Insee conjoncture
8 février 2019
N° 2019-34

In December 2018, manufacturing output bounced back (+1.0%)Industrial production index - December 2018

In December 2018, output bounced back in the manufacturing industry (+1.0% after −1.5% in November) as well as in the whole industry (+0.8% after −1.5%).

Informations rapides
No 34
Paru le : 08/02/2019
Prochaine parution le : 08/03/2019 at 08:45 - January 2019
Please note:

All series are seasonally (SA) and working-day adjusted (WDA).

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.

In December 2018, output bounced back in the manufacturing industry (+1.0% after −1.5% in November) as well as in the whole industry (+0.8% after −1.5%).

Manufacturing output went down over the last quarter (−0.4%)

Manufacturing output went down over the last quarter (−0.4%), as well as in the whole industry (−0.5%).

Over the last quarter, output decreased in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.8%), in “other manufacturing” (−0.2%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−0.9%), in the manufacture of transport equipment (−0.5%) and more markedly in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−6.6%). Conversely, it was virtually stable in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+0.1%).

Monthly Industrial Production Indices

Monthly Industrial Production Indices ()
(C1) (C3) (C4) (C5) CZ
2014-01 99.85 99.14 96.89 97.89 98.19
2014-02 100.89 101.41 96.98 100.0 99.85
2014-03 98.72 99.86 96.56 99.37 98.88
2014-04 100.82 98.68 97.68 99.39 99.24
2014-05 98.93 95.81 94.65 97.04 96.76
2014-06 98.93 98.67 98.97 98.45 98.55
2014-07 99.35 100.89 102.3 98.57 99.48
2014-08 98.27 94.14 98.47 98.48 97.79
2014-09 100.73 98.74 97.59 99.52 99.29
2014-10 99.08 96.71 97.52 98.17 98.0
2014-11 97.97 97.28 92.26 97.96 97.04
2014-12 100.23 103.5 99.51 99.66 100.29
2015-01 99.48 97.06 97.81 98.6 98.43
2015-02 98.33 96.71 101.66 99.7 99.39
2015-03 100.62 98.02 100.51 99.76 99.88
2015-04 99.62 99.76 97.32 99.37 99.24
2015-05 99.3 102.24 99.29 99.73 100.02
2015-06 101.53 104.12 100.1 99.79 100.64
2015-07 99.98 96.17 97.34 99.65 98.78
2015-08 100.33 101.22 103.92 100.53 100.91
2015-09 100.82 104.3 102.49 100.02 101.16
2015-10 100.76 101.28 101.44 99.89 100.5
2015-11 100.21 99.42 99.36 100.68 100.2
2015-12 99.02 99.69 98.76 102.28 100.83
2016-01 100.36 99.49 104.92 101.77 101.64
2016-02 100.51 101.75 104.38 100.03 100.92
2016-03 98.27 97.15 102.13 98.4 98.74
2016-04 98.33 99.46 106.91 100.57 101.03
2016-05 97.33 99.72 104.26 100.69 100.35
2016-06 96.93 97.41 104.26 99.33 99.05
2016-07 98.12 95.86 101.0 99.2 98.84
2016-08 98.82 102.51 104.83 100.72 101.25
2016-09 99.99 99.79 102.11 99.95 100.21
2016-10 98.09 96.53 103.81 98.08 98.71
2016-11 99.23 102.0 106.08 101.95 102.23
2016-12 98.49 100.68 104.41 100.55 100.85
2017-01 97.88 99.57 105.07 100.06 100.32
2017-02 98.46 100.85 104.4 100.9 100.9
2017-03 99.63 101.96 110.48 102.54 103.01
2017-04 98.2 101.0 101.09 101.63 100.94
2017-05 99.96 105.53 111.5 102.89 104.05
2017-06 99.45 102.45 106.9 102.21 102.52
2017-07 98.74 103.12 108.07 102.73 102.88
2017-08 99.48 102.48 116.14 101.52 103.37
2017-09 99.04 102.37 112.08 104.03 104.1
2017-10 99.33 106.91 112.44 105.83 105.8
2017-11 98.83 104.05 116.0 105.19 105.53
2017-12 96.57 105.42 112.32 105.72 105.14
2018-01 98.09 106.85 112.05 102.81 103.93
2018-02 97.94 104.95 108.5 103.08 103.3
2018-03 97.94 106.31 107.46 103.6 103.53
2018-04 99.3 103.21 112.67 103.62 104.0
2018-05 98.56 104.85 110.71 103.22 103.47
2018-06 98.02 103.24 113.41 103.93 104.16
2018-07 96.9 105.52 119.0 103.37 104.84
2018-08 97.46 106.68 113.87 104.75 105.11
2018-09 95.88 102.56 111.2 103.28 103.1
2018-10 96.93 106.37 111.98 104.7 104.68
2018-11 96.44 104.0 113.63 102.3 103.06
2018-12 97.28 101.66 116.57 103.63 104.05
  • Légend: CZ: Manufacturing - (C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages - (C3): Machinery and equipment goods - (C4): Manufacture of transport equipment - (C5): Other manufacturing.

Monthly Industrial Production Indices

Over a year, manufacturing output diminished (−1.5%)

Manufacturing output of the last quarter diminished compared to the same quarter of 2017 (−1.5%), as well as in the whole industry (−1.4%).

Over a year, output also decreased sharply in “other manufacturing” (−1.9%), in the manufacture of machinery and equipment goods (−1.4%), in the manufacture of food products and beverages (−1.4%), in mining and quarrying, energy, water supply (−0.9%) and more markedly in the manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products (−7.1%). On the contrary, it increased slightly in the manufacture of transport equipment (+0.4%).

Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA–WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17) Dec. / Nov. Nov. / Oct. Q-o-Q change (1) Year-on-year change (2)
BE: INDUSTRY 0.8 –1.5 –0.5 –1.4
CZ: Manufacturing 1.0 –1.5 –0.4 –1.5
(C1): Manufacture of food products and beverages 0.9 –0.5 0.1 –1.4
(C2): Manufacture of coke and refined petroleum products 5.7 –10.2 –6.6 –7.1
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods –2.3 –2.2 –0.9 –1.4
(C4): Manufacture of transport equipment 2.6 1.5 –0.5 0.4
(C5): Other manufacturing 1.3 –2.3 –0.2 –1.9
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 0.0 –1 –0.8 –0.9
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 1.9 1.3 –0.6 –0.7
  • The codes correspond to the level of aggregation A 10 (A 17) of the "NA" aggregated classification based on the French classification of activities NAF rev.2.
  • (1) Last three months / previous three months
  • (2) Last three months / same three months of previous year
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

Variation in the Industrial Production

2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %
Variation in the Industrial Production (2015 based, SA-WDA changes in %)
NA : A10, (A17), [A38 or A64] Dec. 2018 Dec. / Nov. Nov. / Oct. Quarter-on-quarter change
BE: INDUSTRY 103.3 0.8 –1.5 –0.5
CZ: Manufacturing 104.1 1.0 –1.5 –0.4
(C1): Man. of food products and beverages 97.3 0.9 –0.5 0.1
(C2): Man. of coke and refined petroleum products 91.2 5.7 –10.2 –6.6
(C3): Machinery and equipment goods 101.7 –2.3 –2.2 –0.9
[CI] Man. of computer, electronic and optical products 108.7 0.1 –2.2 –1.1
[CJ] Man. of electrical equipment 93.0 –4.1 –0.5 –0.8
[CK] Man. of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (1) 99.8 –3.6 –3.1 –0.7
(C4): Man. of transport equipment 116.6 2.6 1.5 –0.5
[CL1] Man. of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers 110.8 2.6 –3.3 –0.3
[CL2] Man. of other transport equipment 121.1 2.6 5.3 –0.7
(C5): Other manufacturing 103.6 1.3 –2.3 –0.2
[CB] Man. of textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products 97.5 1.0 –1.8 1.3
[CC] Man. of wood and paper products; printing and reproduction of recorded media 99.7 0.3 –1.4 0.1
[CE] Man. of chemicals and chemical products 105.3 3.7 –3.7 –0.3
[CF] Man. of basic pharmaceutical products and pharmaceutical preparations 120.5 11.7 –4.1 3.4
[CG] Man. of rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products 105.8 2.4 –2.4 –0.9
[CH] Man. of basic metals and fabricated metal products, except machinery and equipment 103.8 1.0 –2.4 0.3
[CM] Other manufacturing; repair and installation of machinery and equipment 95.8 –5.4 –0.7 –2.4
DE: Mining and quarrying; energy; water supply; waste management 99.4 0.0 –1.0 –0.8
[BZ] Mining and quarrying 107.2 3.7 –3.2 –0.3
[DZ] Electricity, gas, steam and air-conditioning supply 99.5 0.0 –0.7 –1.0
[EZ] Water supply; sewerage, waste management and remediation 94.4 –1.9 –3.2 0.2
FZ: CONSTRUCTION 104.9 1.9 1.3 –0.6
MIGs (2)
Capital goods 106.7 –1.1 –0.3 –1.1
Intermediate goods 102.0 1.6 –2.5 –0.3
Consumer durables 97.2 2.7 –3.7 –0.8
Consumer non-durables 104.3 3.2 –1.7 0.8
Energy 98.5 0.2 –1.5 –1.2
  • (1) n.e.c. : not elsewhere classifiable
  • 2) Main industrial groupings: definition in Commission regulation EC of 14 June 2007
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES

In December, output bounced back in “other manufacturing” (+1.3 % after −2.1%)

Output bounced back markedly in most branches: in pharmaceuticals (+11.7% after −4.1%), in chemicals (+3.7% after −3.7%), in rubber and plastics products, and other non-metallic mineral products (+2.4% after −2.4%), in the manufacture of basic metals and fabricated metal products (+1.0% after −2.4%), in textiles, wearing apparel, leather and related products (+1.0% after −1.8%) and in wood, paper and printing industries (+0.3% after −1.4%). On the contrary, it went down in other manufacturing, repair and installation of machinery and equipment (−5.4% after −0.7%).

Output accelerated in the manufacture of transport equipment (+2.6% after −1.5%)

Output grew again in the manufacture of other transport equipment (+2.6% after +5.3%). It bounced back in that of motor vehicles, trailers and semi-trailers (+2.6% after −3.3%).

Output increased in the manufacture of food products and beverages (+0.9 % after −0.5%)

Output bounced back in the sector, sustained by the manufacture of beverages.

Output bounced back in petroleum and refined products (+5.7 % after −10.2%)

Output bounced back in petroleum and refined products after going back to a normal activity without any particular incident.

Output was virtually stable in mining and quarrying; energy; water supply (after −1.0%)

Output bounced back in mining and quarring (+3.7% after –3.2%). It was virtually stable in electricity, gas, steam and air-conditionning supply (after –0.7%).

Output continued to shrink in machinery and equipment goods (−2.3% after −2.2%)

Output shrank again in the manufacture of machinery and equipment n.e.c. (–3.6% after −3.1%) and in that of electrical equipment (–4.1% after –0.5%). It was virtually stable in the manufactureof computer, electronic and optical products (after –2.2%).

Revision of variations

(in percentage point)
Revision of variations ((in percentage point))
Nov./ Oct. Oct. / Sept. Sept. / Aug. Q3 2018 / Q2 2018 2017 / 2016
Industry (BE) –0.15 0.10 0.02 –0.02 0.03
raw serie –0.14 0.11 –0.02 –0.05 0.03
SA-WDA parameters –0.01 –0.01 0.04 0.03 0.00
Manufacturing (CZ) –0.14 0.10 0.02 –0.02 0.04
raw serie –0.14 0.13 –0.04 –0.06 0.04
SA-WDA parameters 0.00 –0.03 0.06 0.04 0.00
  • How to read it: in the manufacturing sector, the SA-WDA variation between Octobe 2018 and November 2018 is revised by −0.14 points, −0.14 points are due to the revision of the raw series and 0.00 points to the updating of the SA-WDA parameters.
  • Sources : Insee, SSP, SDES


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