29 January 2013
2013- n° 25In January 2013, households’ confidence was stable Monthly consumer confidence survey - January 2013
In January 2013, households’ confidence in the economic situation was stable. The index remained however below its long term average.
In January 2013, households’ confidence in the economic situation was stable. The index remained however below its long term average.
Personal situation
Financial situation: almost stable
In January, households appreciation of their past financial situation was stable and their appreciation of their future financial situation was almost stable (–1 point). Their opinion on the timeliness to make major purchases decreased (-2 points). These three balances remained below their long term averages.
Savings: almost stable
Households’ opinion about their current savings capacity had been stable since December. Their opinion about their savings capacity in the next 12 months was almost stable in January (+1 point with respect to December). These two balances remained above their long-term averages.
Households were slightly less numerous in January than in December to think that it was a suitable moment to save: the corresponding balance lost 2 points in January, after a 14 points increase from July to December, but remained widely above its long-term average.
graphiqueGraph1_english – Consumer synthetic index
tableauTab_eng – CONSUMER OPINION: synthetic index and opinion balances
| 2012 | 2013 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average (1) | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. | Jan. | |
| Synthetic index (2) | 100 | 84 | 84 | 86 | 86 |
| Financial sit., past 12 m. | –19 | –29 | –31 | –29 | –29 |
| Financial sit., next 12 m. | –4 | –25 | –25 | –23 | –24 |
| Current saving capacity | 8 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
| Expected saving capacity | –10 | –3 | –1 | –2 | –1 |
| Savings intentions, next 12 m. | 18 | 34 | 37 | 38 | 36 |
| Major purchases intentions, next 12 m. | –14 | –29 | –28 | –28 | –30 |
| General economic sit., past 12 m. | –43 | –73 | –73 | –69 | –68 |
| General economic sit., next 12 m. | –23 | –60 | –55 | –53 | –55 |
| Unemployment, next 12 m. | 32 | 71 | 66 | 71 | 69 |
| Consumer prices, past 12 m. | –13 | 2 | –1 | –3 | –6 |
| Consumer prices, next 12 m. | –34 | –16 | –14 | –17 | –19 |
- (1) Average value between January 1987 and December 2012
- (2) This indicator is normalised in such a way that its average equals 100 and standard error equals 10 over the estimation period (1987-2012).
Economic situation in France
General economic situation : expectations decreasing
In January, households’ opinion about past general economic situation in France was almost stable (+1 point). Their opinion about future general economic situation slightly decreased in December (–2 points). These balances remained clearly below their long term averages.
Future unemployment: expectations increasing anew
Households were less numerous in January to forecast an increase in unemployment. After a 5 points increase in December, the balance of opinion bounced back by 2 points in January, remaining however widely above its long-term average.
Inflation’s appreciation: decreasing again
Households were slightly more numerous to estimate a slowing inflation: the corresponding balance lost 3 points in January, its lowest level since July 2010. Their opinion on future inflation decreased too (–2 points). These two balances remained above their long term averages.
graphiqueGraph2_english – Balances on personnal financial situation and gen-eral economic situation
graphiquechomage_en – Households' unemployment expectations
graphiqueprix_en – Households' perception of prices
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