10 January 2019
2019- n° 3In November 2018, manufacturing output slipped back sharply (−1.4%) Industrial production index - November 2018
In November 2018, output slipped backsharply in the manufacturing industry (−1.4% after +1.4% in October) as well as in the whole industry (−1.3% after +1.3%).
All series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).
The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.
- Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−1.0%)
- Over a year, manufacturing output diminished (−1.4%)
- In November, output slipped back in “other manufacturing” (−2.1% after +1.3%)
- Output slipped back in machinery and equipment goods (−2.0% after +3.8%)
- Output slipped back in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (−0.9% after +0.3%)
- Output plummeted in petroleum and refined products (−10.6 % after −2.0%)
- Output kept growing in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.2% after +0.6%)
- Output was virtually stable in the manufacture of food products and beverages (after +0.7%)
In November 2018, output slipped backsharply in the manufacturing industry (−1.4% after +1.4% in October) as well as in the whole industry (−1.3% after +1.3%).
Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−1.0%)
Manufacturing output went down over the last three months (−1.0%), as well as in the whole industry (−0.9%).
Over the last three months, output decreased sharply in the manufacture of transport equipment (−3.1%). It decreased in “other manufacturing” (−0.5%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−0.8%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−0.7%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.4%). It dimished sharply in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−3.9%).
tableauFigure 1 – Monthly Industrial Production Indices
| (C1) | (C3) | (C4) | (C5) | CZ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-01 | 99.85 | 99.21 | 96.86 | 97.91 | 98.21 |
| 2014-02 | 100.89 | 101.45 | 97.0 | 99.99 | 99.85 |
| 2014-03 | 98.74 | 99.85 | 96.53 | 99.35 | 98.87 |
| 2014-04 | 100.81 | 98.72 | 97.95 | 99.38 | 99.27 |
| 2014-05 | 98.93 | 95.78 | 94.59 | 97.01 | 96.74 |
| 2014-06 | 98.95 | 98.66 | 98.98 | 98.45 | 98.55 |
| 2014-07 | 99.31 | 100.95 | 102.27 | 98.56 | 99.48 |
| 2014-08 | 98.23 | 94.15 | 98.58 | 98.48 | 97.79 |
| 2014-09 | 100.72 | 98.75 | 97.55 | 99.55 | 99.3 |
| 2014-10 | 99.04 | 96.71 | 97.52 | 98.18 | 98.0 |
| 2014-11 | 97.98 | 97.26 | 92.03 | 97.97 | 97.02 |
| 2014-12 | 100.26 | 103.46 | 99.47 | 99.66 | 100.29 |
| 2015-01 | 99.49 | 97.15 | 97.8 | 98.63 | 98.45 |
| 2015-02 | 98.32 | 96.8 | 101.68 | 99.68 | 99.4 |
| 2015-03 | 100.65 | 98.03 | 100.44 | 99.74 | 99.86 |
| 2015-04 | 99.64 | 99.78 | 97.64 | 99.35 | 99.28 |
| 2015-05 | 99.34 | 102.18 | 99.28 | 99.7 | 100.0 |
| 2015-06 | 101.54 | 104.1 | 100.07 | 99.79 | 100.64 |
| 2015-07 | 99.94 | 96.19 | 97.33 | 99.63 | 98.77 |
| 2015-08 | 100.33 | 101.12 | 104.12 | 100.52 | 100.92 |
| 2015-09 | 100.77 | 104.3 | 102.37 | 100.04 | 101.15 |
| 2015-10 | 100.69 | 101.31 | 101.41 | 99.89 | 100.49 |
| 2015-11 | 100.2 | 99.44 | 98.99 | 100.73 | 100.18 |
| 2015-12 | 99.09 | 99.61 | 98.89 | 102.3 | 100.85 |
| 2016-01 | 100.39 | 99.62 | 104.93 | 101.8 | 101.68 |
| 2016-02 | 100.51 | 101.82 | 104.38 | 100.0 | 100.91 |
| 2016-03 | 98.29 | 97.18 | 102.02 | 98.37 | 98.71 |
| 2016-04 | 98.34 | 99.51 | 107.34 | 100.56 | 101.1 |
| 2016-05 | 97.35 | 99.68 | 104.21 | 100.65 | 100.32 |
| 2016-06 | 96.93 | 97.4 | 104.21 | 99.33 | 99.04 |
| 2016-07 | 98.02 | 95.93 | 101.01 | 99.14 | 98.8 |
| 2016-08 | 98.79 | 102.44 | 105.06 | 100.68 | 101.24 |
| 2016-09 | 99.92 | 99.74 | 101.94 | 99.95 | 100.17 |
| 2016-10 | 98.02 | 96.57 | 103.7 | 98.05 | 98.67 |
| 2016-11 | 99.22 | 102.04 | 105.49 | 101.97 | 102.15 |
| 2016-12 | 98.63 | 100.55 | 104.91 | 100.54 | 100.93 |
| 2017-01 | 97.93 | 99.71 | 105.06 | 100.03 | 100.33 |
| 2017-02 | 98.45 | 100.92 | 104.4 | 100.82 | 100.86 |
| 2017-03 | 99.66 | 101.97 | 110.33 | 102.44 | 102.93 |
| 2017-04 | 98.2 | 101.04 | 101.46 | 101.54 | 100.95 |
| 2017-05 | 99.98 | 105.53 | 111.45 | 102.78 | 103.99 |
| 2017-06 | 99.43 | 102.46 | 106.83 | 102.14 | 102.47 |
| 2017-07 | 98.64 | 103.12 | 108.11 | 102.6 | 102.81 |
| 2017-08 | 99.45 | 102.39 | 116.39 | 101.42 | 103.33 |
| 2017-09 | 98.93 | 102.32 | 111.84 | 103.94 | 103.99 |
| 2017-10 | 99.24 | 107.01 | 112.2 | 105.73 | 105.7 |
| 2017-11 | 98.78 | 104.21 | 115.24 | 105.17 | 105.42 |
| 2017-12 | 96.76 | 105.36 | 113.33 | 105.61 | 105.25 |
| 2018-01 | 98.21 | 106.98 | 112.02 | 102.69 | 103.89 |
| 2018-02 | 98.0 | 105.05 | 108.49 | 102.92 | 103.23 |
| 2018-03 | 97.93 | 106.46 | 107.31 | 103.42 | 103.43 |
| 2018-04 | 99.33 | 103.38 | 112.96 | 103.45 | 103.98 |
| 2018-05 | 98.63 | 105.03 | 110.68 | 103.03 | 103.39 |
| 2018-06 | 98.02 | 103.49 | 113.33 | 103.77 | 104.1 |
| 2018-07 | 96.82 | 105.92 | 119.01 | 103.2 | 104.79 |
| 2018-08 | 97.41 | 107.12 | 114.13 | 104.57 | 105.1 |
| 2018-09 | 96.16 | 102.85 | 110.93 | 103.14 | 103.07 |
| 2018-10 | 96.83 | 106.76 | 111.65 | 104.49 | 104.55 |
| 2018-11 | 96.81 | 104.61 | 113.04 | 102.26 | 103.08 |
- Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.
graphiqueFigure 1 – Monthly Industrial Production Indices
- Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.
- Sources: INSEE, SSP, SDES.
Over a year, manufacturing output diminished (−1.4%)
Manufacturing output of the last three months diminished compared to the same three months of 2017 (−1.4%), as well as in the whole industry (−1.2%).
Over a year, output diminished in most sectors. It went down in “other manufacturing” (−1.6%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.4%), in the manufacture of transport equipment (−1.1%), in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−4.7%) and in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.2%). On the contrary, it increased slightly in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+0.2%).
tableauFigure 2 – Variation in the Industrial Production
| NA : A10, (A17) | Nov / Oct | Oct. / Sept. | Q-o-Q change (1) | Year-on-year change (2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE: INDUSTRY | –1.3 | 1.3 | –0.9 | –1.2 |
| CZ: Manufacturing | –1.4 | 1.4 | –1.0 | –1.4 |
| (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages | 0.0 | 0.7 | –0.8 | –2.4 |
| (C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products | –10.6 | –2.0 | –3.9 | –4.7 |
| (C3): Machinery and equipment goods | –2.0 | 3.8 | –0.7 | 0.2 |
| (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment | 1.2 | 0.6 | –3.1 | –1.1 |
| (C5): Other manufacturing | –2.1 | 1.3 | –0.5 | –1.6 |
| DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management | –0.9 | 0.3 | –0.4 | –0.2 |
| FZ: CONSTRUCTION | 1.4 | –4.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 |
- The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
- (1) Last three months / previous three months
- (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES
tableauFigure 3 – Variation in the Industrial Production
| NA : A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] | Nov. 2018 | Nov. / Oct | Oct / Sept; | Quarter-on-quarter change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE: INDUSTRY | 102.5 | –1.3 | 1.3 | –1.0 |
| CZ: Manufacturing | 103.1 | –1.4 | 1.4 | –1.1 |
| (C1): Man. of food products and beverages | 96.8 | 0.0 | 0.7 | –0.8 |
| (C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products | 85.5 | –10.6 | –2.0 | –3.9 |
| (C3): Machinery and equipment goods | 104.6 | –2.0 | 3.8 | –0.7 |
| [CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products | 109.0 | –2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| [CJ] Man. of electrical equipment | 98.4 | –0.3 | 3.7 | –2.3 |
| [CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) | 103.9 | –2.9 | 6.8 | –1.3 |
| (C4): Man. of transport equipment | 113.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | –3.2 |
| [CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers | 107.7 | –3.3 | 2.9 | –2.6 |
| [CL2] Man. of other transport equipment | 117.3 | 4.8 | –1.1 | –3.7 |
| (C5): Other manufacturing | 102.3 | –2.1 | 1.3 | –0.5 |
| [CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products | 95.7 | –2.5 | 5.2 | –1.0 |
| [CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media | 99.2 | –1.6 | 0.9 | –0.3 |
| [CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products | 102.1 | –3.2 | 0.2 | –0.1 |
| [CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations | 107.4 | –3.8 | 3.9 | –1.6 |
| [CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products | 103.4 | –2.1 | 0.3 | –1.2 |
| [CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment | 102.2 | –2.1 | 2.0 | –0.1 |
| [CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment | 101.5 | –0.7 | 0.3 | –0.2 |
| DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management | 99.5 | –0.9 | 0.3 | –0.4 |
| [BZ] Mining and quarrying | 103.5 | –2.9 | 1.5 | –1.0 |
| [DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply | 99.6 | –0.7 | 0.2 | –0.8 |
| [EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation | 97.2 | –1.9 | 0.6 | 4.0 |
| FZ: CONSTRUCTION | 102.8 | 1.4 | –4.5 | 0.1 |
| MIGs (2) | ||||
| Capital goods | 107.9 | –0.4 | 1.5 | –1.2 |
| Intermediate goods | 100.3 | –2.2 | 1.1 | –0.7 |
| Consumer durables | 94.9 | –2.4 | 1.8 | –4.1 |
| Consumer non-durables | 101.2 | –1.3 | 2.0 | –0.9 |
| Energy | 98.4 | –1.4 | 0.1 | –0.6 |
- (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
- 2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
- Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES
In November, output slipped back in “other manufacturing” (−2.1% after +1.3%)
Output slipped back in chemicals (−3.2% after +0.2%), in the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (−2.1% after +2.0%), in pharmaceuticals (−3.8% after +3.9%), in rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (−2,1 % after +0.3%), in other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (−0.7% after +0.3%), in wood, paper and printing industries (−1.6% after +0.9%) and in textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (−2.5% after +5.2%).
Output slipped back in machinery and equipment goods (−2.0% after +3.8%)
Output slipped back sharply in the manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (–2.9% after +6.8%) and in that of computer, electronic and optical products (–2.0% after +1.0%). It decreased slightly in the manufacture of electrical equipment (–0.3% after +3.7%).
Output slipped back in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (−0.9% after +0.3%)
Output slipped back in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditionning supply (-0.7 % after +0.2%).
Output plummeted in petroleum and refined products (−10.6 % after −2.0%)
Output plummeted in petroleum and refined products because of strikes in factories.
Output kept growing in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.2% after +0.6%)
Output bounced back in the manufacture of other transport equipment (+4.8% after −1.1%). It slipped back in that of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (−3.3% after +2.9%).
Output was virtually stable in the manufacture of food products and beverages (after +0.7%)
Output was virtually stable due to an increase in manufacture of other food products and a decrease in distilling, rectifying and blending of spirits.
tableauFigure 4 – Revision of variations
| Oct./ Sept. | Sept. / Aug. | Aug. / July | Q3 2018 / Q2 2018 | 2017 / 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry (BE) | 0.02 | –0.05 | 0.02 | –0.04 | 0.01 |
| raw serie | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| SA-WDA parameters | –0.18 | –0.05 | –0.01 | –0.05 | 0.00 |
| Manufacturing (CZ) | 0.05 | –0.04 | 0.03 | –0.04 | 0.01 |
| raw serie | 0.22 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| SA-WDA parameters | –0.17 | –0.05 | –0.01 | –0.06 | 0.00 |
- How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA-WDA variation between September 2018 and October 2018 is revised by +0.05 points, +0.22 points are due to the revision of the raw series and −0.17 points to the updating of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES
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