26 March 2019
2019- n° 79In March 2019, the French business climate and the employment climate improve slightly Business climate indicator and turning point indicator - March 2019
In March 2019, the business climate is slightly more favorable than in February. The composite indicator, compiled from the answers of business managers in the main sectors, has gained one point: it stands at 104, above its long-term mean (100). Compared to the previous survey, the business climate indicator is stable or virtually stable in services, retail trade, manufacturing industry and building construction. It has bounced back by eight points in wholesale trade, compared to the bimonthly survey of January. The business climate is above its long-term mean in all those sectors.
The French business climate improves slightly, above its long-term mean
In March 2019, the business climate is slightly more favorable than in February. The composite indicator, compiled from the answers of business managers in the main sectors, has gained one point: it stands at 104, above its long-term mean (100). Compared to the previous survey, the business climate indicator is stable or virtually stable in services, retail trade, manufacturing industry and building construction. It has bounced back by eight points in wholesale trade, compared to the bimonthly survey of January. The business climate is above its long-term mean in all those sectors.
tableauFrench business climate composite indicator
French business climate composite indicator | |
---|---|
1998-01 | 108.5 |
1998-02 | 109.8 |
1998-03 | 112.9 |
1998-04 | 110.8 |
1998-05 | 111.9 |
1998-06 | 113.2 |
1998-07 | 112.3 |
1998-08 | 111.7 |
1998-09 | 109.5 |
1998-10 | 107.1 |
1998-11 | 105.1 |
1998-12 | 102.2 |
1999-01 | 102.4 |
1999-02 | 102.6 |
1999-03 | 100.8 |
1999-04 | 101.8 |
1999-05 | 103.4 |
1999-06 | 102.7 |
1999-07 | 107.8 |
1999-08 | 110.6 |
1999-09 | 113.8 |
1999-10 | 115.4 |
1999-11 | 117.0 |
1999-12 | 118.5 |
2000-01 | 115.4 |
2000-02 | 115.8 |
2000-03 | 116.8 |
2000-04 | 116.4 |
2000-05 | 115.8 |
2000-06 | 117.8 |
2000-07 | 117.2 |
2000-08 | 117.9 |
2000-09 | 118.1 |
2000-10 | 116.4 |
2000-11 | 114.2 |
2000-12 | 113.5 |
2001-01 | 112.6 |
2001-02 | 112.5 |
2001-03 | 112.7 |
2001-04 | 107.5 |
2001-05 | 105.2 |
2001-06 | 104.4 |
2001-07 | 102.1 |
2001-08 | 100.6 |
2001-09 | 98.8 |
2001-10 | 93.8 |
2001-11 | 93.9 |
2001-12 | 94.6 |
2002-01 | 95.7 |
2002-02 | 96.2 |
2002-03 | 98.2 |
2002-04 | 101.3 |
2002-05 | 102.6 |
2002-06 | 101.6 |
2002-07 | 98.8 |
2002-08 | 98.1 |
2002-09 | 97.1 |
2002-10 | 95.4 |
2002-11 | 96.9 |
2002-12 | 99.6 |
2003-01 | 96.1 |
2003-02 | 95.3 |
2003-03 | 89.9 |
2003-04 | 87.5 |
2003-05 | 91.8 |
2003-06 | 91.8 |
2003-07 | 94.3 |
2003-08 | 95.2 |
2003-09 | 95.2 |
2003-10 | 96.2 |
2003-11 | 100.1 |
2003-12 | 101.4 |
2004-01 | 105.6 |
2004-02 | 104.8 |
2004-03 | 105.0 |
2004-04 | 106.1 |
2004-05 | 106.0 |
2004-06 | 105.2 |
2004-07 | 106.8 |
2004-08 | 106.9 |
2004-09 | 106.7 |
2004-10 | 107.9 |
2004-11 | 105.5 |
2004-12 | 106.9 |
2005-01 | 106.4 |
2005-02 | 106.5 |
2005-03 | 106.0 |
2005-04 | 105.4 |
2005-05 | 103.1 |
2005-06 | 104.3 |
2005-07 | 105.0 |
2005-08 | 104.7 |
2005-09 | 104.0 |
2005-10 | 106.9 |
2005-11 | 106.6 |
2005-12 | 107.9 |
2006-01 | 109.1 |
2006-02 | 107.3 |
2006-03 | 107.4 |
2006-04 | 108.3 |
2006-05 | 110.0 |
2006-06 | 109.4 |
2006-07 | 111.1 |
2006-08 | 111.4 |
2006-09 | 111.8 |
2006-10 | 111.7 |
2006-11 | 112.7 |
2006-12 | 111.3 |
2007-01 | 111.1 |
2007-02 | 112.8 |
2007-03 | 113.3 |
2007-04 | 113.9 |
2007-05 | 114.1 |
2007-06 | 115.2 |
2007-07 | 114.5 |
2007-08 | 113.4 |
2007-09 | 112.7 |
2007-10 | 112.0 |
2007-11 | 112.2 |
2007-12 | 111.7 |
2008-01 | 110.6 |
2008-02 | 109.3 |
2008-03 | 108.9 |
2008-04 | 106.2 |
2008-05 | 103.4 |
2008-06 | 100.4 |
2008-07 | 96.1 |
2008-08 | 94.7 |
2008-09 | 92.0 |
2008-10 | 83.3 |
2008-11 | 79.6 |
2008-12 | 75.5 |
2009-01 | 73.8 |
2009-02 | 71.1 |
2009-03 | 68.0 |
2009-04 | 68.9 |
2009-05 | 72.5 |
2009-06 | 75.5 |
2009-07 | 77.5 |
2009-08 | 81.3 |
2009-09 | 84.9 |
2009-10 | 87.6 |
2009-11 | 89.8 |
2009-12 | 90.4 |
2010-01 | 92.6 |
2010-02 | 93.1 |
2010-03 | 92.7 |
2010-04 | 97.1 |
2010-05 | 98.3 |
2010-06 | 98.0 |
2010-07 | 100.0 |
2010-08 | 102.4 |
2010-09 | 103.9 |
2010-10 | 104.9 |
2010-11 | 105.1 |
2010-12 | 106.9 |
2011-01 | 107.8 |
2011-02 | 108.6 |
2011-03 | 109.7 |
2011-04 | 109.6 |
2011-05 | 108.4 |
2011-06 | 108.8 |
2011-07 | 106.3 |
2011-08 | 101.2 |
2011-09 | 98.1 |
2011-10 | 96.6 |
2011-11 | 94.6 |
2011-12 | 93.2 |
2012-01 | 92.5 |
2012-02 | 92.3 |
2012-03 | 94.8 |
2012-04 | 95.3 |
2012-05 | 91.8 |
2012-06 | 90.8 |
2012-07 | 88.5 |
2012-08 | 88.0 |
2012-09 | 86.7 |
2012-10 | 84.5 |
2012-11 | 86.2 |
2012-12 | 86.8 |
2013-01 | 86.9 |
2013-02 | 86.9 |
2013-03 | 85.1 |
2013-04 | 83.5 |
2013-05 | 84.8 |
2013-06 | 85.8 |
2013-07 | 87.5 |
2013-08 | 90.6 |
2013-09 | 94.0 |
2013-10 | 93.4 |
2013-11 | 92.9 |
2013-12 | 92.6 |
2014-01 | 93.2 |
2014-02 | 93.1 |
2014-03 | 94.7 |
2014-04 | 94.5 |
2014-05 | 94.2 |
2014-06 | 93.1 |
2014-07 | 92.4 |
2014-08 | 91.1 |
2014-09 | 90.5 |
2014-10 | 90.6 |
2014-11 | 92.6 |
2014-12 | 92.6 |
2015-01 | 92.8 |
2015-02 | 93.6 |
2015-03 | 94.9 |
2015-04 | 96.0 |
2015-05 | 97.0 |
2015-06 | 97.8 |
2015-07 | 98.3 |
2015-08 | 99.7 |
2015-09 | 99.7 |
2015-10 | 100.6 |
2015-11 | 100.8 |
2015-12 | 99.3 |
2016-01 | 101.1 |
2016-02 | 100.2 |
2016-03 | 100.4 |
2016-04 | 100.5 |
2016-05 | 102.1 |
2016-06 | 100.4 |
2016-07 | 101.2 |
2016-08 | 100.6 |
2016-09 | 101.2 |
2016-10 | 101.2 |
2016-11 | 101.7 |
2016-12 | 103.9 |
2017-01 | 103.4 |
2017-02 | 104.1 |
2017-03 | 104.3 |
2017-04 | 104.5 |
2017-05 | 105.3 |
2017-06 | 106.6 |
2017-07 | 107.5 |
2017-08 | 108.4 |
2017-09 | 109.2 |
2017-10 | 108.7 |
2017-11 | 110.5 |
2017-12 | 111.5 |
2018-01 | 110.4 |
2018-02 | 109.5 |
2018-03 | 109.5 |
2018-04 | 108.8 |
2018-05 | 106.8 |
2018-06 | 106.6 |
2018-07 | 106.1 |
2018-08 | 105.3 |
2018-09 | 105.5 |
2018-10 | 103.8 |
2018-11 | 104.8 |
2018-12 | 101.9 |
2019-01 | 102.4 |
2019-02 | 103.3 |
2019-03 | 104.5 |
graphiqueFrench business climate composite indicator
tableauBusiness and employment climates
Nov. 18 | Dec. 18 | Jan. 19 | Feb. 19 | Mar. 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Business climates | |||||
France | 105 | 102 | 102 | 103 | 104 |
Manufacturing | 105 | 103 | 103 | 103 | 102 |
Building construction | 109 | 110 | 109 | 111 | 112 |
Services | 104 | 102 | 104 | 103 | 103 |
Retail trade | 107 | 99 | 100 | 102 | 102 |
Wholesale trade | 104 | - | 99 | - | 107 |
Employment climate | |||||
Employment | 105 | 104 | 104 | 107 | 108 |
- Source: INSEE, Business tendency surveys
The employment climate has slightly improved, to a relatively high level
In March 2019, the employment climate has improved again a little, after a more marked increase in February: the associated composite indicator has gained one point and stands at 108, well above its long-term average. This improvement is due mainly to the increase in the balance of opinion on expected workforce size in the service sector excluding temporary work agencies.
tableauFrench employment climate composite indicator
French employment climate composite indicator | |
---|---|
1998-01 | 101.9 |
1998-02 | 103.8 |
1998-03 | 105.8 |
1998-04 | 107.5 |
1998-05 | 108.1 |
1998-06 | 109.1 |
1998-07 | 110.3 |
1998-08 | 108.5 |
1998-09 | 106.7 |
1998-10 | 105.7 |
1998-11 | 105.5 |
1998-12 | 104.8 |
1999-01 | 104.0 |
1999-02 | 105.4 |
1999-03 | 106.7 |
1999-04 | 108.2 |
1999-05 | 108.5 |
1999-06 | 109.1 |
1999-07 | 109.8 |
1999-08 | 112.4 |
1999-09 | 115.0 |
1999-10 | 117.3 |
1999-11 | 118.1 |
1999-12 | 118.7 |
2000-01 | 119.3 |
2000-02 | 117.2 |
2000-03 | 115.3 |
2000-04 | 113.3 |
2000-05 | 117.1 |
2000-06 | 120.9 |
2000-07 | 117.9 |
2000-08 | 119.6 |
2000-09 | 120.6 |
2000-10 | 120.3 |
2000-11 | 122.2 |
2000-12 | 120.9 |
2001-01 | 118.9 |
2001-02 | 119.9 |
2001-03 | 118.6 |
2001-04 | 118.1 |
2001-05 | 113.5 |
2001-06 | 111.3 |
2001-07 | 107.7 |
2001-08 | 108.0 |
2001-09 | 107.7 |
2001-10 | 108.4 |
2001-11 | 102.4 |
2001-12 | 105.4 |
2002-01 | 103.6 |
2002-02 | 101.5 |
2002-03 | 103.3 |
2002-04 | 106.9 |
2002-05 | 104.6 |
2002-06 | 103.1 |
2002-07 | 104.0 |
2002-08 | 101.2 |
2002-09 | 97.8 |
2002-10 | 94.1 |
2002-11 | 97.6 |
2002-12 | 96.6 |
2003-01 | 97.2 |
2003-02 | 95.7 |
2003-03 | 92.3 |
2003-04 | 90.7 |
2003-05 | 89.9 |
2003-06 | 92.0 |
2003-07 | 93.3 |
2003-08 | 93.8 |
2003-09 | 93.8 |
2003-10 | 94.7 |
2003-11 | 93.3 |
2003-12 | 96.4 |
2004-01 | 98.9 |
2004-02 | 97.1 |
2004-03 | 100.4 |
2004-04 | 101.2 |
2004-05 | 103.7 |
2004-06 | 100.8 |
2004-07 | 101.8 |
2004-08 | 101.8 |
2004-09 | 101.6 |
2004-10 | 102.8 |
2004-11 | 103.2 |
2004-12 | 101.9 |
2005-01 | 101.7 |
2005-02 | 102.1 |
2005-03 | 105.1 |
2005-04 | 101.9 |
2005-05 | 102.5 |
2005-06 | 102.2 |
2005-07 | 103.2 |
2005-08 | 103.7 |
2005-09 | 104.1 |
2005-10 | 104.5 |
2005-11 | 103.9 |
2005-12 | 103.0 |
2006-01 | 104.2 |
2006-02 | 104.4 |
2006-03 | 104.3 |
2006-04 | 107.3 |
2006-05 | 108.7 |
2006-06 | 110.5 |
2006-07 | 110.4 |
2006-08 | 109.4 |
2006-09 | 108.4 |
2006-10 | 108.7 |
2006-11 | 111.4 |
2006-12 | 112.1 |
2007-01 | 110.2 |
2007-02 | 112.0 |
2007-03 | 111.8 |
2007-04 | 112.2 |
2007-05 | 113.9 |
2007-06 | 113.3 |
2007-07 | 111.7 |
2007-08 | 112.9 |
2007-09 | 113.9 |
2007-10 | 111.6 |
2007-11 | 113.5 |
2007-12 | 115.7 |
2008-01 | 114.7 |
2008-02 | 115.1 |
2008-03 | 113.6 |
2008-04 | 114.0 |
2008-05 | 108.9 |
2008-06 | 105.0 |
2008-07 | 105.5 |
2008-08 | 100.9 |
2008-09 | 99.6 |
2008-10 | 94.5 |
2008-11 | 87.5 |
2008-12 | 81.8 |
2009-01 | 79.2 |
2009-02 | 78.2 |
2009-03 | 71.5 |
2009-04 | 72.0 |
2009-05 | 70.8 |
2009-06 | 72.0 |
2009-07 | 76.1 |
2009-08 | 81.0 |
2009-09 | 80.5 |
2009-10 | 82.5 |
2009-11 | 84.5 |
2009-12 | 87.2 |
2010-01 | 88.7 |
2010-02 | 89.3 |
2010-03 | 92.0 |
2010-04 | 94.6 |
2010-05 | 96.5 |
2010-06 | 98.0 |
2010-07 | 98.4 |
2010-08 | 98.6 |
2010-09 | 100.2 |
2010-10 | 103.0 |
2010-11 | 104.5 |
2010-12 | 105.1 |
2011-01 | 103.5 |
2011-02 | 110.2 |
2011-03 | 109.4 |
2011-04 | 109.7 |
2011-05 | 111.0 |
2011-06 | 111.6 |
2011-07 | 109.6 |
2011-08 | 105.1 |
2011-09 | 103.4 |
2011-10 | 100.3 |
2011-11 | 100.2 |
2011-12 | 98.7 |
2012-01 | 97.1 |
2012-02 | 97.0 |
2012-03 | 98.7 |
2012-04 | 96.8 |
2012-05 | 94.7 |
2012-06 | 92.8 |
2012-07 | 91.1 |
2012-08 | 92.5 |
2012-09 | 90.3 |
2012-10 | 90.1 |
2012-11 | 89.1 |
2012-12 | 88.8 |
2013-01 | 91.9 |
2013-02 | 88.0 |
2013-03 | 87.0 |
2013-04 | 84.8 |
2013-05 | 85.5 |
2013-06 | 87.8 |
2013-07 | 89.1 |
2013-08 | 88.9 |
2013-09 | 91.2 |
2013-10 | 93.2 |
2013-11 | 92.4 |
2013-12 | 94.4 |
2014-01 | 94.7 |
2014-02 | 94.0 |
2014-03 | 94.8 |
2014-04 | 97.8 |
2014-05 | 96.4 |
2014-06 | 94.7 |
2014-07 | 95.2 |
2014-08 | 93.7 |
2014-09 | 94.3 |
2014-10 | 94.1 |
2014-11 | 94.1 |
2014-12 | 94.3 |
2015-01 | 93.2 |
2015-02 | 95.4 |
2015-03 | 94.7 |
2015-04 | 96.8 |
2015-05 | 97.0 |
2015-06 | 99.0 |
2015-07 | 99.4 |
2015-08 | 100.3 |
2015-09 | 100.2 |
2015-10 | 100.5 |
2015-11 | 101.8 |
2015-12 | 100.6 |
2016-01 | 102.1 |
2016-02 | 100.6 |
2016-03 | 100.0 |
2016-04 | 100.6 |
2016-05 | 102.6 |
2016-06 | 101.6 |
2016-07 | 104.2 |
2016-08 | 103.2 |
2016-09 | 105.1 |
2016-10 | 104.9 |
2016-11 | 104.9 |
2016-12 | 106.8 |
2017-01 | 105.5 |
2017-02 | 104.3 |
2017-03 | 107.9 |
2017-04 | 106.6 |
2017-05 | 107.3 |
2017-06 | 108.3 |
2017-07 | 107.5 |
2017-08 | 105.6 |
2017-09 | 107.2 |
2017-10 | 108.6 |
2017-11 | 108.6 |
2017-12 | 108.6 |
2018-01 | 109.1 |
2018-02 | 109.9 |
2018-03 | 109.9 |
2018-04 | 108.3 |
2018-05 | 108.4 |
2018-06 | 110.2 |
2018-07 | 107.8 |
2018-08 | 106.9 |
2018-09 | 107.6 |
2018-10 | 107.2 |
2018-11 | 104.8 |
2018-12 | 103.9 |
2019-01 | 104.4 |
2019-02 | 107.1 |
2019-03 | 108.0 |
graphiqueFrench employment climate composite indicator
The turning point indicator points out a favourable short-term economic outlook
The turning point indicator for the French economy as a whole remains in the area indicating a favourable short-term economic outlook.
tableauTurning point indicators
Nov. 18 | Dec. 18 | Jan. 18 | Feb. 19 | Mar. 19 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
France | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
Manufacturing | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Building construction | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 |
Services | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.7 | -0.8 |
Wholesale trade | 0.3 | - | -0.4 | - | 0.9 |
- Source: INSEE, Business tendency surveys
tableauTurning-point indicator
Turning-point indicator | |
---|---|
2010-01 | 0.07 |
2010-02 | -0.3 |
2010-03 | -0.05 |
2010-04 | 0.1 |
2010-05 | 0.26 |
2010-06 | 0.14 |
2010-07 | 0.22 |
2010-08 | 0.95 |
2010-09 | 0.94 |
2010-10 | 0.93 |
2010-11 | 0.83 |
2010-12 | 0.99 |
2011-01 | 0.96 |
2011-02 | 0.97 |
2011-03 | 0.99 |
2011-04 | 0.88 |
2011-05 | 0.48 |
2011-06 | 0.6 |
2011-07 | 0.21 |
2011-08 | -0.98 |
2011-09 | -1.0 |
2011-10 | -0.71 |
2011-11 | -0.69 |
2011-12 | -0.58 |
2012-01 | -0.51 |
2012-02 | -0.72 |
2012-03 | 0.4 |
2012-04 | -0.09 |
2012-05 | -0.83 |
2012-06 | -0.98 |
2012-07 | -0.97 |
2012-08 | -0.81 |
2012-09 | -0.65 |
2012-10 | -0.99 |
2012-11 | -0.83 |
2012-12 | -0.67 |
2013-01 | -0.59 |
2013-02 | -0.85 |
2013-03 | -1.0 |
2013-04 | -0.99 |
2013-05 | 0.17 |
2013-06 | 0.1 |
2013-07 | 0.35 |
2013-08 | 0.94 |
2013-09 | 0.97 |
2013-10 | 0.82 |
2013-11 | 0.11 |
2013-12 | 0.35 |
2014-01 | 0.74 |
2014-02 | 0.56 |
2014-03 | 0.73 |
2014-04 | 0.31 |
2014-05 | 0.16 |
2014-06 | -0.22 |
2014-07 | -0.01 |
2014-08 | -0.35 |
2014-09 | -0.12 |
2014-10 | -0.35 |
2014-11 | -0.19 |
2014-12 | -0.17 |
2015-01 | -0.38 |
2015-02 | -0.31 |
2015-03 | 0.0 |
2015-04 | 0.04 |
2015-05 | 0.21 |
2015-06 | 0.12 |
2015-07 | 0.19 |
2015-08 | 0.16 |
2015-09 | 0.09 |
2015-10 | 0.15 |
2015-11 | 0.11 |
2015-12 | 0.11 |
2016-01 | 0.74 |
2016-02 | 0.73 |
2016-03 | 0.58 |
2016-04 | 0.54 |
2016-05 | 0.8 |
2016-06 | -0.34 |
2016-07 | 0.25 |
2016-08 | 0.11 |
2016-09 | 0.68 |
2016-10 | 0.48 |
2016-11 | 0.45 |
2016-12 | 0.5 |
2017-01 | 0.42 |
2017-02 | 0.87 |
2017-03 | 0.43 |
2017-04 | 0.57 |
2017-05 | 0.5 |
2017-06 | 0.87 |
2017-07 | 0.71 |
2017-08 | 0.77 |
2017-09 | 0.98 |
2017-10 | 0.86 |
2017-11 | 0.79 |
2017-12 | 0.86 |
2018-01 | 0.73 |
2018-02 | 0.03 |
2018-03 | 0.53 |
2018-04 | 0.39 |
2018-05 | 0.23 |
2018-06 | 0.46 |
2018-07 | 0.34 |
2018-08 | 0.32 |
2018-09 | 0.66 |
2018-10 | 0.36 |
2018-11 | 0.48 |
2018-12 | 0.39 |
2019-01 | 0.66 |
2019-02 | 0.5 |
2019-03 | 0.46 |
graphiqueTurning-point indicator
Revisions
Compared to its first estimate in February 2019, the business climate indicator has been revised upwards by one point in services. The employment climate indicator has also been raised by one point. These revisions result from the integration of late answers from businesses. The other climate indicators are unchanged.
For further information
The business climate and turning point indicators summarise the information provided by the surveys in manufacturing, services, trade (retail and wholesale), and construction. The business climate is built from 26 balances of opinion from these surveys while the turning point indicator is built from 14 balances of opinion from surveys in manufacturing, services and construction. The employment indicator is based on the 10 balances of employment, past and expected, from the surveys in manufacturing, services, retail trade and construction.
The balances of opinion concerning employment in services that are used in the employment climate distinguish the services excluding temporary work employment sector from temporary work agencies. For the latter, the balances on past and expected workforce size are not weighted, unlike the other sectors.
Next issue: 24 April 2019 at 08:45 am
Documentation
Abbreviated Methodology (pdf,130 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
The business climate and turning point indicators summarise the information provided by the surveys in manufacturing, services, trade (retail and wholesale), and construction. The business climate is built from 26 balances of opinion from these surveys while the turning point indicator is built from 14 balances of opinion from surveys in manufacturing, services and construction. The employment indicator is based on the 10 balances of employment, past and expected, from the surveys in manufacturing, services, retail trade and construction.
The balances of opinion concerning employment in services that are used in the employment climate distinguish the services excluding temporary work employment sector from temporary work agencies. For the latter, the balances on past and expected workforce size are not weighted, unlike the other sectors.
Next issue: 24 April 2019 at 08:45 am