27 August 2020
2020- n° 214In August 2020, the business climate in retail trade has continued to recover Monthly survey of retailing - August 2020
In August 2020, according to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has continued its recovery which began in May after the unprecedented low point in April. The indicator that synthesizes it has gained 5 points. At 93, the business climate remains clearly below its long-term average (100).
Since the definitive data of April 2020, the correction mode of non-response has been modified compared to the previous method which was to carry on past answers from non-responding companies. We have now, considered that non-responding units would have answered as their elementary stratum’s units average.
In August 2020, according to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has continued its recovery which began in May after the unprecedented low point in April. The indicator that synthesizes it has gained 5 points. At 93, the business climate remains clearly below its long-term average (100).
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 1998-01 | 107.6 |
| 1998-02 | 110.9 |
| 1998-03 | 109.2 |
| 1998-04 | 106.4 |
| 1998-05 | 108.4 |
| 1998-06 | 111.4 |
| 1998-07 | 114.2 |
| 1998-08 | 112.7 |
| 1998-09 | 111.6 |
| 1998-10 | 111.9 |
| 1998-11 | 109.7 |
| 1998-12 | 107.4 |
| 1999-01 | 107.9 |
| 1999-02 | 108.3 |
| 1999-03 | 109.3 |
| 1999-04 | 109.3 |
| 1999-05 | 108.1 |
| 1999-06 | 106.5 |
| 1999-07 | 110.5 |
| 1999-08 | 114.0 |
| 1999-09 | 117.9 |
| 1999-10 | 120.6 |
| 1999-11 | 119.0 |
| 1999-12 | 123.1 |
| 2000-01 | 116.8 |
| 2000-02 | 116.9 |
| 2000-03 | 119.0 |
| 2000-04 | 121.1 |
| 2000-05 | 117.9 |
| 2000-06 | 116.1 |
| 2000-07 | 121.6 |
| 2000-08 | 121.3 |
| 2000-09 | 121.4 |
| 2000-10 | 119.0 |
| 2000-11 | 115.4 |
| 2000-12 | 116.0 |
| 2001-01 | 114.9 |
| 2001-02 | 115.9 |
| 2001-03 | 115.4 |
| 2001-04 | 111.7 |
| 2001-05 | 112.2 |
| 2001-06 | 111.6 |
| 2001-07 | 106.9 |
| 2001-08 | 105.9 |
| 2001-09 | 105.2 |
| 2001-10 | 102.5 |
| 2001-11 | 102.3 |
| 2001-12 | 105.5 |
| 2002-01 | 105.2 |
| 2002-02 | 101.0 |
| 2002-03 | 103.2 |
| 2002-04 | 104.3 |
| 2002-05 | 104.4 |
| 2002-06 | 106.7 |
| 2002-07 | 106.1 |
| 2002-08 | 104.5 |
| 2002-09 | 103.0 |
| 2002-10 | 98.7 |
| 2002-11 | 102.5 |
| 2002-12 | 102.5 |
| 2003-01 | 98.1 |
| 2003-02 | 94.5 |
| 2003-03 | 88.5 |
| 2003-04 | 84.8 |
| 2003-05 | 94.3 |
| 2003-06 | 93.7 |
| 2003-07 | 92.7 |
| 2003-08 | 91.9 |
| 2003-09 | 90.8 |
| 2003-10 | 92.0 |
| 2003-11 | 96.6 |
| 2003-12 | 96.5 |
| 2004-01 | 104.8 |
| 2004-02 | 104.3 |
| 2004-03 | 103.5 |
| 2004-04 | 102.9 |
| 2004-05 | 102.8 |
| 2004-06 | 101.1 |
| 2004-07 | 103.4 |
| 2004-08 | 103.9 |
| 2004-09 | 104.1 |
| 2004-10 | 105.2 |
| 2004-11 | 101.9 |
| 2004-12 | 100.4 |
| 2005-01 | 105.8 |
| 2005-02 | 102.9 |
| 2005-03 | 103.6 |
| 2005-04 | 102.7 |
| 2005-05 | 100.9 |
| 2005-06 | 97.1 |
| 2005-07 | 95.1 |
| 2005-08 | 96.7 |
| 2005-09 | 97.8 |
| 2005-10 | 100.4 |
| 2005-11 | 99.0 |
| 2005-12 | 102.9 |
| 2006-01 | 102.2 |
| 2006-02 | 101.4 |
| 2006-03 | 101.5 |
| 2006-04 | 102.2 |
| 2006-05 | 105.2 |
| 2006-06 | 106.8 |
| 2006-07 | 107.8 |
| 2006-08 | 108.9 |
| 2006-09 | 109.7 |
| 2006-10 | 111.0 |
| 2006-11 | 109.3 |
| 2006-12 | 107.4 |
| 2007-01 | 106.6 |
| 2007-02 | 111.3 |
| 2007-03 | 110.2 |
| 2007-04 | 111.9 |
| 2007-05 | 113.7 |
| 2007-06 | 119.3 |
| 2007-07 | 116.1 |
| 2007-08 | 114.4 |
| 2007-09 | 112.5 |
| 2007-10 | 110.8 |
| 2007-11 | 112.7 |
| 2007-12 | 113.6 |
| 2008-01 | 109.6 |
| 2008-02 | 108.1 |
| 2008-03 | 107.9 |
| 2008-04 | 103.0 |
| 2008-05 | 102.1 |
| 2008-06 | 99.1 |
| 2008-07 | 96.0 |
| 2008-08 | 92.9 |
| 2008-09 | 93.9 |
| 2008-10 | 81.1 |
| 2008-11 | 81.0 |
| 2008-12 | 76.1 |
| 2009-01 | 76.8 |
| 2009-02 | 78.3 |
| 2009-03 | 78.1 |
| 2009-04 | 74.5 |
| 2009-05 | 78.0 |
| 2009-06 | 77.7 |
| 2009-07 | 83.6 |
| 2009-08 | 84.8 |
| 2009-09 | 88.5 |
| 2009-10 | 90.7 |
| 2009-11 | 95.9 |
| 2009-12 | 95.5 |
| 2010-01 | 97.3 |
| 2010-02 | 97.5 |
| 2010-03 | 97.1 |
| 2010-04 | 101.9 |
| 2010-05 | 101.1 |
| 2010-06 | 99.6 |
| 2010-07 | 100.6 |
| 2010-08 | 104.8 |
| 2010-09 | 105.1 |
| 2010-10 | 106.5 |
| 2010-11 | 103.2 |
| 2010-12 | 106.6 |
| 2011-01 | 105.5 |
| 2011-02 | 105.6 |
| 2011-03 | 103.3 |
| 2011-04 | 102.7 |
| 2011-05 | 103.8 |
| 2011-06 | 101.9 |
| 2011-07 | 101.6 |
| 2011-08 | 97.9 |
| 2011-09 | 93.7 |
| 2011-10 | 94.6 |
| 2011-11 | 93.3 |
| 2011-12 | 92.8 |
| 2012-01 | 88.4 |
| 2012-02 | 90.0 |
| 2012-03 | 93.4 |
| 2012-04 | 95.7 |
| 2012-05 | 90.2 |
| 2012-06 | 92.3 |
| 2012-07 | 87.9 |
| 2012-08 | 89.8 |
| 2012-09 | 85.7 |
| 2012-10 | 87.2 |
| 2012-11 | 87.5 |
| 2012-12 | 86.9 |
| 2013-01 | 85.0 |
| 2013-02 | 88.3 |
| 2013-03 | 85.4 |
| 2013-04 | 83.4 |
| 2013-05 | 82.8 |
| 2013-06 | 83.9 |
| 2013-07 | 85.0 |
| 2013-08 | 92.4 |
| 2013-09 | 96.2 |
| 2013-10 | 94.7 |
| 2013-11 | 90.2 |
| 2013-12 | 93.4 |
| 2014-01 | 94.7 |
| 2014-02 | 93.8 |
| 2014-03 | 94.2 |
| 2014-04 | 95.5 |
| 2014-05 | 95.4 |
| 2014-06 | 93.6 |
| 2014-07 | 95.4 |
| 2014-08 | 89.7 |
| 2014-09 | 87.8 |
| 2014-10 | 88.0 |
| 2014-11 | 91.4 |
| 2014-12 | 93.3 |
| 2015-01 | 96.9 |
| 2015-02 | 100.1 |
| 2015-03 | 100.5 |
| 2015-04 | 101.2 |
| 2015-05 | 101.4 |
| 2015-06 | 102.7 |
| 2015-07 | 102.1 |
| 2015-08 | 104.7 |
| 2015-09 | 104.7 |
| 2015-10 | 106.7 |
| 2015-11 | 103.5 |
| 2015-12 | 100.6 |
| 2016-01 | 103.6 |
| 2016-02 | 101.4 |
| 2016-03 | 102.3 |
| 2016-04 | 102.2 |
| 2016-05 | 104.9 |
| 2016-06 | 102.5 |
| 2016-07 | 103.7 |
| 2016-08 | 103.5 |
| 2016-09 | 102.3 |
| 2016-10 | 101.3 |
| 2016-11 | 103.5 |
| 2016-12 | 107.8 |
| 2017-01 | 106.2 |
| 2017-02 | 105.0 |
| 2017-03 | 106.2 |
| 2017-04 | 104.7 |
| 2017-05 | 106.1 |
| 2017-06 | 110.5 |
| 2017-07 | 111.2 |
| 2017-08 | 108.6 |
| 2017-09 | 112.7 |
| 2017-10 | 114.5 |
| 2017-11 | 115.5 |
| 2017-12 | 116.0 |
| 2018-01 | 115.2 |
| 2018-02 | 115.6 |
| 2018-03 | 113.0 |
| 2018-04 | 112.6 |
| 2018-05 | 112.2 |
| 2018-06 | 112.2 |
| 2018-07 | 113.1 |
| 2018-08 | 111.4 |
| 2018-09 | 108.6 |
| 2018-10 | 105.7 |
| 2018-11 | 107.0 |
| 2018-12 | 99.4 |
| 2019-01 | 99.8 |
| 2019-02 | 101.9 |
| 2019-03 | 102.6 |
| 2019-04 | 106.2 |
| 2019-05 | 104.1 |
| 2019-06 | 103.9 |
| 2019-07 | 105.0 |
| 2019-08 | 99.8 |
| 2019-09 | 105.3 |
| 2019-10 | 105.0 |
| 2019-11 | 105.9 |
| 2019-12 | 108.2 |
| 2020-01 | 104.2 |
| 2020-02 | 105.3 |
| 2020-03 | 91.0 |
| 2020-04 | 60.1 |
| 2020-05 | 62.9 |
| 2020-06 | 84.4 |
| 2020-07 | 88.0 |
| 2020-08 | 93.1 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE
Sharp improvement in the opinion on recent sales
In August 2020, the balance of opinion of business managers on sales over the last three months has continued to recover, much more strongly than in July, and is now close to its long-term average.
The balances of opinion on general business outlook for the sector and on ordering intentions are virtually stable. The former remains significantly below its average, whereas the latter has moved closer to its own. The balance of opinion on expected sales has declined, thus remaining below its average, while the one on expected selling prices has increased again. Finally, the level of stocks are more often deemed lower than normal: the corresponding balance of opinion has gone down for the third consecutive month.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Moy.(1) | May 20 | June 20 | July 20 | Aug. 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 63 | 84 | 88 | 93 |
| General business outlook | -28 | -69 | -38 | -40 | -39 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -56 | -48 | -40 | -8 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -50 | -5 | -3 | -7 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -46 | -13 | -7 | -8 |
| Stocks | 11 | 21 | 20 | 9 | 5 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -6 | -8 | -5 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -3 | -8 | -4 | -3 | 0 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -46 | -19 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 0 | -23 | -25 | -21 | -18 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -34 | -24 | -17 | -9 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -13.1 | -4.8 |
| 2010-02 | -9.7 | -13.2 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.2 |
| 2010-04 | -4.6 | -3.0 |
| 2010-05 | -6.7 | 2.2 |
| 2010-06 | -5.2 | -0.9 |
| 2010-07 | -8.0 | -5.1 |
| 2010-08 | -2.2 | 4.2 |
| 2010-09 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| 2010-10 | 2.0 | -3.9 |
| 2010-11 | -5.3 | -8.1 |
| 2010-12 | -1.2 | 4.1 |
| 2011-01 | -1.4 | 4.3 |
| 2011-02 | -2.5 | 1.6 |
| 2011-03 | -5.7 | -6.3 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.5 |
| 2011-05 | -7.8 | 3.5 |
| 2011-06 | -11.6 | 0.2 |
| 2011-07 | -11.9 | -9.3 |
| 2011-08 | -11.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-09 | -13.3 | -17.3 |
| 2011-10 | -13.0 | -15.7 |
| 2011-11 | -13.0 | -13.2 |
| 2011-12 | -14.0 | -17.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.4 | -20.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.3 | -15.3 |
| 2012-03 | -15.7 | -12.4 |
| 2012-04 | -13.5 | -8.2 |
| 2012-05 | -17.0 | -14.9 |
| 2012-06 | -12.8 | -18.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.7 | -19.4 |
| 2012-08 | -15.4 | -8.2 |
| 2012-09 | -22.1 | -23.8 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -22.9 |
| 2012-11 | -18.6 | -16.6 |
| 2012-12 | -18.2 | -21.0 |
| 2013-01 | -24.9 | -17.2 |
| 2013-02 | -13.6 | -27.2 |
| 2013-03 | -16.6 | -25.9 |
| 2013-04 | -19.4 | -31.8 |
| 2013-05 | -22.0 | -29.9 |
| 2013-06 | -19.2 | -24.4 |
| 2013-07 | -23.2 | -26.1 |
| 2013-08 | -13.7 | -18.3 |
| 2013-09 | -7.8 | -12.8 |
| 2013-10 | -13.9 | -11.4 |
| 2013-11 | -13.8 | -13.0 |
| 2013-12 | -15.8 | -10.5 |
| 2014-01 | -11.8 | -10.6 |
| 2014-02 | -12.8 | -13.1 |
| 2014-03 | -10.4 | -17.0 |
| 2014-04 | -9.5 | -21.3 |
| 2014-05 | -11.6 | -14.8 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-07 | -10.4 | -5.9 |
| 2014-08 | -17.5 | -19.8 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-10 | -17.8 | -23.6 |
| 2014-11 | -13.7 | -14.8 |
| 2014-12 | -13.2 | -10.1 |
| 2015-01 | -4.0 | -8.6 |
| 2015-02 | -1.7 | -4.4 |
| 2015-03 | -2.8 | -5.6 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.5 |
| 2015-05 | -2.9 | -4.4 |
| 2015-06 | -1.5 | -8.3 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.6 | 8.1 |
| 2015-09 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| 2015-10 | -1.1 | 4.5 |
| 2015-11 | -3.2 | 3.0 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.2 |
| 2016-01 | -5.6 | -4.9 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.3 |
| 2016-03 | -3.2 | -5.4 |
| 2016-04 | -9.0 | 1.6 |
| 2016-05 | -3.7 | 4.8 |
| 2016-06 | -4.1 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -4.8 | -5.0 |
| 2016-08 | -4.0 | -4.1 |
| 2016-09 | -5.5 | -10.6 |
| 2016-10 | -9.8 | -10.6 |
| 2016-11 | -8.0 | -6.3 |
| 2016-12 | 0.7 | -1.1 |
| 2017-01 | -0.1 | 2.4 |
| 2017-02 | -0.6 | 4.3 |
| 2017-03 | 0.4 | -2.4 |
| 2017-04 | -2.5 | -12.1 |
| 2017-05 | -1.0 | -5.2 |
| 2017-06 | -0.5 | -5.2 |
| 2017-07 | 1.1 | 8.2 |
| 2017-08 | -6.3 | 0.3 |
| 2017-09 | 4.6 | -5.2 |
| 2017-10 | 7.6 | -3.0 |
| 2017-11 | 9.8 | -6.7 |
| 2017-12 | 6.9 | 0.4 |
| 2018-01 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 2018-02 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| 2018-03 | 2.0 | -8.8 |
| 2018-04 | 3.1 | -8.9 |
| 2018-05 | 4.6 | -6.9 |
| 2018-06 | 5.7 | -8.1 |
| 2018-07 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| 2018-08 | 8.2 | 2.0 |
| 2018-09 | 1.5 | -1.2 |
| 2018-10 | -5.0 | -9.9 |
| 2018-11 | 0.9 | -7.5 |
| 2018-12 | -4.5 | -9.2 |
| 2019-01 | -7.8 | -7.9 |
| 2019-02 | -5.6 | -9.8 |
| 2019-03 | -2.8 | -18.3 |
| 2019-04 | 1.5 | -12.3 |
| 2019-05 | -4.4 | -11.0 |
| 2019-06 | -7.2 | -8.6 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| 2019-08 | -12.5 | -3.7 |
| 2019-09 | -4.0 | -2.7 |
| 2019-10 | -5.9 | -8.1 |
| 2019-11 | 0.5 | -6.7 |
| 2019-12 | 2.9 | -1.3 |
| 2020-01 | -3.7 | 12.5 |
| 2020-02 | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2020-03 | -12.8 | -4.7 |
| 2020-04 | -55.3 | -3.6 |
| 2020-05 | -45.6 | -56.3 |
| 2020-06 | -13.3 | -48.1 |
| 2020-07 | -7.4 | -40.3 |
| 2020-08 | -7.7 | -8.5 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE
Less and less deteriorated job prospects
In August 2020, the balance of opinion on the expected change in workforce size for the next three months has continued its recovery started in May. This improvement can be seen in both retail trade and automobile trade and repair. Whereas the corresponding balance has returned above its long-term average in automobile trade and repair, it remains below its own in retail trade.
The balance of opinion on recent trend of workforce size has increased slightly again, due to a marked improvement in the automobile trade and repair, while it is stable in retail trade. In the first sub-sector, this balance has returned above its long-term average.
Surge in the balances of opinion on recent sales at branch level
In August 2020, in the retail trade subsector, the business climate has continued to recover, more markedly than in July. At 84, it has gained 7 points but remains well below its average (100).
In trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has also continued to recover. At 103 it has gained 6 points, returning above its average (100).
The improvement in the business climate in these two subsectors is mainly due to the sharp rise in the balances of opinion on sales over the past three months. In August 2020, this balance has jumped in trade and repair of motor vehicles, where it has returned above its long-term average, and has increased markedly in retail trade. However, while it has grown strongly in specialized retail trade, it has fallen again in non-specialized retail trade.
The other balances have contributed more modestly to the variation in the business climate indicators. The balance on the general business outlook for the sector has bounced back in retail trade while it has weakened in trade and repair of motor vehicles. These two balances stand well below their average.
The balance of opinion of retailers on ordering intentions has edged up due to a sharp recovery in specialized retail trade. However, it remains below its average. In trade and repair of motor vehicles, business leaders are more temperate than in July about their ordering intentions: this balance has declined after three consecutive months of increase following the April low. However, it remains clearly above his average.
Revisions
The subsectoral business climate in trade and repair of motor vehicles for July 2020 has been revised downwards by one point. This revision is mainly explained by the inclusion of late responses from businesses.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14.4 | 12.0 |
| 2010-02 | -19.2 | 0.8 |
| 2010-03 | -21.0 | -22.9 |
| 2010-04 | -16.2 | -3.5 |
| 2010-05 | -21.0 | -0.4 |
| 2010-06 | -15.8 | -14.7 |
| 2010-07 | -15.3 | -6.3 |
| 2010-08 | -14.4 | -7.5 |
| 2010-09 | -6.9 | -16.0 |
| 2010-10 | -5.1 | -8.7 |
| 2010-11 | -7.5 | -6.9 |
| 2010-12 | -9.5 | 10.8 |
| 2011-01 | -7.9 | 16.7 |
| 2011-02 | -8.6 | 10.5 |
| 2011-03 | -11.3 | 2.2 |
| 2011-04 | -15.3 | 9.1 |
| 2011-05 | -15.3 | 2.4 |
| 2011-06 | -16.5 | 1.3 |
| 2011-07 | -10.1 | -7.5 |
| 2011-08 | -12.2 | -11.8 |
| 2011-09 | -16.6 | -25.4 |
| 2011-10 | -8.7 | -17.3 |
| 2011-11 | -20.7 | -4.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012-01 | -35.0 | -22.4 |
| 2012-02 | -19.7 | -31.9 |
| 2012-03 | -25.9 | -32.6 |
| 2012-04 | -16.0 | -31.5 |
| 2012-05 | -23.0 | -26.3 |
| 2012-06 | -29.2 | -35.6 |
| 2012-07 | -34.7 | -37.3 |
| 2012-08 | -25.8 | -24.4 |
| 2012-09 | -35.7 | -32.3 |
| 2012-10 | -46.9 | -50.2 |
| 2012-11 | -31.4 | -35.1 |
| 2012-12 | -31.1 | -35.3 |
| 2013-01 | -35.5 | -29.8 |
| 2013-02 | -17.5 | -43.9 |
| 2013-03 | -25.7 | -43.4 |
| 2013-04 | -27.3 | -38.6 |
| 2013-05 | -24.5 | -29.2 |
| 2013-06 | -20.9 | -29.8 |
| 2013-07 | -19.9 | -21.3 |
| 2013-08 | -18.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-09 | -12.1 | -17.1 |
| 2013-10 | -9.9 | -23.0 |
| 2013-11 | -14.7 | -17.5 |
| 2013-12 | -17.5 | -15.4 |
| 2014-01 | -13.4 | -12.2 |
| 2014-02 | -16.5 | -17.0 |
| 2014-03 | -10.5 | -12.3 |
| 2014-04 | -10.7 | -13.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.6 | -4.4 |
| 2014-06 | -14.2 | -9.3 |
| 2014-07 | -8.7 | -6.5 |
| 2014-08 | -12.3 | -10.8 |
| 2014-09 | -21.5 | -25.3 |
| 2014-10 | -14.7 | -20.4 |
| 2014-11 | -10.9 | 3.0 |
| 2014-12 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| 2015-01 | -0.2 | 7.8 |
| 2015-02 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 2015-03 | -0.4 | 1.7 |
| 2015-04 | 0.9 | 17.6 |
| 2015-05 | 3.2 | 17.9 |
| 2015-06 | 6.4 | 11.9 |
| 2015-07 | -7.2 | 11.2 |
| 2015-08 | -0.7 | 20.8 |
| 2015-09 | 3.1 | -5.1 |
| 2015-10 | -0.7 | 4.0 |
| 2015-11 | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| 2015-12 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 2016-01 | 3.6 | -0.2 |
| 2016-02 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 2016-03 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| 2016-04 | -0.7 | 13.9 |
| 2016-05 | -2.0 | 13.6 |
| 2016-06 | 3.9 | 13.7 |
| 2016-07 | 3.3 | 16.6 |
| 2016-08 | 2.7 | 12.4 |
| 2016-09 | -3.8 | -3.6 |
| 2016-10 | -1.3 | -2.4 |
| 2016-11 | -3.5 | 4.7 |
| 2016-12 | -2.3 | 2.4 |
| 2017-01 | -5.1 | 9.9 |
| 2017-02 | -4.2 | 6.9 |
| 2017-03 | 3.7 | 7.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2.4 | 10.2 |
| 2017-05 | -0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2017-06 | 2.6 | -2.9 |
| 2017-07 | 3.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-08 | 1.4 | 15.1 |
| 2017-09 | 9.7 | 1.9 |
| 2017-10 | 13.0 | 2.5 |
| 2017-11 | 12.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-12 | 9.7 | 14.7 |
| 2018-01 | 14.0 | 23.7 |
| 2018-02 | 16.1 | 21.3 |
| 2018-03 | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| 2018-04 | 10.3 | 16.3 |
| 2018-05 | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| 2018-06 | 6.9 | 15.0 |
| 2018-07 | 7.3 | 22.8 |
| 2018-08 | 7.2 | 15.7 |
| 2018-09 | 4.4 | 9.6 |
| 2018-10 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| 2018-11 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 2018-12 | 1.6 | -2.9 |
| 2019-01 | -0.1 | -11.5 |
| 2019-02 | -0.7 | -10.4 |
| 2019-03 | 0.4 | -10.4 |
| 2019-04 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| 2019-05 | 2.9 | -5.1 |
| 2019-06 | 4.5 | -1.3 |
| 2019-07 | 2.5 | 9.4 |
| 2019-08 | 2.8 | 13.3 |
| 2019-09 | 1.2 | -1.1 |
| 2019-10 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 2019-11 | -2.1 | -1.1 |
| 2019-12 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| 2020-01 | 5.1 | 23.2 |
| 2020-02 | 2.8 | 11.6 |
| 2020-03 | -14.6 | 9.4 |
| 2020-04 | -88.8 | -13.4 |
| 2020-05 | -69.2 | -84.3 |
| 2020-06 | -10.0 | -80.4 |
| 2020-07 | 13.1 | -62.6 |
| 2020-08 | 3.7 | 4.3 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | Retail trade | |
|---|---|---|
| 2004-01 | 99.3 | 106.9 |
| 2004-02 | 96.5 | 108.8 |
| 2004-03 | 98.9 | 104.8 |
| 2004-04 | 101.2 | 102.5 |
| 2004-05 | 99.6 | 106.1 |
| 2004-06 | 101.1 | 100.7 |
| 2004-07 | 102.8 | 102.8 |
| 2004-08 | 102.9 | 103.4 |
| 2004-09 | 102.9 | 103.3 |
| 2004-10 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 2004-11 | 101.9 | 102.2 |
| 2004-12 | 103.7 | 98.1 |
| 2005-01 | 102.8 | 109.0 |
| 2005-02 | 102.2 | 102.4 |
| 2005-03 | 102.1 | 104.0 |
| 2005-04 | 100.9 | 105.0 |
| 2005-05 | 101.8 | 103.7 |
| 2005-06 | 98.6 | 99.7 |
| 2005-07 | 100.3 | 94.9 |
| 2005-08 | 100.1 | 98.1 |
| 2005-09 | 99.9 | 100.4 |
| 2005-10 | 101.2 | 102.4 |
| 2005-11 | 98.4 | 101.8 |
| 2005-12 | 102.2 | 103.5 |
| 2006-01 | 102.5 | 101.7 |
| 2006-02 | 103.4 | 98.0 |
| 2006-03 | 102.2 | 101.3 |
| 2006-04 | 103.7 | 100.6 |
| 2006-05 | 104.6 | 106.4 |
| 2006-06 | 107.7 | 105.9 |
| 2006-07 | 107.7 | 107.5 |
| 2006-08 | 106.7 | 108.4 |
| 2006-09 | 105.9 | 108.6 |
| 2006-10 | 105.3 | 112.7 |
| 2006-11 | 105.8 | 107.2 |
| 2006-12 | 104.6 | 106.4 |
| 2007-01 | 104.7 | 105.5 |
| 2007-02 | 108.0 | 110.6 |
| 2007-03 | 106.4 | 111.3 |
| 2007-04 | 107.9 | 112.3 |
| 2007-05 | 106.3 | 111.9 |
| 2007-06 | 115.8 | 115.3 |
| 2007-07 | 109.5 | 114.9 |
| 2007-08 | 109.0 | 115.0 |
| 2007-09 | 109.3 | 114.3 |
| 2007-10 | 109.4 | 108.5 |
| 2007-11 | 109.6 | 113.5 |
| 2007-12 | 107.0 | 116.5 |
| 2008-01 | 104.9 | 113.2 |
| 2008-02 | 102.3 | 112.8 |
| 2008-03 | 106.4 | 107.8 |
| 2008-04 | 100.6 | 107.1 |
| 2008-05 | 102.2 | 103.8 |
| 2008-06 | 96.6 | 104.1 |
| 2008-07 | 95.0 | 101.7 |
| 2008-08 | 93.2 | 95.0 |
| 2008-09 | 96.1 | 93.9 |
| 2008-10 | 79.4 | 88.4 |
| 2008-11 | 80.8 | 83.2 |
| 2008-12 | 73.0 | 81.4 |
| 2009-01 | 74.7 | 79.9 |
| 2009-02 | 76.7 | 81.7 |
| 2009-03 | 84.8 | 71.0 |
| 2009-04 | 77.4 | 73.2 |
| 2009-05 | 87.3 | 68.5 |
| 2009-06 | 83.8 | 70.2 |
| 2009-07 | 88.2 | 74.9 |
| 2009-08 | 92.1 | 75.5 |
| 2009-09 | 94.4 | 78.8 |
| 2009-10 | 95.4 | 81.2 |
| 2009-11 | 99.5 | 87.5 |
| 2009-12 | 97.0 | 90.6 |
| 2010-01 | 100.3 | 91.6 |
| 2010-02 | 98.3 | 93.1 |
| 2010-03 | 94.2 | 96.6 |
| 2010-04 | 100.1 | 99.5 |
| 2010-05 | 98.2 | 101.6 |
| 2010-06 | 96.1 | 99.9 |
| 2010-07 | 98.8 | 101.5 |
| 2010-08 | 99.9 | 104.0 |
| 2010-09 | 100.7 | 104.1 |
| 2010-10 | 102.0 | 105.5 |
| 2010-11 | 102.4 | 99.3 |
| 2010-12 | 103.3 | 103.6 |
| 2011-01 | 103.7 | 102.1 |
| 2011-02 | 104.9 | 102.3 |
| 2011-03 | 104.2 | 99.7 |
| 2011-04 | 101.5 | 100.3 |
| 2011-05 | 101.6 | 102.1 |
| 2011-06 | 100.9 | 99.9 |
| 2011-07 | 102.0 | 99.3 |
| 2011-08 | 97.9 | 97.5 |
| 2011-09 | 94.3 | 94.4 |
| 2011-10 | 94.9 | 94.2 |
| 2011-11 | 91.4 | 95.0 |
| 2011-12 | 91.4 | 95.5 |
| 2012-01 | 85.6 | 91.5 |
| 2012-02 | 87.8 | 90.5 |
| 2012-03 | 88.0 | 95.7 |
| 2012-04 | 90.6 | 96.1 |
| 2012-05 | 87.0 | 90.3 |
| 2012-06 | 86.6 | 93.8 |
| 2012-07 | 81.2 | 88.8 |
| 2012-08 | 84.3 | 92.3 |
| 2012-09 | 81.5 | 90.5 |
| 2012-10 | 77.0 | 94.9 |
| 2012-11 | 81.5 | 92.5 |
| 2012-12 | 82.9 | 88.7 |
| 2013-01 | 81.5 | 88.9 |
| 2013-02 | 83.5 | 89.8 |
| 2013-03 | 79.5 | 88.9 |
| 2013-04 | 79.8 | 86.7 |
| 2013-05 | 81.7 | 86.0 |
| 2013-06 | 85.1 | 85.1 |
| 2013-07 | 87.2 | 85.7 |
| 2013-08 | 90.4 | 93.2 |
| 2013-09 | 94.5 | 95.2 |
| 2013-10 | 93.8 | 95.8 |
| 2013-11 | 91.9 | 87.9 |
| 2013-12 | 93.2 | 94.5 |
| 2014-01 | 93.5 | 96.0 |
| 2014-02 | 92.8 | 94.4 |
| 2014-03 | 94.3 | 93.5 |
| 2014-04 | 97.7 | 96.0 |
| 2014-05 | 96.6 | 96.6 |
| 2014-06 | 94.1 | 94.1 |
| 2014-07 | 97.3 | 94.6 |
| 2014-08 | 94.9 | 88.6 |
| 2014-09 | 92.1 | 87.1 |
| 2014-10 | 94.4 | 86.3 |
| 2014-11 | 97.6 | 88.8 |
| 2014-12 | 98.6 | 91.7 |
| 2015-01 | 102.3 | 91.8 |
| 2015-02 | 101.6 | 97.4 |
| 2015-03 | 105.0 | 95.5 |
| 2015-04 | 107.1 | 94.4 |
| 2015-05 | 108.5 | 94.8 |
| 2015-06 | 108.1 | 96.8 |
| 2015-07 | 104.7 | 98.5 |
| 2015-08 | 109.3 | 97.7 |
| 2015-09 | 107.2 | 99.6 |
| 2015-10 | 106.6 | 102.9 |
| 2015-11 | 107.3 | 95.1 |
| 2015-12 | 105.7 | 95.3 |
| 2016-01 | 106.3 | 99.2 |
| 2016-02 | 107.1 | 94.9 |
| 2016-03 | 105.9 | 96.1 |
| 2016-04 | 107.2 | 96.7 |
| 2016-05 | 108.2 | 98.5 |
| 2016-06 | 108.9 | 96.2 |
| 2016-07 | 109.5 | 98.3 |
| 2016-08 | 107.3 | 99.2 |
| 2016-09 | 105.6 | 97.5 |
| 2016-10 | 106.0 | 97.9 |
| 2016-11 | 106.6 | 97.9 |
| 2016-12 | 108.1 | 102.2 |
| 2017-01 | 107.2 | 100.6 |
| 2017-02 | 106.6 | 100.2 |
| 2017-03 | 108.8 | 102.4 |
| 2017-04 | 107.5 | 100.2 |
| 2017-05 | 108.3 | 101.4 |
| 2017-06 | 110.8 | 104.9 |
| 2017-07 | 112.5 | 103.4 |
| 2017-08 | 112.4 | 102.9 |
| 2017-09 | 113.8 | 105.6 |
| 2017-10 | 114.9 | 107.4 |
| 2017-11 | 116.3 | 108.3 |
| 2017-12 | 115.7 | 108.3 |
| 2018-01 | 116.9 | 108.8 |
| 2018-02 | 119.3 | 108.9 |
| 2018-03 | 116.3 | 107.2 |
| 2018-04 | 117.2 | 106.2 |
| 2018-05 | 116.6 | 105.3 |
| 2018-06 | 116.3 | 106.5 |
| 2018-07 | 115.7 | 109.2 |
| 2018-08 | 113.4 | 104.9 |
| 2018-09 | 113.0 | 103.0 |
| 2018-10 | 112.1 | 99.8 |
| 2018-11 | 111.9 | 101.7 |
| 2018-12 | 107.9 | 95.2 |
| 2019-01 | 106.8 | 95.2 |
| 2019-02 | 106.7 | 96.8 |
| 2019-03 | 108.1 | 95.1 |
| 2019-04 | 108.7 | 100.5 |
| 2019-05 | 109.6 | 98.0 |
| 2019-06 | 108.5 | 96.7 |
| 2019-07 | 108.0 | 98.7 |
| 2019-08 | 110.6 | 85.7 |
| 2019-09 | 109.5 | 95.6 |
| 2019-10 | 108.2 | 96.5 |
| 2019-11 | 108.0 | 93.8 |
| 2019-12 | 108.3 | 99.2 |
| 2020-01 | 110.2 | 95.7 |
| 2020-02 | 110.5 | 95.1 |
| 2020-03 | 99.5 | 82.1 |
| 2020-04 | 65.8 | 59.0 |
| 2020-05 | 69.1 | 56.9 |
| 2020-06 | 87.1 | 72.7 |
| 2020-07 | 96.9 | 76.9 |
| 2020-08 | 103.3 | 84.2 |
graphiqueBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauDetailed data
| Ave.(1) | May 20 | June 20 | July 20 | Aug. 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 57 | 73 | 77 | 84 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -28 | -67 | -39 | -43 | -40 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -44 | -34 | -30 | -14 |
| Expected sales | -1 | -45 | -9 | -18 | -15 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -35 | -15 | -16 | -13 |
| Stocks | 10 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 7 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -10 | -6 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -9 | -5 | -3 | -4 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | -36 | -18 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -26 | -26 | -21 | -21 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -38 | -25 | -19 | -11 |
| Non-specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -2 | -14 | 3 | -5 | -12 |
| Expected sales | 6 | -30 | 0 | -19 | -14 |
| Ordering intentions | 2 | -9 | 0 | -6 | -7 |
| Stocks | 7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -2 | -3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| Cash position (2) | -7 | -7 | -6 | ||
| Specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -13 | -77 | -74 | -58 | -16 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -61 | -20 | -16 | -17 |
| Ordering intentions | -17 | -64 | -31 | -28 | -19 |
| Stocks | 13 | 28 | 20 | 12 | 10 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -19 | -9 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -21 | -11 | -6 | -9 |
| Cash position (2) | -23 | -68 | -32 | ||
| Trade and repair of motor cars and motocycles | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 69 | 87 | 97 | 103 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -25 | -77 | -37 | -27 | -33 |
| Recent sales | -6 | -84 | -80 | -63 | 4 |
| Expected sales | -5 | -61 | 4 | 30 | 11 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -69 | -10 | 13 | 4 |
| Stocks | 15 | 33 | 39 | 12 | 1 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 1 | -4 | -3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | 4 | -5 | -3 | -4 | 9 |
| Cash position (2) | -23 | -69 | -20 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | -7 | -9 | -19 | -19 | -5 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -5 | -22 | -17 | -8 | -2 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.
A balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
Next issue : 24 September 2020 at 8:45 am
Documentation
Methodology Note (pdf,4 Mo)
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