Insee conjoncture
10 janvier 2019
N° 2019-3

In November 2018, manufacturing output slipped back sharply (−1.4%)Industrial production index - November 2018

In November 2018, output slipped backsharply in the manufacturing industry (−1.4% after +1.4% in October) as well as in the whole industry (−1.3% after +1.3%).

Informations rapides
No 3
Paru le : 10/01/2019
Prochaine parution le : 08/02/2019 at 08:45 - December 2018
Please note:

All series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In November 2018, output slipped backsharply in the manufacturing industry (−1.4% after +1.4% in October) as well as in the whole industry (−1.3% after +1.3%).

Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−1.0%)

Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−1.0%), as well as in the whole industry (−0.9%).

Over the last three months, output decreased sharply in the manufacture of transport equipment (−3.1%). It decreased in “other manufacturing” (−0.5%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−0.8%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−0.7%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.4%). It dimished sharply in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−3.9%).

Figure 1 Monthly Industrial Production Indices

Monthly Industrial Production Indices
(C1) (C3) (C4) (C5) CZ
2014-01 99.85 99.21 96.86 97.91 98.21
2014-02 100.89 101.45 97.0 99.99 99.85
2014-03 98.74 99.85 96.53 99.35 98.87
2014-04 100.81 98.72 97.95 99.38 99.27
2014-05 98.93 95.78 94.59 97.01 96.74
2014-06 98.95 98.66 98.98 98.45 98.55
2014-07 99.31 100.95 102.27 98.56 99.48
2014-08 98.23 94.15 98.58 98.48 97.79
2014-09 100.72 98.75 97.55 99.55 99.3
2014-10 99.04 96.71 97.52 98.18 98.0
2014-11 97.98 97.26 92.03 97.97 97.02
2014-12 100.26 103.46 99.47 99.66 100.29
2015-01 99.49 97.15 97.8 98.63 98.45
2015-02 98.32 96.8 101.68 99.68 99.4
2015-03 100.65 98.03 100.44 99.74 99.86
2015-04 99.64 99.78 97.64 99.35 99.28
2015-05 99.34 102.18 99.28 99.7 100.0
2015-06 101.54 104.1 100.07 99.79 100.64
2015-07 99.94 96.19 97.33 99.63 98.77
2015-08 100.33 101.12 104.12 100.52 100.92
2015-09 100.77 104.3 102.37 100.04 101.15
2015-10 100.69 101.31 101.41 99.89 100.49
2015-11 100.2 99.44 98.99 100.73 100.18
2015-12 99.09 99.61 98.89 102.3 100.85
2016-01 100.39 99.62 104.93 101.8 101.68
2016-02 100.51 101.82 104.38 100.0 100.91
2016-03 98.29 97.18 102.02 98.37 98.71
2016-04 98.34 99.51 107.34 100.56 101.1
2016-05 97.35 99.68 104.21 100.65 100.32
2016-06 96.93 97.4 104.21 99.33 99.04
2016-07 98.02 95.93 101.01 99.14 98.8
2016-08 98.79 102.44 105.06 100.68 101.24
2016-09 99.92 99.74 101.94 99.95 100.17
2016-10 98.02 96.57 103.7 98.05 98.67
2016-11 99.22 102.04 105.49 101.97 102.15
2016-12 98.63 100.55 104.91 100.54 100.93
2017-01 97.93 99.71 105.06 100.03 100.33
2017-02 98.45 100.92 104.4 100.82 100.86
2017-03 99.66 101.97 110.33 102.44 102.93
2017-04 98.2 101.04 101.46 101.54 100.95
2017-05 99.98 105.53 111.45 102.78 103.99
2017-06 99.43 102.46 106.83 102.14 102.47
2017-07 98.64 103.12 108.11 102.6 102.81
2017-08 99.45 102.39 116.39 101.42 103.33
2017-09 98.93 102.32 111.84 103.94 103.99
2017-10 99.24 107.01 112.2 105.73 105.7
2017-11 98.78 104.21 115.24 105.17 105.42
2017-12 96.76 105.36 113.33 105.61 105.25
2018-01 98.21 106.98 112.02 102.69 103.89
2018-02 98.0 105.05 108.49 102.92 103.23
2018-03 97.93 106.46 107.31 103.42 103.43
2018-04 99.33 103.38 112.96 103.45 103.98
2018-05 98.63 105.03 110.68 103.03 103.39
2018-06 98.02 103.49 113.33 103.77 104.1
2018-07 96.82 105.92 119.01 103.2 104.79
2018-08 97.41 107.12 114.13 104.57 105.1
2018-09 96.16 102.85 110.93 103.14 103.07
2018-10 96.83 106.76 111.65 104.49 104.55
2018-11 96.81 104.61 113.04 102.26 103.08
  • Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.

Figure 1 Monthly Industrial Production Indices

Over a year, manufacturing output diminished (−1.4%)

Manufacturing output of the last three months diminished compared to the same three months of 2017 (−1.4%), as well as in the whole industry (−1.2%).

Over a year, output diminished in most sectors. It went down in “other manufacturing” (−1.6%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.4%), in the manufacture of transport equipment (−1.1%), in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−4.7%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.2%). On the contrary, it increased slightly in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+0.2%).

Figure 2 Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production
NA : A10, (A17) Nov / Oct Oct. / Sept. Q-o-Q change (1) Year-on-year change (2)
BE: INDUSTRY –1.3 1.3 –0.9 –1.2
CZ: Manufacturing –1.4 1.4 –1.0 –1.4
(C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages 0.0 0.7 –0.8 –2.4
(C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products –10.6 –2.0 –3.9 –4.7
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods –2.0 3.8 –0.7 0.2
(C4): Manufacture of transport equipment 1.2 0.6 –3.1 –1.1
(C5): Other manufacturing –2.1 1.3 –0.5 –1.6
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management –0.9 0.3 –0.4 –0.2
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 1.4 –4.5 0.5 1.0
  • The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
  • (1) Last three months / previous three months
  • (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

Figure 3 Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production
NA : A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] Nov. 2018 Nov. / Oct Oct / Sept; Quarter-on-quarter change
BE: INDUSTRY 102.5 –1.3 1.3 –1.0
CZ: Manufacturing 103.1 –1.4 1.4 –1.1
(C1): Man. of food products and beverages 96.8 0.0 0.7 –0.8
(C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products 85.5 –10.6 –2.0 –3.9
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 104.6 –2.0 3.8 –0.7
[CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products 109.0 –2.0 1.0 0.7
[CJ] Man. of electrical equipment 98.4 –0.3 3.7 –2.3
[CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) 103.9 –2.9 6.8 –1.3
(C4): Man. of transport equipment 113.0 1.2 0.6 –3.2
[CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 107.7 –3.3 2.9 –2.6
[CL2] Man. of other transport equipment 117.3 4.8 –1.1 –3.7
(C5): Other manufacturing 102.3 –2.1 1.3 –0.5
[CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products 95.7 –2.5 5.2 –1.0
[CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media 99.2 –1.6 0.9 –0.3
[CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products 102.1 –3.2 0.2 –0.1
[CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 107.4 –3.8 3.9 –1.6
[CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products 103.4 –2.1 0.3 –1.2
[CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 102.2 –2.1 2.0 –0.1
[CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment 101.5 –0.7 0.3 –0.2
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 99.5 –0.9 0.3 –0.4
[BZ] Mining and quarrying 103.5 –2.9 1.5 –1.0
[DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply 99.6 –0.7 0.2 –0.8
[EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation 97.2 –1.9 0.6 4.0
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 102.8 1.4 –4.5 0.1
MIGs (2)
Capital goods 107.9 –0.4 1.5 –1.2
Intermediate goods 100.3 –2.2 1.1 –0.7
Consumer durables 94.9 –2.4 1.8 –4.1
Consumer non-durables 101.2 –1.3 2.0 –0.9
Energy 98.4 –1.4 0.1 –0.6
  • (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
  • 2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

In November, output slipped back in “other manufacturing” (−2.1% after +1.3%)

Output slipped back in chemicals (−3.2% after +0.2%), in the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (−2.1% after +2.0%), in pharmaceuticals (−3.8% after +3.9%), in rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (−2,1 % after +0.3%), in other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (−0.7% after +0.3%), in wood, paper and printing industries (−1.6% after +0.9%) and in textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (−2.5% after +5.2%).

Output slipped back in machinery and equipment goods (−2.0% after +3.8%)

Output slipped back sharply in the manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (–2.9% after +6.8%) and in that of computer, electronic and optical products (–2.0% after +1.0%). It decreased slightly in the manufacture of electrical equipment (–0.3% after +3.7%).

Output slipped back in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (−0.9% after +0.3%)

Output slipped back in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditionning supply (-0.7 % after +0.2%).

Output plummeted in petroleum and refined products (−10.6 % after −2.0%)

Output plummeted in petroleum and refined products because of strikes in factories.

Output kept growing in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.2% after +0.6%)

Output bounced back in the manufacture of other transport equipment (+4.8% after −1.1%). It slipped back in that of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (−3.3% after +2.9%).

Output was virtually stable in the manufacture of food products and beverages (after +0.7%)

Output was virtually stable due to an increase in manufacture of other food products and a decrease in distilling, rectifying and blending of spirits.

Figure 4 Revision of variations

(in percentage point)
Revision of variations
Oct./ Sept. Sept. / Aug. Aug. / July Q3 2018 / Q2 2018 2017 / 2016
Industry (BE) 0.02 –0.05 0.02 –0.04 0.01
raw serie 0.20 0.00 0.03 0.01 0.01
SA-WDA parameters –0.18 –0.05 –0.01 –0.05 0.00
Manufacturing (CZ) 0.05 –0.04 0.03 –0.04 0.01
raw serie 0.22 0.01 0.04 0.02 0.01
SA-WDA parameters –0.17 –0.05 –0.01 –0.06 0.00
  • How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA-WDA variation between September 2018 and October 2018 is revised by +0.05 points, +0.22 points are due to the revision of the raw series and −0.17 points to the updating of the SA-WDA parameters.
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

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