24 June 2020
2020- n° 156In June 2020, the business climate in retail trade, admittedly deteriorated, has recovered
very sharply Monthly survey of retailing - June 2020
In June 2020, according to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has continued to recover, much more markedly than in May.
The indicator that synthesizes it has gained 21 points, a priori linked to the acceleration of the lockdown exit since the beginning of the month.
This is the largest monthly increase since the start of the series (1991). It does not catch up with the unprecedented fall in April, when the indicator had dropped to its lowest level. At 84 in June, the business climate remains well below its long-term average (100).
Due to the context of the fight against the propagation of COVID-19, statistics published in this Informations Rapides issue could be less accurate than usual. Companies’ responses were collected between 27 May and 19 June 2020, solely online. Consequently, the response rate is a little lower this month than before the beginning of the health crisis, even though it has picked up compared to its low point of April. In addition, for this issue as well as for April (after revision) and May, the method to correct non-response has been modified compared to the usual method which reproduces past responses from non-responding companies. We have considered that the non-responding units in April (after revision), in May then in June would have responded as the average of the responding units of the elementary stratum to which they belong.
In June 2020, according to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has continued to recover, much more markedly than in May.
The indicator that synthesizes it has gained 21 points, a priori linked to the acceleration of the lockdown exit since the beginning of the month.
This is the largest monthly increase since the start of the series (1991). It does not catch up with the unprecedented fall in April, when the indicator had dropped to its lowest level. At 84 in June, the business climate remains well below its long-term average (100).
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 1998-01 | 107.6 |
| 1998-02 | 110.9 |
| 1998-03 | 109.2 |
| 1998-04 | 106.4 |
| 1998-05 | 108.4 |
| 1998-06 | 111.4 |
| 1998-07 | 114.2 |
| 1998-08 | 112.7 |
| 1998-09 | 111.6 |
| 1998-10 | 111.9 |
| 1998-11 | 109.7 |
| 1998-12 | 107.4 |
| 1999-01 | 107.9 |
| 1999-02 | 108.3 |
| 1999-03 | 109.3 |
| 1999-04 | 109.3 |
| 1999-05 | 108.1 |
| 1999-06 | 106.5 |
| 1999-07 | 110.5 |
| 1999-08 | 114.0 |
| 1999-09 | 117.9 |
| 1999-10 | 120.6 |
| 1999-11 | 119.0 |
| 1999-12 | 123.1 |
| 2000-01 | 116.8 |
| 2000-02 | 116.9 |
| 2000-03 | 119.0 |
| 2000-04 | 121.1 |
| 2000-05 | 117.9 |
| 2000-06 | 116.1 |
| 2000-07 | 121.6 |
| 2000-08 | 121.3 |
| 2000-09 | 121.4 |
| 2000-10 | 119.0 |
| 2000-11 | 115.4 |
| 2000-12 | 116.0 |
| 2001-01 | 114.9 |
| 2001-02 | 115.9 |
| 2001-03 | 115.4 |
| 2001-04 | 111.7 |
| 2001-05 | 112.2 |
| 2001-06 | 111.6 |
| 2001-07 | 106.9 |
| 2001-08 | 105.9 |
| 2001-09 | 105.2 |
| 2001-10 | 102.5 |
| 2001-11 | 102.3 |
| 2001-12 | 105.5 |
| 2002-01 | 105.2 |
| 2002-02 | 101.0 |
| 2002-03 | 103.2 |
| 2002-04 | 104.3 |
| 2002-05 | 104.4 |
| 2002-06 | 106.7 |
| 2002-07 | 106.1 |
| 2002-08 | 104.5 |
| 2002-09 | 103.0 |
| 2002-10 | 98.7 |
| 2002-11 | 102.5 |
| 2002-12 | 102.5 |
| 2003-01 | 98.1 |
| 2003-02 | 94.5 |
| 2003-03 | 88.5 |
| 2003-04 | 84.8 |
| 2003-05 | 94.3 |
| 2003-06 | 93.7 |
| 2003-07 | 92.7 |
| 2003-08 | 91.9 |
| 2003-09 | 90.8 |
| 2003-10 | 92.0 |
| 2003-11 | 96.6 |
| 2003-12 | 96.5 |
| 2004-01 | 104.8 |
| 2004-02 | 104.3 |
| 2004-03 | 103.5 |
| 2004-04 | 102.9 |
| 2004-05 | 102.8 |
| 2004-06 | 101.1 |
| 2004-07 | 103.4 |
| 2004-08 | 103.9 |
| 2004-09 | 104.1 |
| 2004-10 | 105.2 |
| 2004-11 | 101.9 |
| 2004-12 | 100.4 |
| 2005-01 | 105.8 |
| 2005-02 | 102.9 |
| 2005-03 | 103.6 |
| 2005-04 | 102.7 |
| 2005-05 | 100.9 |
| 2005-06 | 97.1 |
| 2005-07 | 95.1 |
| 2005-08 | 96.7 |
| 2005-09 | 97.8 |
| 2005-10 | 100.4 |
| 2005-11 | 99.0 |
| 2005-12 | 102.9 |
| 2006-01 | 102.2 |
| 2006-02 | 101.4 |
| 2006-03 | 101.5 |
| 2006-04 | 102.2 |
| 2006-05 | 105.2 |
| 2006-06 | 106.8 |
| 2006-07 | 107.8 |
| 2006-08 | 108.9 |
| 2006-09 | 109.7 |
| 2006-10 | 111.0 |
| 2006-11 | 109.3 |
| 2006-12 | 107.4 |
| 2007-01 | 106.6 |
| 2007-02 | 111.3 |
| 2007-03 | 110.2 |
| 2007-04 | 111.9 |
| 2007-05 | 113.7 |
| 2007-06 | 119.3 |
| 2007-07 | 116.1 |
| 2007-08 | 114.4 |
| 2007-09 | 112.5 |
| 2007-10 | 110.8 |
| 2007-11 | 112.7 |
| 2007-12 | 113.6 |
| 2008-01 | 109.6 |
| 2008-02 | 108.1 |
| 2008-03 | 107.9 |
| 2008-04 | 103.0 |
| 2008-05 | 102.1 |
| 2008-06 | 99.1 |
| 2008-07 | 96.0 |
| 2008-08 | 92.9 |
| 2008-09 | 93.9 |
| 2008-10 | 81.1 |
| 2008-11 | 81.0 |
| 2008-12 | 76.1 |
| 2009-01 | 76.8 |
| 2009-02 | 78.3 |
| 2009-03 | 78.1 |
| 2009-04 | 74.5 |
| 2009-05 | 78.0 |
| 2009-06 | 77.7 |
| 2009-07 | 83.6 |
| 2009-08 | 84.8 |
| 2009-09 | 88.5 |
| 2009-10 | 90.7 |
| 2009-11 | 95.9 |
| 2009-12 | 95.5 |
| 2010-01 | 97.3 |
| 2010-02 | 97.5 |
| 2010-03 | 97.1 |
| 2010-04 | 101.9 |
| 2010-05 | 101.1 |
| 2010-06 | 99.6 |
| 2010-07 | 100.6 |
| 2010-08 | 104.8 |
| 2010-09 | 105.1 |
| 2010-10 | 106.5 |
| 2010-11 | 103.2 |
| 2010-12 | 106.6 |
| 2011-01 | 105.5 |
| 2011-02 | 105.6 |
| 2011-03 | 103.3 |
| 2011-04 | 102.7 |
| 2011-05 | 103.8 |
| 2011-06 | 101.9 |
| 2011-07 | 101.6 |
| 2011-08 | 97.9 |
| 2011-09 | 93.7 |
| 2011-10 | 94.6 |
| 2011-11 | 93.3 |
| 2011-12 | 92.8 |
| 2012-01 | 88.4 |
| 2012-02 | 90.0 |
| 2012-03 | 93.4 |
| 2012-04 | 95.7 |
| 2012-05 | 90.2 |
| 2012-06 | 92.3 |
| 2012-07 | 87.9 |
| 2012-08 | 89.8 |
| 2012-09 | 85.7 |
| 2012-10 | 87.2 |
| 2012-11 | 87.5 |
| 2012-12 | 86.9 |
| 2013-01 | 85.0 |
| 2013-02 | 88.3 |
| 2013-03 | 85.4 |
| 2013-04 | 83.4 |
| 2013-05 | 82.8 |
| 2013-06 | 83.9 |
| 2013-07 | 85.0 |
| 2013-08 | 92.4 |
| 2013-09 | 96.2 |
| 2013-10 | 94.7 |
| 2013-11 | 90.2 |
| 2013-12 | 93.4 |
| 2014-01 | 94.7 |
| 2014-02 | 93.8 |
| 2014-03 | 94.2 |
| 2014-04 | 95.5 |
| 2014-05 | 95.4 |
| 2014-06 | 93.6 |
| 2014-07 | 95.4 |
| 2014-08 | 89.7 |
| 2014-09 | 87.8 |
| 2014-10 | 88.0 |
| 2014-11 | 91.4 |
| 2014-12 | 93.3 |
| 2015-01 | 96.9 |
| 2015-02 | 100.1 |
| 2015-03 | 100.5 |
| 2015-04 | 101.2 |
| 2015-05 | 101.4 |
| 2015-06 | 102.7 |
| 2015-07 | 102.1 |
| 2015-08 | 104.7 |
| 2015-09 | 104.7 |
| 2015-10 | 106.7 |
| 2015-11 | 103.5 |
| 2015-12 | 100.6 |
| 2016-01 | 103.6 |
| 2016-02 | 101.4 |
| 2016-03 | 102.3 |
| 2016-04 | 102.2 |
| 2016-05 | 104.9 |
| 2016-06 | 102.5 |
| 2016-07 | 103.7 |
| 2016-08 | 103.5 |
| 2016-09 | 102.3 |
| 2016-10 | 101.3 |
| 2016-11 | 103.5 |
| 2016-12 | 107.8 |
| 2017-01 | 106.2 |
| 2017-02 | 105.0 |
| 2017-03 | 106.2 |
| 2017-04 | 104.7 |
| 2017-05 | 106.1 |
| 2017-06 | 110.5 |
| 2017-07 | 111.2 |
| 2017-08 | 108.6 |
| 2017-09 | 112.7 |
| 2017-10 | 114.5 |
| 2017-11 | 115.5 |
| 2017-12 | 116.0 |
| 2018-01 | 115.2 |
| 2018-02 | 115.6 |
| 2018-03 | 113.0 |
| 2018-04 | 112.6 |
| 2018-05 | 112.2 |
| 2018-06 | 112.2 |
| 2018-07 | 113.1 |
| 2018-08 | 111.4 |
| 2018-09 | 108.6 |
| 2018-10 | 105.7 |
| 2018-11 | 107.0 |
| 2018-12 | 99.4 |
| 2019-01 | 99.8 |
| 2019-02 | 101.9 |
| 2019-03 | 102.6 |
| 2019-04 | 106.2 |
| 2019-05 | 104.1 |
| 2019-06 | 103.9 |
| 2019-07 | 105.0 |
| 2019-08 | 99.8 |
| 2019-09 | 105.3 |
| 2019-10 | 105.0 |
| 2019-11 | 105.9 |
| 2019-12 | 108.2 |
| 2020-01 | 104.1 |
| 2020-02 | 105.2 |
| 2020-03 | 90.9 |
| 2020-04 | 60.1 |
| 2020-05 | 62.8 |
| 2020-06 | 84.0 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE
Significant improvement in the opinion on expected activity
In June 2020, business managers are much less pessimistic than in the previous month about future activity: the balances of opinion on the general outlook for activity in the sector, on ordering intentions and on expected sales have grown very strongly and have moved closer to their long-term average.
The balance of opinion on expected prices has grown moderately; it is now close to its average. The one on sales for the last three months has recovered somewhat but remains far below its average. The balance of opinion on the level of stocks is stable, well above its average.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Moy.(1) | Mar. 20 | Apr. 20 | May 20 | June 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 91 | 60 | 63 | 84 |
| General business outlook | -28 | -40 | -83 | -69 | -39 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -5 | -4 | -56 | -48 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -17 | -65 | -50 | -5 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -13 | -55 | -46 | -13 |
| Stocks | 11 | 14 | 12 | 21 | 21 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -6 | 3 | -8 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -3 | 0 | -8 | -8 | -4 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -13 | -36 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 0 | -12 | -17 | -23 | -24 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -16 | -36 | -34 | -24 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -13.1 | -4.8 |
| 2010-02 | -9.7 | -13.2 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.2 |
| 2010-04 | -4.6 | -3.0 |
| 2010-05 | -6.7 | 2.2 |
| 2010-06 | -5.2 | -0.9 |
| 2010-07 | -8.0 | -5.1 |
| 2010-08 | -2.2 | 4.2 |
| 2010-09 | -2.1 | -1.7 |
| 2010-10 | 2.0 | -3.9 |
| 2010-11 | -5.3 | -8.1 |
| 2010-12 | -1.2 | 4.1 |
| 2011-01 | -1.4 | 4.3 |
| 2011-02 | -2.5 | 1.6 |
| 2011-03 | -5.7 | -6.3 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.5 |
| 2011-05 | -7.8 | 3.5 |
| 2011-06 | -11.6 | 0.2 |
| 2011-07 | -11.9 | -9.3 |
| 2011-08 | -11.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-09 | -13.3 | -17.3 |
| 2011-10 | -13.0 | -15.7 |
| 2011-11 | -13.0 | -13.2 |
| 2011-12 | -14.0 | -17.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.4 | -20.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.3 | -15.3 |
| 2012-03 | -15.7 | -12.4 |
| 2012-04 | -13.5 | -8.2 |
| 2012-05 | -17.0 | -14.9 |
| 2012-06 | -12.8 | -18.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.7 | -19.4 |
| 2012-08 | -15.4 | -8.2 |
| 2012-09 | -22.1 | -23.8 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -22.9 |
| 2012-11 | -18.6 | -16.6 |
| 2012-12 | -18.2 | -21.0 |
| 2013-01 | -24.9 | -17.2 |
| 2013-02 | -13.6 | -27.2 |
| 2013-03 | -16.6 | -25.9 |
| 2013-04 | -19.4 | -31.8 |
| 2013-05 | -22.0 | -29.9 |
| 2013-06 | -19.2 | -24.4 |
| 2013-07 | -23.2 | -26.1 |
| 2013-08 | -13.7 | -18.3 |
| 2013-09 | -7.8 | -12.8 |
| 2013-10 | -13.9 | -11.4 |
| 2013-11 | -13.8 | -13.0 |
| 2013-12 | -15.8 | -10.5 |
| 2014-01 | -11.8 | -10.6 |
| 2014-02 | -12.8 | -13.1 |
| 2014-03 | -10.4 | -17.0 |
| 2014-04 | -9.5 | -21.3 |
| 2014-05 | -11.6 | -14.8 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-07 | -10.4 | -5.9 |
| 2014-08 | -17.5 | -19.8 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-10 | -17.8 | -23.6 |
| 2014-11 | -13.7 | -14.8 |
| 2014-12 | -13.2 | -10.1 |
| 2015-01 | -4.0 | -8.6 |
| 2015-02 | -1.7 | -4.4 |
| 2015-03 | -2.8 | -5.6 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.5 |
| 2015-05 | -2.9 | -4.4 |
| 2015-06 | -1.5 | -8.3 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.6 | 8.1 |
| 2015-09 | -2.2 | 1.5 |
| 2015-10 | -1.1 | 4.5 |
| 2015-11 | -3.2 | 3.0 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.2 |
| 2016-01 | -5.6 | -4.9 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.3 |
| 2016-03 | -3.2 | -5.4 |
| 2016-04 | -9.0 | 1.6 |
| 2016-05 | -3.7 | 4.8 |
| 2016-06 | -4.1 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -4.8 | -5.0 |
| 2016-08 | -4.0 | -4.1 |
| 2016-09 | -5.5 | -10.6 |
| 2016-10 | -9.8 | -10.6 |
| 2016-11 | -8.0 | -6.3 |
| 2016-12 | 0.7 | -1.1 |
| 2017-01 | -0.1 | 2.4 |
| 2017-02 | -0.6 | 4.3 |
| 2017-03 | 0.4 | -2.4 |
| 2017-04 | -2.5 | -12.1 |
| 2017-05 | -1.0 | -5.2 |
| 2017-06 | -0.5 | -5.2 |
| 2017-07 | 1.1 | 8.2 |
| 2017-08 | -6.3 | 0.3 |
| 2017-09 | 4.6 | -5.2 |
| 2017-10 | 7.6 | -3.0 |
| 2017-11 | 9.8 | -6.7 |
| 2017-12 | 6.9 | 0.4 |
| 2018-01 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| 2018-02 | 4.1 | 4.8 |
| 2018-03 | 2.0 | -8.8 |
| 2018-04 | 3.1 | -8.9 |
| 2018-05 | 4.6 | -6.9 |
| 2018-06 | 5.7 | -8.1 |
| 2018-07 | 6.1 | 0.2 |
| 2018-08 | 8.2 | 2.0 |
| 2018-09 | 1.5 | -1.2 |
| 2018-10 | -5.0 | -9.9 |
| 2018-11 | 0.9 | -7.5 |
| 2018-12 | -4.5 | -9.2 |
| 2019-01 | -7.8 | -7.9 |
| 2019-02 | -5.6 | -9.8 |
| 2019-03 | -2.8 | -18.3 |
| 2019-04 | 1.5 | -12.3 |
| 2019-05 | -4.4 | -11.0 |
| 2019-06 | -7.2 | -8.6 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| 2019-08 | -12.5 | -3.7 |
| 2019-09 | -4.0 | -2.7 |
| 2019-10 | -5.9 | -8.1 |
| 2019-11 | 0.5 | -6.7 |
| 2019-12 | 2.9 | -1.3 |
| 2020-01 | -3.7 | 12.5 |
| 2020-02 | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2020-03 | -12.8 | -4.7 |
| 2020-04 | -55.3 | -3.6 |
| 2020-05 | -45.6 | -56.3 |
| 2020-06 | -13.3 | -47.9 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE
Less deteriorated job prospects
In June 2020, the balance of opinion on the expected workforce size has recovered clearly, linked to the pursuit of the lockdown exit. This trend is mainly seen in the retail trade subsector. In trade and repair of motor vehicles, the increase is more moderate, the balance having started to recover in May.
The balance of opinion on recent trend of workforce size has fallen slightly. It is stable in retail trade while it has fallen sharply in trade and repair of motor cars.
The balances of opinion on employment, both expected and recent, are still far below their long-term average.
In June 2020, the business climate has sharply recovered in retail trade as well as in trade and repair of motor vehicles
In June 2020, in the retail trade subsector, the business climate has improved significantly. At 72, it has gained 16 points but is still far below his average (100).The same move is recorded in trade and repair of motor vehicles, where the business climate has gained 18 points. However, at 87, it remains at a very low level, far from its average (100).
The balance on the general outlook for the sector has increased again, faster than in May. This recovery is even more marked in trade and repair of motor vehicles than in the retail trade. In the two sub-sectors, this balance slightly exceeds its March value, while remaining below its average.
The strong increase in the balance on ordering intentions in retail trade is mainly due to specialized trade. In trade and repair of motor vehicles, the balance on ordering intentions has continued to recover, much more sharply than in May. This balance is now close to its long-term average.
The balance on recent sales has increased in retail trade, due to non-specialized trade, where the balance has returned above its long-term average. In trade and repair of motor vehicles, this balance, slightly on the rise, stands still at a very low level. Concerning expected sales in trade and the repair of motor cars, the balance of opinion has jumped in June after having started to recover in May. This balance thus has returned above its average. In retail trade, the sales prospects have also brightened : the corresponding balance has increased again, much more markedly than in May, both in non-specialized trade and in specialized trade.
Revisions
The sectoral business climate for May is revised downwards by one point and the subsectoral climate in retail trade, downwards by two points. These revisions are mainly explained by the inclusion of late responses from businesses.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14.4 | 12.0 |
| 2010-02 | -19.2 | 0.8 |
| 2010-03 | -21.0 | -22.9 |
| 2010-04 | -16.2 | -3.5 |
| 2010-05 | -21.0 | -0.4 |
| 2010-06 | -15.8 | -14.7 |
| 2010-07 | -15.3 | -6.3 |
| 2010-08 | -14.4 | -7.5 |
| 2010-09 | -6.9 | -16.0 |
| 2010-10 | -5.1 | -8.7 |
| 2010-11 | -7.5 | -6.9 |
| 2010-12 | -9.5 | 10.8 |
| 2011-01 | -7.9 | 16.7 |
| 2011-02 | -8.6 | 10.5 |
| 2011-03 | -11.3 | 2.2 |
| 2011-04 | -15.3 | 9.1 |
| 2011-05 | -15.3 | 2.4 |
| 2011-06 | -16.5 | 1.3 |
| 2011-07 | -10.1 | -7.5 |
| 2011-08 | -12.2 | -11.8 |
| 2011-09 | -16.6 | -25.4 |
| 2011-10 | -8.7 | -17.3 |
| 2011-11 | -20.7 | -4.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012-01 | -35.0 | -22.4 |
| 2012-02 | -19.7 | -31.9 |
| 2012-03 | -25.9 | -32.6 |
| 2012-04 | -16.0 | -31.5 |
| 2012-05 | -23.0 | -26.3 |
| 2012-06 | -29.2 | -35.6 |
| 2012-07 | -34.7 | -37.3 |
| 2012-08 | -25.8 | -24.4 |
| 2012-09 | -35.7 | -32.3 |
| 2012-10 | -46.9 | -50.2 |
| 2012-11 | -31.4 | -35.1 |
| 2012-12 | -31.1 | -35.3 |
| 2013-01 | -35.5 | -29.8 |
| 2013-02 | -17.5 | -43.9 |
| 2013-03 | -25.7 | -43.4 |
| 2013-04 | -27.3 | -38.6 |
| 2013-05 | -24.5 | -29.2 |
| 2013-06 | -20.9 | -29.8 |
| 2013-07 | -19.9 | -21.3 |
| 2013-08 | -18.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-09 | -12.1 | -17.1 |
| 2013-10 | -9.9 | -23.0 |
| 2013-11 | -14.7 | -17.5 |
| 2013-12 | -17.5 | -15.4 |
| 2014-01 | -13.4 | -12.2 |
| 2014-02 | -16.5 | -17.0 |
| 2014-03 | -10.5 | -12.3 |
| 2014-04 | -10.7 | -13.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.6 | -4.4 |
| 2014-06 | -14.2 | -9.3 |
| 2014-07 | -8.7 | -6.5 |
| 2014-08 | -12.3 | -10.8 |
| 2014-09 | -21.5 | -25.3 |
| 2014-10 | -14.7 | -20.4 |
| 2014-11 | -10.9 | 3.0 |
| 2014-12 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| 2015-01 | -0.2 | 7.8 |
| 2015-02 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 2015-03 | -0.4 | 1.7 |
| 2015-04 | 0.9 | 17.6 |
| 2015-05 | 3.2 | 17.9 |
| 2015-06 | 6.4 | 11.9 |
| 2015-07 | -7.2 | 11.2 |
| 2015-08 | -0.7 | 20.8 |
| 2015-09 | 3.1 | -5.1 |
| 2015-10 | -0.7 | 4.0 |
| 2015-11 | 3.6 | 6.8 |
| 2015-12 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
| 2016-01 | 3.6 | -0.2 |
| 2016-02 | 3.2 | 2.0 |
| 2016-03 | 2.0 | 5.7 |
| 2016-04 | -0.7 | 13.9 |
| 2016-05 | -2.0 | 13.6 |
| 2016-06 | 3.9 | 13.7 |
| 2016-07 | 3.3 | 16.6 |
| 2016-08 | 2.7 | 12.4 |
| 2016-09 | -3.8 | -3.6 |
| 2016-10 | -1.3 | -2.4 |
| 2016-11 | -3.5 | 4.7 |
| 2016-12 | -2.3 | 2.4 |
| 2017-01 | -5.1 | 9.9 |
| 2017-02 | -4.2 | 6.9 |
| 2017-03 | 3.7 | 7.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2.4 | 10.2 |
| 2017-05 | -0.8 | 2.3 |
| 2017-06 | 2.6 | -2.9 |
| 2017-07 | 3.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-08 | 1.4 | 15.1 |
| 2017-09 | 9.7 | 1.9 |
| 2017-10 | 13.0 | 2.5 |
| 2017-11 | 12.8 | 12.7 |
| 2017-12 | 9.7 | 14.7 |
| 2018-01 | 14.0 | 23.7 |
| 2018-02 | 16.1 | 21.3 |
| 2018-03 | 8.3 | 12.2 |
| 2018-04 | 10.3 | 16.3 |
| 2018-05 | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| 2018-06 | 6.9 | 15.0 |
| 2018-07 | 7.3 | 22.8 |
| 2018-08 | 7.2 | 15.7 |
| 2018-09 | 4.4 | 9.6 |
| 2018-10 | 4.0 | 4.3 |
| 2018-11 | 4.5 | 1.4 |
| 2018-12 | 1.6 | -2.9 |
| 2019-01 | -0.1 | -11.5 |
| 2019-02 | -0.7 | -10.4 |
| 2019-03 | 0.4 | -10.4 |
| 2019-04 | -1.6 | -0.8 |
| 2019-05 | 2.9 | -5.1 |
| 2019-06 | 4.5 | -1.3 |
| 2019-07 | 2.5 | 9.4 |
| 2019-08 | 2.8 | 13.3 |
| 2019-09 | 1.2 | -1.1 |
| 2019-10 | 2.4 | 1.0 |
| 2019-11 | -2.1 | -1.1 |
| 2019-12 | 0.7 | 2.8 |
| 2020-01 | 5.1 | 23.2 |
| 2020-02 | 2.8 | 11.6 |
| 2020-03 | -14.6 | 9.4 |
| 2020-04 | -88.8 | -13.4 |
| 2020-05 | -69.2 | -84.3 |
| 2020-06 | -9.7 | -80.5 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | Retail trade | |
|---|---|---|
| 2004-01 | 99.3 | 106.9 |
| 2004-02 | 96.5 | 108.8 |
| 2004-03 | 98.9 | 104.8 |
| 2004-04 | 101.2 | 102.5 |
| 2004-05 | 99.6 | 106.1 |
| 2004-06 | 101.1 | 100.7 |
| 2004-07 | 102.8 | 102.8 |
| 2004-08 | 102.9 | 103.4 |
| 2004-09 | 102.9 | 103.3 |
| 2004-10 | 101.8 | 104.8 |
| 2004-11 | 101.9 | 102.2 |
| 2004-12 | 103.7 | 98.1 |
| 2005-01 | 102.8 | 109.0 |
| 2005-02 | 102.2 | 102.4 |
| 2005-03 | 102.1 | 104.0 |
| 2005-04 | 100.9 | 105.0 |
| 2005-05 | 101.8 | 103.7 |
| 2005-06 | 98.6 | 99.7 |
| 2005-07 | 100.3 | 94.9 |
| 2005-08 | 100.1 | 98.1 |
| 2005-09 | 99.9 | 100.4 |
| 2005-10 | 101.2 | 102.4 |
| 2005-11 | 98.4 | 101.8 |
| 2005-12 | 102.2 | 103.5 |
| 2006-01 | 102.5 | 101.7 |
| 2006-02 | 103.4 | 98.0 |
| 2006-03 | 102.2 | 101.3 |
| 2006-04 | 103.7 | 100.6 |
| 2006-05 | 104.6 | 106.4 |
| 2006-06 | 107.7 | 105.9 |
| 2006-07 | 107.7 | 107.5 |
| 2006-08 | 106.7 | 108.4 |
| 2006-09 | 105.9 | 108.6 |
| 2006-10 | 105.3 | 112.7 |
| 2006-11 | 105.8 | 107.2 |
| 2006-12 | 104.6 | 106.4 |
| 2007-01 | 104.7 | 105.5 |
| 2007-02 | 108.0 | 110.6 |
| 2007-03 | 106.4 | 111.3 |
| 2007-04 | 107.9 | 112.3 |
| 2007-05 | 106.3 | 111.9 |
| 2007-06 | 115.8 | 115.3 |
| 2007-07 | 109.5 | 114.9 |
| 2007-08 | 109.0 | 115.0 |
| 2007-09 | 109.3 | 114.3 |
| 2007-10 | 109.4 | 108.5 |
| 2007-11 | 109.6 | 113.5 |
| 2007-12 | 107.0 | 116.5 |
| 2008-01 | 104.9 | 113.2 |
| 2008-02 | 102.3 | 112.8 |
| 2008-03 | 106.4 | 107.8 |
| 2008-04 | 100.6 | 107.1 |
| 2008-05 | 102.2 | 103.8 |
| 2008-06 | 96.6 | 104.1 |
| 2008-07 | 95.0 | 101.7 |
| 2008-08 | 93.2 | 95.0 |
| 2008-09 | 96.1 | 93.9 |
| 2008-10 | 79.4 | 88.4 |
| 2008-11 | 80.8 | 83.2 |
| 2008-12 | 73.0 | 81.4 |
| 2009-01 | 74.7 | 79.9 |
| 2009-02 | 76.7 | 81.7 |
| 2009-03 | 84.8 | 71.0 |
| 2009-04 | 77.4 | 73.2 |
| 2009-05 | 87.3 | 68.5 |
| 2009-06 | 83.8 | 70.2 |
| 2009-07 | 88.2 | 74.9 |
| 2009-08 | 92.1 | 75.5 |
| 2009-09 | 94.4 | 78.8 |
| 2009-10 | 95.4 | 81.2 |
| 2009-11 | 99.5 | 87.5 |
| 2009-12 | 97.0 | 90.6 |
| 2010-01 | 100.3 | 91.6 |
| 2010-02 | 98.3 | 93.1 |
| 2010-03 | 94.2 | 96.6 |
| 2010-04 | 100.1 | 99.5 |
| 2010-05 | 98.2 | 101.6 |
| 2010-06 | 96.1 | 99.9 |
| 2010-07 | 98.8 | 101.5 |
| 2010-08 | 99.9 | 104.0 |
| 2010-09 | 100.7 | 104.1 |
| 2010-10 | 102.0 | 105.5 |
| 2010-11 | 102.4 | 99.3 |
| 2010-12 | 103.3 | 103.6 |
| 2011-01 | 103.7 | 102.1 |
| 2011-02 | 104.9 | 102.3 |
| 2011-03 | 104.2 | 99.7 |
| 2011-04 | 101.5 | 100.3 |
| 2011-05 | 101.6 | 102.1 |
| 2011-06 | 100.9 | 99.9 |
| 2011-07 | 102.0 | 99.3 |
| 2011-08 | 97.9 | 97.5 |
| 2011-09 | 94.3 | 94.4 |
| 2011-10 | 94.9 | 94.2 |
| 2011-11 | 91.4 | 95.0 |
| 2011-12 | 91.4 | 95.5 |
| 2012-01 | 85.6 | 91.5 |
| 2012-02 | 87.8 | 90.5 |
| 2012-03 | 88.0 | 95.7 |
| 2012-04 | 90.6 | 96.1 |
| 2012-05 | 87.0 | 90.3 |
| 2012-06 | 86.6 | 93.8 |
| 2012-07 | 81.2 | 88.8 |
| 2012-08 | 84.3 | 92.3 |
| 2012-09 | 81.5 | 90.5 |
| 2012-10 | 77.0 | 94.9 |
| 2012-11 | 81.5 | 92.5 |
| 2012-12 | 82.9 | 88.7 |
| 2013-01 | 81.5 | 88.9 |
| 2013-02 | 83.5 | 89.8 |
| 2013-03 | 79.5 | 88.9 |
| 2013-04 | 79.8 | 86.7 |
| 2013-05 | 81.7 | 86.0 |
| 2013-06 | 85.1 | 85.1 |
| 2013-07 | 87.2 | 85.7 |
| 2013-08 | 90.4 | 93.2 |
| 2013-09 | 94.5 | 95.2 |
| 2013-10 | 93.8 | 95.8 |
| 2013-11 | 91.9 | 87.9 |
| 2013-12 | 93.2 | 94.5 |
| 2014-01 | 93.5 | 96.0 |
| 2014-02 | 92.8 | 94.4 |
| 2014-03 | 94.3 | 93.5 |
| 2014-04 | 97.7 | 96.0 |
| 2014-05 | 96.6 | 96.6 |
| 2014-06 | 94.1 | 94.1 |
| 2014-07 | 97.3 | 94.6 |
| 2014-08 | 94.9 | 88.6 |
| 2014-09 | 92.1 | 87.1 |
| 2014-10 | 94.4 | 86.3 |
| 2014-11 | 97.6 | 88.8 |
| 2014-12 | 98.6 | 91.7 |
| 2015-01 | 102.3 | 91.8 |
| 2015-02 | 101.6 | 97.4 |
| 2015-03 | 105.0 | 95.5 |
| 2015-04 | 107.1 | 94.4 |
| 2015-05 | 108.5 | 94.8 |
| 2015-06 | 108.1 | 96.8 |
| 2015-07 | 104.7 | 98.5 |
| 2015-08 | 109.3 | 97.7 |
| 2015-09 | 107.2 | 99.6 |
| 2015-10 | 106.6 | 102.9 |
| 2015-11 | 107.3 | 95.1 |
| 2015-12 | 105.7 | 95.3 |
| 2016-01 | 106.3 | 99.2 |
| 2016-02 | 107.1 | 94.9 |
| 2016-03 | 105.9 | 96.1 |
| 2016-04 | 107.2 | 96.7 |
| 2016-05 | 108.2 | 98.5 |
| 2016-06 | 108.9 | 96.2 |
| 2016-07 | 109.5 | 98.3 |
| 2016-08 | 107.3 | 99.2 |
| 2016-09 | 105.6 | 97.5 |
| 2016-10 | 106.0 | 97.9 |
| 2016-11 | 106.6 | 97.9 |
| 2016-12 | 108.1 | 102.2 |
| 2017-01 | 107.2 | 100.6 |
| 2017-02 | 106.6 | 100.2 |
| 2017-03 | 108.8 | 102.4 |
| 2017-04 | 107.5 | 100.2 |
| 2017-05 | 108.3 | 101.4 |
| 2017-06 | 110.8 | 104.9 |
| 2017-07 | 112.5 | 103.4 |
| 2017-08 | 112.4 | 102.9 |
| 2017-09 | 113.8 | 105.6 |
| 2017-10 | 114.9 | 107.4 |
| 2017-11 | 116.3 | 108.3 |
| 2017-12 | 115.7 | 108.3 |
| 2018-01 | 116.9 | 108.8 |
| 2018-02 | 119.3 | 108.9 |
| 2018-03 | 116.3 | 107.2 |
| 2018-04 | 117.2 | 106.2 |
| 2018-05 | 116.6 | 105.3 |
| 2018-06 | 116.3 | 106.5 |
| 2018-07 | 115.7 | 109.2 |
| 2018-08 | 113.4 | 104.9 |
| 2018-09 | 113.0 | 103.0 |
| 2018-10 | 112.1 | 99.8 |
| 2018-11 | 111.9 | 101.7 |
| 2018-12 | 107.9 | 95.2 |
| 2019-01 | 106.8 | 95.2 |
| 2019-02 | 106.7 | 96.8 |
| 2019-03 | 108.1 | 95.1 |
| 2019-04 | 108.7 | 100.5 |
| 2019-05 | 109.6 | 98.0 |
| 2019-06 | 108.5 | 96.7 |
| 2019-07 | 108.0 | 98.7 |
| 2019-08 | 110.6 | 85.7 |
| 2019-09 | 109.5 | 95.6 |
| 2019-10 | 108.2 | 96.5 |
| 2019-11 | 108.0 | 93.8 |
| 2019-12 | 108.3 | 99.2 |
| 2020-01 | 110.2 | 95.5 |
| 2020-02 | 110.4 | 94.9 |
| 2020-03 | 99.6 | 81.8 |
| 2020-04 | 66.0 | 58.5 |
| 2020-05 | 69.2 | 56.4 |
| 2020-06 | 86.8 | 72.1 |
graphiqueBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
tableauDetailed data
| Ave.(1) | Mar. 20 | Apr. 20 | May 20 | June 20 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 82 | 59 | 56 | 72 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -28 | -40 | -80 | -67 | -39 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -11 | 1 | -44 | -33 |
| Expected sales | -1 | -16 | -53 | -45 | -9 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -12 | -40 | -35 | -15 |
| Stocks | 10 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 12 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -3 | -9 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -2 | -8 | -9 | -5 |
| Cash position (2) | -13 | -14 | -28 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -13 | -19 | -26 | -26 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -20 | -38 | -38 | -26 |
| Non-specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -2 | -9 | 28 | -14 | 3 |
| Expected sales | 6 | -6 | -23 | -30 | 0 |
| Ordering intentions | 2 | 2 | -10 | -9 | -1 |
| Stocks | 7 | 7 | -8 | 4 | 5 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -2 | -2 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -3 | -3 | 1 | 1 |
| Cash position (2) | -7 | -10 | -8 | ||
| Specialized retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -13 | -13 | -28 | -77 | -74 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -28 | -85 | -61 | -20 |
| Ordering intentions | -17 | -28 | -73 | -64 | -31 |
| Stocks | 13 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 20 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -4 | -17 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -2 | -13 | -21 | -12 |
| Cash position (2) | -22 | -17 | -51 | ||
| Trade and repair of motor cars and motocycles | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 100 | 66 | 69 | 87 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -25 | -40 | -97 | -77 | -37 |
| Recent sales | -6 | 9 | -13 | -84 | -80 |
| Expected sales | -5 | -20 | -92 | -61 | 4 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -15 | -89 | -69 | -10 |
| Stocks | 16 | 17 | 15 | 33 | 40 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 1 | 15 | -4 | ||
| Expected selling prices | 4 | 4 | -7 | -5 | -3 |
| Cash position (2) | -22 | -10 | -54 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | -7 | -4 | -8 | -9 | -18 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -6 | -1 | -28 | -22 | -18 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.
A balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
Next issue : 23 July 2020 at 8:45 am
Documentation
Methodology Note (pdf,4 Mo)
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