Insee
Informations Rapides · 24 November 2021 · n° 300
Informations rapidesIn November 2021, the business climate in retail trade and in trade and repair of vehicles as a whole has improved again Monthly survey of retailing - November 2021

In November 2021, the business climate in retail trade and trade and repair of vehicles as a whole has improved again. At 109, the indicator that synthesizes it has regained two points and therefore remains well above its long-term average (100). This improvement is mainly due to the increase in the balances of opinion concerning ordering intentions and past sales.

Informations rapides
No 300
Paru le :Paru le24/11/2021
Prochaine parution le : 24/10/2024 at 08:45 - October 2024

In November 2021, the business climate in retail trade and trade and repair of vehicles as a whole has improved again. At 109, the indicator that synthesizes it has regained two points and therefore remains well above its long-term average (100). This improvement is mainly due to the increase in the balances of opinion concerning ordering intentions and past sales.

Composite indicator

Composite indicator
Business climate synthetic indicator
2005-01 105.4
2005-02 103.3
2005-03 103.7
2005-04 103.0
2005-05 100.9
2005-06 97.5
2005-07 95.6
2005-08 97.2
2005-09 98.2
2005-10 100.8
2005-11 99.3
2005-12 103.1
2006-01 102.4
2006-02 101.8
2006-03 101.7
2006-04 102.9
2006-05 105.1
2006-06 106.9
2006-07 107.6
2006-08 109.1
2006-09 109.8
2006-10 111.0
2006-11 109.7
2006-12 107.6
2007-01 106.9
2007-02 111.2
2007-03 110.1
2007-04 112.2
2007-05 113.7
2007-06 119.2
2007-07 116.0
2007-08 114.5
2007-09 112.0
2007-10 111.0
2007-11 112.7
2007-12 113.6
2008-01 109.7
2008-02 107.9
2008-03 108.4
2008-04 103.3
2008-05 102.3
2008-06 99.3
2008-07 96.0
2008-08 93.7
2008-09 94.7
2008-10 81.7
2008-11 82.7
2008-12 77.3
2009-01 78.3
2009-02 79.4
2009-03 80.5
2009-04 76.4
2009-05 80.0
2009-06 79.8
2009-07 85.6
2009-08 86.9
2009-09 90.0
2009-10 92.1
2009-11 97.5
2009-12 96.5
2010-01 98.2
2010-02 98.4
2010-03 97.8
2010-04 102.5
2010-05 101.4
2010-06 100.4
2010-07 100.9
2010-08 105.4
2010-09 105.3
2010-10 106.8
2010-11 104.1
2010-12 107.2
2011-01 106.0
2011-02 106.1
2011-03 103.8
2011-04 103.2
2011-05 104.2
2011-06 102.5
2011-07 102.0
2011-08 98.6
2011-09 94.3
2011-10 95.1
2011-11 94.2
2011-12 93.5
2012-01 89.1
2012-02 91.0
2012-03 94.0
2012-04 96.3
2012-05 91.3
2012-06 93.2
2012-07 89.3
2012-08 90.8
2012-09 86.6
2012-10 87.9
2012-11 88.5
2012-12 88.2
2013-01 85.8
2013-02 89.4
2013-03 86.5
2013-04 84.5
2013-05 84.0
2013-06 85.1
2013-07 86.1
2013-08 93.4
2013-09 97.2
2013-10 95.5
2013-11 91.7
2013-12 94.3
2014-01 95.2
2014-02 94.5
2014-03 94.9
2014-04 96.0
2014-05 96.1
2014-06 94.4
2014-07 96.2
2014-08 90.6
2014-09 88.7
2014-10 89.2
2014-11 92.5
2014-12 94.2
2015-01 97.7
2015-02 100.9
2015-03 101.3
2015-04 102.1
2015-05 102.2
2015-06 103.5
2015-07 102.8
2015-08 105.6
2015-09 105.2
2015-10 107.4
2015-11 104.4
2015-12 101.1
2016-01 104.0
2016-02 102.2
2016-03 103.2
2016-04 102.8
2016-05 105.6
2016-06 103.3
2016-07 104.3
2016-08 104.2
2016-09 102.6
2016-10 101.9
2016-11 103.5
2016-12 107.6
2017-01 107.1
2017-02 105.7
2017-03 106.9
2017-04 105.6
2017-05 107.0
2017-06 110.7
2017-07 111.7
2017-08 109.1
2017-09 112.6
2017-10 115.0
2017-11 114.7
2017-12 115.1
2018-01 115.8
2018-02 115.7
2018-03 113.6
2018-04 113.3
2018-05 113.3
2018-06 112.3
2018-07 113.0
2018-08 112.2
2018-09 108.1
2018-10 105.8
2018-11 105.9
2018-12 98.5
2019-01 100.9
2019-02 102.5
2019-03 104.1
2019-04 107.6
2019-05 105.9
2019-06 104.5
2019-07 105.6
2019-08 101.2
2019-09 105.0
2019-10 105.2
2019-11 105.5
2019-12 107.5
2020-01 105.7
2020-02 106.1
2020-03 92.7
2020-04 61.6
2020-05 64.9
2020-06 85.7
2020-07 89.0
2020-08 94.2
2020-09 94.8
2020-10 95.1
2020-11 71.0
2020-12 92.7
2021-01 94.1
2021-02 89.5
2021-03 96.1
2021-04 91.9
2021-05 109.7
2021-06 115.8
2021-07 113.6
2021-08 108.8
2021-09 105.8
2021-10 106.7
2021-11 108.7

Composite indicator

  • Source: INSEE

The balances of opinion on ordering intentions and sales have improved

In November 2021, the balance of opinion on ordering intentions has clearly increased and deviated from its long-term average. The balance of opinion on past sales over the last three months has rebounded sharply but remains below its own. The balance opinion on the sales for the next three months has continued to grow and has almost returned to its average.

The balance of opinion on the general business outlook for the retail activity in France, virtually stable, has remained far above its long-term average. However, the economic uncertainty felt by business managers has somewhat increased: the associated balance has increased somewhat after three months of stability.

The opinions of business leaders on the recent and expected trend of their workforce size over the last and next three months have remained broadly unchanged: the corresponding balances are virtually stable, below their long-term average.

Tendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.
Tendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles (Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.)
Mean (1) Aug. 21 Sept. 21 Oct. 21 Nov. 21
Business climate 100 109 106 107 109
General business outlook -28 -12 -4 -2 -3
Recent sales -7 12 -15 -19 -12
Expected sales -3 -6 -12 -10 -4
Ordering intentions -7 1 -5 -5 0
Stocks 10 -2 -5 -7 -12
Past selling prices (2) -6 14 21
Expected selling prices -3 15 13 20 27
Cash position (2) -15 -7 -15
Workforce size: recent trend 0 -7 -5 -8 -7
Workforce size: future trend -3 -4 -9 -6 -5
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 34 32 32 32 35
  • (1) Average since 1991 (2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, April 2021 for uncertainty flet).
  • (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
  • (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance
  • Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Recent sales and ordering intentions

Recent sales and ordering intentions
Ordering intentions Recent sales
2010-01 -13.4 -4.7
2010-02 -9.9 -13.0
2010-03 -10.0 -20.1
2010-04 -4.5 -2.7
2010-05 -7.0 2.1
2010-06 -4.7 -1.0
2010-07 -7.9 -5.3
2010-08 -1.6 4.0
2010-09 -2.3 -1.8
2010-10 1.3 -3.9
2010-11 -4.9 -8.0
2010-12 -1.3 4.1
2011-01 -1.8 4.3
2011-02 -2.4 1.6
2011-03 -5.8 -6.4
2011-04 -7.2 1.7
2011-05 -7.9 3.6
2011-06 -11.4 0.1
2011-07 -11.6 -9.4
2011-08 -11.3 -6.5
2011-09 -13.1 -17.4
2011-10 -13.5 -15.7
2011-11 -12.6 -13.0
2011-12 -13.9 -17.5
2012-01 -19.9 -20.3
2012-02 -15.4 -15.4
2012-03 -16.0 -12.3
2012-04 -13.7 -8.1
2012-05 -16.8 -14.8
2012-06 -12.9 -18.3
2012-07 -15.4 -19.5
2012-08 -15.1 -8.3
2012-09 -21.7 -23.8
2012-10 -19.3 -23.0
2012-11 -18.5 -16.4
2012-12 -17.7 -21.2
2013-01 -25.5 -17.3
2013-02 -14.0 -27.2
2013-03 -17.1 -25.9
2013-04 -19.6 -31.8
2013-05 -21.7 -29.8
2013-06 -19.4 -24.4
2013-07 -23.1 -26.0
2013-08 -13.4 -18.3
2013-09 -7.5 -12.8
2013-10 -13.4 -11.5
2013-11 -13.5 -12.9
2013-12 -15.2 -10.6
2014-01 -12.7 -10.7
2014-02 -13.3 -13.1
2014-03 -11.1 -16.9
2014-04 -9.6 -21.3
2014-05 -11.3 -14.8
2014-06 -13.8 -11.9
2014-07 -10.3 -5.9
2014-08 -17.3 -19.8
2014-09 -18.4 -30.6
2014-10 -16.8 -23.7
2014-11 -13.6 -14.7
2014-12 -12.7 -10.2
2015-01 -4.9 -8.6
2015-02 -1.9 -4.3
2015-03 -3.3 -5.4
2015-04 -2.2 -2.6
2015-05 -3.0 -4.4
2015-06 -1.3 -8.3
2015-07 -6.3 -0.6
2015-08 -1.5 8.0
2015-09 -2.6 1.6
2015-10 0.3 4.4
2015-11 -3.5 3.0
2015-12 -5.2 -15.3
2016-01 -6.1 -4.9
2016-02 -6.8 -9.2
2016-03 -3.5 -5.2
2016-04 -8.7 1.5
2016-05 -3.8 4.8
2016-06 -3.7 -4.0
2016-07 -5.1 -5.1
2016-08 -3.9 -4.1
2016-09 -6.1 -10.5
2016-10 -8.2 -10.7
2016-11 -9.2 -6.3
2016-12 -0.1 -1.2
2017-01 0.2 2.5
2017-02 -0.6 4.3
2017-03 0.3 -2.2
2017-04 -1.5 -12.2
2017-05 -0.7 -5.1
2017-06 -0.2 -5.1
2017-07 0.4 7.9
2017-08 -6.1 0.3
2017-09 3.9 -5.2
2017-10 9.4 -3.2
2017-11 8.1 -6.8
2017-12 5.3 0.3
2018-01 5.4 3.2
2018-02 3.9 4.9
2018-03 2.1 -8.5
2018-04 4.4 -9.0
2018-05 5.7 -6.7
2018-06 5.9 -8.0
2018-07 5.1 -0.2
2018-08 8.5 2.0
2018-09 0.7 -1.3
2018-10 -3.7 -10.2
2018-11 -0.9 -7.7
2018-12 -6.5 -9.2
2019-01 -6.8 -7.7
2019-02 -6.2 -9.8
2019-03 -2.5 -17.9
2019-04 3.3 -12.2
2019-05 -2.6 -10.8
2019-06 -7.0 -8.4
2019-07 -3.6 -2.1
2019-08 -12.3 -3.7
2019-09 -4.9 -2.8
2019-10 -4.9 -8.5
2019-11 -1.3 -6.9
2019-12 0.5 -1.3
2020-01 -2.6 12.7
2020-02 -0.2 2.4
2020-03 -12.5 -4.2
2020-04 -52.9 -2.4
2020-05 -43.3 -56.0
2020-06 -13.0 -47.9
2020-07 -8.2 -40.7
2020-08 -7.4 -8.7
2020-09 -8.6 2.6
2020-10 -2.8 -4.3
2020-11 -37.3 6.1
2020-12 -12.1 -21.4
2021-01 -12.7 -3.5
2021-02 -14.4 -12.7
2021-03 -8.6 -15.9
2021-04 -13.3 -6.6
2021-05 -3.6 -10.3
2021-06 1.6 -1.8
2021-07 3.8 1.1
2021-08 1.2 11.6
2021-09 -5.1 -15.2
2021-10 -4.9 -18.9
2021-11 -0.3 -12.1

Recent sales and ordering intentions

  • Source: INSEE

The balances of opinion on prices have reached unprecedented levels

In November 2021, the balances of opinion on selling prices for the last three and next three months have continued to increase and have both reached levels not seen since the start of these series (1991).

The balance of opinion on the level of stocks has accentuated its decline that began in June 2021 and deviated even further from its long-term average.

The bimonthly balance on cash position has fallen back sharply and returned to its long-term average level.

In retail trade (excluding trade and repair of vehicles), the business climate has improved again

In November 2021, in retail trade, the business climate has improved for the second month in a row. At 101, the composite indicator has gained three points and returned a little above its average (100). This further improvement is mainly due to the increase in the balances of opinion on workforce size for the next three months, past sales and ordering intentions.

The balance of opinion on the expected trend of the workforce size over the next three months has continued to rise, approaching its long-term average. This improvement mainly concerns the specialised retail trade.

The balance of opinion on sales for the last three months has rebounded strongly and approached its long-term average. This increase concerns both general trade and specialised trade. The balance of opinion on sales for the next three months has risen again, more sharply than in October, and has returned above its long-term average.

The balance of opinion on ordering intentions has increased again and has moved away from its average. The increase is driven by specialised retail trade, where this balance is close to its unprecedented level of July 2021. The balances of opinion on selling prices for the last and the next three months have continued to increase for retail trade as a whole and have hit new record levels since the beginning of these series (1991). The balance of opinion on past selling prices for the specialised retail trade sub-sector and that on expected prices in general retail trade have also reached levels not seen since 1991.

The balance of opinion on the current level of stocks, already below its average last month, has fallen back significantly. The bimonthly balance on the cash position has also fallen sharply and has returned below its own.

In trade and repair of vehicles, the business climate has fallen back

In trade and repair of vehicles, the business climate has fallen back in November 2021. At 101, it has lost two points but remains slightly above its average (100).

The overall assessment of business managers on the business outlook for the French retail sector has deteriorated sharply but remains above its average.

The balance of opinion on the trend in the workforce size over the next three months has decreased and reached its long-term average. In contrast, the balance on the recent change in the workforce size has increased and has moved further away from its own.

The balances of opinion on past and expected selling prices have increased sharply and reached levels not seen since the start of these series (1991). The balance relating to ordering intentions has rebounded and come close to its average.

The balance of opinion on the cash position has clearly decreased but remains above its average.

Recent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Recent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles
Ordering intentions Recent sales
2010-01 -14.3 12.0
2010-02 -19.2 0.8
2010-03 -21.7 -22.9
2010-04 -14.8 -3.5
2010-05 -21.5 -0.4
2010-06 -14.4 -14.7
2010-07 -15.5 -6.3
2010-08 -14.3 -7.5
2010-09 -7.3 -16.0
2010-10 -6.9 -8.7
2010-11 -6.9 -6.9
2010-12 -9.6 10.8
2011-01 -7.9 16.7
2011-02 -8.3 10.5
2011-03 -11.6 2.2
2011-04 -14.5 9.1
2011-05 -15.5 2.4
2011-06 -15.6 1.3
2011-07 -10.3 -7.5
2011-08 -12.2 -11.8
2011-09 -16.8 -25.4
2011-10 -10.1 -17.3
2011-11 -20.4 -4.3
2011-12 -15.4 -9.9
2012-01 -35.0 -22.4
2012-02 -19.5 -31.9
2012-03 -25.9 -32.6
2012-04 -15.8 -31.5
2012-05 -22.9 -26.3
2012-06 -28.8 -35.6
2012-07 -34.9 -37.3
2012-08 -25.9 -24.4
2012-09 -35.8 -32.3
2012-10 -47.7 -50.2
2012-11 -31.4 -35.1
2012-12 -31.0 -35.3
2013-01 -35.4 -29.8
2013-02 -17.4 -43.9
2013-03 -25.6 -43.4
2013-04 -27.0 -38.6
2013-05 -24.5 -29.2
2013-06 -20.9 -29.8
2013-07 -19.9 -21.3
2013-08 -18.0 -27.2
2013-09 -12.1 -17.1
2013-10 -10.5 -23.0
2013-11 -14.7 -17.5
2013-12 -17.4 -15.4
2014-01 -13.4 -12.2
2014-02 -16.4 -17.0
2014-03 -10.3 -12.3
2014-04 -10.5 -13.7
2014-05 -10.6 -4.4
2014-06 -14.3 -9.3
2014-07 -8.7 -6.5
2014-08 -12.5 -10.8
2014-09 -21.5 -25.3
2014-10 -15.0 -20.4
2014-11 -10.9 3.0
2014-12 -4.3 -2.8
2015-01 -0.2 7.8
2015-02 -1.9 -0.6
2015-03 0.0 1.7
2015-04 1.0 17.6
2015-05 3.2 17.9
2015-06 6.4 11.9
2015-07 -7.2 11.2
2015-08 -1.1 20.8
2015-09 3.0 -5.1
2015-10 -0.8 4.0
2015-11 3.5 6.8
2015-12 4.6 3.3
2016-01 3.5 -0.2
2016-02 3.4 2.0
2016-03 2.7 5.7
2016-04 -0.5 13.9
2016-05 -1.9 13.6
2016-06 3.7 13.7
2016-07 3.2 16.6
2016-08 2.2 12.4
2016-09 -3.9 -3.6
2016-10 -1.7 -2.4
2016-11 -3.6 4.7
2016-12 -2.4 2.4
2017-01 -5.2 9.9
2017-02 -3.8 6.9
2017-03 4.5 7.0
2017-04 2.9 10.2
2017-05 -0.3 2.3
2017-06 2.3 -2.9
2017-07 3.6 12.7
2017-08 0.5 15.1
2017-09 9.4 1.9
2017-10 12.2 2.5
2017-11 12.8 12.7
2017-12 9.4 14.7
2018-01 13.9 23.7
2018-02 16.8 21.3
2018-03 9.4 12.2
2018-04 11.3 16.3
2018-05 12.5 9.2
2018-06 6.7 15.0
2018-07 7.0 22.8
2018-08 5.8 15.7
2018-09 3.6 9.6
2018-10 2.8 4.3
2018-11 4.8 1.4
2018-12 1.2 -2.9
2019-01 -0.2 -11.5
2019-02 0.4 -10.4
2019-03 1.7 -10.4
2019-04 0.0 -0.8
2019-05 3.8 -5.1
2019-06 4.5 -1.3
2019-07 2.0 9.4
2019-08 0.8 13.3
2019-09 -0.2 -1.1
2019-10 0.9 1.0
2019-11 -1.7 -1.1
2019-12 0.0 2.8
2020-01 5.2 23.2
2020-02 4.2 11.6
2020-03 -13.2 9.4
2020-04 -86.6 -13.4
2020-05 -68.3 -84.3
2020-06 -9.8 -80.4
2020-07 12.7 -62.6
2020-08 1.5 2.1
2020-09 -0.6 11.8
2020-10 -3.0 10.3
2020-11 -51.2 13.9
2020-12 -7.7 -25.9
2021-01 -11.7 -17.7
2021-02 -20.6 -15.2
2021-03 -7.2 -27.2
2021-04 -6.0 -8.3
2021-05 -1.7 -7.8
2021-06 9.6 6.5
2021-07 7.3 7.7
2021-08 2.6 7.9
2021-09 -8.0 -19.9
2021-10 -16.1 -24.0
2021-11 -10.4 -29.4

Recent sales and ordering intentions in trade and repair of motor vehicles

  • Source: INSEE

Business climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Business climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
Trade and repair of motor vehicles Retail trade
2005-01 102.7 109.2
2005-02 102.5 102.8
2005-03 102.1 104.3
2005-04 101.4 105.6
2005-05 102.2 104.6
2005-06 99.1 101.0
2005-07 100.6 96.4
2005-08 100.5 99.5
2005-09 100.3 101.9
2005-10 101.5 103.5
2005-11 99.5 102.5
2005-12 102.6 104.1
2006-01 102.7 102.3
2006-02 103.5 98.6
2006-03 102.3 102.0
2006-04 104.2 101.3
2006-05 104.6 106.9
2006-06 107.9 106.2
2006-07 107.7 107.6
2006-08 106.8 108.6
2006-09 105.8 108.5
2006-10 105.2 112.5
2006-11 106.7 106.8
2006-12 104.9 106.3
2007-01 105.0 105.6
2007-02 108.0 110.2
2007-03 106.5 111.1
2007-04 108.3 112.0
2007-05 106.1 111.3
2007-06 115.8 114.2
2007-07 109.3 113.9
2007-08 109.1 114.6
2007-09 108.9 114.0
2007-10 109.1 108.4
2007-11 110.2 113.3
2007-12 107.2 116.1
2008-01 105.2 113.2
2008-02 102.4 112.7
2008-03 106.5 108.1
2008-04 101.2 107.7
2008-05 102.2 104.6
2008-06 97.3 105.2
2008-07 95.3 102.9
2008-08 93.8 96.7
2008-09 96.3 95.2
2008-10 80.3 90.9
2008-11 82.4 85.5
2008-12 74.5 84.1
2009-01 76.1 82.4
2009-02 77.9 84.1
2009-03 85.5 73.6
2009-04 78.6 75.9
2009-05 87.7 71.1
2009-06 84.9 72.8
2009-07 88.6 77.1
2009-08 92.6 77.8
2009-09 94.5 80.5
2009-10 95.6 82.5
2009-11 100.2 88.6
2009-12 97.5 91.5
2010-01 100.7 92.4
2010-02 98.7 93.8
2010-03 94.8 97.4
2010-04 100.5 99.9
2010-05 98.4 102.2
2010-06 96.9 100.7
2010-07 99.0 102.3
2010-08 100.3 104.3
2010-09 100.7 104.3
2010-10 102.1 105.5
2010-11 103.0 99.8
2010-12 103.6 103.6
2011-01 103.9 102.1
2011-02 105.2 102.4
2011-03 104.5 100.2
2011-04 101.7 100.7
2011-05 101.9 102.5
2011-06 101.3 100.4
2011-07 102.2 99.9
2011-08 98.3 98.7
2011-09 94.7 95.8
2011-10 95.3 95.5
2011-11 92.3 96.7
2011-12 92.2 97.1
2012-01 86.6 93.2
2012-02 88.8 92.2
2012-03 89.0 97.0
2012-04 91.2 97.0
2012-05 87.8 91.9
2012-06 87.6 95.1
2012-07 82.1 90.3
2012-08 85.2 93.9
2012-09 82.3 92.5
2012-10 78.2 96.4
2012-11 82.5 94.6
2012-12 83.9 90.6
2013-01 82.5 90.6
2013-02 84.4 91.3
2013-03 80.5 90.7
2013-04 80.8 88.6
2013-05 82.6 88.5
2013-06 86.0 87.4
2013-07 87.8 88.0
2013-08 91.1 94.7
2013-09 94.7 96.4
2013-10 94.2 97.0
2013-11 92.5 90.1
2013-12 93.7 95.9
2014-01 94.0 97.0
2014-02 93.3 95.6
2014-03 94.8 94.7
2014-04 98.2 96.9
2014-05 96.9 97.8
2014-06 94.6 95.4
2014-07 97.7 95.9
2014-08 95.5 90.5
2014-09 92.6 89.0
2014-10 94.9 88.2
2014-11 98.0 90.8
2014-12 99.0 93.3
2015-01 102.6 92.6
2015-02 101.8 98.2
2015-03 105.2 96.5
2015-04 107.1 94.9
2015-05 108.6 95.6
2015-06 108.1 97.6
2015-07 104.8 99.3
2015-08 109.3 98.3
2015-09 107.2 100.0
2015-10 106.7 102.9
2015-11 107.3 95.6
2015-12 105.9 95.9
2016-01 106.5 99.4
2016-02 107.1 95.7
2016-03 106.1 96.8
2016-04 107.3 97.2
2016-05 108.3 99.0
2016-06 109.0 97.1
2016-07 109.5 99.4
2016-08 107.2 100.5
2016-09 105.6 97.9
2016-10 106.2 98.6
2016-11 106.5 98.0
2016-12 108.3 101.7
2017-01 107.5 100.6
2017-02 106.6 100.5
2017-03 109.0 103.1
2017-04 107.7 100.6
2017-05 108.5 102.0
2017-06 110.9 104.8
2017-07 112.5 103.4
2017-08 112.0 104.0
2017-09 113.3 104.7
2017-10 114.8 106.4
2017-11 115.9 106.6
2017-12 115.8 106.4
2018-01 116.9 108.2
2018-02 118.9 108.2
2018-03 116.4 107.6
2018-04 117.2 106.2
2018-05 116.7 106.1
2018-06 116.4 106.8
2018-07 115.7 109.3
2018-08 112.7 106.3
2018-09 112.2 102.3
2018-10 112.1 99.4
2018-11 111.8 100.6
2018-12 108.5 95.0
2019-01 107.4 96.3
2019-02 106.8 97.2
2019-03 108.6 96.8
2019-04 109.0 101.2
2019-05 110.1 100.2
2019-06 109.0 97.9
2019-07 108.3 99.4
2019-08 109.6 88.2
2019-09 108.4 94.6
2019-10 108.2 95.5
2019-11 108.0 92.3
2019-12 108.6 97.4
2020-01 110.8 95.2
2020-02 110.6 93.5
2020-03 100.1 83.1
2020-04 65.3 59.8
2020-05 69.0 58.6
2020-06 87.6 72.8
2020-07 97.4 76.8
2020-08 102.0 86.2
2020-09 102.6 85.0
2020-10 100.5 85.1
2020-11 81.9 66.2
2020-12 95.1 82.7
2021-01 92.3 96.0
2021-02 90.9 85.0
2021-03 96.5 90.3
2021-04 95.6 85.7
2021-05 105.5 96.8
2021-06 116.4 98.5
2021-07 111.2 101.6
2021-08 107.9 99.6
2021-09 104.4 96.1
2021-10 102.8 98.4
2021-11 101.1 100.8

Business climate synthetic indicator in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

  • Source: INSEE

Detailed data

Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.
Detailed data (Balances of opinion, in %, S.A.)
Ave.(1) Aug. 19 sept.-19 Oct. 19 Nov. 19
Retail trade - Global data
Business climate 100 100 96 98 101
Gener. busin. outlook -28 -10 -3 1 2
Recent sales -7 13 -13 -17 -5
Expected sales -1 -7 -6 -2 5
Ordering intentions -7 1 -4 0 4
Stocks 9 3 3 7 -1
Past selling prices (2) -8 10 15
Expected selling prices -5 10 10 19 23
Cash position (2) -14 -8 -16
Workforce size: recent trend 0 -9 -5 -8 -8
Workforce size: future trend -3 -5 -10 -8 -5
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 31 30 30 28 30
Non-specialised retail trade
Recent sales -2 15 -24 -29 -16
Expected sales 5 -1 -2 3 1
Ordering intentions 2 -1 -3 6 4
Stocks 7 1 -1 9 -3
Past selling prices (2) -7 7 10
Expected selling prices -4 5 6 17 25
Cash position (2) -7 -9 -22
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 30 29 29 24 32
Specialised retail trade
Recent sales -13 12 -1 -3 9
Expected sales -9 -13 -11 -9 9
Ordering intentions -17 3 -5 -6 4
Stocks 13 4 8 4 0
Past selling prices (2) -8 14 21
Expected selling prices -5 17 14 21 20
Cash position (2) -22 -6 -8
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 33 30 31 32 29
Trade and repair of motor cars and motocycles
Business climate 100 108 104 103 101
Gener. busin. outlook -25 -19 -8 -10 -22
Recent sales -7 8 -20 -24 -29
Expected sales -6 -6 -25 -26 -24
Ordering intentions -9 3 -8 -16 -10
Stocks 14 -11 -26 -38 -37
Past selling prices (2) 2 24 33
Expected selling prices 5 25 19 23 37
Cash position (2) -22 -6 -13
Workforce size: recent trend -7 0 -6 -5 -1
Workforce size: future trend -6 -1 -3 -2 -6
Economic uncertainty felt (3) 40 36 37 42 46
  • (1) Average since 1991 (2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles and 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
  • (2) Bi-monthly question (odd-numbered months).
  • (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance
  • Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles

Revisions

The business climates for October 2021 in the sub-sector of retail trade and in that of trade and repair of vehicles have both been revised downwards by one point. These revisions are mainly due to the inclusion of late responses from companies.

For more information

The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles.

For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.

Since the definitive data of April 2020, the way of correcting non-response has been modified. The usual method was to fill in missing answers by carrying on past answers from non-responding companies. The results are now computed on the sole basis of responding companies.

Company responses were collected between 28 October 2021 and 19 November 2021.

Next issue: 16 December 2021 at 8:45 am

Pour en savoir plus

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