9 December 2016
2016- n° 320In October 2016, manufacturing output diminished again (−0.6%) Industrial production index - October 2016
In October 2016, output diminished again in the manufacturing industry (−0.6% after −1.4%). It decreased slightly in the whole industry (−0.2% after −1.4%).
Please note: all the series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).
The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.
In October 2016, output diminished again in the manufacturing industry (−0.6% after −1.4%). It decreased slightly in the whole industry (−0.2% after −1.4%).
Manufacturing output increased over the past three months (+0.8%)
Over the past three months, output grew in the manufacturing industry (+0.8% q-o-q), as well as in the overall industry (+0.7% q-o-q).
Output increased in all branches. It rose markedly in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+2.5%) and in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+1.5%), and rebounded in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+18.5%). It went up slightly in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (+0.5%). Finally, it was virtually stable in “other manufacturing” (+0.1%) and stable in the manufacture of transport equipment.
Over a year, manufacturing output decreased (−0.5%)
Manufacturing output of the last three months diminished (−0.5% y-o-y) compared to the same months of 2015; so did overall industrial output (−0.8% y-o-y).
Over the year, output decreased sharply in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (−2.5%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−1.7%) and in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−1.5%). It diminished slightly in “other manufacturing” (−0.2%). Conversely, it increased in the manufacture of transport equipment (+0.9%) and, more moderately, in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+0.3%).
graphiqueGraphique1a – Monthly Industrial Production Indices
- Legend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing
- Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS
tableauTableau1a – Variation in the Industrial Production
| NA: A10, (A17) | Oct. / Sept. | Sept. / Aug. | Q-o-Q change (1) | Year on year change (2) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE: INDUSTRY | –0.2 | –1.4 | 0.7 | –0.8 |
| CZ: Manufacturing | –0.6 | –1.4 | 0.8 | –0.5 |
| (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages | –2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 | –1.7 |
| (C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products | 2.1 | 2.1 | 18.5 | 0.3 |
| (C3): Machinery and equipment goods | 2.2 | –4.7 | 2.5 | –1.5 |
| (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment | 1.1 | –2.2 | 0.0 | 0.9 |
| (C5): Other manufacturing | –1.3 | –1.0 | 0.1 | –0.2 |
| DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management | 2.5 | –1.0 | 0.5 | –2.5 |
| FZ: CONSTRUCTION | 2.1 | –1.7 | 2.0 | 3.2 |
- (1) Last three months / previous three months
- (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
- The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
- Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS
tableauTableau2a – Variation in the Industrial Production
| NA: A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] | Oct. 2016 | Oct. / Sept. | Sept. / Aug. | Quarter on quarter change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BE: INDUSTRY | 100.5 | –0.2 | –1.4 | 0.7 |
| CZ: Manufacturing | 101.1 | –0.6 | –1.4 | 0.8 |
| (C1): Man. of food products and beverages | 99.5 | –2.3 | 0.7 | 1.5 |
| (C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products | 89.9 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 18.5 |
| (C3): Machinery and equipment goods | 102.1 | 2.2 | –4.7 | 2.5 |
| [CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products | 101.8 | –1.3 | –3.5 | –0.1 |
| [CJ] Man. of electrical equipment | 89.0 | –1.3 | –2.3 | 0.9 |
| [CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) | 110.0 | 7.5 | –7.1 | 5.9 |
| (C4): Man. of transport equipment | 110.6 | 1.1 | –2.2 | 0.0 |
| [CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers | 101.5 | 3.0 | –6.4 | 2.1 |
| [CL2] Man. of other transport equipment | 119.6 | –0.4 | 1.5 | –1.8 |
| (C5): Other manufacturing | 99.5 | –1.3 | –1.0 | 0.1 |
| [CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products | 93.0 | 6.0 | –11.1 | –0.2 |
| [CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media | 85.3 | 0.3 | –1.6 | –0.2 |
| [CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products | 115.7 | –3.0 | –0.9 | 4.2 |
| [CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations | 107.3 | 0.0 | –4.8 | –4.9 |
| [CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products | 97.7 | 0.1 | –3.2 | 1.3 |
| [CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment | 94.8 | –3.6 | 4.2 | 0.6 |
| [CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment | 99.4 | –1.0 | –0.5 | –0.6 |
| DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management | 96.5 | 2.5 | –1.0 | 0.5 |
| [BZ] Mining and quarrying | 92.6 | –1.6 | 0.0 | 1.6 |
| [DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply | 96.0 | 3.2 | –1.1 | –0.3 |
| [EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation | 103.1 | –0.1 | –0.8 | 6.8 |
| FZ: CONSTRUCTION | 89.3 | 2.1 | –1.7 | 2.0 |
| MIGs (2) | ||||
| Capital goods | 104.2 | 1.1 | –0.5 | –0.1 |
| Intermediate goods | 97.7 | –2.1 | –0.6 | 2.3 |
| Consumer durables | 99.1 | 0.9 | –16.8 | 2.7 |
| Consumer non-durables | 101.9 | –1.1 | –2.3 | –0.5 |
| Energy | 96.0 | 2.7 | –1.0 | 1.2 |
- (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
- (2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
- Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS
In October, output declined again in “other manufacturing” (−1.3% after −1.0%)
Output fell back significantly in the manufacture of basic metals (−3.6% after +4.2%) and decreased sharply in chemicals (−3.0% after −0.9%). It dropped in other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment (−1.0% after −0.5%). By contrast, it recovered markedly in the manufacture of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (+6.0% after −11.1%).
Output slipped back sharply in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.3% after +0.7%)
Output fell back in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−2.3%), in particular in that of beverages and other food products (tea, coffee, prepared meals).
Output recovered in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply, waste management (+2.5% after −1.0%)
Output bounced back in particular in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply (+3.2% after −1.1%).
Output rallied in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (+2.2% after −4.7%)
It bounced back vigorously in the manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (+7.5% after −7.1%). Conversely, it decreased again in the manufacture of computer, electronic and optical products (−1.3% after −3.5%) and in that of electrical equipment (−1.3% after −2.3%).
Output picked up in the manufacture of transport equipment (+1.1% after −2.2%)
Output rebounded sharply in the manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (+3.0%) after a steep decline in September (−6.4%). Conversely, it shrank in the manufacture of other transport equipment (−0.4% after +1.5%).
Output grew again in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+2.1%)
Output went up again in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (+2.1%, as in September).
Revisions for September 2016
tableauTableau3a – Revision of variations
| Sept. / Aug. | Aug. / July | July / June | Q3 2016 / Q2 2016 | 2015 / 2014 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Industry (BE) | –0.30 | 0.06 | 0.04 | –0.05 | 0.05 |
| raw series | –0.41 | –0.03 | 0.21 | 0.01 | 0.05 |
| SA-WDA parameters | 0.11 | 0.09 | –0.17 | –0.06 | 0.00 |
| Manufacturing (CZ) | –0.38 | 0.08 | 0.03 | –0.03 | 0.06 |
| raw series | –0.55 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| SA-WDA parameters | 0.17 | 0.08 | –0.19 | –0.09 | 0.01 |
- How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA-WDA variation between August 2016 and September 2016 is revised by -0.38 points, -0.55 are due to the revision of the raw series and +0.17 to the updating of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: INSEE, SSP, SOeS
Documentation
Methodology (pdf,163 Ko)
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