24 September 2019
2019- n° 247In September 2019, the business climate has bounced back sharply in retail trade Monthly survey of retailing - September 2019
According to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has bounced back sharply in September 2019. The composite indicator that measures it has gained four points and stands at 104, above its long-term average (100). This increase is mainly concentrated in non-specialised retail trade, as was the fall last month. Besides, the August 2019 business climate indicator has been revised downwards by one point as a result of the integration of late business responses.
- The balance of opinion on ordering intentions has sharply bounced back
- The opinion on past employment has continued to deteriorate, while the opinion on expected employment has improved
- In retail trade, the business climate has bounced back
- In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate has weakened slightly
- For more information
According to the managers in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles, the business climate has bounced back sharply in September 2019. The composite indicator that measures it has gained four points and stands at 104, above its long-term average (100). This increase is mainly concentrated in non-specialised retail trade, as was the fall last month. Besides, the August 2019 business climate indicator has been revised downwards by one point as a result of the integration of late business responses.
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 1998-01 | 107.3 |
| 1998-02 | 110.2 |
| 1998-03 | 109.1 |
| 1998-04 | 106.3 |
| 1998-05 | 107.9 |
| 1998-06 | 111.8 |
| 1998-07 | 114.7 |
| 1998-08 | 113.0 |
| 1998-09 | 111.4 |
| 1998-10 | 111.5 |
| 1998-11 | 109.7 |
| 1998-12 | 107.9 |
| 1999-01 | 108.0 |
| 1999-02 | 108.0 |
| 1999-03 | 108.7 |
| 1999-04 | 108.9 |
| 1999-05 | 107.6 |
| 1999-06 | 106.8 |
| 1999-07 | 111.0 |
| 1999-08 | 114.3 |
| 1999-09 | 117.6 |
| 1999-10 | 119.8 |
| 1999-11 | 118.8 |
| 1999-12 | 123.0 |
| 2000-01 | 117.1 |
| 2000-02 | 116.5 |
| 2000-03 | 118.9 |
| 2000-04 | 120.8 |
| 2000-05 | 117.3 |
| 2000-06 | 116.6 |
| 2000-07 | 121.9 |
| 2000-08 | 121.3 |
| 2000-09 | 121.2 |
| 2000-10 | 117.6 |
| 2000-11 | 114.5 |
| 2000-12 | 116.3 |
| 2001-01 | 115.5 |
| 2001-02 | 115.5 |
| 2001-03 | 115.0 |
| 2001-04 | 111.7 |
| 2001-05 | 111.9 |
| 2001-06 | 112.2 |
| 2001-07 | 108.1 |
| 2001-08 | 106.4 |
| 2001-09 | 105.1 |
| 2001-10 | 101.5 |
| 2001-11 | 101.9 |
| 2001-12 | 106.4 |
| 2002-01 | 106.3 |
| 2002-02 | 101.2 |
| 2002-03 | 103.3 |
| 2002-04 | 104.2 |
| 2002-05 | 104.3 |
| 2002-06 | 107.4 |
| 2002-07 | 107.1 |
| 2002-08 | 104.8 |
| 2002-09 | 102.8 |
| 2002-10 | 97.8 |
| 2002-11 | 102.4 |
| 2002-12 | 103.1 |
| 2003-01 | 99.1 |
| 2003-02 | 96.5 |
| 2003-03 | 89.6 |
| 2003-04 | 86.3 |
| 2003-05 | 94.1 |
| 2003-06 | 93.0 |
| 2003-07 | 93.5 |
| 2003-08 | 92.3 |
| 2003-09 | 91.3 |
| 2003-10 | 91.7 |
| 2003-11 | 96.4 |
| 2003-12 | 96.8 |
| 2004-01 | 106.4 |
| 2004-02 | 105.8 |
| 2004-03 | 103.9 |
| 2004-04 | 103.5 |
| 2004-05 | 102.5 |
| 2004-06 | 100.3 |
| 2004-07 | 103.9 |
| 2004-08 | 104.1 |
| 2004-09 | 104.1 |
| 2004-10 | 104.8 |
| 2004-11 | 101.7 |
| 2004-12 | 100.4 |
| 2005-01 | 107.2 |
| 2005-02 | 104.1 |
| 2005-03 | 103.9 |
| 2005-04 | 103.5 |
| 2005-05 | 100.7 |
| 2005-06 | 96.7 |
| 2005-07 | 95.7 |
| 2005-08 | 97.2 |
| 2005-09 | 98.0 |
| 2005-10 | 100.6 |
| 2005-11 | 99.3 |
| 2005-12 | 102.9 |
| 2006-01 | 103.2 |
| 2006-02 | 102.2 |
| 2006-03 | 101.7 |
| 2006-04 | 102.8 |
| 2006-05 | 105.1 |
| 2006-06 | 106.6 |
| 2006-07 | 107.9 |
| 2006-08 | 109.1 |
| 2006-09 | 109.7 |
| 2006-10 | 111.0 |
| 2006-11 | 109.5 |
| 2006-12 | 107.2 |
| 2007-01 | 107.3 |
| 2007-02 | 111.7 |
| 2007-03 | 109.9 |
| 2007-04 | 112.2 |
| 2007-05 | 113.5 |
| 2007-06 | 119.1 |
| 2007-07 | 115.7 |
| 2007-08 | 114.5 |
| 2007-09 | 112.8 |
| 2007-10 | 110.6 |
| 2007-11 | 113.3 |
| 2007-12 | 113.3 |
| 2008-01 | 110.3 |
| 2008-02 | 108.5 |
| 2008-03 | 107.3 |
| 2008-04 | 103.5 |
| 2008-05 | 102.6 |
| 2008-06 | 99.7 |
| 2008-07 | 96.2 |
| 2008-08 | 93.2 |
| 2008-09 | 94.6 |
| 2008-10 | 81.7 |
| 2008-11 | 82.1 |
| 2008-12 | 76.4 |
| 2009-01 | 77.8 |
| 2009-02 | 79.0 |
| 2009-03 | 77.7 |
| 2009-04 | 75.0 |
| 2009-05 | 78.6 |
| 2009-06 | 78.5 |
| 2009-07 | 83.2 |
| 2009-08 | 84.8 |
| 2009-09 | 88.8 |
| 2009-10 | 90.4 |
| 2009-11 | 96.0 |
| 2009-12 | 95.4 |
| 2010-01 | 97.8 |
| 2010-02 | 97.6 |
| 2010-03 | 96.8 |
| 2010-04 | 102.0 |
| 2010-05 | 101.7 |
| 2010-06 | 100.6 |
| 2010-07 | 100.4 |
| 2010-08 | 104.8 |
| 2010-09 | 105.4 |
| 2010-10 | 106.3 |
| 2010-11 | 103.0 |
| 2010-12 | 106.4 |
| 2011-01 | 105.9 |
| 2011-02 | 105.7 |
| 2011-03 | 103.1 |
| 2011-04 | 102.8 |
| 2011-05 | 104.2 |
| 2011-06 | 102.7 |
| 2011-07 | 101.3 |
| 2011-08 | 98.1 |
| 2011-09 | 94.2 |
| 2011-10 | 94.5 |
| 2011-11 | 93.0 |
| 2011-12 | 93.0 |
| 2012-01 | 89.3 |
| 2012-02 | 90.4 |
| 2012-03 | 93.8 |
| 2012-04 | 96.0 |
| 2012-05 | 90.7 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-07 | 87.9 |
| 2012-08 | 89.9 |
| 2012-09 | 86.3 |
| 2012-10 | 87.2 |
| 2012-11 | 87.3 |
| 2012-12 | 87.1 |
| 2013-01 | 86.1 |
| 2013-02 | 88.7 |
| 2013-03 | 86.0 |
| 2013-04 | 83.8 |
| 2013-05 | 83.7 |
| 2013-06 | 84.8 |
| 2013-07 | 85.3 |
| 2013-08 | 92.5 |
| 2013-09 | 96.3 |
| 2013-10 | 94.2 |
| 2013-11 | 89.8 |
| 2013-12 | 93.6 |
| 2014-01 | 95.5 |
| 2014-02 | 94.2 |
| 2014-03 | 94.9 |
| 2014-04 | 95.9 |
| 2014-05 | 96.2 |
| 2014-06 | 94.2 |
| 2014-07 | 95.8 |
| 2014-08 | 89.6 |
| 2014-09 | 88.1 |
| 2014-10 | 87.5 |
| 2014-11 | 91.6 |
| 2014-12 | 93.3 |
| 2015-01 | 97.7 |
| 2015-02 | 100.4 |
| 2015-03 | 100.9 |
| 2015-04 | 101.1 |
| 2015-05 | 101.8 |
| 2015-06 | 102.8 |
| 2015-07 | 102.6 |
| 2015-08 | 104.1 |
| 2015-09 | 104.7 |
| 2015-10 | 105.8 |
| 2015-11 | 103.6 |
| 2015-12 | 100.2 |
| 2016-01 | 104.2 |
| 2016-02 | 101.7 |
| 2016-03 | 102.4 |
| 2016-04 | 102.1 |
| 2016-05 | 105.1 |
| 2016-06 | 102.7 |
| 2016-07 | 104.3 |
| 2016-08 | 103.1 |
| 2016-09 | 102.3 |
| 2016-10 | 100.7 |
| 2016-11 | 103.9 |
| 2016-12 | 107.1 |
| 2017-01 | 106.5 |
| 2017-02 | 105.2 |
| 2017-03 | 106.4 |
| 2017-04 | 104.5 |
| 2017-05 | 106.3 |
| 2017-06 | 110.6 |
| 2017-07 | 111.7 |
| 2017-08 | 108.3 |
| 2017-09 | 112.4 |
| 2017-10 | 113.5 |
| 2017-11 | 115.8 |
| 2017-12 | 115.1 |
| 2018-01 | 115.2 |
| 2018-02 | 115.8 |
| 2018-03 | 113.1 |
| 2018-04 | 112.3 |
| 2018-05 | 112.1 |
| 2018-06 | 112.2 |
| 2018-07 | 113.7 |
| 2018-08 | 110.8 |
| 2018-09 | 108.5 |
| 2018-10 | 105.1 |
| 2018-11 | 107.5 |
| 2018-12 | 98.8 |
| 2019-01 | 99.8 |
| 2019-02 | 102.1 |
| 2019-03 | 102.5 |
| 2019-04 | 105.9 |
| 2019-05 | 104.1 |
| 2019-06 | 103.9 |
| 2019-07 | 105.1 |
| 2019-08 | 99.9 |
| 2019-09 | 104.1 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE.
The balance of opinion on ordering intentions has sharply bounced back
In September 2019, the balance of opinion of business managers on their ordering intentions has bounced back sharply and has returned above its long-term average. As in the previous month, business managers are more confident about the general business outlook of their sector: the balance of opinion has continued to grow and has remained significantly above its long-term mean. The opinion of business leaders on their past sales, and moreover on their expected sales, have improved after a deterioration in August. The balance of opinion on expected sales has thus regained its long-term average. The balance of opinion concerning stocks has risen in September and has also returned its long-term mean. The balance of expected prices has continued to grow slightly and is above average. The one associated with past prices, bi-monthly, has continued to fall while remaining above its long-term average.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave.(1) | June 19 | July 19 | Aug. 19 | Sept. 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 104 | 105 | 100 | 104 |
| General business outlook | -28 | -12 | -16 | -12 | -10 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -9 | -2 | -4 | -2 |
| Expected sales | -1 | 1 | -4 | -6 | -1 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -7 | -3 | -13 | -4 |
| Stocks | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 11 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -6 | -1 | -2 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -3 | -4 | -2 | -1 | 0 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -14 | -12 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 1 | -3 | -1 | -12 | -14 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -3 | -5 | -5 | -10 | -7 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -12.2 | -4.2 |
| 2010-02 | -10.5 | -12.3 |
| 2010-03 | -11.1 | -20.1 |
| 2010-04 | -4.5 | -3.4 |
| 2010-05 | -5.6 | 1.9 |
| 2010-06 | -4.0 | -1.5 |
| 2010-07 | -9.0 | -5.4 |
| 2010-08 | -2.0 | 4.3 |
| 2010-09 | -1.0 | -1.6 |
| 2010-10 | 2.1 | -4.1 |
| 2010-11 | -5.9 | -8.2 |
| 2010-12 | -2.6 | 4.2 |
| 2011-01 | -0.7 | 4.9 |
| 2011-02 | -3.1 | 2.5 |
| 2011-03 | -6.9 | -6.3 |
| 2011-04 | -6.9 | 1.0 |
| 2011-05 | -6.8 | 3.2 |
| 2011-06 | -10.7 | -0.4 |
| 2011-07 | -12.4 | -9.6 |
| 2011-08 | -11.5 | -6.3 |
| 2011-09 | -12.1 | -17.2 |
| 2011-10 | -12.8 | -15.9 |
| 2011-11 | -14.2 | -13.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.3 | -17.3 |
| 2012-01 | -18.7 | -19.6 |
| 2012-02 | -15.8 | -14.5 |
| 2012-03 | -16.7 | -12.3 |
| 2012-04 | -13.3 | -8.7 |
| 2012-05 | -16.0 | -15.2 |
| 2012-06 | -12.2 | -18.9 |
| 2012-07 | -15.6 | -19.6 |
| 2012-08 | -15.2 | -8.1 |
| 2012-09 | -20.9 | -23.7 |
| 2012-10 | -19.2 | -23.1 |
| 2012-11 | -20.1 | -16.8 |
| 2012-12 | -19.1 | -20.9 |
| 2013-01 | -24.3 | -16.5 |
| 2013-02 | -14.3 | -26.3 |
| 2013-03 | -17.3 | -25.8 |
| 2013-04 | -19.5 | -32.3 |
| 2013-05 | -21.0 | -30.3 |
| 2013-06 | -18.7 | -25.0 |
| 2013-07 | -22.4 | -26.2 |
| 2013-08 | -13.6 | -18.2 |
| 2013-09 | -6.9 | -12.8 |
| 2013-10 | -14.2 | -11.6 |
| 2013-11 | -15.2 | -13.3 |
| 2013-12 | -16.3 | -10.4 |
| 2014-01 | -11.5 | -9.8 |
| 2014-02 | -13.6 | -12.2 |
| 2014-03 | -10.9 | -16.9 |
| 2014-04 | -9.6 | -21.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.7 | -15.3 |
| 2014-06 | -13.3 | -12.5 |
| 2014-07 | -9.0 | -6.1 |
| 2014-08 | -17.6 | -19.7 |
| 2014-09 | -17.6 | -30.6 |
| 2014-10 | -18.4 | -23.7 |
| 2014-11 | -14.7 | -15.2 |
| 2014-12 | -13.7 | -9.9 |
| 2015-01 | -3.7 | -7.7 |
| 2015-02 | -2.7 | -3.4 |
| 2015-03 | -3.5 | -5.5 |
| 2015-04 | -2.5 | -2.8 |
| 2015-05 | -2.3 | -4.9 |
| 2015-06 | -0.9 | -8.9 |
| 2015-07 | -4.2 | -0.8 |
| 2015-08 | -1.7 | 8.1 |
| 2015-09 | -1.5 | 1.5 |
| 2015-10 | -1.8 | 4.4 |
| 2015-11 | -3.7 | 2.6 |
| 2015-12 | -5.9 | -15.1 |
| 2016-01 | -5.3 | -3.9 |
| 2016-02 | -7.8 | -8.3 |
| 2016-03 | -4.4 | -5.3 |
| 2016-04 | -9.3 | 1.4 |
| 2016-05 | -3.4 | 4.3 |
| 2016-06 | -3.6 | -4.7 |
| 2016-07 | -2.5 | -5.2 |
| 2016-08 | -3.9 | -4.0 |
| 2016-09 | -4.7 | -10.6 |
| 2016-10 | -10.5 | -10.7 |
| 2016-11 | -8.2 | -6.6 |
| 2016-12 | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| 2017-01 | 0.3 | 3.4 |
| 2017-02 | -1.6 | 5.2 |
| 2017-03 | -1.3 | -2.3 |
| 2017-04 | -2.9 | -12.3 |
| 2017-05 | -0.8 | -5.6 |
| 2017-06 | 0.0 | -5.8 |
| 2017-07 | 3.6 | 7.9 |
| 2017-08 | -5.6 | 0.4 |
| 2017-09 | 5.3 | -5.3 |
| 2017-10 | 7.1 | -3.1 |
| 2017-11 | 9.9 | -7.0 |
| 2017-12 | 6.1 | 0.4 |
| 2018-01 | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| 2018-02 | 3.1 | 5.8 |
| 2018-03 | 0.3 | -8.7 |
| 2018-04 | 2.7 | -9.1 |
| 2018-05 | 4.8 | -7.3 |
| 2018-06 | 6.0 | -8.8 |
| 2018-07 | 8.3 | -0.2 |
| 2018-08 | 9.0 | 2.1 |
| 2018-09 | 2.4 | -1.3 |
| 2018-10 | -5.4 | -10.0 |
| 2018-11 | 1.0 | -7.9 |
| 2018-12 | -5.4 | -9.2 |
| 2019-01 | -7.8 | -6.8 |
| 2019-02 | -6.7 | -8.9 |
| 2019-03 | -4.7 | -18.2 |
| 2019-04 | 1.0 | -12.4 |
| 2019-05 | -4.1 | -11.5 |
| 2019-06 | -7.2 | -8.6 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -1.7 |
| 2019-08 | -12.5 | -3.7 |
| 2019-09 | -4.4 | -2.3 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE.
The opinion on past employment has continued to deteriorate, while the opinion on expected employment has improved
In September, fewer business managers than in August have reported having increased their workforce in the last three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has continued to decline, mainly due to the trade and repair of motor vehicles. It has reached its lowest level since October 2009, well below its average. On the other hand, the balance of opinion relative to the expected jobs in the next three months has bounced back, due to the retail trade and the trade and repair of motor vehicle. However, this balance has remained below its long-term average
In retail trade, the business climate has bounced back
In retail trade, the business climate has bounced back: the composite indicator has gained six points in September, to 92. It remains below its long-term mean (100). The balance of opinion on ordering intentions has bounced back sharply, mainly due to non-specialised trade. It is just below its average. Balances of retailers’ opinion on past and expected sales have bounced back sharply in non-specialised retail as well as in specialised retail trade. The balance on past sales has returned above average and the one on expected sales has almost reached it. Overall, retailers are more optimistic than in August concerning the general business outlook: the corresponding balance has increased again and has therefore moved further away from its long-term average. The balance of opinion of retailers on the level of their stocks has increased sharply and has returned to its average. Finally, slightly more retailers than in the previous month plan to increase their prices: the balance of opinion has edged up and stands just above average.
In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate has weakened slightly
In trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, the business climate indicator has lost one point in September. However, at 110, it has remained significantly above its long-term mean (100). The balances associated with past and expected sales have fallenback sharply, while remaining above their long-term average. Business leaders in the sector are more numerous to deem their stocks above normal. The balance of opinion has moved slightly above average. The opinion balance associated with ordering intentions has edged down while remaining significantly above average.
The balance related to the general business outlook for the sector has continued to improve significantly. It has gained four points and is far above his long-term average. Similarly, the balance associated with the cash position, bi-monthly, has improvedby four points and has deviatedfurther from its average. The balance concerning expected prices has continued to improve, above its mean. The balance associated with past prices is stable at its average level.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2010-01 | -14.3 | 12.0 |
| 2010-02 | -19.5 | 0.8 |
| 2010-03 | -21.6 | -22.9 |
| 2010-04 | -15.3 | -3.5 |
| 2010-05 | -21.4 | -0.4 |
| 2010-06 | -14.3 | -14.7 |
| 2010-07 | -15.6 | -6.3 |
| 2010-08 | -14.0 | -7.5 |
| 2010-09 | -7.1 | -16.0 |
| 2010-10 | -6.9 | -8.7 |
| 2010-11 | -6.8 | -6.9 |
| 2010-12 | -9.6 | 10.8 |
| 2011-01 | -7.9 | 16.7 |
| 2011-02 | -8.5 | 10.5 |
| 2011-03 | -11.5 | 2.2 |
| 2011-04 | -15.1 | 9.1 |
| 2011-05 | -15.4 | 2.4 |
| 2011-06 | -15.6 | 1.3 |
| 2011-07 | -10.3 | -7.5 |
| 2011-08 | -11.7 | -11.8 |
| 2011-09 | -16.7 | -25.4 |
| 2011-10 | -10.2 | -17.3 |
| 2011-11 | -20.3 | -4.3 |
| 2011-12 | -15.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012-01 | -34.9 | -22.4 |
| 2012-02 | -19.7 | -31.9 |
| 2012-03 | -25.9 | -32.6 |
| 2012-04 | -16.3 | -31.5 |
| 2012-05 | -22.8 | -26.3 |
| 2012-06 | -28.8 | -35.6 |
| 2012-07 | -34.8 | -37.3 |
| 2012-08 | -25.4 | -24.4 |
| 2012-09 | -35.6 | -32.3 |
| 2012-10 | -47.9 | -50.2 |
| 2012-11 | -31.4 | -35.1 |
| 2012-12 | -31.0 | -35.3 |
| 2013-01 | -35.4 | -29.8 |
| 2013-02 | -17.6 | -43.9 |
| 2013-03 | -25.6 | -43.4 |
| 2013-04 | -27.6 | -38.6 |
| 2013-05 | -24.5 | -29.2 |
| 2013-06 | -20.8 | -29.8 |
| 2013-07 | -19.8 | -21.3 |
| 2013-08 | -17.5 | -27.2 |
| 2013-09 | -11.9 | -17.1 |
| 2013-10 | -10.6 | -23.0 |
| 2013-11 | -14.7 | -17.5 |
| 2013-12 | -17.4 | -15.4 |
| 2014-01 | -13.3 | -12.2 |
| 2014-02 | -16.6 | -17.0 |
| 2014-03 | -10.6 | -12.3 |
| 2014-04 | -10.9 | -13.7 |
| 2014-05 | -10.6 | -4.4 |
| 2014-06 | -14.2 | -9.3 |
| 2014-07 | -8.6 | -6.5 |
| 2014-08 | -11.8 | -10.8 |
| 2014-09 | -21.4 | -25.3 |
| 2014-10 | -15.0 | -20.4 |
| 2014-11 | -10.9 | 3.0 |
| 2014-12 | -4.3 | -2.8 |
| 2015-01 | -0.1 | 7.8 |
| 2015-02 | -2.0 | -0.6 |
| 2015-03 | -0.9 | 1.7 |
| 2015-04 | 0.9 | 17.6 |
| 2015-05 | 3.2 | 17.9 |
| 2015-06 | 6.3 | 11.9 |
| 2015-07 | -7.1 | 11.2 |
| 2015-08 | -0.1 | 20.8 |
| 2015-09 | 3.0 | -5.1 |
| 2015-10 | -0.6 | 4.0 |
| 2015-11 | 3.8 | 6.8 |
| 2015-12 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| 2016-01 | 3.5 | -0.2 |
| 2016-02 | 3.4 | 2.0 |
| 2016-03 | 0.9 | 5.7 |
| 2016-04 | -0.5 | 13.9 |
| 2016-05 | -1.9 | 13.6 |
| 2016-06 | 3.5 | 13.7 |
| 2016-07 | 3.4 | 16.6 |
| 2016-08 | 3.6 | 12.4 |
| 2016-09 | -4.1 | -3.6 |
| 2016-10 | -1.1 | -2.4 |
| 2016-11 | -3.1 | 4.7 |
| 2016-12 | -2.4 | 2.4 |
| 2017-01 | -5.3 | 9.9 |
| 2017-02 | -3.8 | 6.9 |
| 2017-03 | 1.8 | 7.0 |
| 2017-04 | 2.8 | 10.2 |
| 2017-05 | -0.6 | 2.3 |
| 2017-06 | 1.9 | -2.9 |
| 2017-07 | 4.0 | 12.7 |
| 2017-08 | 2.7 | 15.1 |
| 2017-09 | 9.2 | 1.9 |
| 2017-10 | 13.5 | 2.5 |
| 2017-11 | 13.5 | 12.7 |
| 2017-12 | 9.5 | 14.7 |
| 2018-01 | 13.4 | 23.7 |
| 2018-02 | 17.1 | 21.3 |
| 2018-03 | 5.9 | 12.2 |
| 2018-04 | 10.5 | 16.3 |
| 2018-05 | 11.7 | 9.2 |
| 2018-06 | 6.1 | 15.0 |
| 2018-07 | 7.2 | 22.8 |
| 2018-08 | 8.8 | 15.7 |
| 2018-09 | 3.9 | 9.6 |
| 2018-10 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| 2018-11 | 5.7 | 1.4 |
| 2018-12 | 0.9 | -2.9 |
| 2019-01 | -1.0 | -11.5 |
| 2019-02 | 0.8 | -10.4 |
| 2019-03 | -2.6 | -10.4 |
| 2019-04 | -1.2 | -0.8 |
| 2019-05 | 2.8 | -5.1 |
| 2019-06 | 4.5 | -1.3 |
| 2019-07 | 2.5 | 9.4 |
| 2019-08 | 2.8 | 13.3 |
| 2019-09 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE.
tableauBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | Retail trade | |
|---|---|---|
| 2004-01 | 99.8 | 107.6 |
| 2004-02 | 97.3 | 109.5 |
| 2004-03 | 99.3 | 104.7 |
| 2004-04 | 102.4 | 102.3 |
| 2004-05 | 100.8 | 105.2 |
| 2004-06 | 102.3 | 100.2 |
| 2004-07 | 103.8 | 103.0 |
| 2004-08 | 103.5 | 103.1 |
| 2004-09 | 103.1 | 103.3 |
| 2004-10 | 102.2 | 103.8 |
| 2004-11 | 102.8 | 101.6 |
| 2004-12 | 104.4 | 98.0 |
| 2005-01 | 103.9 | 109.4 |
| 2005-02 | 103.0 | 102.8 |
| 2005-03 | 102.8 | 103.7 |
| 2005-04 | 102.4 | 104.9 |
| 2005-05 | 103.8 | 102.8 |
| 2005-06 | 100.1 | 99.4 |
| 2005-07 | 101.3 | 95.5 |
| 2005-08 | 100.8 | 98.1 |
| 2005-09 | 100.0 | 100.6 |
| 2005-10 | 101.7 | 101.7 |
| 2005-11 | 98.9 | 101.7 |
| 2005-12 | 102.8 | 103.3 |
| 2006-01 | 103.6 | 101.8 |
| 2006-02 | 104.8 | 98.3 |
| 2006-03 | 103.5 | 100.9 |
| 2006-04 | 105.4 | 100.5 |
| 2006-05 | 106.0 | 105.8 |
| 2006-06 | 109.1 | 105.7 |
| 2006-07 | 108.6 | 107.9 |
| 2006-08 | 107.3 | 108.3 |
| 2006-09 | 105.8 | 108.5 |
| 2006-10 | 105.8 | 111.6 |
| 2006-11 | 106.7 | 107.1 |
| 2006-12 | 105.1 | 105.9 |
| 2007-01 | 106.4 | 105.3 |
| 2007-02 | 109.3 | 110.2 |
| 2007-03 | 107.4 | 110.4 |
| 2007-04 | 109.3 | 112.2 |
| 2007-05 | 107.2 | 111.3 |
| 2007-06 | 117.0 | 114.8 |
| 2007-07 | 110.1 | 114.9 |
| 2007-08 | 109.9 | 114.7 |
| 2007-09 | 109.4 | 114.0 |
| 2007-10 | 109.8 | 107.4 |
| 2007-11 | 110.7 | 113.2 |
| 2007-12 | 108.0 | 115.8 |
| 2008-01 | 106.3 | 112.5 |
| 2008-02 | 103.6 | 112.2 |
| 2008-03 | 108.0 | 106.6 |
| 2008-04 | 101.5 | 107.0 |
| 2008-05 | 103.8 | 103.7 |
| 2008-06 | 98.0 | 104.0 |
| 2008-07 | 95.8 | 102.1 |
| 2008-08 | 93.9 | 94.9 |
| 2008-09 | 97.3 | 94.0 |
| 2008-10 | 79.7 | 88.0 |
| 2008-11 | 83.1 | 83.4 |
| 2008-12 | 73.4 | 81.3 |
| 2009-01 | 75.7 | 79.6 |
| 2009-02 | 77.7 | 81.6 |
| 2009-03 | 87.4 | 70.7 |
| 2009-04 | 78.6 | 73.5 |
| 2009-05 | 89.7 | 69.1 |
| 2009-06 | 85.3 | 70.9 |
| 2009-07 | 89.1 | 75.5 |
| 2009-08 | 93.5 | 75.8 |
| 2009-09 | 94.5 | 79.1 |
| 2009-10 | 95.6 | 81.1 |
| 2009-11 | 100.3 | 87.1 |
| 2009-12 | 97.2 | 90.4 |
| 2010-01 | 101.6 | 91.4 |
| 2010-02 | 99.9 | 92.9 |
| 2010-03 | 94.7 | 96.1 |
| 2010-04 | 101.1 | 99.4 |
| 2010-05 | 99.0 | 101.6 |
| 2010-06 | 97.4 | 100.3 |
| 2010-07 | 99.3 | 101.7 |
| 2010-08 | 100.8 | 103.7 |
| 2010-09 | 101.0 | 103.9 |
| 2010-10 | 102.5 | 104.9 |
| 2010-11 | 103.3 | 98.5 |
| 2010-12 | 104.1 | 103.2 |
| 2011-01 | 104.9 | 101.7 |
| 2011-02 | 106.6 | 101.9 |
| 2011-03 | 104.7 | 99.1 |
| 2011-04 | 102.5 | 99.9 |
| 2011-05 | 102.6 | 101.8 |
| 2011-06 | 102.1 | 100.0 |
| 2011-07 | 102.6 | 99.2 |
| 2011-08 | 99.0 | 97.1 |
| 2011-09 | 94.5 | 94.1 |
| 2011-10 | 95.6 | 93.7 |
| 2011-11 | 92.7 | 94.2 |
| 2011-12 | 92.7 | 95.5 |
| 2012-01 | 86.3 | 91.3 |
| 2012-02 | 89.5 | 90.3 |
| 2012-03 | 88.8 | 95.4 |
| 2012-04 | 91.6 | 95.8 |
| 2012-05 | 88.3 | 90.3 |
| 2012-06 | 87.5 | 94.1 |
| 2012-07 | 82.0 | 88.9 |
| 2012-08 | 85.9 | 92.1 |
| 2012-09 | 82.3 | 90.5 |
| 2012-10 | 77.3 | 94.4 |
| 2012-11 | 82.5 | 92.0 |
| 2012-12 | 83.7 | 88.7 |
| 2013-01 | 82.5 | 89.0 |
| 2013-02 | 85.5 | 89.8 |
| 2013-03 | 81.4 | 88.9 |
| 2013-04 | 81.8 | 86.6 |
| 2013-05 | 84.0 | 86.4 |
| 2013-06 | 87.1 | 85.5 |
| 2013-07 | 88.9 | 85.9 |
| 2013-08 | 91.7 | 93.0 |
| 2013-09 | 95.4 | 95.1 |
| 2013-10 | 94.8 | 94.9 |
| 2013-11 | 93.3 | 87.7 |
| 2013-12 | 94.2 | 94.5 |
| 2014-01 | 94.8 | 95.9 |
| 2014-02 | 94.4 | 94.4 |
| 2014-03 | 96.1 | 93.5 |
| 2014-04 | 99.1 | 95.9 |
| 2014-05 | 98.5 | 96.8 |
| 2014-06 | 96.2 | 94.3 |
| 2014-07 | 98.9 | 94.6 |
| 2014-08 | 96.3 | 88.4 |
| 2014-09 | 92.4 | 87.1 |
| 2014-10 | 95.2 | 85.3 |
| 2014-11 | 98.9 | 89.0 |
| 2014-12 | 99.7 | 91.6 |
| 2015-01 | 103.3 | 91.7 |
| 2015-02 | 103.0 | 97.5 |
| 2015-03 | 106.3 | 95.2 |
| 2015-04 | 109.0 | 94.0 |
| 2015-05 | 110.2 | 94.9 |
| 2015-06 | 110.0 | 96.8 |
| 2015-07 | 105.9 | 98.4 |
| 2015-08 | 110.1 | 97.2 |
| 2015-09 | 107.4 | 99.6 |
| 2015-10 | 107.2 | 101.6 |
| 2015-11 | 108.4 | 95.4 |
| 2015-12 | 106.4 | 95.1 |
| 2016-01 | 106.7 | 98.8 |
| 2016-02 | 108.2 | 95.0 |
| 2016-03 | 107.4 | 95.5 |
| 2016-04 | 109.0 | 96.2 |
| 2016-05 | 109.6 | 98.3 |
| 2016-06 | 110.6 | 96.2 |
| 2016-07 | 110.8 | 98.4 |
| 2016-08 | 108.3 | 98.9 |
| 2016-09 | 105.4 | 97.5 |
| 2016-10 | 106.3 | 96.7 |
| 2016-11 | 107.2 | 98.4 |
| 2016-12 | 108.4 | 101.7 |
| 2017-01 | 107.4 | 99.8 |
| 2017-02 | 107.6 | 100.0 |
| 2017-03 | 110.0 | 101.9 |
| 2017-04 | 109.5 | 99.6 |
| 2017-05 | 109.5 | 101.1 |
| 2017-06 | 111.5 | 104.9 |
| 2017-07 | 113.3 | 103.3 |
| 2017-08 | 112.7 | 102.6 |
| 2017-09 | 113.4 | 105.6 |
| 2017-10 | 115.2 | 106.0 |
| 2017-11 | 117.2 | 109.0 |
| 2017-12 | 116.0 | 107.6 |
| 2018-01 | 117.4 | 107.7 |
| 2018-02 | 120.5 | 108.5 |
| 2018-03 | 117.1 | 106.6 |
| 2018-04 | 118.4 | 105.6 |
| 2018-05 | 117.4 | 104.6 |
| 2018-06 | 117.2 | 106.6 |
| 2018-07 | 116.6 | 109.1 |
| 2018-08 | 113.8 | 104.7 |
| 2018-09 | 112.2 | 103.2 |
| 2018-10 | 112.0 | 98.6 |
| 2018-11 | 111.8 | 102.6 |
| 2018-12 | 107.6 | 94.5 |
| 2019-01 | 105.7 | 94.1 |
| 2019-02 | 107.4 | 96.5 |
| 2019-03 | 108.2 | 94.6 |
| 2019-04 | 109.5 | 100.1 |
| 2019-05 | 109.8 | 97.6 |
| 2019-06 | 108.8 | 96.5 |
| 2019-07 | 108.2 | 98.6 |
| 2019-08 | 110.8 | 85.6 |
| 2019-09 | 110.2 | 91.6 |
graphiqueBusiness climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE.
tableauDetailed data
| Ave.(1) | June 19 | July 19 | Aug. 19 | Sept. 19 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade - Global data | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 97 | 99 | 86 | 92 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -28 | -13 | -17 | -13 | -11 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -12 | -7 | -11 | -4 |
| Expected sales | 0 | -1 | -8 | -13 | -1 |
| Ordering intentions | -6 | -12 | -5 | -19 | -7 |
| Stocks | 10 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 10 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -3 | -3 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -9 | -4 | -5 | -4 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | -12 | -13 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | 2 | -4 | -1 | -15 | -16 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -2 | -6 | -6 | -14 | -10 |
| Non-specialised retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -2 | -16 | -2 | -11 | -1 |
| Expected sales | 7 | 4 | -7 | -17 | -1 |
| Ordering intentions | 2 | -8 | 3 | -22 | -3 |
| Stocks | 7 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | 4 | 0 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -7 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Cash position (2) | -7 | -9 | -7 | ||
| Specialised retail trade | |||||
| Recent sales | -12 | -7 | -12 | -12 | -8 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -6 | -10 | -8 | -1 |
| Ordering intentions | -16 | -17 | -14 | -16 | -12 |
| Stocks | 13 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -8 | -10 | -7 | ||
| Expected selling prices | -5 | -11 | -10 | -10 | -6 |
| Cash position (2) | -22 | -16 | -19 | ||
| Trade and repair of motor cars and motorcycles | |||||
| Business climate | 100 | 109 | 108 | 111 | 110 |
| Gener. busin. outlook | -25 | -11 | -12 | -8 | -4 |
| Recent sales | -6 | -1 | 9 | 13 | 2 |
| Expected sales | -5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 0 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Stocks | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 16 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Expected selling prices | 4 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 8 |
| Cash position (2) | -23 | -16 | -11 | ||
| Workforce size: recent trend | -7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| Workforce size: future trend | -5 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 5 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions).
- (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.
A balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
Next issue: 23 October 2019 at 8:45 am
Documentation
Methodology Note (pdf,4 Mo)
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