In October 2016, manufacturing output diminished again (−0.6%)Industrial production index - October 2016

In October 2016, output diminished again in the manufacturing industry (−0.6% after −1.4%). It decreased slightly in the whole industry (−0.2% after −1.4%).

Informations rapides
No 320
Paru le : 09/12/2016
Prochaine parution le : 07/07/2017 at 08:45 - May 2017

Please note: all the series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In October 2016, output diminished again in the manufacturing industry (−0.6% after −1.4%). It decreased slightly in the whole industry (−0.2% after −1.4%).

Manufacturing output increased over the past three months (+0.8%)

Over the past three months, output grew in the manufacturing industry (+0.8% q-o-q), as well as in the overall industry (+0.7% q-o-q).

Output increased in all branches. It rose markedly in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+2.5%) and in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+1.5%), and rebounded in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+18.5%). It went up slightly in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (+0.5%). Finally, it was virtually stable in “other manufacturing” (+0.1%) and stable in the manufacture of transport equipment.

Over a year, manufacturing output decreased (−0.5%)

Manufacturing output of the last three months diminished (−0.5% y-o-y) compared to the same months of 2015; so did overall industrial output (−0.8% y-o-y).

Over the year, output decreased sharply in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (−2.5%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−1.7%) and in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−1.5%). It diminished slightly in “other manufacturing” (−0.2%). Conversely, it increased in the manufacture of transport equipment (+0.9%) and, more moderately, in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+0.3%).

Graphique1a – Monthly Industrial Production Indices

  • Legend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing
  • Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS

Tableau1a – Variation in the Industrial Production

2010 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production
NA: A10, (A17) Oct. / Sept. Sept. / Aug. Q-o-Q change (1) Year on year change (2)
BE: INDUSTRY –0.2 –1.4 0.7 –0.8
CZ: Manufacturing –0.6 –1.4 0.8 –0.5
(C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages –2.3 0.7 1.5 –1.7
(C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 2.1 2.1 18.5 0.3
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 2.2 –4.7 2.5 –1.5
(C4): Manufacture of transport equipment 1.1 –2.2 0.0 0.9
(C5): Other manufacturing –1.3 –1.0 0.1 –0.2
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 2.5 –1.0 0.5 –2.5
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 2.1 –1.7 2.0 3.2
  • (1) Last three months / previous three months
  • (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
  • The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
  • Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS

Tableau2a – Variation in the Industrial Production

2010 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production
NA: A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] Oct. 2016 Oct. / Sept. Sept. / Aug. Quarter on quarter change
BE: INDUSTRY 100.5 –0.2 –1.4 0.7
CZ: Manufacturing 101.1 –0.6 –1.4 0.8
(C1): Man. of food products and beverages 99.5 –2.3 0.7 1.5
(C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products 89.9 2.1 2.1 18.5
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 102.1 2.2 –4.7 2.5
[CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products 101.8 –1.3 –3.5 –0.1
[CJ] Man. of electrical equipment 89.0 –1.3 –2.3 0.9
[CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) 110.0 7.5 –7.1 5.9
(C4): Man. of transport equipment 110.6 1.1 –2.2 0.0
[CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 101.5 3.0 –6.4 2.1
[CL2] Man. of other transport equipment 119.6 –0.4 1.5 –1.8
(C5): Other manufacturing 99.5 –1.3 –1.0 0.1
[CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products 93.0 6.0 –11.1 –0.2
[CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media 85.3 0.3 –1.6 –0.2
[CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products 115.7 –3.0 –0.9 4.2
[CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 107.3 0.0 –4.8 –4.9
[CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products 97.7 0.1 –3.2 1.3
[CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 94.8 –3.6 4.2 0.6
[CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment 99.4 –1.0 –0.5 –0.6
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 96.5 2.5 –1.0 0.5
[BZ] Mining and quarrying 92.6 –1.6 0.0 1.6
[DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply 96.0 3.2 –1.1 –0.3
[EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation 103.1 –0.1 –0.8 6.8
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 89.3 2.1 –1.7 2.0
MIGs (2)
Capital goods 104.2 1.1 –0.5 –0.1
Intermediate goods 97.7 –2.1 –0.6 2.3
Consumer durables 99.1 0.9 –16.8 2.7
Consumer non-durables 101.9 –1.1 –2.3 –0.5
Energy 96.0 2.7 –1.0 1.2
  • (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
  • (2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
  • Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS

In October, output declined again in “other manufacturing” (−1.3% after −1.0%)

Output fell back significantly in the manufacture of basic metals (−3.6% after +4.2%) and decreased sharply in chemicals (−3.0% after −0.9%). It dropped in other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment (−1.0% after −0.5%). By contrast, it recovered markedly in the manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (+6.0% after −11.1%).

Output slipped back sharply in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.3% after +0.7%)

Output fell back in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.3%), in particular in that of beverages and other food products (tea, coffee, prepared meals).

Output recovered in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply, waste management (+2.5% after −1.0%)

Output bounced back in particular in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply (+3.2% after −1.1%).

Output rallied in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+2.2% after −4.7%)

It bounced back vigorously in the manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (+7.5% after −7.1%). Conversely, it decreased again in the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products (−1.3% after −3.5%) and in that of electrical equipment (−1.3% after −2.3%).

Output picked up in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.1% after −2.2%)

Output rebounded sharply in the manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (+3.0%) after a steep decline in September (−6.4%). Conversely, it shrank in the manufacture of other transport equipment (−0.4% after +1.5%).

Output grew again in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+2.1%)

Output went up again in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+2.1%, as in September).

Revisions for September 2016

Tableau3a – Revision of variations

(in percentage points)
Revision of variations
Sept. / Aug. Aug. / July July / June Q3 2016 / Q2 2016 2015 / 2014
Industry (BE) –0.30 0.06 0.04 –0.05 0.05
raw series –0.41 –0.03 0.21 0.01 0.05
SA-WDA parameters 0.11 0.09 –0.17 –0.06 0.00
Manufacturing (CZ) –0.38 0.08 0.03 –0.03 0.06
raw series –0.55 0.00 0.22 0.06 0.05
SA-WDA parameters 0.17 0.08 –0.19 –0.09 0.01
  • How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA-WDA variation between August 2016 and September 2016 is revised by -0.38 points, -0.55 are due to the revision of the raw series and +0.17 to the updating of the SA-WDA parameters.
  • Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS