Insee
Informations Rapides · 22 April 2021
Informations rapidesIn April 2021, demand in the industrial sector has picked up and difficulties of supply have increased Quarterly business survey (goods-producing industries) - April 2021

The business leaders surveyed in April 2021 have indicated that demand has increased these last months and that this movement should continue for the next three months. Indeed, the balances of opinion on past demand, overall demand as well as foreign demand, have rebounded sharply this quarter after having fallen last January. Both of them are back above their average level. The balances on expected change in overall demand and foreign demand have also risen vigorously, and have gone back above their long-run averages.

Informations rapides
Paru le :Paru le22/04/2021
Prochaine parution le : 23/10/2025 at 08:45 - October 2025

Manufacturers have indicated that demand has grown in recent months and that this movement should continue

The business leaders surveyed in April 2021 have indicated that demand has increased these last months and that this movement should continue for the next three months. Indeed, the balances of opinion on past demand, overall demand as well as foreign demand, have rebounded sharply this quarter after having fallen last January. Both of them are back above their average level. The balances on expected change in overall demand and foreign demand have also risen vigorously, and have gone back above their long-run averages.

Opinion on global demand

Opinion on global demand
Past change Expected change
1998-Q1 26.6 14.4
1998-Q2 18.6 12.4
1998-Q3 18.0 11.9
1998-Q4 11.9 0.3
1999-Q1 4.5 -1.3
1999-Q2 -1.7 2.4
1999-Q3 13.2 11.9
1999-Q4 23.8 21.9
2000-Q1 30.3 15.1
2000-Q2 32.7 18.1
2000-Q3 28.6 20.4
2000-Q4 33.2 22.7
2001-Q1 11.9 15.3
2001-Q2 9.1 2.8
2001-Q3 -0.4 1.1
2001-Q4 -12.1 -13.3
2002-Q1 -23.8 -4.6
2002-Q2 -10.4 5.4
2002-Q3 -8.0 -1.8
2002-Q4 -19.2 -6.6
2003-Q1 -6.3 -1.6
2003-Q2 -22.0 -10.8
2003-Q3 -19.8 -7.8
2003-Q4 -9.1 1.4
2004-Q1 0.1 7.5
2004-Q2 10.0 9.1
2004-Q3 12.8 10.1
2004-Q4 8.5 14.4
2005-Q1 16.9 6.3
2005-Q2 -3.6 1.3
2005-Q3 2.0 5.5
2005-Q4 2.5 10.0
2006-Q1 14.8 7.4
2006-Q2 16.4 12.9
2006-Q3 13.1 9.4
2006-Q4 15.9 13.7
2007-Q1 13.2 10.6
2007-Q2 17.4 10.3
2007-Q3 23.1 14.6
2007-Q4 17.7 16.0
2008-Q1 16.5 13.8
2008-Q2 14.7 9.0
2008-Q3 -8.3 -13.1
2008-Q4 -21.7 -24.3
2009-Q1 -42.2 -36.4
2009-Q2 -53.1 -27.7
2009-Q3 -23.4 -11.8
2009-Q4 -12.0 -1.8
2010-Q1 9.4 -0.1
2010-Q2 6.3 2.1
2010-Q3 18.3 1.3
2010-Q4 17.3 10.9
2011-Q1 25.0 10.1
2011-Q2 20.8 8.6
2011-Q3 14.5 6.3
2011-Q4 0.7 -4.1
2012-Q1 -4.4 -7.4
2012-Q2 -2.7 3.4
2012-Q3 -16.0 -9.5
2012-Q4 -16.8 -7.5
2013-Q1 -15.5 -8.2
2013-Q2 -24.2 -4.3
2013-Q3 -10.5 -5.1
2013-Q4 -2.1 1.6
2014-Q1 2.7 2.7
2014-Q2 6.2 6.4
2014-Q3 -5.7 3.6
2014-Q4 -2.1 3.4
2015-Q1 -3.8 0.7
2015-Q2 4.1 6.5
2015-Q3 1.2 5.1
2015-Q4 5.4 6.8
2016-Q1 2.0 3.9
2016-Q2 12.9 7.7
2016-Q3 11.7 4.8
2016-Q4 4.5 7.4
2017-Q1 11.5 7.3
2017-Q2 10.4 8.9
2017-Q3 16.2 11.1
2017-Q4 18.8 17.1
2018-Q1 21.1 16.2
2018-Q2 17.6 13.8
2018-Q3 9.5 9.0
2018-Q4 -0.8 7.0
2019-Q1 1.7 11.1
2019-Q2 2.7 4.0
2019-Q3 -1.6 2.5
2019-Q4 3.4 -0.1
2020-Q1 -2.6 5.2
2020-Q2 -26.9 -64.6
2020-Q3 -43.6 6.8
2020-Q4 6.6 -3.7
2021-Q1 -5.0 -3.9
2021-Q2 8.5 7.7

Opinion on global demand

  • Source: INSEE

Industrialists’ opinion: demand and production factors

Balance of opinion, in % SA
Industrialists’ opinion: demand and production factors (Balance of opinion, in % SA)
Manufacturing industry Mean Jul. 20 Oct. 20 Jan. 21 Apr. 21
Overall demand
Past change 0 -44 7 -5 8
Expected change 1 7 -4 -4 8
Foreign demand
Past change 1 -57 -9 -14 6
Expected change 3 -10 -13 -9 4
Production factors
Production bottlenecks (in %) 23 27 28 26 31
Assessment of productive capacity 13 11 16 18 16
Production capacity utilisation rate (in %) 83 74 77 79 80
Difficulties of supply and demand (in %)
Difficulties of supply and demand 9 11 14 19 15
Difficulties of supply only 20 22 16 17 30
Difficulties of demand only 42 39 31 27 21
  • * : Long-term average since 1976, expect for supply and demand (since 1991).
  • The results of the latest survey are preliminary
  • Sources : INSEE – Quarterly business survey in industry

Difficulties of supply are being more frequent

In April 2021, many more business leaders than at the start of the year have experienced difficulties of supply preventing them from increasing production as they would have liked to.

The proportion of companies declaring only difficulties of supply has soared well above its average. The increase has been particularly marked in the manufacturing of transport equipment and to a lesser extent in the one of machinery and equipment goods. On the other hand, the share of companies declaring only demand difficulties has decreased. Finally, the proportion of companies declaring both supply and demand difficulties has declined.

Rising selling prices

As they have been more strongly constrained by difficulties of supply while demand has been recovering, the business leaders surveyed have stated that their selling prices have increased during the first quarter: they have estimated, on average, this increase to + 1.7% over the past three months. This estimate is the highest since April 2011. In addition, manufacturers are expecting a positive trend in selling prices over the next three months. The proportion of companies experiencing cash flow difficulties has been almost stable, and has remained lower than its average over the long term.

Recruitment difficulties have accumulated

The production capacity utilisation rate has grown weakly again. At 80%, it still remains slightly below its long-term level (83%). This indicator has been pulled down by the manufacturing of transport equipment, where it has remained well below its average level.

Production capacity utilisation rate

Production capacity utilisation rate
Production capacity utilisation rate
1998-Q1 83.0
1998-Q2 83.3
1998-Q3 84.6
1998-Q4 83.3
1999-Q1 84.0
1999-Q2 83.0
1999-Q3 83.5
1999-Q4 84.3
2000-Q1 83.8
2000-Q2 85.0
2000-Q3 85.5
2000-Q4 86.1
2001-Q1 86.2
2001-Q2 85.8
2001-Q3 84.9
2001-Q4 84.2
2002-Q1 84.1
2002-Q2 85.0
2002-Q3 84.1
2002-Q4 83.3
2003-Q1 83.4
2003-Q2 82.7
2003-Q3 82.6
2003-Q4 82.2
2004-Q1 82.7
2004-Q2 82.6
2004-Q3 82.8
2004-Q4 82.9
2005-Q1 82.7
2005-Q2 82.6
2005-Q3 82.8
2005-Q4 82.4
2006-Q1 83.4
2006-Q2 84.2
2006-Q3 85.1
2006-Q4 85.6
2007-Q1 84.8
2007-Q2 85.9
2007-Q3 85.9
2007-Q4 86.7
2008-Q1 86.4
2008-Q2 85.5
2008-Q3 84.9
2008-Q4 83.2
2009-Q1 75.4
2009-Q2 72.2
2009-Q3 73.3
2009-Q4 75.4
2010-Q1 75.2
2010-Q2 77.5
2010-Q3 77.9
2010-Q4 79.5
2011-Q1 80.7
2011-Q2 82.6
2011-Q3 82.5
2011-Q4 82.6
2012-Q1 81.3
2012-Q2 81.4
2012-Q3 80.5
2012-Q4 80.4
2013-Q1 80.9
2013-Q2 80.4
2013-Q3 80.2
2013-Q4 80.4
2014-Q1 80.7
2014-Q2 80.5
2014-Q3 81.9
2014-Q4 80.8
2015-Q1 80.8
2015-Q2 82.3
2015-Q3 82.0
2015-Q4 82.3
2016-Q1 81.0
2016-Q2 82.3
2016-Q3 83.5
2016-Q4 83.0
2017-Q1 84.0
2017-Q2 83.8
2017-Q3 84.6
2017-Q4 84.6
2018-Q1 85.9
2018-Q2 85.3
2018-Q3 85.4
2018-Q4 85.1
2019-Q1 84.9
2019-Q2 84.6
2019-Q3 83.7
2019-Q4 83.1
2020-Q1 82.8
2020-Q2 60.5
2020-Q3 74.5
2020-Q4 77.4
2021-Q1 78.9
2021-Q2 80.3

Production capacity utilisation rate

  • Source: INSEE

Concerning the change in the workforce size, the balances of opinion of industrialists have been practically unchanged compared to January, both for the recent past and for the near future. The two balances have remained above their average. However, the proportion of companies declaring hiring difficulties has increased sharply, after having remained below its average from July 2020 to January 2021.

Opinion on workforce size in the manufacturing industry

Opinion on workforce size in the manufacturing industry
Expected change Past change
1998-01 -6.5 -1.5
1998-02 NaN NaN
1998-03 NaN NaN
1998-04 -6.1 1.9
1998-05 NaN NaN
1998-06 NaN NaN
1998-07 -5.3 1.0
1998-08 NaN NaN
1998-09 NaN NaN
1998-10 -6.6 -1.7
1998-11 NaN NaN
1998-12 NaN NaN
1999-01 -7.2 -4.4
1999-02 NaN NaN
1999-03 NaN NaN
1999-04 -8.7 -7.5
1999-05 NaN NaN
1999-06 NaN NaN
1999-07 -5.6 -6.7
1999-08 NaN NaN
1999-09 NaN NaN
1999-10 1.6 7.1
1999-11 NaN NaN
1999-12 NaN NaN
2000-01 7.1 5.9
2000-02 NaN NaN
2000-03 NaN NaN
2000-04 6.1 6.4
2000-05 NaN NaN
2000-06 NaN NaN
2000-07 10.8 13.8
2000-08 NaN NaN
2000-09 NaN NaN
2000-10 13.0 15.6
2000-11 NaN NaN
2000-12 NaN NaN
2001-01 9.9 17.6
2001-02 NaN NaN
2001-03 NaN NaN
2001-04 6.2 9.6
2001-05 NaN NaN
2001-06 NaN NaN
2001-07 0.5 6.8
2001-08 NaN NaN
2001-09 NaN NaN
2001-10 -10.4 0.0
2001-11 NaN NaN
2001-12 NaN NaN
2002-01 -11.9 -8.6
2002-02 NaN NaN
2002-03 NaN NaN
2002-04 -8.1 -9.0
2002-05 NaN NaN
2002-06 NaN NaN
2002-07 -7.1 -9.6
2002-08 NaN NaN
2002-09 NaN NaN
2002-10 -13.4 -12.7
2002-11 NaN NaN
2002-12 NaN NaN
2003-01 -10.0 -15.3
2003-02 -17.9 -16.4
2003-03 -17.7 -14.3
2003-04 -18.1 -13.5
2003-05 -17.8 -17.7
2003-06 -23.2 -15.8
2003-07 -21.5 -18.1
2003-08 -21.5 -17.0
2003-09 -21.7 -16.2
2003-10 -20.1 -19.1
2003-11 -21.0 -18.9
2003-12 -21.4 -18.5
2004-01 -16.7 -17.1
2004-02 -18.1 -15.6
2004-03 -14.3 -15.4
2004-04 -12.7 -13.9
2004-05 -11.1 -13.9
2004-06 -12.8 -13.6
2004-07 -12.6 -12.5
2004-08 -12.0 -11.7
2004-09 -11.8 -10.9
2004-10 -11.7 -10.1
2004-11 -15.7 -9.0
2004-12 -16.1 -12.3
2005-01 -15.3 -10.7
2005-02 -15.8 -12.2
2005-03 -13.0 -12.7
2005-04 -16.9 -15.4
2005-05 -16.8 -13.2
2005-06 -15.0 -12.3
2005-07 -12.4 -12.7
2005-08 -12.2 -12.4
2005-09 -12.7 -12.1
2005-10 -14.2 -10.2
2005-11 -11.4 -9.6
2005-12 -12.1 -9.5
2006-01 -12.4 -9.5
2006-02 -9.5 -9.5
2006-03 -8.7 -7.5
2006-04 -8.1 -7.6
2006-05 -7.7 -5.8
2006-06 -7.5 -3.4
2006-07 -5.8 -2.9
2006-08 -5.6 -3.0
2006-09 -6.7 -3.1
2006-10 -6.0 -0.7
2006-11 -5.6 -4.4
2006-12 -4.5 -4.4
2007-01 -3.0 -4.9
2007-02 -3.3 -1.1
2007-03 -3.8 -0.5
2007-04 -2.1 1.9
2007-05 -1.7 2.4
2007-06 -1.7 2.2
2007-07 -3.4 0.6
2007-08 -0.9 1.0
2007-09 -0.5 1.2
2007-10 2.0 2.9
2007-11 2.4 3.6
2007-12 2.3 4.4
2008-01 1.8 5.3
2008-02 1.1 2.9
2008-03 -0.1 5.4
2008-04 0.0 3.5
2008-05 -4.8 -0.4
2008-06 -6.4 -2.2
2008-07 -9.0 -3.4
2008-08 -12.6 -5.3
2008-09 -15.2 -7.1
2008-10 -18.2 -8.1
2008-11 -29.2 -19.0
2008-12 -37.2 -23.7
2009-01 -35.1 -25.4
2009-02 -38.3 -31.2
2009-03 -40.8 -33.5
2009-04 -37.7 -34.5
2009-05 -35.5 -38.2
2009-06 -35.5 -38.5
2009-07 -30.1 -38.2
2009-08 -28.4 -31.9
2009-09 -27.7 -33.6
2009-10 -25.4 -31.0
2009-11 -22.5 -26.5
2009-12 -21.7 -25.1
2010-01 -18.7 -23.8
2010-02 -18.0 -21.1
2010-03 -17.4 -19.7
2010-04 -15.9 -18.6
2010-05 -12.2 -12.8
2010-06 -10.2 -10.0
2010-07 -9.2 -9.5
2010-08 -9.2 -7.5
2010-09 -2.9 -6.5
2010-10 -3.1 -3.6
2010-11 -1.4 0.3
2010-12 0.8 0.0
2011-01 1.4 -0.6
2011-02 3.4 1.9
2011-03 5.0 6.6
2011-04 2.0 6.8
2011-05 4.3 8.4
2011-06 7.3 11.6
2011-07 4.0 9.2
2011-08 -2.1 5.7
2011-09 -3.8 -0.2
2011-10 -7.2 2.0
2011-11 -8.1 0.0
2011-12 -12.7 -0.6
2012-01 -7.6 -2.3
2012-02 -9.9 -5.5
2012-03 -7.2 -2.7
2012-04 -7.6 -3.4
2012-05 -10.9 -4.5
2012-06 -12.6 -6.5
2012-07 -12.1 -6.5
2012-08 -15.4 -9.7
2012-09 -20.3 -14.2
2012-10 -16.9 -10.5
2012-11 -20.0 -16.6
2012-12 -18.9 -16.2
2013-01 -13.6 -11.8
2013-02 -18.2 -15.3
2013-03 -20.7 -16.5
2013-04 -15.2 -12.2
2013-05 -19.2 -15.7
2013-06 -20.9 -17.5
2013-07 -16.1 -13.5
2013-08 -16.5 -15.1
2013-09 -15.6 -12.6
2013-10 -12.0 -12.2
2013-11 -13.8 -12.7
2013-12 -11.4 -9.6
2014-01 -12.1 -10.1
2014-02 -13.1 -11.2
2014-03 -12.1 -10.7
2014-04 -11.7 -9.4
2014-05 -11.4 -8.1
2014-06 -12.2 -9.4
2014-07 -10.3 -5.7
2014-08 -12.7 -9.5
2014-09 -13.6 -9.4
2014-10 -12.6 -10.1
2014-11 -13.5 -10.9
2014-12 -12.8 -13.0
2015-01 -12.9 -11.5
2015-02 -11.4 -11.9
2015-03 -10.5 -9.8
2015-04 -9.8 -8.2
2015-05 -10.5 -8.1
2015-06 -8.9 -9.0
2015-07 -9.6 -8.1
2015-08 -8.9 -7.0
2015-09 -6.7 -7.8
2015-10 -8.6 -7.7
2015-11 -4.6 -6.1
2015-12 -6.9 -8.7
2016-01 -6.1 -7.2
2016-02 -7.6 -7.4
2016-03 -6.2 -5.8
2016-04 -7.6 -6.3
2016-05 -6.2 -4.4
2016-06 -6.3 -5.2
2016-07 -7.1 -6.5
2016-08 -8.8 -4.5
2016-09 -4.9 -7.2
2016-10 -3.4 -5.5
2016-11 -3.3 -3.4
2016-12 -3.1 -0.5
2017-01 -5.6 -4.0
2017-02 -3.5 -1.3
2017-03 -2.0 0.5
2017-04 -4.1 -3.0
2017-05 -2.4 -1.2
2017-06 -3.3 -1.3
2017-07 -1.5 0.2
2017-08 -0.8 -0.7
2017-09 0.0 -1.5
2017-10 0.8 2.4
2017-11 3.5 2.1
2017-12 1.6 5.7
2018-01 2.9 4.4
2018-02 4.6 4.0
2018-03 4.8 3.3
2018-04 3.8 3.6
2018-05 3.2 3.6
2018-06 3.8 3.1
2018-07 1.0 2.8
2018-08 1.8 0.5
2018-09 1.9 2.2
2018-10 0.5 0.3
2018-11 -0.4 -1.6
2018-12 4.2 1.3
2019-01 0.1 -0.1
2019-02 0.1 0.7
2019-03 0.4 2.4
2019-04 1.9 6.2
2019-05 0.3 2.2
2019-06 -1.2 1.1
2019-07 -1.8 1.2
2019-08 -0.7 0.5
2019-09 2.5 3.1
2019-10 -2.2 -1.1
2019-11 -1.3 -1.4
2019-12 -0.2 -2.3
2020-01 -2.4 -2.8
2020-02 -2.2 -1.9
2020-03 -4.6 -3.1
2020-04 -32.2 -10.2
2020-05 -25.9 -23.9
2020-06 -20.4 -29.3
2020-07 -15.1 -25.6
2020-08 -15.3 -22.7
2020-09 -12.8 -16.7
2020-10 -14.0 -15.3
2020-11 -14.4 -9.1
2020-12 -10.6 -9.4
2021-01 -7.1 -9.2
2021-02 -8.6 -10.6
2021-03 -3.8 -5.9
2021-04 -5.9 -9.7

Opinion on workforce size in the manufacturing industry

  • Source: INSEE.

Industrialists’ opinion: employment, competitive position, cash-flow and selling prices

Balance of opinion, in % SA
Industrialists’ opinion: employment, competitive position, cash-flow and selling prices (Balance of opinion, in % SA)
Manufacturing industry Mean Jul. 20 Oct. 20 Jan. 21 Apr. 21
Workforce size
Past change -11 -26 -15 -9 -10
Expected change -12 -15 -14 -7 -6
Hiring difficulties (in %) 30 27 29 29 37
Selling prices and cash-flow
Past change in selling prices (in %) 0,1 -0,6 0,1 0,2 1,7
Expected change in selling prices (in %) 0,2 0,3 0 0,1 0,7
Cash-flow problems (in %) 14 18 15 8 7
Competitive position
On the domestic market 1 -13 4 -1 3
On foreign markets inside EU -2 -24 -8 -4 -2
On foreign markets outside EU -2 -27 0 -4 -2
General exportation expectations -9 -20 -21 -19 -9
  • * : Long-term average since 1991, except for workforce change (since 1976) and for competitive position by market (since 1997).
  • The results of the latest survey are preliminary
  • A quantitative question is asked about selling prices.
  • Source : INSEE – Quarterly business survey in industry

For further information

The quarterly questions complete the monthly survey published in the version dated 22 April 2021, especially as regards demand and production factors.

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Since the definitive data of April 2020, the way of correcting non-response has been modified. The usual method was to fill in missing answers by carrying on past answers from non-responding companies. Results are now computed on the sole basis of responding companies.

Answers to this survey have been collected from 28 March 2021 to 19 April 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab on this page.

Next issue: 22 July 2021 at 8:45 am

Pour en savoir plus

The quarterly questions complete the monthly survey published in the version dated 22 April 2021, especially as regards demand and production factors.

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Since the definitive data of April 2020, the way of correcting non-response has been modified. The usual method was to fill in missing answers by carrying on past answers from non-responding companies. Results are now computed on the sole basis of responding companies.

Answers to this survey have been collected from 28 March 2021 to 19 April 2021.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab on this page.

Next issue: 22 July 2021 at 8:45 am

: bureau-de-presse@insee.fr