8 January 2020
2020- n° 2In December 2019, households’ confidence has declined sharply Monthly consumer confidence survey - December 2019
In December 2019, households’ confidence in the economic situation has declined for the first time since December 2018. At 102, the synthetic index has lost three points. Nevertheless, it remains above its long-term average (100).
In December 2019, households’ confidence in the economic situation has declined for the first time since December 2018. At 102, the synthetic index has lost three points. Nevertheless, it remains above its long-term average (100).
tableauConsumer confidence synthetic index
| Consumer confidence synthetic index | |
|---|---|
| 2000-01 | 119 |
| 2000-02 | 118 |
| 2000-03 | 119 |
| 2000-04 | 122 |
| 2000-05 | 122 |
| 2000-06 | 123 |
| 2000-07 | 124 |
| 2000-08 | 121 |
| 2000-09 | 118 |
| 2000-10 | 120 |
| 2000-11 | 119 |
| 2000-12 | 123 |
| 2001-01 | 126 |
| 2001-02 | 124 |
| 2001-03 | 122 |
| 2001-04 | 121 |
| 2001-05 | 116 |
| 2001-06 | 115 |
| 2001-07 | 114 |
| 2001-08 | 113 |
| 2001-09 | 111 |
| 2001-10 | 111 |
| 2001-11 | 112 |
| 2001-12 | 112 |
| 2002-01 | 112 |
| 2002-02 | 111 |
| 2002-03 | 112 |
| 2002-04 | 109 |
| 2002-05 | 113 |
| 2002-06 | 111 |
| 2002-07 | 109 |
| 2002-08 | 108 |
| 2002-09 | 106 |
| 2002-10 | 108 |
| 2002-11 | 108 |
| 2002-12 | 108 |
| 2003-01 | 104 |
| 2003-02 | 102 |
| 2003-03 | 98 |
| 2003-04 | 99 |
| 2003-05 | 101 |
| 2003-06 | 101 |
| 2003-07 | 100 |
| 2003-08 | 100 |
| 2003-09 | 99 |
| 2003-10 | 98 |
| 2003-11 | 98 |
| 2003-12 | 98 |
| 2004-01 | 99 |
| 2004-02 | 98 |
| 2004-03 | 99 |
| 2004-04 | 101 |
| 2004-05 | 100 |
| 2004-06 | 99 |
| 2004-07 | 99 |
| 2004-08 | 100 |
| 2004-09 | 102 |
| 2004-10 | 101 |
| 2004-11 | 100 |
| 2004-12 | 99 |
| 2005-01 | 97 |
| 2005-02 | 99 |
| 2005-03 | 97 |
| 2005-04 | 97 |
| 2005-05 | 95 |
| 2005-06 | 94 |
| 2005-07 | 94 |
| 2005-08 | 93 |
| 2005-09 | 92 |
| 2005-10 | 91 |
| 2005-11 | 92 |
| 2005-12 | 95 |
| 2006-01 | 97 |
| 2006-02 | 98 |
| 2006-03 | 97 |
| 2006-04 | 96 |
| 2006-05 | 95 |
| 2006-06 | 96 |
| 2006-07 | 98 |
| 2006-08 | 98 |
| 2006-09 | 99 |
| 2006-10 | 99 |
| 2006-11 | 99 |
| 2006-12 | 98 |
| 2007-01 | 99 |
| 2007-02 | 99 |
| 2007-03 | 101 |
| 2007-04 | 101 |
| 2007-05 | 108 |
| 2007-06 | 108 |
| 2007-07 | 107 |
| 2007-08 | 104 |
| 2007-09 | 101 |
| 2007-10 | 100 |
| 2007-11 | 94 |
| 2007-12 | 94 |
| 2008-01 | 90 |
| 2008-02 | 90 |
| 2008-03 | 88 |
| 2008-04 | 88 |
| 2008-05 | 85 |
| 2008-06 | 81 |
| 2008-07 | 81 |
| 2008-08 | 82 |
| 2008-09 | 83 |
| 2008-10 | 81 |
| 2008-11 | 83 |
| 2008-12 | 83 |
| 2009-01 | 84 |
| 2009-02 | 83 |
| 2009-03 | 84 |
| 2009-04 | 86 |
| 2009-05 | 86 |
| 2009-06 | 89 |
| 2009-07 | 89 |
| 2009-08 | 89 |
| 2009-09 | 90 |
| 2009-10 | 90 |
| 2009-11 | 93 |
| 2009-12 | 94 |
| 2010-01 | 94 |
| 2010-02 | 91 |
| 2010-03 | 91 |
| 2010-04 | 89 |
| 2010-05 | 88 |
| 2010-06 | 87 |
| 2010-07 | 87 |
| 2010-08 | 89 |
| 2010-09 | 90 |
| 2010-10 | 91 |
| 2010-11 | 93 |
| 2010-12 | 90 |
| 2011-01 | 89 |
| 2011-02 | 89 |
| 2011-03 | 87 |
| 2011-04 | 86 |
| 2011-05 | 87 |
| 2011-06 | 86 |
| 2011-07 | 89 |
| 2011-08 | 85 |
| 2011-09 | 84 |
| 2011-10 | 86 |
| 2011-11 | 84 |
| 2011-12 | 83 |
| 2012-01 | 84 |
| 2012-02 | 85 |
| 2012-03 | 89 |
| 2012-04 | 90 |
| 2012-05 | 92 |
| 2012-06 | 91 |
| 2012-07 | 88 |
| 2012-08 | 86 |
| 2012-09 | 85 |
| 2012-10 | 84 |
| 2012-11 | 84 |
| 2012-12 | 86 |
| 2013-01 | 85 |
| 2013-02 | 86 |
| 2013-03 | 83 |
| 2013-04 | 84 |
| 2013-05 | 80 |
| 2013-06 | 79 |
| 2013-07 | 83 |
| 2013-08 | 85 |
| 2013-09 | 86 |
| 2013-10 | 86 |
| 2013-11 | 84 |
| 2013-12 | 85 |
| 2014-01 | 86 |
| 2014-02 | 85 |
| 2014-03 | 88 |
| 2014-04 | 85 |
| 2014-05 | 85 |
| 2014-06 | 85 |
| 2014-07 | 86 |
| 2014-08 | 86 |
| 2014-09 | 86 |
| 2014-10 | 86 |
| 2014-11 | 87 |
| 2014-12 | 90 |
| 2015-01 | 89 |
| 2015-02 | 92 |
| 2015-03 | 94 |
| 2015-04 | 95 |
| 2015-05 | 93 |
| 2015-06 | 93 |
| 2015-07 | 93 |
| 2015-08 | 93 |
| 2015-09 | 97 |
| 2015-10 | 96 |
| 2015-11 | 96 |
| 2015-12 | 96 |
| 2016-01 | 97 |
| 2016-02 | 96 |
| 2016-03 | 95 |
| 2016-04 | 94 |
| 2016-05 | 98 |
| 2016-06 | 96 |
| 2016-07 | 95 |
| 2016-08 | 96 |
| 2016-09 | 97 |
| 2016-10 | 98 |
| 2016-11 | 99 |
| 2016-12 | 100 |
| 2017-01 | 100 |
| 2017-02 | 101 |
| 2017-03 | 101 |
| 2017-04 | 100 |
| 2017-05 | 102 |
| 2017-06 | 108 |
| 2017-07 | 104 |
| 2017-08 | 103 |
| 2017-09 | 101 |
| 2017-10 | 100 |
| 2017-11 | 103 |
| 2017-12 | 106 |
| 2018-01 | 105 |
| 2018-02 | 101 |
| 2018-03 | 100 |
| 2018-04 | 101 |
| 2018-05 | 99 |
| 2018-06 | 96 |
| 2018-07 | 96 |
| 2018-08 | 96 |
| 2018-09 | 94 |
| 2018-10 | 94 |
| 2018-11 | 91 |
| 2018-12 | 88 |
| 2019-01 | 92 |
| 2019-02 | 95 |
| 2019-03 | 96 |
| 2019-04 | 97 |
| 2019-05 | 99 |
| 2019-06 | 101 |
| 2019-07 | 102 |
| 2019-08 | 103 |
| 2019-09 | 104 |
| 2019-10 | 104 |
| 2019-11 | 105 |
| 2019-12 | 102 |
graphiqueConsumer confidence synthetic index
- Source: INSEE.
Personal situation
Past and future financial situation: decrease
In December, households' opinion balance on their future financial situation has lost four points and is back to its long-term average. The balance related to their past financial situation has fallen by one point and remains above its long-term average.
Furthermore, the share of households considering it is a suitable time to make major purchases has decreased compared to the previous month: the corresponding balance has lost two points and remains well above its average.
Expected saving capacity: sharp decrease
In December, households’ opinion on their expected saving capacity has deteriorated: the corresponding balance has fallen by four points. On the other hand, the balance related to their current saving capacity has increased by one point. Both balances remain above their long-term average.
The share of households considering it is a suitable time to save has been stable: the corresponding balance thus remains below its long-term average.
tableauBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
| Standard of living, future | Standard of living, past | Financial situation, future | Financial situation, past | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -32 | -62 | -9 | -24 |
| 2010-02 | -34 | -67 | -12 | -27 |
| 2010-03 | -40 | -69 | -13 | -26 |
| 2010-04 | -46 | -69 | -16 | -27 |
| 2010-05 | -52 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
| 2010-06 | -55 | -71 | -19 | -27 |
| 2010-07 | -49 | -71 | -19 | -30 |
| 2010-08 | -43 | -66 | -18 | -29 |
| 2010-09 | -42 | -64 | -18 | -28 |
| 2010-10 | -40 | -64 | -15 | -28 |
| 2010-11 | -38 | -64 | -11 | -23 |
| 2010-12 | -42 | -68 | -16 | -26 |
| 2011-01 | -44 | -70 | -18 | -26 |
| 2011-02 | -46 | -67 | -18 | -27 |
| 2011-03 | -51 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
| 2011-04 | -56 | -71 | -21 | -31 |
| 2011-05 | -49 | -68 | -20 | -31 |
| 2011-06 | -48 | -68 | -21 | -33 |
| 2011-07 | -42 | -67 | -18 | -31 |
| 2011-08 | -56 | -71 | -23 | -30 |
| 2011-09 | -55 | -75 | -24 | -31 |
| 2011-10 | -51 | -73 | -21 | -29 |
| 2011-11 | -59 | -74 | -25 | -30 |
| 2011-12 | -57 | -74 | -30 | -32 |
| 2012-01 | -54 | -73 | -27 | -32 |
| 2012-02 | -49 | -73 | -26 | -32 |
| 2012-03 | -40 | -68 | -19 | -29 |
| 2012-04 | -38 | -66 | -16 | -29 |
| 2012-05 | -30 | -65 | -16 | -26 |
| 2012-06 | -30 | -68 | -16 | -27 |
| 2012-07 | -43 | -69 | -19 | -27 |
| 2012-08 | -51 | -72 | -19 | -29 |
| 2012-09 | -57 | -75 | -21 | -29 |
| 2012-10 | -60 | -73 | -25 | -29 |
| 2012-11 | -55 | -73 | -25 | -31 |
| 2012-12 | -54 | -69 | -23 | -29 |
| 2013-01 | -58 | -69 | -25 | -28 |
| 2013-02 | -56 | -71 | -24 | -27 |
| 2013-03 | -61 | -75 | -26 | -29 |
| 2013-04 | -62 | -76 | -25 | -28 |
| 2013-05 | -63 | -79 | -26 | -37 |
| 2013-06 | -66 | -80 | -27 | -35 |
| 2013-07 | -57 | -77 | -24 | -34 |
| 2013-08 | -50 | -73 | -22 | -33 |
| 2013-09 | -46 | -72 | -20 | -33 |
| 2013-10 | -45 | -69 | -18 | -35 |
| 2013-11 | -53 | -75 | -19 | -34 |
| 2013-12 | -50 | -73 | -22 | -34 |
| 2014-01 | -48 | -71 | -19 | -35 |
| 2014-02 | -52 | -72 | -20 | -34 |
| 2014-03 | -47 | -69 | -19 | -29 |
| 2014-04 | -45 | -70 | -27 | -32 |
| 2014-05 | -50 | -70 | -23 | -33 |
| 2014-06 | -48 | -69 | -20 | -36 |
| 2014-07 | -49 | -70 | -17 | -32 |
| 2014-08 | -47 | -70 | -20 | -33 |
| 2014-09 | -51 | -71 | -20 | -31 |
| 2014-10 | -50 | -74 | -20 | -31 |
| 2014-11 | -48 | -68 | -17 | -33 |
| 2014-12 | -43 | -66 | -16 | -27 |
| 2015-01 | -42 | -66 | -17 | -29 |
| 2015-02 | -37 | -61 | -15 | -27 |
| 2015-03 | -34 | -59 | -13 | -27 |
| 2015-04 | -35 | -57 | -12 | -24 |
| 2015-05 | -34 | -58 | -14 | -27 |
| 2015-06 | -35 | -58 | -12 | -27 |
| 2015-07 | -36 | -59 | -12 | -29 |
| 2015-08 | -33 | -57 | -12 | -29 |
| 2015-09 | -28 | -52 | -6 | -26 |
| 2015-10 | -30 | -54 | -10 | -24 |
| 2015-11 | -31 | -54 | -10 | -24 |
| 2015-12 | -30 | -54 | -7 | -26 |
| 2016-01 | -27 | -55 | -9 | -24 |
| 2016-02 | -32 | -56 | -10 | -24 |
| 2016-03 | -35 | -57 | -12 | -24 |
| 2016-04 | -36 | -57 | -13 | -25 |
| 2016-05 | -28 | -48 | -10 | -25 |
| 2016-06 | -33 | -54 | -10 | -23 |
| 2016-07 | -33 | -53 | -10 | -28 |
| 2016-08 | -34 | -54 | -10 | -22 |
| 2016-09 | -29 | -54 | -9 | -23 |
| 2016-10 | -28 | -53 | -7 | -23 |
| 2016-11 | -26 | -49 | -8 | -24 |
| 2016-12 | -22 | -51 | -7 | -22 |
| 2017-01 | -27 | -48 | -5 | -22 |
| 2017-02 | -23 | -48 | -5 | -22 |
| 2017-03 | -23 | -48 | -7 | -20 |
| 2017-04 | -22 | -50 | -10 | -19 |
| 2017-05 | -17 | -45 | -6 | -19 |
| 2017-06 | 1 | -40 | -4 | -14 |
| 2017-07 | -11 | -40 | -11 | -17 |
| 2017-08 | -20 | -40 | -9 | -18 |
| 2017-09 | -21 | -42 | -11 | -21 |
| 2017-10 | -24 | -40 | -16 | -21 |
| 2017-11 | -19 | -39 | -10 | -20 |
| 2017-12 | -12 | -31 | -9 | -17 |
| 2018-01 | -19 | -30 | -12 | -16 |
| 2018-02 | -24 | -35 | -18 | -23 |
| 2018-03 | -24 | -39 | -12 | -24 |
| 2018-04 | -22 | -35 | -11 | -26 |
| 2018-05 | -28 | -39 | -14 | -25 |
| 2018-06 | -32 | -46 | -14 | -27 |
| 2018-07 | -32 | -47 | -12 | -28 |
| 2018-08 | -30 | -47 | -12 | -30 |
| 2018-09 | -36 | -50 | -17 | -30 |
| 2018-10 | -32 | -53 | -16 | -30 |
| 2018-11 | -44 | -58 | -18 | -29 |
| 2018-12 | -37 | -66 | -21 | -33 |
| 2019-01 | -32 | -63 | -14 | -28 |
| 2019-02 | -28 | -56 | -12 | -25 |
| 2019-03 | -28 | -53 | -10 | -26 |
| 2019-04 | -29 | -53 | -8 | -25 |
| 2019-05 | -25 | -50 | -5 | -23 |
| 2019-06 | -23 | -43 | -6 | -22 |
| 2019-07 | -24 | -42 | -5 | -21 |
| 2019-08 | -22 | -43 | -4 | -18 |
| 2019-09 | -22 | -39 | -2 | -18 |
| 2019-10 | -23 | -38 | -4 | -18 |
| 2019-11 | -22 | -35 | -2 | -18 |
| 2019-12 | -28 | -39 | -6 | -19 |
graphiqueBalances on personal financial situation and standard of living in France
- Source: INSEE.
tableauCONSUMER OPINION: synthetic index and opinion balances
| Avg. (1) | Sept 19 | Oct 19 | Nov 19 | Dec 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Synthetic index (2) | 100 | 104 | 104 | 105 | 102 |
| Financial sit., past 12 m. | -21 | -18 | -18 | -18 | -19 |
| Financial sit., next 12 m. | -6 | -2 | -4 | -2 | -6 |
| Current saving capacity | 9 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
| Expected saving capacity | -9 | 4 | -1 | 0 | -4 |
| Savings intentions, next 12 m. | 17 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
| Major purchases intentions, next 12 m. | -14 | -7 | -6 | -5 | -7 |
| Standard of living, past 12 m. | -45 | -39 | -38 | -35 | -39 |
| Standard of living, next 12 m. | -25 | -22 | -23 | -22 | -28 |
| Unemployment, next 12 m. | 33 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 |
| Consumer prices, past 12 m. | -17 | -27 | -27 | -32 | -34 |
| Consumer prices, next 12 m. | -33 | -25 | -23 | -25 | -25 |
- (1) Average value between January 1987 and December 2019
- (2) The indicator is normalised in such a way that its average equals 100 and standard error equals 10 over the estimation period (1987–2019).
- Source: INSEE, monthly consumer confidence survey
Economic situation in France
Standard of living in France: strong decline
In December, the share of households considering that the past standard of living in France has improved during the past twelve months has declined strongly: the corresponding balance has lost four points but still stands above its long-term average.
Households’ opinion balance about the future standard of living in France has declined slightly more sharply, losing six points and falling below its average.
Unemployment: rising fears
Households' fears about the unemployment trend have risen sharply in December: the corresponding balance has gained six points after two months of virtual stability. Nevertheless, it remains well below its long-term average.
tableauHouseholds' unemployment expectations
| Households' unemployment expectations | |
|---|---|
| 2010-01 | 55 |
| 2010-02 | 49 |
| 2010-03 | 58 |
| 2010-04 | 57 |
| 2010-05 | 58 |
| 2010-06 | 65 |
| 2010-07 | 59 |
| 2010-08 | 46 |
| 2010-09 | 31 |
| 2010-10 | 35 |
| 2010-11 | 35 |
| 2010-12 | 34 |
| 2011-01 | 37 |
| 2011-02 | 41 |
| 2011-03 | 33 |
| 2011-04 | 35 |
| 2011-05 | 27 |
| 2011-06 | 29 |
| 2011-07 | 37 |
| 2011-08 | 51 |
| 2011-09 | 57 |
| 2011-10 | 49 |
| 2011-11 | 61 |
| 2011-12 | 59 |
| 2012-01 | 57 |
| 2012-02 | 56 |
| 2012-03 | 52 |
| 2012-04 | 55 |
| 2012-05 | 43 |
| 2012-06 | 53 |
| 2012-07 | 65 |
| 2012-08 | 73 |
| 2012-09 | 73 |
| 2012-10 | 73 |
| 2012-11 | 70 |
| 2012-12 | 74 |
| 2013-01 | 72 |
| 2013-02 | 73 |
| 2013-03 | 77 |
| 2013-04 | 74 |
| 2013-05 | 78 |
| 2013-06 | 78 |
| 2013-07 | 61 |
| 2013-08 | 56 |
| 2013-09 | 51 |
| 2013-10 | 38 |
| 2013-11 | 62 |
| 2013-12 | 48 |
| 2014-01 | 55 |
| 2014-02 | 55 |
| 2014-03 | 54 |
| 2014-04 | 57 |
| 2014-05 | 61 |
| 2014-06 | 67 |
| 2014-07 | 67 |
| 2014-08 | 62 |
| 2014-09 | 67 |
| 2014-10 | 52 |
| 2014-11 | 66 |
| 2014-12 | 65 |
| 2015-01 | 66 |
| 2015-02 | 58 |
| 2015-03 | 43 |
| 2015-04 | 61 |
| 2015-05 | 61 |
| 2015-06 | 60 |
| 2015-07 | 58 |
| 2015-08 | 50 |
| 2015-09 | 45 |
| 2015-10 | 47 |
| 2015-11 | 36 |
| 2015-12 | 45 |
| 2016-01 | 36 |
| 2016-02 | 44 |
| 2016-03 | 39 |
| 2016-04 | 51 |
| 2016-05 | 25 |
| 2016-06 | 26 |
| 2016-07 | 28 |
| 2016-08 | 33 |
| 2016-09 | 29 |
| 2016-10 | 30 |
| 2016-11 | 29 |
| 2016-12 | 18 |
| 2017-01 | 18 |
| 2017-02 | 19 |
| 2017-03 | 20 |
| 2017-04 | 15 |
| 2017-05 | 22 |
| 2017-06 | 6 |
| 2017-07 | 9 |
| 2017-08 | -1 |
| 2017-09 | 16 |
| 2017-10 | 13 |
| 2017-11 | 5 |
| 2017-12 | 6 |
| 2018-01 | 0 |
| 2018-02 | 4 |
| 2018-03 | 4 |
| 2018-04 | 3 |
| 2018-05 | 4 |
| 2018-06 | 16 |
| 2018-07 | 14 |
| 2018-08 | 24 |
| 2018-09 | 23 |
| 2018-10 | 7 |
| 2018-11 | 30 |
| 2018-12 | 29 |
| 2019-01 | 32 |
| 2019-02 | 11 |
| 2019-03 | 20 |
| 2019-04 | 25 |
| 2019-05 | 14 |
| 2019-06 | 14 |
| 2019-07 | 12 |
| 2019-08 | 7 |
| 2019-09 | 2 |
| 2019-10 | 3 |
| 2019-11 | 2 |
| 2019-12 | 8 |
graphiqueHouseholds' unemployment expectations
- Source: INSEE.
Perceived inflation: slight drop
In December, households considering that prices were on the rise during the past twelve months have been less numerous than the previous month: the corresponding balance has lost two points and remains well below its long-term average.
Households’ opinion balance about future prices has remained unchanged, above its long-term average.
tableauHouseholds' perception of prices
| Past prices | Future prices | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14 | -41 |
| 2010-02 | -19 | -41 |
| 2010-03 | -19 | -39 |
| 2010-04 | -10 | -34 |
| 2010-05 | -11 | -28 |
| 2010-06 | -10 | -29 |
| 2010-07 | -6 | -27 |
| 2010-08 | -4 | -24 |
| 2010-09 | -2 | -29 |
| 2010-10 | 0 | -25 |
| 2010-11 | 3 | -25 |
| 2010-12 | 9 | -22 |
| 2011-01 | 18 | -19 |
| 2011-02 | 25 | -9 |
| 2011-03 | 30 | 6 |
| 2011-04 | 46 | 0 |
| 2011-05 | 40 | -13 |
| 2011-06 | 33 | -14 |
| 2011-07 | 32 | -18 |
| 2011-08 | 27 | -18 |
| 2011-09 | 25 | -20 |
| 2011-10 | 22 | -23 |
| 2011-11 | 20 | -15 |
| 2011-12 | 19 | -16 |
| 2012-01 | 21 | -17 |
| 2012-02 | 23 | -11 |
| 2012-03 | 22 | -21 |
| 2012-04 | 27 | -20 |
| 2012-05 | 12 | -32 |
| 2012-06 | 12 | -34 |
| 2012-07 | -2 | -25 |
| 2012-08 | -1 | -16 |
| 2012-09 | 3 | -13 |
| 2012-10 | -1 | -15 |
| 2012-11 | -4 | -14 |
| 2012-12 | -7 | -19 |
| 2013-01 | -8 | -19 |
| 2013-02 | -10 | -22 |
| 2013-03 | -10 | -14 |
| 2013-04 | -13 | -20 |
| 2013-05 | -16 | -17 |
| 2013-06 | -11 | -19 |
| 2013-07 | -8 | -17 |
| 2013-08 | -3 | -21 |
| 2013-09 | 4 | -24 |
| 2013-10 | -8 | -21 |
| 2013-11 | -8 | -23 |
| 2013-12 | -8 | -17 |
| 2014-01 | -14 | -16 |
| 2014-02 | -19 | -22 |
| 2014-03 | -23 | -28 |
| 2014-04 | -24 | -29 |
| 2014-05 | -23 | -26 |
| 2014-06 | -28 | -31 |
| 2014-07 | -31 | -31 |
| 2014-08 | -35 | -36 |
| 2014-09 | -40 | -33 |
| 2014-10 | -38 | -28 |
| 2014-11 | -38 | -37 |
| 2014-12 | -46 | -43 |
| 2015-01 | -50 | -46 |
| 2015-02 | -51 | -45 |
| 2015-03 | -53 | -48 |
| 2015-04 | -51 | -43 |
| 2015-05 | -56 | -40 |
| 2015-06 | -54 | -38 |
| 2015-07 | -52 | -37 |
| 2015-08 | -50 | -36 |
| 2015-09 | -53 | -41 |
| 2015-10 | -50 | -41 |
| 2015-11 | -50 | -41 |
| 2015-12 | -51 | -39 |
| 2016-01 | -52 | -42 |
| 2016-02 | -56 | -39 |
| 2016-03 | -58 | -37 |
| 2016-04 | -58 | -37 |
| 2016-05 | -53 | -38 |
| 2016-06 | -53 | -35 |
| 2016-07 | -51 | -36 |
| 2016-08 | -51 | -35 |
| 2016-09 | -46 | -34 |
| 2016-10 | -52 | -38 |
| 2016-11 | -52 | -39 |
| 2016-12 | -48 | -29 |
| 2017-01 | -43 | -25 |
| 2017-02 | -46 | -31 |
| 2017-03 | -47 | -25 |
| 2017-04 | -51 | -27 |
| 2017-05 | -56 | -33 |
| 2017-06 | -56 | -40 |
| 2017-07 | -53 | -31 |
| 2017-08 | -54 | -32 |
| 2017-09 | -54 | -30 |
| 2017-10 | -50 | -24 |
| 2017-11 | -45 | -28 |
| 2017-12 | -46 | -34 |
| 2018-01 | -40 | -17 |
| 2018-02 | -34 | -20 |
| 2018-03 | -39 | -23 |
| 2018-04 | -40 | -25 |
| 2018-05 | -31 | -17 |
| 2018-06 | -27 | -19 |
| 2018-07 | -25 | -20 |
| 2018-08 | -25 | -21 |
| 2018-09 | -15 | -16 |
| 2018-10 | -15 | -16 |
| 2018-11 | -10 | -13 |
| 2018-12 | -9 | -24 |
| 2019-01 | -32 | -42 |
| 2019-02 | -27 | -18 |
| 2019-03 | -20 | -22 |
| 2019-04 | -19 | -21 |
| 2019-05 | -20 | -21 |
| 2019-06 | -20 | -21 |
| 2019-07 | -25 | -22 |
| 2019-08 | -26 | -21 |
| 2019-09 | -27 | -25 |
| 2019-10 | -27 | -23 |
| 2019-11 | -32 | -25 |
| 2019-12 | -34 | -25 |
graphiqueHouseholds' perception of prices
- Source: INSEE.
Revision
Due to the annual re-estimationof the seasonal adjustment coefficients, several models have been updated and long-term averages have been recalculated. However, these changes did not lead to any major revision of the data already published. The confidence synthetic index of November 2019 was revised downwards by one point (at 105).
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Definition – The synthetic households’ confidence index summarizes households’ opinion on the economic situation: the higher its value, the more favorable households’ judgment of the economic situation is. It is calculated using a factor analysis technique, which enables to summarize concomitant movements of highly correlated variables. The index describes here the common factor of 8 balances of opinion: past and future general economic situation in France, past and future personal financial situation, unemployment, major purchases intentions, current savings capacity and expected savings capacity.
Calculation method – Around 2,000 households are surveyed by telephone, during the first three weeks of each month. Answers to this survey were collected between November 27 and December 17 2019. For each question, a balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentages of positive and negative answers. Since the level of these balances is not open to direct interpretation, comments are based on their changes and their distance to their long–term average. Seasonal coefficients are calculated again every month, hence the slight revision of the seasonal adjusted balances history at each publication.
Next publication: January 29 2020 at 8:45 am
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