25 September 2013
2013- n° 218In September 2013, the business climate improves again in services Monthly survey of services - September 2013
According to business managers, the economic situation in services has improved again in September 2013. The business climate composite indicator rises by four points, and reaches 93, yet still below its long-term average (100).
All services sector
According to business managers, the economic situation in services has improved again in September 2013. The business climate composite indicator rises by four points, and reaches 93, yet still below its long-term average (100).
Business managers consider that their activity has slightly picked up in the last few months and anticipate a further upturn. The general outlook rises by five points compared with August but remains below its long-term average. The turning point indicator indicates a favorable economic outlook dynamic.
Employment is still sluggish
In services sector (except temporary employment agencies), business managers remain pessimistic in their expectations for recruitment.
tableauTable_quarter – Economic outlook in the services sector
| Average* | June 13 | July 13 | Aug. 13 | Sept. 13 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Composite indicator | 100 | 84 | 86 | 89 | 93 |
| General outlook | –7 | –27 | –22 | –20 | –15 |
| Past activity | 3 | –12 | –16 | –16 | –13 |
| Expected activity | 3 | –14 | –14 | –11 | –7 |
| Expected demand | 0 | –16 | –13 | –8 | –3 |
| Business situation | –2 | –16 | –13 | –14 | –10 |
| Past selling prices | –3 | –12 | –12 | –11 | –11 |
| Expected selling prices | –2 | –12 | –13 | –10 | –10 |
| Past employment | 3 | –5 | –6 | –7 | –1 |
| except temporary work agencies | 1 | –8 | –5 | –11 | –7 |
| Expected employment | 2 | –8 | –7 | –4 | –1 |
| except temporary work agencies | 0 | –10 | –10 | –7 | –8 |
| Investments | |||||
| Past investments | 1 | –4 | –5 | –5 | –4 |
| Expected investments | 1 | –5 | 1 | –1 | 1 |
- * Average of the balances of opinion since 1988
- Source: Insee
graphiqueGraph1 – Composite indicator
graphiquegraph_retourn – Turning point indicator
- Note: close to 1 (respectively -1), this indicator indicates a favorable short-term economic situation (respectively unfavorable).
graphiqueGraph2 – Activity
Road transport
In road freight and mail activities, business managers assess that activity has remained dull in the recent period. However, their expectations of activity and demand are recovering.
Accommodation and food service activities
In accommodation and food service activities, business managers consider that activity has been sluggish in the recent months. However, they anticipate a recovery of demand for the coming months.
Information and communication
In information and communication, business managers indicate that activity has remained deteriorated over the last few months, but their expectations of demand for the next months are recovering.
Real estate activities
In real estate activities, the balance of opinion on past activity is almost steady. Business managers’ expectations of activity and demand are better than in august.
Professional, scientific and technical activities
In professional, scientific and technical activities, more business managers than in august estimate that activity has improved in the recent period. Conversely, their expectations of activity and demand remain gloomy.
Administrative and support service activities
In administrative and support service activities, business managers indicate that activity has recovered in the recent period. They revise their forecasts of activity and recruitment upward for the next few months.
graphiquegraph_bonus_ – Expected activity
tableauTable_det – Detailed data
| A21 | Average* | June 13 | July 13 | Aug. 13 | Sept. 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (H) Road transport | |||||
| Past activity | –8 | –26 | –31 | –21 | –20 |
| Expected activity | –10 | –30 | –24 | –21 | –10 |
| Expected demand | –13 | –31 | –29 | –21 | –13 |
| Past employment | –8 | –17 | –9 | –8 | –11 |
| Expected employment | –11 | –18 | –17 | –15 | –10 |
| (I) Accommodation and food service activities | |||||
| Past activity | –7 | –28 | –19 | –21 | –21 |
| Expected activity | –7 | –21 | –27 | –26 | –18 |
| Expected demand | –9 | –27 | –31 | –27 | –15 |
| Past employment | –4 | –14 | –11 | –22 | –14 |
| Expected employment | –5 | –14 | –13 | –17 | –14 |
| (J) Information and communication | |||||
| Past activity | 11 | –8 | –24 | –33 | –29 |
| Expected activity | 12 | –14 | –16 | –12 | –7 |
| Expected demand | 12 | –11 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| Past employment | 7 | –3 | –7 | –11 | –15 |
| Expected employment | 12 | –10 | –11 | –7 | –6 |
| (L) Real estate activities | |||||
| Past activity | 7 | 0 | –2 | 2 | 3 |
| Expected activity | 8 | 1 | –1 | 0 | 4 |
| Expected demand | 2 | –3 | –4 | –4 | 2 |
| Past employment | 3 | –3 | 1 | –5 | –1 |
| Expected employment | 2 | –5 | –5 | 1 | –4 |
| (M) Professional, scientific and technical activities | |||||
| Past activity | –1 | –14 | –14 | –13 | –8 |
| Expected activity | –2 | –14 | –16 | –9 | –10 |
| Expected demand | –5 | –21 | –21 | –13 | –12 |
| Past employment | 1 | –7 | –4 | –6 | –7 |
| Expected employment | 0 | –7 | –6 | –5 | –7 |
| (N) Administrative and support service activities | |||||
| Past activity | 6 | –8 | –11 | –8 | –4 |
| Expected activity | 5 | –9 | –6 | –3 | 3 |
| Expected demand | 3 | –12 | –8 | 3 | 1 |
| Past employment | 8 | 4 | –6 | 1 | 12 |
| Expected employment | 6 | –5 | 2 | 8 | 13 |
- * Average of the balances of opinion since 1988 (2006 for road transport)
Documentation
Methodology (2016) (pdf,158 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Time series : Economic outlook surveys – Services
