23 October 2019
2019- n° 273In October 2019, the business climate is stable in retail trade and trade and repair
of motor vehicles as a whole Monthly survey of retailing - October 2019
According to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate is stable in October 2019. The composite indicator that measures it stands at 105, above its long-term average (100). Besides, the September 2019 business climate indicator has been revised upwards by one point, as a result of the integration of late responses from businesses.
- The balance of opinion on recent activity is almost unchanged
- Sharp rise in the balance of opinion on past employment
- In retail trade, the business climate continues to improve
- In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate has slightly weakened again
- For more information
According to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate is stable in October 2019. The composite indicator that measures it stands at 105, above its long-term average (100). Besides, the September 2019 business climate indicator has been revised upwards by one point, as a result of the integration of late responses from businesses.
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 1998-01 | 107.3 |
| 1998-02 | 110.2 |
| 1998-03 | 109.1 |
| 1998-04 | 106.3 |
| 1998-05 | 107.9 |
| 1998-06 | 111.8 |
| 1998-07 | 114.7 |
| 1998-08 | 113.0 |
| 1998-09 | 111.4 |
| 1998-10 | 111.5 |
| 1998-11 | 109.7 |
| 1998-12 | 107.9 |
| 1999-01 | 108.0 |
| 1999-02 | 108.0 |
| 1999-03 | 108.7 |
| 1999-04 | 108.9 |
| 1999-05 | 107.6 |
| 1999-06 | 106.8 |
| 1999-07 | 111.0 |
| 1999-08 | 114.3 |
| 1999-09 | 117.6 |
| 1999-10 | 119.8 |
| 1999-11 | 118.8 |
| 1999-12 | 123.0 |
| 2000-01 | 117.1 |
| 2000-02 | 116.5 |
| 2000-03 | 118.9 |
| 2000-04 | 120.8 |
| 2000-05 | 117.3 |
| 2000-06 | 116.6 |
| 2000-07 | 121.9 |
| 2000-08 | 121.3 |
| 2000-09 | 121.2 |
| 2000-10 | 117.6 |
| 2000-11 | 114.5 |
| 2000-12 | 116.3 |
| 2001-01 | 115.5 |
| 2001-02 | 115.5 |
| 2001-03 | 115.0 |
| 2001-04 | 111.7 |
| 2001-05 | 111.9 |
| 2001-06 | 112.2 |
| 2001-07 | 108.1 |
| 2001-08 | 106.4 |
| 2001-09 | 105.1 |
| 2001-10 | 101.5 |
| 2001-11 | 101.9 |
| 2001-12 | 106.4 |
| 2002-01 | 106.3 |
| 2002-02 | 101.2 |
| 2002-03 | 103.3 |
| 2002-04 | 104.2 |
| 2002-05 | 104.3 |
| 2002-06 | 107.4 |
| 2002-07 | 107.1 |
| 2002-08 | 104.8 |
| 2002-09 | 102.8 |
| 2002-10 | 97.8 |
| 2002-11 | 102.4 |
| 2002-12 | 103.1 |
| 2003-01 | 99.1 |
| 2003-02 | 96.5 |
| 2003-03 | 89.6 |
| 2003-04 | 86.3 |
| 2003-05 | 94.1 |
| 2003-06 | 93.0 |
| 2003-07 | 93.5 |
| 2003-08 | 92.3 |
| 2003-09 | 91.3 |
| 2003-10 | 91.7 |
| 2003-11 | 96.4 |
| 2003-12 | 96.8 |
| 2004-01 | 106.4 |
| 2004-02 | 105.8 |
| 2004-03 | 103.9 |
| 2004-04 | 103.5 |
| 2004-05 | 102.5 |
| 2004-06 | 100.3 |
| 2004-07 | 103.9 |
| 2004-08 | 104.1 |
| 2004-09 | 104.1 |
| 2004-10 | 104.8 |
| 2004-11 | 101.7 |
| 2004-12 | 100.4 |
| 2005-01 | 107.2 |
| 2005-02 | 104.1 |
| 2005-03 | 103.9 |
| 2005-04 | 103.5 |
| 2005-05 | 100.7 |
| 2005-06 | 96.7 |
| 2005-07 | 95.7 |
| 2005-08 | 97.2 |
| 2005-09 | 98.0 |
| 2005-10 | 100.6 |
| 2005-11 | 99.3 |
| 2005-12 | 102.9 |
| 2006-01 | 103.2 |
| 2006-02 | 102.2 |
| 2006-03 | 101.7 |
| 2006-04 | 102.8 |
| 2006-05 | 105.1 |
| 2006-06 | 106.6 |
| 2006-07 | 107.9 |
| 2006-08 | 109.1 |
| 2006-09 | 109.7 |
| 2006-10 | 111.0 |
| 2006-11 | 109.5 |
| 2006-12 | 107.2 |
| 2007-01 | 107.3 |
| 2007-02 | 111.7 |
| 2007-03 | 109.9 |
| 2007-04 | 112.2 |
| 2007-05 | 113.5 |
| 2007-06 | 119.1 |
| 2007-07 | 115.7 |
| 2007-08 | 114.5 |
| 2007-09 | 112.8 |
| 2007-10 | 110.6 |
| 2007-11 | 113.3 |
| 2007-12 | 113.3 |
| 2008-01 | 110.3 |
| 2008-02 | 108.5 |
| 2008-03 | 107.3 |
| 2008-04 | 103.5 |
| 2008-05 | 102.6 |
| 2008-06 | 99.7 |
| 2008-07 | 96.2 |
| 2008-08 | 93.2 |
| 2008-09 | 94.6 |
| 2008-10 | 81.7 |
| 2008-11 | 82.1 |
| 2008-12 | 76.4 |
| 2009-01 | 77.8 |
| 2009-02 | 79.0 |
| 2009-03 | 77.7 |
| 2009-04 | 75.0 |
| 2009-05 | 78.6 |
| 2009-06 | 78.5 |
| 2009-07 | 83.2 |
| 2009-08 | 84.8 |
| 2009-09 | 88.8 |
| 2009-10 | 90.4 |
| 2009-11 | 96.0 |
| 2009-12 | 95.4 |
| 2010-01 | 97.8 |
| 2010-02 | 97.6 |
| 2010-03 | 96.8 |
| 2010-04 | 102.0 |
| 2010-05 | 101.7 |
| 2010-06 | 100.6 |
| 2010-07 | 100.4 |
| 2010-08 | 104.8 |
| 2010-09 | 105.4 |
| 2010-10 | 106.3 |
| 2010-11 | 103.0 |
| 2010-12 | 106.4 |
| 2011-01 | 105.9 |
| 2011-02 | 105.7 |
| 2011-03 | 103.1 |
| 2011-04 | 102.8 |
| 2011-05 | 104.2 |
| 2011-06 | 102.7 |
| 2011-07 | 101.3 |
| 2011-08 | 98.1 |
| 2011-09 | 94.2 |
| 2011-10 | 94.5 |
| 2011-11 | 93.0 |
| 2011-12 | 93.0 |
| 2012-01 | 89.3 |
| 2012-02 | 90.4 |
| 2012-03 | 93.8 |
| 2012-04 | 96.0 |
| 2012-05 | 90.7 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-07 | 87.9 |
| 2012-08 | 89.9 |
| 2012-09 | 86.3 |
| 2012-10 | 87.2 |
| 2012-11 | 87.3 |
| 2012-12 | 87.1 |
| 2013-01 | 86.1 |
| 2013-02 | 88.7 |
| 2013-03 | 86.0 |
| 2013-04 | 83.8 |
| 2013-05 | 83.7 |
| 2013-06 | 84.8 |
| 2013-07 | 85.3 |
| 2013-08 | 92.5 |
| 2013-09 | 96.3 |
| 2013-10 | 94.2 |
| 2013-11 | 89.8 |
| 2013-12 | 93.6 |
| 2014-01 | 95.5 |
| 2014-02 | 94.2 |
| 2014-03 | 94.9 |
| 2014-04 | 95.9 |
| 2014-05 | 96.2 |
| 2014-06 | 94.2 |
| 2014-07 | 95.8 |
| 2014-08 | 89.6 |
| 2014-09 | 88.1 |
| 2014-10 | 87.5 |
| 2014-11 | 91.6 |
| 2014-12 | 93.3 |
| 2015-01 | 97.7 |
| 2015-02 | 100.4 |
| 2015-03 | 100.9 |
| 2015-04 | 101.1 |
| 2015-05 | 101.8 |
| 2015-06 | 102.8 |
| 2015-07 | 102.6 |
| 2015-08 | 104.1 |
| 2015-09 | 104.7 |
| 2015-10 | 105.8 |
| 2015-11 | 103.6 |
| 2015-12 | 100.2 |
| 2016-01 | 104.2 |
| 2016-02 | 101.7 |
| 2016-03 | 102.4 |
| 2016-04 | 102.1 |
| 2016-05 | 105.1 |
| 2016-06 | 102.7 |
| 2016-07 | 104.3 |
| 2016-08 | 103.1 |
| 2016-09 | 102.3 |
| 2016-10 | 100.7 |
| 2016-11 | 103.9 |
| 2016-12 | 107.1 |
| 2017-01 | 106.5 |
| 2017-02 | 105.2 |
| 2017-03 | 106.4 |
| 2017-04 | 104.5 |
| 2017-05 | 106.3 |
| 2017-06 | 110.6 |
| 2017-07 | 111.7 |
| 2017-08 | 108.3 |
| 2017-09 | 112.4 |
| 2017-10 | 113.5 |
| 2017-11 | 115.8 |
| 2017-12 | 115.1 |
| 2018-01 | 115.2 |
| 2018-02 | 115.8 |
| 2018-03 | 113.1 |
| 2018-04 | 112.3 |
| 2018-05 | 112.1 |
| 2018-06 | 112.2 |
| 2018-07 | 113.7 |
| 2018-08 | 110.8 |
| 2018-09 | 108.5 |
| 2018-10 | 105.1 |
| 2018-11 | 107.5 |
| 2018-12 | 98.8 |
| 2019-01 | 99.8 |
| 2019-02 | 102.1 |
| 2019-03 | 102.5 |
| 2019-04 | 105.9 |
| 2019-05 | 104.1 |
| 2019-06 | 103.9 |
| 2019-07 | 105.1 |
| 2019-08 | 99.9 |
| 2019-09 | 105.3 |
| 2019-10 | 105.4 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE.
The balance of opinion on recent activity is almost unchanged
In October 2019, the balance of opinion of business managers on their recent and future sales are virtually stable, above their long-term average. It is the same for their ordering intentions. The balance of opinion on expected prices has slightly increased again, this month because of retail trade; it stands above its mean. The balance of opinion on the level of stocks, very slightly down, has reached its average.
The business managers are still confident on general business outlook in their sector. The related balance has slightly increased again and stands far above its average.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave.(1) | July 19 | Aug. 19 | Sept. 19 | Oct. 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 105 | 100 | 105 | 105 |
| General business outlook | -28 | -16 | -12 | -10 | -9 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -2 | -4 | -3 | -4 |
| Expected sales | -1 | -4 | -6 | 1 | 2 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -3 | -13 | -4 | -5 |
| Stocks | 11 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -6 | -1 | -2 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -3 | -2 | -1 | 1 | 3 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -13 | -12 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -1 | -12 | -12 | -5 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -5 | -10 | -4 | -6 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -12.2 | -4.2 |
| 2010-02 | -10.5 | -12.3 |
| 2010-03 | -11.1 | -20.1 |
| 2010-04 | -4.5 | -3.4 |
| 2010-05 | -5.6 | 1.9 |
| 2010-06 | -4.0 | -1.5 |
| 2010-07 | -9.0 | -5.4 |
| 2010-08 | -2.0 | 4.3 |
| 2010-09 | -1.0 | -1.6 |
| 2010-10 | 2.1 | -4.1 |
| 2010-11 | -5.9 | -8.2 |
| 2010-12 | -2.6 | 4.2 |
| 2011-01 | -0.7 | 4.9 |
| 2011-02 | -3.1 | 2.5 |
| 2011-03 | -6.9 | -6.3 |
| 2011-04 | -6.9 | 1.0 |
| 2011-05 | -6.8 | 3.2 |
| 2011-06 | -10.7 | -0.4 |
| 2011-07 | -12.4 | -9.6 |
| 2011-08 | -11.5 | -6.3 |
| 2011-09 | -12.1 | -17.2 |
| 2011-10 | -12.8 | -15.9 |
| 2011-11 | -14.2 | -13.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.3 | -17.3 |
| 2012-01 | -18.7 | -19.6 |
| 2012-02 | -15.8 | -14.5 |
| 2012-03 | -16.7 | -12.3 |
| 2012-04 | -13.3 | -8.7 |
| 2012-05 | -16.0 | -15.2 |
| 2012-06 | -12.2 | -18.9 |
| 2012-07 | -15.6 | -19.6 |
| 2012-08 | -15.2 | -8.1 |
| 2012-09 | -20.9 | -23.7 |
| 2012-10 | -19.2 | -23.1 |
| 2012-11 | -20.1 | -16.8 |
| 2012-12 | -19.1 | -20.9 |
| 2013-01 | -24.3 | -16.5 |
| 2013-02 | -14.3 | -26.3 |
| 2013-03 | -17.3 | -25.8 |
| 2013-04 | -19.5 | -32.3 |
| 2013-05 | -21.0 | -30.3 |
| 2013-06 | -18.7 | -25.0 |
| 2013-07 | -22.4 | -26.2 |
| 2013-08 | -13.6 | -18.2 |
| 2013-09 | -6.9 | -12.8 |
| 2013-10 | -14.2 | -11.6 |
| 2013-11 | -15.2 | -13.3 |
| 2013-12 | -16.3 | -10.4 |
| 2014-01 | -11.5 | -9.8 |
| 2014-02 | -13.6 | -12.2 |
| 2014-03 | -10.9 | -16.9 |
| 2014-04 | -9.6 | -21.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.7 | -15.3 |
| 2014-06 | -13.3 | -12.5 |
| 2014-07 | -9.0 | -6.1 |
| 2014-08 | -17.6 | -19.7 |
| 2014-09 | -17.6 | -30.6 |
| 2014-10 | -18.4 | -23.7 |
| 2014-11 | -14.7 | -15.2 |
| 2014-12 | -13.7 | -9.9 |
| 2015-01 | -3.7 | -7.7 |
| 2015-02 | -2.7 | -3.4 |
| 2015-03 | -3.5 | -5.5 |
| 2015-04 | -2.5 | -2.8 |
| 2015-05 | -2.3 | -4.9 |
| 2015-06 | -0.9 | -8.9 |
| 2015-07 | -4.2 | -0.8 |
| 2015-08 | -1.7 | 8.1 |
| 2015-09 | -1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2015-10 | -1.8 | 4.4 |
| 2015-11 | -3.7 | 2.6 |
| 2015-12 | -5.9 | -15.1 |
| 2016-01 | -5.3 | -3.9 |
| 2016-02 | -7.8 | -8.3 |
| 2016-03 | -4.4 | -5.3 |
| 2016-04 | -9.3 | 1.4 |
| 2016-05 | -3.4 | 4.3 |
| 2016-06 | -3.6 | -4.7 |
| 2016-07 | -2.5 | -5.2 |
| 2016-08 | -3.9 | -4.0 |
| 2016-09 | -4.7 | -10.6 |
| 2016-10 | -10.5 | -10.7 |
| 2016-11 | -8.2 | -6.6 |
| 2016-12 | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| 2017-01 | 0.3 | 3.4 |
| 2017-02 | -1.6 | 5.2 |
| 2017-03 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| 2017-04 | -2.9 | -12.3 |
| 2017-05 | -0.8 | -5.6 |
| 2017-06 | 0.0 | -5.8 |
| 2017-07 | 3.6 | 7.9 |
| 2017-08 | -5.6 | 0.4 |
| 2017-09 | 5.3 | -5.3 |
| 2017-10 | 7.1 | -3.1 |
| 2017-11 | 9.9 | -7.0 |
| 2017-12 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| 2018-01 | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| 2018-02 | 3.1 | 5.8 |
| 2018-03 | 0.3 | -8.7 |
| 2018-04 | 2.7 | -9.1 |
| 2018-05 | 4.8 | -7.3 |
| 2018-06 | 6.0 | -8.8 |
| 2018-07 | 8.3 | -0.2 |
| 2018-08 | 9.0 | 2.1 |
| 2018-09 | 2.4 | -1.3 |
| 2018-10 | -5.4 | -10.0 |
| 2018-11 | 1.0 | -7.9 |
| 2018-12 | -5.4 | -9.2 |
| 2019-01 | -7.8 | -6.8 |
| 2019-02 | -6.7 | -8.9 |
| 2019-03 | -4.7 | -18.2 |
| 2019-04 | 1.0 | -12.4 |
| 2019-05 | -4.1 | -11.5 |
| 2019-06 | -7.2 | -8.6 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| 2019-08 | -12.5 | -3.7 |
| 2019-09 | -4.0 | -2.7 |
| 2019-10 | -5.5 | -4.2 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE.
Sharp rise in the balance of opinion on past employment
In October 2019, the balance of opinion of business managers about the recent development in employment has sharply grown compared to September, both in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles. However, the balance on the expected change in workforce size has slightly fallen back. This is mainly due to trade and repair of motor vehicles.
The balances on recent and expected workforce size are below their long-term average, overall, because of retail trade.
In retail trade, the business climate continues to improve
In October, in retail trade, the business climate has improved again. The composite indicator has gained two points to 97. However, it has remained below its long-term mean (100). In particular, the balances on recent employment, expected prices and general business outlook have significantly increased. However, the balances on recent sales and on ordering intentions have fallen back, more markedly in non-specialised retail trade than in specialised retail trade.
In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate has slightly weakened again
In October, in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate indicator has slightly weakened again. However, at 109, it has remained significantly above its long-term average (100). The balances on general business outlook, expected workforce size and on expected prices have sharply fallen. This decline is partly offset by the rebound in the balances on sales, ordering intentions and recent workforce size. All those balances are above their long-term average.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14.3 | 12.0 |
| 2010-02 | -19.5 | 0.8 |
| 2010-03 | -21.6 | -22.9 |
| 2010-04 | -15.3 | -3.5 |
| 2010-05 | -21.4 | -0.4 |
| 2010-06 | -14.3 | -14.7 |
| 2010-07 | -15.6 | -6.3 |
| 2010-08 | -14.0 | -7.5 |
| 2010-09 | -7.1 | -16.0 |
| 2010-10 | -6.9 | -8.7 |
| 2010-11 | -6.8 | -6.9 |
| 2010-12 | -9.6 | 10.8 |
| 2011-01 | -7.9 | 16.7 |
| 2011-02 | -8.5 | 10.5 |
| 2011-03 | -11.5 | 2.2 |
| 2011-04 | -15.1 | 9.1 |
| 2011-05 | -15.4 | 2.4 |
| 2011-06 | -15.6 | 1.3 |
| 2011-07 | -10.3 | -7.5 |
| 2011-08 | -11.7 | -11.8 |
| 2011-09 | -16.7 | -25.4 |
| 2011-10 | -10.2 | -17.3 |
| 2011-11 | -20.3 | -4.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012-01 | -34.9 | -22.4 |
| 2012-02 | -19.7 | -31.9 |
| 2012-03 | -25.9 | -32.6 |
| 2012-04 | -16.3 | -31.5 |
| 2012-05 | -22.8 | -26.3 |
| 2012-06 | -28.8 | -35.6 |
| 2012-07 | -34.8 | -37.3 |
| 2012-08 | -25.4 | -24.4 |
| 2012-09 | -35.6 | -32.3 |
| 2012-10 | -47.9 | -50.2 |
| 2012-11 | -31.4 | -35.1 |
| 2012-12 | -31.0 | -35.3 |
| 2013-01 | -35.4 | -29.8 |
| 2013-02 | -17.6 | -43.9 |
| 2013-03 | -25.6 | -43.4 |
| 2013-04 | -27.6 | -38.6 |
| 2013-05 | -24.5 | -29.2 |
| 2013-06 | -20.8 | -29.8 |
| 2013-07 | -19.8 | -21.3 |
| 2013-08 | -17.5 | -27.2 |
| 2013-09 | -11.9 | -17.1 |
| 2013-10 | -10.6 | -23.0 |
| 2013-11 | -14.7 | -17.5 |
| 2013-12 | -17.4 | -15.4 |
| 2014-01 | -13.3 | -12.2 |
| 2014-02 | -16.6 | -17.0 |
| 2014-03 | -10.6 | -12.3 |
| 2014-04 | -10.9 | -13.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.6 | -4.4 |
| 2014-06 | -14.2 | -9.3 |
| 2014-07 | -8.6 | -6.5 |
| 2014-08 | -11.8 | -10.8 |
| 2014-09 | -21.4 | -25.3 |
| 2014-10 | -15.0 | -20.4 |
| 2014-11 | -10.9 | 3.0 |
| 2014-12 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| 2015-01 | -0.1 | 7.8 |
| 2015-02 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 2015-03 | -0.9 | 1.7 |
| 2015-04 | 0.9 | 17.6 |
| 2015-05 | 3.2 | 17.9 |
| 2015-06 | 6.3 | 11.9 |
| 2015-07 | -7.1 | 11.2 |
| 2015-08 | -0.1 | 20.8 |
| 2015-09 | 3.0 | -5.1 |
| 2015-10 | -0.6 | 4.0 |
| 2015-11 | 3.8 | 6.8 |
| 2015-12 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 2016-01 | 3.5 | -0.2 |
| 2016-02 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 2016-03 | 0.9 | 5.7 |
| 2016-04 | -0.5 | 13.9 |
| 2016-05 | -1.9 | 13.6 |
| 2016-06 | 3.5 | 13.7 |
| 2016-07 | 3.4 | 16.6 |
| 2016-08 | 3.6 | 12.4 |
| 2016-09 | -4.1 | -3.6 |
| 2016-10 | -1.1 | -2.4 |
| 2016-11 | -3.1 | 4.7 |
| 2016-12 | -2.4 | 2.4 |
| 2017-01 | -5.3 | 9.9 |
| 2017-02 | -3.8 | 6.9 |
| 2017-03 | 1.8 | 7.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2.8 | 10.2 |
| 2017-05 | -0.6 | 2.3 |
| 2017-06 | 1.9 | -2.9 |
| 2017-07 | 4.0 | 12.7 |
| 2017-08 | 2.7 | 15.1 |
| 2017-09 | 9.2 | 1.9 |
| 2017-10 | 13.5 | 2.5 |
| 2017-11 | 13.5 | 12.7 |
| 2017-12 | 9.5 | 14.7 |
| 2018-01 | 13.4 | 23.7 |
| 2018-02 | 17.1 | 21.3 |
| 2018-03 | 5.9 | 12.2 |
| 2018-04 | 10.5 | 16.3 |
| 2018-05 | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| 2018-06 | 6.1 | 15.0 |
| 2018-07 | 7.2 | 22.8 |
| 2018-08 | 8.8 | 15.7 |
| 2018-09 | 3.9 | 9.6 |
| 2018-10 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| 2018-11 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 2018-12 | 0.9 | -2.9 |
| 2019-01 | -1.0 | -11.5 |
| 2019-02 | 0.8 | -10.4 |
| 2019-03 | -2.6 | -10.4 |
| 2019-04 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| 2019-05 | 2.8 | -5.1 |
| 2019-06 | 4.5 | -1.3 |
| 2019-07 | 2.5 | 9.4 |
| 2019-08 | 2.8 | 13.3 |
| 2019-09 | 1.2 | -1.1 |
| 2019-10 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE.
tableauBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | Retail trade | |
|---|---|---|
| 2004-01 | 99.8 | 107.6 |
| 2004-02 | 97.3 | 109.5 |
| 2004-03 | 99.3 | 104.7 |
| 2004-04 | 102.4 | 102.3 |
| 2004-05 | 100.8 | 105.2 |
| 2004-06 | 102.3 | 100.2 |
| 2004-07 | 103.8 | 103.0 |
| 2004-08 | 103.5 | 103.1 |
| 2004-09 | 103.1 | 103.3 |
| 2004-10 | 102.2 | 103.8 |
| 2004-11 | 102.8 | 101.6 |
| 2004-12 | 104.4 | 98.0 |
| 2005-01 | 103.9 | 109.4 |
| 2005-02 | 103.0 | 102.8 |
| 2005-03 | 102.8 | 103.7 |
| 2005-04 | 102.4 | 104.9 |
| 2005-05 | 103.8 | 102.8 |
| 2005-06 | 100.1 | 99.4 |
| 2005-07 | 101.3 | 95.5 |
| 2005-08 | 100.8 | 98.1 |
| 2005-09 | 100.0 | 100.6 |
| 2005-10 | 101.7 | 101.7 |
| 2005-11 | 98.9 | 101.7 |
| 2005-12 | 102.8 | 103.3 |
| 2006-01 | 103.6 | 101.8 |
| 2006-02 | 104.8 | 98.3 |
| 2006-03 | 103.5 | 100.9 |
| 2006-04 | 105.4 | 100.5 |
| 2006-05 | 106.0 | 105.8 |
| 2006-06 | 109.1 | 105.7 |
| 2006-07 | 108.6 | 107.9 |
| 2006-08 | 107.3 | 108.3 |
| 2006-09 | 105.8 | 108.5 |
| 2006-10 | 105.8 | 111.6 |
| 2006-11 | 106.7 | 107.1 |
| 2006-12 | 105.1 | 105.9 |
| 2007-01 | 106.4 | 105.3 |
| 2007-02 | 109.3 | 110.2 |
| 2007-03 | 107.4 | 110.4 |
| 2007-04 | 109.3 | 112.2 |
| 2007-05 | 107.2 | 111.3 |
| 2007-06 | 117.0 | 114.8 |
| 2007-07 | 110.1 | 114.9 |
| 2007-08 | 109.9 | 114.7 |
| 2007-09 | 109.4 | 114.0 |
| 2007-10 | 109.8 | 107.4 |
| 2007-11 | 110.7 | 113.2 |
| 2007-12 | 108.0 | 115.8 |
| 2008-01 | 106.3 | 112.5 |
| 2008-02 | 103.6 | 112.2 |
| 2008-03 | 108.0 | 106.6 |
| 2008-04 | 101.5 | 107.0 |
| 2008-05 | 103.8 | 103.7 |
| 2008-06 | 98.0 | 104.0 |
| 2008-07 | 95.8 | 102.1 |
| 2008-08 | 93.9 | 94.9 |
| 2008-09 | 97.3 | 94.0 |
| 2008-10 | 79.7 | 88.0 |
| 2008-11 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 2008-12 | 73.4 | 81.3 |
| 2009-01 | 75.7 | 79.6 |
| 2009-02 | 77.7 | 81.6 |
| 2009-03 | 87.4 | 70.7 |
| 2009-04 | 78.6 | 73.5 |
| 2009-05 | 89.7 | 69.1 |
| 2009-06 | 85.3 | 70.9 |
| 2009-07 | 89.1 | 75.5 |
| 2009-08 | 93.5 | 75.8 |
| 2009-09 | 94.5 | 79.1 |
| 2009-10 | 95.6 | 81.1 |
| 2009-11 | 100.3 | 87.1 |
| 2009-12 | 97.2 | 90.4 |
| 2010-01 | 101.6 | 91.4 |
| 2010-02 | 99.9 | 92.9 |
| 2010-03 | 94.7 | 96.1 |
| 2010-04 | 101.1 | 99.4 |
| 2010-05 | 99.0 | 101.6 |
| 2010-06 | 97.4 | 100.3 |
| 2010-07 | 99.3 | 101.7 |
| 2010-08 | 100.8 | 103.7 |
| 2010-09 | 101.0 | 103.9 |
| 2010-10 | 102.5 | 104.9 |
| 2010-11 | 103.3 | 98.5 |
| 2010-12 | 104.1 | 103.2 |
| 2011-01 | 104.9 | 101.7 |
| 2011-02 | 106.6 | 101.9 |
| 2011-03 | 104.7 | 99.1 |
| 2011-04 | 102.5 | 99.9 |
| 2011-05 | 102.6 | 101.8 |
| 2011-06 | 102.1 | 100.0 |
| 2011-07 | 102.6 | 99.2 |
| 2011-08 | 99.0 | 97.1 |
| 2011-09 | 94.5 | 94.1 |
| 2011-10 | 95.6 | 93.7 |
| 2011-11 | 92.7 | 94.2 |
| 2011-12 | 92.7 | 95.5 |
| 2012-01 | 86.3 | 91.3 |
| 2012-02 | 89.5 | 90.3 |
| 2012-03 | 88.8 | 95.4 |
| 2012-04 | 91.6 | 95.8 |
| 2012-05 | 88.3 | 90.3 |
| 2012-06 | 87.5 | 94.1 |
| 2012-07 | 82.0 | 88.9 |
| 2012-08 | 85.9 | 92.1 |
| 2012-09 | 82.3 | 90.5 |
| 2012-10 | 77.3 | 94.4 |
| 2012-11 | 82.5 | 92.0 |
| 2012-12 | 83.7 | 88.7 |
| 2013-01 | 82.5 | 89.0 |
| 2013-02 | 85.5 | 89.8 |
| 2013-03 | 81.4 | 88.9 |
| 2013-04 | 81.8 | 86.6 |
| 2013-05 | 84.0 | 86.4 |
| 2013-06 | 87.1 | 85.5 |
| 2013-07 | 88.9 | 85.9 |
| 2013-08 | 91.7 | 93.0 |
| 2013-09 | 95.4 | 95.1 |
| 2013-10 | 94.8 | 94.9 |
| 2013-11 | 93.3 | 87.7 |
| 2013-12 | 94.2 | 94.5 |
| 2014-01 | 94.8 | 95.9 |
| 2014-02 | 94.4 | 94.4 |
| 2014-03 | 96.1 | 93.5 |
| 2014-04 | 99.1 | 95.9 |
| 2014-05 | 98.5 | 96.8 |
| 2014-06 | 96.2 | 94.3 |
| 2014-07 | 98.9 | 94.6 |
| 2014-08 | 96.3 | 88.4 |
| 2014-09 | 92.4 | 87.1 |
| 2014-10 | 95.2 | 85.3 |
| 2014-11 | 98.9 | 89.0 |
| 2014-12 | 99.7 | 91.6 |
| 2015-01 | 103.3 | 91.7 |
| 2015-02 | 103.0 | 97.5 |
| 2015-03 | 106.3 | 95.2 |
| 2015-04 | 109.0 | 94.0 |
| 2015-05 | 110.2 | 94.9 |
| 2015-06 | 110.0 | 96.8 |
| 2015-07 | 105.9 | 98.4 |
| 2015-08 | 110.1 | 97.2 |
| 2015-09 | 107.4 | 99.6 |
| 2015-10 | 107.2 | 101.6 |
| 2015-11 | 108.4 | 95.4 |
| 2015-12 | 106.4 | 95.1 |
| 2016-01 | 106.7 | 98.8 |
| 2016-02 | 108.2 | 95.0 |
| 2016-03 | 107.4 | 95.5 |
| 2016-04 | 109.0 | 96.2 |
| 2016-05 | 109.6 | 98.3 |
| 2016-06 | 110.6 | 96.2 |
| 2016-07 | 110.8 | 98.4 |
| 2016-08 | 108.3 | 98.9 |
| 2016-09 | 105.4 | 97.5 |
| 2016-10 | 106.3 | 96.7 |
| 2016-11 | 107.2 | 98.4 |
| 2016-12 | 108.4 | 101.7 |
| 2017-01 | 107.4 | 99.8 |
| 2017-02 | 107.6 | 100.0 |
| 2017-03 | 110.0 | 101.9 |
| 2017-04 | 109.5 | 99.6 |
| 2017-05 | 109.5 | 101.1 |
| 2017-06 | 111.5 | 104.9 |
| 2017-07 | 113.3 | 103.3 |
| 2017-08 | 112.7 | 102.6 |
| 2017-09 | 113.4 | 105.6 |
| 2017-10 | 115.2 | 106.0 |
| 2017-11 | 117.2 | 109.0 |
| 2017-12 | 116.0 | 107.6 |
| 2018-01 | 117.4 | 107.7 |
| 2018-02 | 120.5 | 108.5 |
| 2018-03 | 117.1 | 106.6 |
| 2018-04 | 118.4 | 105.6 |
| 2018-05 | 117.4 | 104.6 |
| 2018-06 | 117.2 | 106.6 |
| 2018-07 | 116.6 | 109.1 |
| 2018-08 | 113.8 | 104.7 |
| 2018-09 | 112.2 | 103.2 |
| 2018-10 | 112.0 | 98.6 |
| 2018-11 | 111.8 | 102.6 |
| 2018-12 | 107.6 | 94.5 |
| 2019-01 | 105.7 | 94.1 |
| 2019-02 | 107.4 | 96.5 |
| 2019-03 | 108.2 | 94.6 |
| 2019-04 | 109.5 | 100.1 |
| 2019-05 | 109.8 | 97.6 |
| 2019-06 | 108.8 | 96.5 |
| 2019-07 | 108.2 | 98.6 |
| 2019-08 | 110.8 | 85.6 |
| 2019-09 | 109.6 | 95.4 |
| 2019-10 | 108.7 | 96.7 |
graphiqueBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE.
tableauDetailed data
| Ave.(1) | July 19 | Aug. 19 | Sept. 19 | Oct. 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade - Global data | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 99 | 86 | 95 | 97 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -28 | -17 | -13 | -12 | -9 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -7 | -11 | -3 | -8 |
| Expected sales | 0 | -8 | -13 | 1 | 1 |
| Ordering intentions | -6 | -5 | -19 | -6 | -10 |
| Stocks | 10 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 9 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -3 | -3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -4 | -5 | -4 | 1 |
| Cash position (2) | -13 | -11 | -13 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -1 | -15 | -13 | -6 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -2 | -6 | -14 | -6 | -7 |
| Non-specialised retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -2 | -2 | -11 | -1 | -7 |
| Expected sales | 7 | -7 | -17 | -1 | 2 |
| Ordering intentions | 2 | 3 | -22 | -2 | -11 |
| Stocks | 7 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | 4 | 0 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| Cash position (2) | -7 | -7 | -7 | ||
| Specialised retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -12 | -12 | -12 | -6 | -9 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -10 | -8 | 2 | 0 |
| Ordering intentions | -16 | -14 | -16 | -11 | -9 |
| Stocks | 13 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 13 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -10 | -7 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -10 | -10 | -6 | -1 |
| Cash position (2) | -22 | -16 | -19 | ||
| Trade and repair of motor cars and motorcycles | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 108 | 111 | 110 | 109 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -25 | -12 | -8 | -3 | -10 |
| Recent sales | -6 | 9 | 13 | -1 | 5 |
| Expected sales | -5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 5 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| Stocks | 15 | 12 | 11 | 16 | 15 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Expected selling prices | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 6 |
| Cash position (2) | -23 | -16 | -11 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | -7 | 1 | 0 | -9 | -1 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -5 | -2 | 3 | 4 | -1 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.
A balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
Next issue: 21 November 2019 at 8:45 am
Documentation
Methodology Note (pdf,4 Mo)
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