Insee conjoncture
31 janvier 2019
N° 2019-29

In November 2018, services output decreased (−0.4%)Index of services production - November 2018

In November 2018, output in services decreased (−0.4%) after an increase in October (+0.5%).

Warning

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution to the overall variation. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In November 2018, output in services decreased (−0.4%) after an increase in October (+0.5%).

Services output rose sharply over the last three months

Over the last three months (September to November), services production increased by 2.1% compared to the previous three months.

It grew strongly in business support activities (+2.9%), especially in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+4.2%) and more moderately in administrative and business service activities (+1.1%). Output also grew strongly in information and communication (+2.5%), in transportation and storage (+1.5%) and in accommodation and food services activities (+2.3%). It increased more slitghly in real estate activities (+0.7%) and decreased in household services (−0.6%).

Index of services production

Index of services production ()
Business support (MN) Transportation and storage (H) Accommodation & food service (I) Information-communication (J) All services (SPI)
2014-01 97.13 98.28 96.93 97.6 97.4
2014-02 96.94 100.1 96.79 97.39 98.09
2014-03 98.66 99.7 96.72 97.59 98.23
2014-04 98.4 98.83 97.71 97.42 98.18
2014-05 95.93 97.04 97.48 96.13 96.55
2014-06 96.49 100.5 97.24 98.67 98.4
2014-07 98.77 99.89 96.02 95.39 97.94
2014-08 99.6 99.48 98.66 97.82 99.08
2014-09 98.93 99.72 99.05 99.78 99.29
2014-10 98.63 98.2 99.72 98.55 98.75
2014-11 97.66 99.37 98.86 96.7 97.93
2014-12 98.82 99.58 99.44 99.14 98.45
2015-01 96.65 97.77 97.57 98.73 97.54
2015-02 99.04 100.98 98.53 98.93 99.15
2015-03 98.91 99.94 98.29 99.37 99.47
2015-04 99.39 99.25 100.05 100.9 99.78
2015-05 100.53 99.02 101.22 97.88 99.61
2015-06 99.73 100.69 100.75 100.11 99.65
2015-07 103.66 99.68 99.58 98.78 101.35
2015-08 98.99 99.59 100.84 100.33 99.36
2015-09 101.15 101.3 100.19 100.14 100.56
2015-10 99.76 99.7 100.5 100.43 100.68
2015-11 101.38 101.57 99.89 101.45 101.32
2015-12 100.81 100.5 102.59 102.96 101.53
2016-01 101.6 100.23 101.35 102.59 101.16
2016-02 102.91 103.61 102.97 104.92 103.87
2016-03 99.83 101.74 102.98 103.56 101.16
2016-04 100.42 100.44 101.8 101.97 100.8
2016-05 102.02 102.17 102.41 103.13 102.13
2016-06 102.21 99.65 102.76 103.48 102.04
2016-07 101.01 100.03 102.91 104.37 101.56
2016-08 104.92 103.11 103.2 105.17 104.08
2016-09 102.95 99.03 103.62 105.71 102.87
2016-10 102.73 101.86 103.02 103.07 101.89
2016-11 104.31 103.04 103.45 105.54 104.38
2016-12 103.65 102.54 104.84 105.28 104.03
2017-01 105.72 104.1 105.03 104.68 104.73
2017-02 104.73 102.62 107.46 107.36 105.13
2017-03 107.1 104.29 107.89 110.49 106.93
2017-04 103.05 101.63 107.06 107.44 103.99
2017-05 108.81 107.64 105.92 110.25 107.34
2017-06 106.98 104.1 106.86 108.43 106.25
2017-07 108.91 106.19 108.17 112.47 108.54
2017-08 108.25 104.63 109.04 110.57 107.54
2017-09 108.41 104.08 108.04 112.33 107.58
2017-10 109.09 106.03 109.61 109.89 108.1
2017-11 108.56 104.94 112.25 112.34 108.92
2017-12 111.21 106.3 110.09 113.2 109.53
2018-01 111.21 108.5 112.4 114.09 111.02
2018-02 109.72 105.63 111.64 113.86 109.3
2018-03 110.0 105.88 111.57 113.91 109.32
2018-04 113.94 106.54 111.84 118.35 111.99
2018-05 111.64 104.18 112.1 115.39 110.63
2018-06 112.7 106.29 112.18 115.56 110.91
2018-07 112.02 106.45 109.87 116.59 110.54
2018-08 115.33 108.51 112.76 116.79 113.57
2018-09 116.75 108.29 114.34 117.07 113.76
2018-10 116.36 109.67 114.11 120.96 114.35
2018-11 116.7 108.1 114.13 119.5 113.95

Index of services production

Output grew sharply over a year

In services, output of the last three months rose sharply over a year (+5.4%).

It went up strongly in business support (+7.3%), be it in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+8.8%) or in administrative and business service activities (+5.3%). It also grew sharply in information and communication (+6.9%), in transportation and storage (+3.5%), in accommodation and food service activities (+3.8%) and in household services (+2.1%). It increased more slitghly in real estate activities (+0.8%).

Variation in the services production

2015 based, SA-WDA
Variation in the services production (2015 based, SA-WDA)
Nace classification Weight (1) Change in %
Nov./ Oct. Oct./ Sept. q-o-q (2) y-o-y (3)
Index of services production 10000 -0.4 0.5 2.1 5.4
H Transportation and storage 1504 -1.4 1.3 1.5 3.5
I Accommodation and food service activities 870 0.0 -0.2 2.3 3.8
J Information and communication 1635 -1.2 3.3 2.5 6.9
L Real estate activities 964 -2.3 0.0 0.7 0.8
M+N Business support 4289 0.3 -0.3 2.9 7.3
M Specialised, scientific and technical activities 2540 0.2 -1.7 4.2 8.8
N Administrative and business service activities 1748 0.5 1.6 1.1 5.3
R+S Household services 738 1.9 -0.7 -0.6 2.1
  • (1) Weight (10 000 = H…S excepting K, O, P, Q)
  • (2) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months
  • (3) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Sharp decrease in information and communication in November

Output in information and communication fell back in November (−1.2% after +3.3%), due to computer programming (−1.1% after +4.2%), telecommunications (−1.5% after +2.4%), edition (−1.4% after +4.1%) and information services (−2.2% after +1.6%).

Sharp decrease in transportation and storage

Output in transportation and storage decreased in November (−1.4% after +1.3%), due to warehousing and support for transportation (−4.2% after −1.3%) and postal and courier activities (−3.0% after +7.2%). On the contrary, it gathered pace in water transport (+8.9% after +0.2%).

Strong rebound in household services

Output in household services bounced back in November (+1.9% after −0.7%). It bounced back in arts, entertainment and recreation (+3.4% after −2.0%) whereas it dwindled in other personal services production (−0.9% after +1.7%).

Slight increase in business support

In November 2018, output in business support activities increased slightly (+0.3% after−0.3%).

It kept increasing in administrative and business support activities (+0.5% after +1.6%). It gathered pace in employment activities (+3.5% after +1.0%) and bounced back in other administrative and business support activities (+2.2% after −0.4%). Conversely, it fell in rental and leasing activities (−2.8% after +1.8%) and in services to building and landscape activities (−1.1% after +4.8%).

Output grew sligthly in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+0.2% after −1.7% in October), particularly in architecture and engineering activities (+2.9% after +1.5%) and in activities of head offices and management consultancy (+1.8% after −4.5%). However, it kept falling in scientific research and development (−3.3% after −6.2%).

Stability in accommodation and food service activities

In November, output in accommodation and food services was stable after a slight decrease in October (−0.2%). It bounced back in accommodation (+1.9% after −1.9%) whereas it went down in food and beverage service activities (−0.5% after +0.3%).

Variation in the services production

2015 based, SA-WDA
Variation in the services production (2015 based, SA-WDA)
Nace classification Weight (1) Nov. 2018 Change in %
Nov./ Oct. Oct./ Sept. Q-o-q (2)
Index of services production 10000 113.9 -0.4 0.5 2.1
H transportation and storage 1504 108.1 -1.4 1.3 1.5
49 Land transport… 715 113.0 -0.2 2.6 2.6
50 Water transport 36 149.8 8.9 0.2 17.1
51 Air transport 115 109.4 0.1 -0.8 -0.7
52 Warehousing and support for transportation 504 103.3 -4.2 -1.3 0.3
53 Postal and courier activities 135 87.9 -3.0 7.2 -3.4
I Accommodation and food service activities 870 114.1 0.0 -0.2 2.3
55 Accommodation 205 105.3 1.9 -1.9 1.5
56 Food and beverage service activities 664 116.8 -0.5 0.3 2.5
J Information-communication 1635 119.5 -1.2 3.3 2.5
58 Publishing activities 208 112.5 -1.4 4.1 2.1
59 Motion picture, sound recording, music publishing 119 109.9 -1.3 1.6 2.4
60 Programming and broadcasting activities 71 115.1 1.8 1.2 9.0
61 Telecommunications 415 100.9 -1.5 2.4 0.2
62 Computer programming... 720 132.5 -1.1 4.2 3.0
63 Information services 102 132.0 -2.2 1.6 2.9
L Real estate activities 964 100.1 -2.3 0.0 0.7
M Specialised, scientific and technical activities 2540 114.8 0.2 -1.7 4.2
69 Legal and accounting activities 502 118.6 1.4 1.1 1.4
70 Activities of head offices and management consultancy 739 116.0 1.8 -4.5 1.9
71 Architecture and engineering activities 491 114.2 2.9 1.5 2.1
72 Scientific research and development 559 110.9 -3.3 -6.2 12.4
73 Advertising and market research 146 104.8 -4.8 11.9 3.8
74 Other professional, scientific and technical activities 79 129.6 -4.8 1.6 4.4
75 Veterinary activities 26 113.2 -0.3 0.9 -0.2
N Administrative and business service activities 1748 119.5 0.5 1.6 1.1
77 Rental and leasing activities 526 116.7 -2.8 1.8 -0.2
78 Employment activities 502 132.6 3.5 1.0 1.9
79 Travel agency, tour operator 35 99.1 0.3 -0.7 -1.9
80 Security and investigation 104 113.7 -0.4 3.0 1.1
81 Services to building and landscape activities 245 114.8 -1.1 4.8 1.5
82 Other administrative and business support activities 336 111.5 2.2 -0.4 1.9
R Arts, entertainment and recreation 460 121.3 3.4 -2.0 -1.1
S Other personal services 278 105.9 -0.9 1.7 0.5
  • (1) Weight (10 000 = H…S excepting K, O, P, Q)
  • (2) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Revisions

The month-on-month variation rate of the index of services production in October 2018 has been confirmed at +0.5%.

Revision of variations

in percentage points
Revision of variations (in percentage points)
Oct./ Sept. Sept./ Aug. Aug./ Jul. Q3 2018/Q2 2018 2017/ 2016
Services production 0.01 0.16 -0.04 0.07 -0.01
Raw series -0.09 0.13 -0.07 0.07 -0.01
SA-WDA parameters 0.10 0.03 0.03 0.00 0.00
  • How to read: in the services industries, the SA-WDA variation in output between September 2018 and October 2018 is revised by 0.01 points: -0.09 points due to the revisions of raw data and 0,10 points due to the update of SA-WDA parameters
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Documentation

Turnover indices (pdf, 28 Ko)


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