31 January 2019
2019- n° 28In November 2018, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.9 %) Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - November 2018
In November 2018, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.9%) after an increase in October (+2.3%). It fell back in wholesale trade (−1.4% after +3.2% in October) and in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.1% after +1.1%). By contrast, it was virtually stable in retail trade (+0.1% after +1.2%).
The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution to the overall variation. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.
In November 2018, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.9%) after an increase in October (+2.3%). It fell back in wholesale trade (−1.4% after +3.2% in October) and in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.1% after +1.1%). By contrast, it was virtually stable in retail trade (+0.1% after +1.2%).
The sales volume in overall trade was virtually stable over the last three months
Over the last three months (September to November), the sales volume in overall trade was virtually stable (−0.1%) compared to the previous three months. It decreased in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.3%). It was stable in wholesale trade. It rose slightly in retail trade (+0.3%) – it grew in retail trade not in stores (+1.9%) and in non-specialised stores (+0.2%) and it was stable in specialised stores.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-01 | 92.95 | 99.1 | 95.5 | 97.26 |
| 2014-02 | 94.04 | 100.3 | 95.38 | 98.05 |
| 2014-03 | 94.17 | 98.97 | 96.34 | 97.58 |
| 2014-04 | 95.01 | 99.6 | 96.09 | 97.98 |
| 2014-05 | 94.4 | 97.99 | 96.12 | 96.98 |
| 2014-06 | 94.16 | 100.15 | 96.21 | 98.22 |
| 2014-07 | 95.21 | 98.57 | 95.49 | 97.24 |
| 2014-08 | 96.72 | 99.28 | 97.05 | 98.3 |
| 2014-09 | 95.74 | 100.0 | 97.36 | 98.68 |
| 2014-10 | 96.73 | 99.4 | 96.86 | 98.31 |
| 2014-11 | 96.52 | 98.64 | 97.32 | 97.98 |
| 2014-12 | 97.41 | 98.69 | 98.0 | 98.32 |
| 2015-01 | 97.94 | 99.83 | 98.51 | 99.2 |
| 2015-02 | 97.96 | 99.13 | 98.36 | 98.76 |
| 2015-03 | 98.58 | 99.99 | 97.72 | 99.14 |
| 2015-04 | 98.5 | 100.52 | 99.42 | 99.94 |
| 2015-05 | 98.9 | 99.13 | 99.83 | 99.31 |
| 2015-06 | 100.05 | 100.97 | 100.52 | 100.72 |
| 2015-07 | 101.69 | 100.55 | 99.92 | 100.51 |
| 2015-08 | 100.53 | 99.06 | 101.71 | 100.03 |
| 2015-09 | 102.55 | 99.99 | 101.53 | 100.77 |
| 2015-10 | 101.84 | 99.5 | 100.9 | 100.21 |
| 2015-11 | 101.92 | 100.2 | 99.5 | 100.21 |
| 2015-12 | 99.54 | 101.13 | 102.07 | 101.2 |
| 2016-01 | 106.17 | 101.9 | 102.16 | 102.52 |
| 2016-02 | 104.38 | 101.82 | 102.05 | 102.21 |
| 2016-03 | 104.17 | 102.33 | 102.1 | 102.5 |
| 2016-04 | 106.16 | 101.73 | 101.95 | 102.36 |
| 2016-05 | 105.96 | 101.96 | 102.91 | 102.75 |
| 2016-06 | 105.28 | 100.35 | 102.53 | 101.62 |
| 2016-07 | 103.96 | 100.48 | 102.88 | 101.63 |
| 2016-08 | 106.86 | 100.96 | 102.79 | 102.25 |
| 2016-09 | 108.23 | 101.11 | 102.8 | 102.51 |
| 2016-10 | 107.7 | 100.66 | 104.72 | 102.76 |
| 2016-11 | 110.71 | 103.21 | 104.09 | 104.42 |
| 2016-12 | 109.06 | 101.74 | 103.96 | 103.33 |
| 2017-01 | 112.16 | 102.66 | 104.75 | 104.49 |
| 2017-02 | 111.68 | 102.87 | 105.61 | 104.8 |
| 2017-03 | 113.3 | 104.89 | 105.54 | 106.15 |
| 2017-04 | 108.72 | 102.52 | 105.7 | 104.25 |
| 2017-05 | 114.01 | 104.22 | 106.37 | 106.1 |
| 2017-06 | 113.55 | 105.08 | 105.96 | 106.42 |
| 2017-07 | 114.36 | 105.67 | 107.23 | 107.23 |
| 2017-08 | 114.73 | 105.75 | 106.32 | 107.06 |
| 2017-09 | 115.56 | 106.2 | 109.2 | 108.28 |
| 2017-10 | 116.03 | 104.25 | 106.03 | 106.28 |
| 2017-11 | 116.46 | 106.08 | 109.96 | 108.54 |
| 2017-12 | 120.01 | 106.24 | 108.29 | 108.6 |
| 2018-01 | 116.28 | 105.54 | 107.41 | 107.46 |
| 2018-02 | 117.09 | 105.32 | 108.42 | 107.73 |
| 2018-03 | 118.12 | 105.22 | 110.3 | 108.36 |
| 2018-04 | 117.57 | 106.27 | 108.42 | 108.34 |
| 2018-05 | 118.3 | 107.76 | 109.64 | 109.65 |
| 2018-06 | 119.73 | 107.51 | 110.5 | 109.95 |
| 2018-07 | 117.41 | 105.82 | 109.61 | 108.41 |
| 2018-08 | 120.02 | 107.79 | 111.15 | 110.34 |
| 2018-09 | 117.03 | 105.32 | 109.79 | 108.13 |
| 2018-10 | 118.32 | 108.66 | 111.1 | 110.61 |
| 2018-11 | 117.06 | 107.16 | 111.23 | 109.62 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE.
The sales volume rose by 1.6% over a year
The sales volume in overall trade grew by 1.6% over a year. It increased markedly in all sectors. It rose by 1.5% in wholesale trade. It also rose in retail trade (+2.1%) – it grew in every subsection : non-specialised stores (+3.5%), specialised stores (+1.1%) and retail trade not in stores (+3.0%). It went up in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+1.3%).
tableauFigure2 – Sales volume in the retail trade ; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| NACE Classification | Weight | Change in % | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov./Oct. | Oct./Sept. | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | ||
| G Wholesale and retailtrade ; repair of motorvehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | -0.9 | 2.3 | -0.1 | 1.6 |
| 45 Wholesale and retail tradeand repair of motor vehiclesand motorcycles | 1272 | -1.1 | 1.1 | -1.3 | 1.3 |
| 46 Wholesale trade, exceptof motor vehicles andmotorcycles | 5777 | -1.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 | 1.5 |
| 47 Retail trade, except ofmotor vehicles andmotorcycles | 2952 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 2.1 |
| 471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores | 1109 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 3.5 |
| 472 to 477 Retail sale inspecialised stores | 1622 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
| 478 and 479 Retail trade notin stores | 221 | 3.3 | -1.2 | 1.9 | 3.0 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of the previous year.
- The codes correspond to different levels of aggregation of the classification NAF rev.2
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
Downturn in wholesale trade in November
In November 2018, the sales volume in wholesale trade fell back (−1.4% after +3.2% in October). It fell back sharply in agricultural raw materials and live animals (−8.6% after +8.7%), in wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco (−2.6% after +4.2%), in information and communication equipment (−5.2% after +2.2%) and in other specialised wholesale (−1.5% after +2.5%). By contrast, it kept increasing for wholesalers on a fee or contract basis (+2.2% after +4.4%).
Decrease in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
In November 2018, the sales volume in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles fell back (−1.1% after +1.1%), especially in sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories (−3.5% after +2.0%) and in maintenance and repair of motor vehicles (−1.4% after +0.9%). The volume was virtually stable for motor vehicles (−0.1% after +0.9%) and kept decreasing in sales, maintenance and repair of motorcycles (−3.4% after −1.3%).
Virtual stability in retail trade
In November 2018, the sales volume in retail trade was virtually stable (+0.1% after +1.2%). It bounced back in retail trade not in stores (+3.3% after −1.2%) and was virtually stable in non-specialised stores (+0.1% after +1.8%). By contrast, it fell back slightly in specialised stores (−0.4% after +1.1%), in particular in other household equipment (−1.7% after +0.6%), in cultural goods (−1.4% after +1.2%) and in information and communication equipment (−1.1% after +1.2%). By contrast, it increased in automotive fuel (+0.8% after +0.1%).
According to the first early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except of motor vehicles and motorcycles should be virtually stable in December 2018 (−0.1%). It should grow by 2.7% year on year.
tableauFigure3 – Sales volume in the retail trade ; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Nace Classification | Weight | Nov. 2018 | Change in % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov./Oct. | Oct./Sept. | q-o-q (1) | |||
| G Wolesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 109.6 | -0.9 | 2.3 | -0.1 |
| 45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and moto. | 1272 | 117.1 | -1.1 | 1.1 | -1.3 |
| 451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 119.5 | -0.1 | 0.9 | -2.1 |
| 452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 113.3 | -1.4 | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| 453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 112.3 | -3.5 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| 454 Sale, maintenance and repair of moto. and related parts and accessories | 27 | 106.4 | -3.4 | -1.3 | -0.2 |
| 46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 5777 | 107.2 | -1.4 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
| 461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 112.4 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 0.9 |
| 462 Wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 86.7 | -8.6 | 8.7 | -5.3 |
| 463 Wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 103.8 | -2.6 | 4.2 | -1.0 |
| 464 Wholesale of household goods | 1130 | 108.6 | 0.2 | 2.7 | 1.1 |
| 465 Wholesale of information and communication equipment | 331 | 120.0 | -5.2 | 2.2 | -1.3 |
| 466 Wholesale of other machinery, equipmt and supplies | 716 | 111.8 | -1.1 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 105.9 | -1.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| 469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 104.7 | -0.3 | 0.7 | -1.1 |
| 47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 2952 | 111.2 | 0.1 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| 471 Non-specialised stores | 1109 | 110.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| 472 to 477 Specialised stores | 1622 | 108.8 | -0.4 | 1.1 | 0.0 |
| 472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco | 155 | 117.6 | -0.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 473 Retail sale of automotive fuel | 224 | 95.3 | 0.8 | 0.1 | -1.5 |
| 474 Retail sale of information and communication equipmt | 65 | 125.5 | -1.1 | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| 475 Retail sale of other household equipment | 310 | 105.4 | -1.7 | 0.6 | -1.2 |
| 476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods | 118 | 105.2 | -1.4 | 1.2 | -1.1 |
| 477 Retail sale of other goods | 750 | 111.5 | 0.1 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 478 et 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 132.8 | 3.3 | -1.2 | 1.9 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
Revisions
The variation in the sales volume of overall trade in October 2018 is unchanged at +2.3% (rounded number) compared to the previous release.
tableauFigure4 – Revision of variations
| Oct./Sept. | Sept./Aug. | Aug./July | Q3 2018/Q2 2018 | 2017/2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Overall trade | 0.03 | 0.09 | -0.01 | -0.05 | 0.00 |
| Raw series | -0.01 | 0.07 | -0.13 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| SA-WDA parameters | 0.04 | 0.02 | 0.12 | -0.06 | 0.00 |
- How to read : in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between October and September 2018 is revised by +0.03 points. -0.01 points are due to the raw series' revision and +0.04 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For more information
Next issue : 28 February 2019 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade
