | 109.94 | 108.25 |
| 2018-10 | 120.16 | 108.56 | 111.39 | 110.87 |
| 2018-11 | 118.11 | 107.3 | 110.91 | 109.74 |
| 2018-12 | 111.81 | 107.48 | 110.2 | 108.83 |
| 2019-01 | 121.91 | 107.79 | 110.84 | 110.48 |
| 2019-02 | 122.28 | 109.16 | 112.24 | 111.74 |
| 2019-03 | 121.31 | 108.7 | 111.57 | 111.15 |
| 2019-04 | 121.46 | 109.73 | 112.82 | 112.13 |
| 2019-05 | 121.95 | 109.75 | 112.26 | 112.04 |
| 2019-06 | 122.54 | 109.25 | 112.86 | 112.01 |
| 2019-07 | 123.52 | 109.29 | 111.87 | 111.86 |
| 2019-08 | 124.4 | 110.55 | 114.12 | 113.36 |
| 2019-09 | 123.99 | 110.28 | 112.84 | 112.78 |
| 2019-10 | 123.45 | 110.44 | 113.22 | 112.92 |
| 2019-11 | 124.77 | 110.12 | 114.56 | 113.3 |
| 2019-12 | 123.85 | 109.56 | 113.15 | 112.44 |
| 2020-01 | 123.65 | 110.55 | 113.99 | 113.23 |
| 2020-02 | 119.68 | 109.81 | 113.71 | 112.22 |
| 2020-03 | 64.12 | 95.61 | 95.63 | 91.61 |
| 2020-04 | 29.96 | 80.64 | 78.55 | 73.58 |
| 2020-05 | 88.21 | 97.12 | 107.64 | 99.09 |
| 2020-06 | 128.9 | 109.91 | 116.86 | 114.38 |
| 2020-07 | 133.78 | 110.2 | 112.98 | 114.02 |
| 2020-08 | 134.0 | 110.08 | 121.03 | 116.35 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Nace Classification | Weight | Aug. 2020 | Change in % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug./July | July/June | Aug./Feb. | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | |||
| G Wolesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 116.4 | 2.0 | -0.3 | 3.7 | 30.4 | 2.2 |
| 45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and moto. | 1272 | 134.0 | 0.2 | 3.8 | 12.0 | 117.6 | 7.1 |
| 451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 141.1 | -1.6 | 7.2 | 13.1 | 148.0 | 8.4 |
| 452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 120.5 | 0.7 | -1.7 | 10.8 | 65.7 | 5.1 |
| 453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 117.8 | 7.2 | -5.8 | 7.9 | 65.8 | 1.8 |
| 454 Sale, maintenance and repair of moto. and related parts and accessories | 27 | 139.0 | -5.7 | 6.9 | 21.2 | 108.6 | 26.3 |
| 46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 5777 | 110.1 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 20.8 | 0.3 |
| 461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 112.0 | -4.1 | -0.8 | -2.1 | 17.4 | 2.5 |
| 462 Wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 89.7 | -3.2 | -2.0 | -7.6 | 0.2 | -1.6 |
| 463 Wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 103.1 | -1.0 | 2.1 | -1.5 | 15.6 | -1.8 |
| 464 Wholesale of household goods | 1130 | 119.2 | 5.2 | -1.7 | 7.4 | 27.6 | 4.1 |
| 465 Wholesale of information and communication equipment | 331 | 129.6 | -10.0 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 17.9 | 5.8 |
| 466 Wholesale of other machinery, equipmt and supplies | 716 | 111.3 | 1.3 | -1.7 | -2.7 | 31.0 | -4.8 |
| 467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 103.1 | 2.6 | 0.1 | -2.6 | 21.6 | -3.4 |
| 469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 125.6 | -1.6 | -1.0 | 10.5 | 29.2 | 10.9 |
| 47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 2952 | 121.0 | 7.1 | -3.3 | 6.4 | 24.5 | 3.5 |
| 471 Non-specialised stores | 1109 | 114.4 | 4.7 | -1.2 | 1.4 | 3.5 | 1.6 |
| 472 to 477 Specialised stores | 1622 | 120.9 | 6.9 | -2.3 | 8.6 | 47.4 | 4.2 |
| 472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco | 155 | 132.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7.7 | 12.1 | 8.6 |
| 473 Retail sale of automotive fuel | 224 | 93.1 | 2.2 | 15.5 | -0.3 | 60.0 | -6.9 |
| 474 Retail sale of information and communication equipmt | 65 | 146.7 | 6.7 | -3.4 | 7.5 | 78.0 | 6.6 |
| 475 Retail sale of other household equipment | 310 | 126.8 | 5.4 | -9.4 | 16.3 | 73.9 | 16.2 |
| 476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods | 118 | 125.3 | 8.4 | -6.8 | 13.8 | 94.5 | 8.7 |
| 477 Retail sale of other goods | 750 | 121.4 | 9.9 | -2.5 | 7.2 | 37.5 | 0.4 |
| 478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 155.4 | 18.6 | -16.4 | 14.6 | 10.0 | 7.4 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
The sales volume of the past three months increased by 2.2% over a year
The turnover of the past three months (June to August) in overall trade increased by 2.2% compared to the same period one year earlier. It rose in all sectors: in retail trade (+3.5%), in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+7.1%) and in wholesale trade (+0.3%). Within retail trade, it grew in specialised stores (+4.2%), in retail trade not in stores (+7.4%) and in non-specialised stores (+1.6%).
Revisions
The percentage change in the sales volume of overall trade in July 2020 has been slightly revised upwards, at −0.3% instead of −0.5% initially published.
tableauRevision of variationsin percentage points
| July/June | June/May | May/Apr | Q2 2020/Q1 2020 | 2019/2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Overall trade | 0.19 | 0.06 | -0.19 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Raw series | 0.02 | 0.02 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 0.00 |
| SA-WDA parameters | 0.17 | 0.04 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.01 |
- How to read: in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between June and July 2020 is revised by +0.19 points. +0.02 points are due to the raw series revision and +0.17 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For further information
Next issue: 27 November 2020 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Next issue: 27 November 2020 at 12h00
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade
