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Informations Rapides · 27 July 2021 · n° 192
Informations rapidesIn July 2021, real estate developers’ opinion on demand for new housing is virtually unchanged Quaterly business survey in the real-estate development - July 2021

In July 2021, the opinion of real estate developers on demand for new housing remains positive: the corresponding balance is virtually stable compared to April 2021, above its long-term average.

Informations rapides
No 192
Paru le :Paru le27/07/2021

In July 2021, the opinion of real estate developers on demand for new housing remains positive: the corresponding balance is virtually stable compared to April 2021, above its long-term average.

Prospects for housing starts have increased compared to April 2021

In July 2021, slightly more developers than in April have expected a rise in housing starts over the next three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has risen and has exceeded more clearly its long-term average. This rise affects both housing for sale and housing for rent.

At the same time, fewer developers than in April have reported an increase in their unsold dwelling stock. The corresponding balance has fallen back and has returned below its long-term average.

Housing average price have risen

In July 2021, many more real estate developers than in April have reported an increase in the housing average price for sale. The corresponding balance has increased for the fourth consecutive quarter and has reached its highest level since April 2006. Regarding financing, more developers than in April have deemed that downpayment to purchase new housing has increased over the last three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has grown again and stands well above its long-term average. Finally, many more developers than in the previous quarter have considered that the financing resources devoted to new home purchases will increase over the next three months. The corresponding balance has increased for the third consecutive quarter and has further exceeded its long-term average.

Real-estate development economic outlook

Balances of opinion, in %, SA
Real-estate development economic outlook (Balances of opinion, in %, SA) - NA : not available
Mean* Oct. 20 Jan. 21 Jan. 21 July 21
New dwelling demand -9 -18 -15 2 1
Expected housing starts -7 -11 -3 -3 0
- for sale -15 -20 -13 -13 -9
- for rent 1 8 14 14 16
Unsold dwelling stock tendency -26 -35 -26 -24 -30
Housing average price for sale 6 20 23 25 40
Downpayment -19 -8 -11 1 7
Financing capacity -20 -24 -11 -4 8
  • * Mean since July 1991.
  • NA : not available
  • Source: French business survey on real-estate development - INSEE

New dwelling demand tendency

New dwelling demand tendency
New dwelling demand tendency
2007-Q1 9.2
2007-Q2 1.4
2007-Q3 3.1
2007-Q4 -1.8
2008-Q1 -7.0
2008-Q2 -13.7
2008-Q3 -13.4
2008-Q4 -33.1
2009-Q1 -26.7
2009-Q2 -13.8
2009-Q3 -10.6
2009-Q4 -8.6
2010-Q1 -3.9
2010-Q2 -8.5
2010-Q3 -6.5
2010-Q4 -0.3
2011-Q1 -10.2
2011-Q2 -15.1
2011-Q3 -20.8
2011-Q4 -22.7
2012-Q1 -24.6
2012-Q2 -33.6
2012-Q3 -42.1
2012-Q4 -47.7
2013-Q1 -47.7
2013-Q2 -47.7
2013-Q3 -42.8
2013-Q4 -42.1
2014-Q1 -44.4
2014-Q2 -45.7
2014-Q3 -53.3
2014-Q4 -51.8
2015-Q1 -46.0
2015-Q2 -36.7
2015-Q3 -28.1
2015-Q4 -26.0
2016-Q1 -26.1
2016-Q2 -11.9
2016-Q3 -9.7
2016-Q4 -5.1
2017-Q1 -1.8
2017-Q2 -3.6
2017-Q3 -2.5
2017-Q4 -4.3
2018-Q1 -7.0
2018-Q2 -11.1
2018-Q3 -15.5
2018-Q4 -20.1
2019-Q1 -25.2
2019-Q2 -19.8
2019-Q3 -12.0
2019-Q4 -8.6
2020-Q1 -4.5
2020-Q2 NaN
2020-Q3 -13.2
2020-Q4 -17.5
2021-Q1 -15.0
2021-Q2 1.7
2021-Q3 1.3
  • Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available as the survey was canceled in the context of the health crisis.

New dwelling demand tendency

  • Data for the second quarter of 2020 are not available as the survey was canceled in the context of the health crisis.
  • Source: INSEE.

For further information

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

The responses to this survey have been collected between 28 June and 22 July 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 26 October 2021 at 12:00 am

Pour en savoir plus

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

The responses to this survey have been collected between 28 June and 22 July 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 26 October 2021 at 12:00 am

: bureau-de-presse@insee.fr