Informations Rapides ·
19 December 2024 · n° 318
In December 2024, the business climate has deteriorated again in retail trade and
in trade and repair of motor vehicles Monthly survey of retailing - December 2024
In December 2024, the business climate has deteriorated for the third month in a row in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 96, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost two points and lies below its long-term average (100). This deterioration is mainly due to the decrease in the balances related to the general business outlook and to the past sales.
In December 2024, the business climate has deteriorated for the third month in a row in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles overall. At 96, the indicator that synthesizes it has lost two points and lies below its long-term average (100). This deterioration is mainly due to the decrease in the balances related to the general business outlook and to the past sales.
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 2024-12 | 95.9 |
| 2024-11 | 98.4 |
| 2024-10 | 99.2 |
| 2024-09 | 100.0 |
| 2024-08 | 97.3 |
| 2024-07 | 94.1 |
| 2024-06 | 99.4 |
| 2024-05 | 100.9 |
| 2024-04 | 102.1 |
| 2024-03 | 101.3 |
| 2024-02 | 100.4 |
| 2024-01 | 104.0 |
| 2023-12 | 99.8 |
| 2023-11 | 97.1 |
| 2023-10 | 98.3 |
| 2023-09 | 102.6 |
| 2023-08 | 103.2 |
| 2023-07 | 104.3 |
| 2023-06 | 101.3 |
| 2023-05 | 98.0 |
| 2023-04 | 100.6 |
| 2023-03 | 98.0 |
| 2023-02 | 101.3 |
| 2023-01 | 99.8 |
| 2022-12 | 99.4 |
| 2022-11 | 96.8 |
| 2022-10 | 98.0 |
| 2022-09 | 96.5 |
| 2022-08 | 97.6 |
| 2022-07 | 94.5 |
| 2022-06 | 94.1 |
| 2022-05 | 95.4 |
| 2022-04 | 91.3 |
| 2022-03 | 99.5 |
| 2022-02 | 107.0 |
| 2022-01 | 104.7 |
| 2021-12 | 107.6 |
| 2021-11 | 109.1 |
| 2021-10 | 106.7 |
| 2021-09 | 108.0 |
| 2021-08 | 108.8 |
| 2021-07 | 114.0 |
| 2021-06 | 115.6 |
| 2021-05 | 108.2 |
| 2021-04 | 91.8 |
| 2021-03 | 96.6 |
| 2021-02 | 89.9 |
| 2021-01 | 94.1 |
| 2020-12 | 93.7 |
| 2020-11 | 70.6 |
| 2020-10 | 98.4 |
| 2020-09 | 98.1 |
| 2020-08 | 94.5 |
| 2020-07 | 90.0 |
| 2020-06 | 85.4 |
| 2020-05 | 60.8 |
| 2020-04 | 57.7 |
| 2020-03 | 93.2 |
| 2020-02 | 107.6 |
| 2020-01 | 106.7 |
| 2019-12 | 109.1 |
| 2019-11 | 106.9 |
| 2019-10 | 106.6 |
| 2019-09 | 107.3 |
| 2019-08 | 100.4 |
| 2019-07 | 106.5 |
| 2019-06 | 104.0 |
| 2019-05 | 105.1 |
| 2019-04 | 108.3 |
| 2019-03 | 104.5 |
| 2019-02 | 103.2 |
| 2019-01 | 101.4 |
| 2018-12 | 99.7 |
| 2018-11 | 107.2 |
| 2018-10 | 107.3 |
| 2018-09 | 110.4 |
| 2018-08 | 113.7 |
| 2018-07 | 114.7 |
| 2018-06 | 113.3 |
| 2018-05 | 113.5 |
| 2018-04 | 113.9 |
| 2018-03 | 114.0 |
| 2018-02 | 116.9 |
| 2018-01 | 116.9 |
| 2017-12 | 116.6 |
| 2017-11 | 116.3 |
| 2017-10 | 117.1 |
| 2017-09 | 113.7 |
| 2017-08 | 111.3 |
| 2017-07 | 112.2 |
| 2017-06 | 111.4 |
| 2017-05 | 107.2 |
| 2017-04 | 105.8 |
| 2017-03 | 108.2 |
| 2017-02 | 107.9 |
| 2017-01 | 109.3 |
| 2016-12 | 108.5 |
| 2016-11 | 103.2 |
| 2016-10 | 102.0 |
| 2016-09 | 103.0 |
| 2016-08 | 104.9 |
| 2016-07 | 104.7 |
| 2016-06 | 104.2 |
| 2016-05 | 106.4 |
| 2016-04 | 103.1 |
| 2016-03 | 104.1 |
| 2016-02 | 102.6 |
| 2016-01 | 104.4 |
| 2015-12 | 101.7 |
| 2015-11 | 105.4 |
| 2015-10 | 108.7 |
| 2015-09 | 106.2 |
| 2015-08 | 107.0 |
| 2015-07 | 103.4 |
| 2015-06 | 104.6 |
| 2015-05 | 103.4 |
| 2015-04 | 103.4 |
| 2015-03 | 102.5 |
| 2015-02 | 102.4 |
| 2015-01 | 99.1 |
| 2014-12 | 94.4 |
| 2014-11 | 92.8 |
| 2014-10 | 89.2 |
| 2014-09 | 88.3 |
| 2014-08 | 90.4 |
| 2014-07 | 96.8 |
| 2014-06 | 94.6 |
| 2014-05 | 96.4 |
| 2014-04 | 96.5 |
| 2014-03 | 95.4 |
| 2014-02 | 94.6 |
| 2014-01 | 95.2 |
| 2013-12 | 93.9 |
| 2013-11 | 92.0 |
| 2013-10 | 95.3 |
| 2013-09 | 97.8 |
| 2013-08 | 93.4 |
| 2013-07 | 85.1 |
| 2013-06 | 84.9 |
| 2013-05 | 83.3 |
| 2013-04 | 84.3 |
| 2013-03 | 86.4 |
| 2013-02 | 89.6 |
| 2013-01 | 84.7 |
| 2012-12 | 87.9 |
| 2012-11 | 88.1 |
| 2012-10 | 87.3 |
| 2012-09 | 85.6 |
| 2012-08 | 91.0 |
| 2012-07 | 89.3 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-05 | 90.8 |
| 2012-04 | 96.0 |
| 2012-03 | 93.3 |
| 2012-02 | 90.6 |
| 2012-01 | 88.0 |
| 2011-12 | 92.9 |
| 2011-11 | 93.9 |
| 2011-10 | 94.6 |
| 2011-09 | 93.9 |
| 2011-08 | 98.3 |
| 2011-07 | 101.3 |
| 2011-06 | 102.0 |
| 2011-05 | 104.1 |
| 2011-04 | 103.2 |
| 2011-03 | 103.9 |
| 2011-02 | 106.8 |
| 2011-01 | 107.0 |
| 2010-12 | 108.1 |
| 2010-11 | 104.4 |
| 2010-10 | 107.9 |
| 2010-09 | 106.1 |
| 2010-08 | 106.5 |
| 2010-07 | 101.1 |
| 2010-06 | 101.3 |
| 2010-05 | 101.9 |
| 2010-04 | 103.3 |
| 2010-03 | 97.8 |
| 2010-02 | 98.7 |
| 2010-01 | 98.2 |
| 2009-12 | 96.5 |
| 2009-11 | 98.3 |
| 2009-10 | 92.6 |
| 2009-09 | 90.3 |
| 2009-08 | 87.3 |
| 2009-07 | 86.0 |
| 2009-06 | 79.2 |
| 2009-05 | 80.2 |
| 2009-04 | 75.1 |
| 2009-03 | 82.6 |
| 2009-02 | 78.1 |
| 2009-01 | 77.1 |
| 2008-12 | 75.8 |
| 2008-11 | 84.2 |
| 2008-10 | 80.3 |
| 2008-09 | 96.7 |
| 2008-08 | 93.0 |
| 2008-07 | 95.4 |
| 2008-06 | 99.7 |
| 2008-05 | 103.5 |
| 2008-04 | 103.6 |
| 2008-03 | 110.0 |
| 2008-02 | 109.1 |
| 2008-01 | 110.4 |
| 2007-12 | 115.0 |
| 2007-11 | 113.0 |
| 2007-10 | 111.7 |
| 2007-09 | 112.0 |
| 2007-08 | 115.5 |
| 2007-07 | 117.6 |
| 2007-06 | 121.0 |
| 2007-05 | 114.9 |
| 2007-04 | 113.7 |
| 2007-03 | 111.4 |
| 2007-02 | 112.8 |
| 2007-01 | 107.9 |
| 2006-12 | 108.6 |
| 2006-11 | 111.1 |
| 2006-10 | 111.9 |
| 2006-09 | 110.5 |
| 2006-08 | 109.9 |
| 2006-07 | 108.2 |
| 2006-06 | 107.8 |
| 2006-05 | 105.5 |
| 2006-04 | 103.7 |
| 2006-03 | 102.3 |
| 2006-02 | 102.8 |
| 2006-01 | 103.2 |
| 2005-12 | 104.3 |
| 2005-11 | 99.7 |
| 2005-10 | 101.9 |
| 2005-09 | 99.3 |
| 2005-08 | 97.9 |
| 2005-07 | 95.9 |
| 2005-06 | 98.0 |
| 2005-05 | 101.4 |
| 2005-04 | 103.8 |
| 2005-03 | 104.4 |
| 2005-02 | 103.8 |
| 2005-01 | 106.2 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE.
The balances related to the general business outlook and to the past sales have sharply retreated
In December 2024, the balance related to the general business outlook has sharply retreated and has reached its long-term average. The balance related to the past sales has sharply fallen anew and has moved away from its own. Conversely, the balance on the expected sales has increased a bit and has moved closer to its average. The one on the ordering intentions has slightly rebounded and has moved closer to its own.
The balances associated with the past and expected changes in the workforce size have diminished and have moved away from their long-term average.
The balance associated with the current level of stocks has increased for the third month in a row and has moved away from its average.
The balance on the expected selling prices has retreated and has moved below its long-term average.
Lastly, the balance on the felt economic uncertainty has increased sharply.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | Sept. 24 | Oct. 24 | Nov. 24 | Dec. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 100 | 99 | 98 | 96 |
| General business outlook | -27 | -21 | -24 | -23 | -27 |
| Recent sales | -9 | -9 | -13 | -7 | -16 |
| Expected sales | -4 | -7 | -9 | -9 | -8 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -11 | -10 | -13 | -12 |
| Stocks | 10 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -3 | -5 | - | -5 | - |
| Expected selling prices | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | -22 | - | -18 | - |
| Past workforce size | -1 | -7 | -4 | -3 | -8 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -5 | -8 | -11 | -13 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 37 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 40 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles.
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-12 | -12.3 | -15.9 |
| 2024-11 | -12.7 | -7.3 |
| 2024-10 | -10.1 | -12.6 |
| 2024-09 | -11.3 | -9.3 |
| 2024-08 | -11.9 | -15.1 |
| 2024-07 | -15.4 | -18.2 |
| 2024-06 | -8.6 | -15.3 |
| 2024-05 | -9.2 | -10.4 |
| 2024-04 | -8.1 | -5.3 |
| 2024-03 | -8.4 | -9.8 |
| 2024-02 | -7.6 | -13.5 |
| 2024-01 | -6.4 | -0.9 |
| 2023-12 | -12.4 | -11.9 |
| 2023-11 | -14.8 | -14.5 |
| 2023-10 | -12.4 | -5.4 |
| 2023-09 | -8.3 | 1.0 |
| 2023-08 | -10.9 | 6.0 |
| 2023-07 | -8.5 | -1.3 |
| 2023-06 | -8.8 | -8.1 |
| 2023-05 | -13.6 | -5.6 |
| 2023-04 | -10.3 | -1.1 |
| 2023-03 | -14.5 | -4.6 |
| 2023-02 | -9.1 | -1.4 |
| 2023-01 | -12.0 | 5.9 |
| 2022-12 | -9.5 | -0.7 |
| 2022-11 | -15.4 | 2.0 |
| 2022-10 | -9.9 | -3.1 |
| 2022-09 | -14.6 | -5.6 |
| 2022-08 | -10.5 | -12.7 |
| 2022-07 | -10.6 | -20.3 |
| 2022-06 | -13.0 | -15.6 |
| 2022-05 | -12.4 | -13.0 |
| 2022-04 | -17.8 | -18.4 |
| 2022-03 | -4.6 | -11.3 |
| 2022-02 | -2.0 | -7.3 |
| 2022-01 | -3.5 | -5.0 |
| 2021-12 | -1.1 | -5.7 |
| 2021-11 | -0.5 | -11.3 |
| 2021-10 | -5.1 | -18.1 |
| 2021-09 | -2.5 | -11.8 |
| 2021-08 | 0.0 | 10.7 |
| 2021-07 | 3.5 | 0.5 |
| 2021-06 | 0.8 | -1.5 |
| 2021-05 | -5.1 | -10.8 |
| 2021-04 | -14.3 | -7.1 |
| 2021-03 | -8.1 | -15.3 |
| 2021-02 | -14.5 | -14.3 |
| 2021-01 | -13.5 | -5.4 |
| 2020-12 | -11.1 | -21.4 |
| 2020-11 | -36.8 | 7.6 |
| 2020-10 | -0.5 | -2.6 |
| 2020-09 | -6.2 | 6.0 |
| 2020-08 | -8.5 | -10.2 |
| 2020-07 | -7.8 | -41.8 |
| 2020-06 | -13.6 | -47.8 |
| 2020-05 | -44.9 | -56.3 |
| 2020-04 | -54.6 | -3.9 |
| 2020-03 | -12.4 | -3.6 |
| 2020-02 | -0.1 | 1.3 |
| 2020-01 | -3.2 | 10.8 |
| 2019-12 | 1.2 | -1.4 |
| 2019-11 | -1.2 | -5.8 |
| 2019-10 | -3.2 | -6.6 |
| 2019-09 | -3.0 | 0.4 |
| 2019-08 | -13.3 | -5.2 |
| 2019-07 | -2.6 | -3.7 |
| 2019-06 | -7.6 | -9.1 |
| 2019-05 | -4.4 | -10.9 |
| 2019-04 | 2.3 | -12.9 |
| 2019-03 | -2.7 | -17.4 |
| 2019-02 | -5.9 | -10.3 |
| 2019-01 | -7.0 | -9.4 |
| 2018-12 | -6.0 | -8.9 |
| 2018-11 | -0.9 | -6.7 |
| 2018-10 | -2.4 | -8.3 |
| 2018-09 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 2018-08 | 7.7 | 0.3 |
| 2018-07 | 6.6 | -2.1 |
| 2018-06 | 5.6 | -8.7 |
| 2018-05 | 4.4 | -6.8 |
| 2018-04 | 3.8 | -9.9 |
| 2018-03 | 1.8 | -7.9 |
| 2018-02 | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 2018-01 | 5.5 | 1.6 |
| 2017-12 | 5.4 | 1.5 |
| 2017-11 | 7.6 | -4.9 |
| 2017-10 | 9.8 | -0.5 |
| 2017-09 | 2.3 | -1.6 |
| 2017-08 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| 2017-07 | -1.4 | 5.5 |
| 2017-06 | -1.0 | -5.9 |
| 2017-05 | -3.2 | -5.5 |
| 2017-04 | -3.5 | -11.9 |
| 2017-03 | 0.2 | -1.8 |
| 2017-02 | -0.4 | 4.2 |
| 2017-01 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 2016-12 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| 2016-11 | -9.2 | -6.3 |
| 2016-10 | -8.2 | -10.7 |
| 2016-09 | -6.1 | -10.5 |
| 2016-08 | -3.9 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -5.1 | -5.1 |
| 2016-06 | -3.7 | -4.0 |
| 2016-05 | -3.8 | 4.8 |
| 2016-04 | -8.7 | 1.5 |
| 2016-03 | -3.5 | -5.2 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.2 |
| 2016-01 | -6.1 | -4.9 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.3 |
| 2015-11 | -3.5 | 3.0 |
| 2015-10 | 0.3 | 4.4 |
| 2015-09 | -2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.5 | 8.0 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-06 | -1.3 | -8.3 |
| 2015-05 | -3.0 | -4.4 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.6 |
| 2015-03 | -3.3 | -5.4 |
| 2015-02 | -1.9 | -4.3 |
| 2015-01 | -4.9 | -8.6 |
| 2014-12 | -12.7 | -10.2 |
| 2014-11 | -13.6 | -14.7 |
| 2014-10 | -16.8 | -23.7 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-08 | -17.3 | -19.8 |
| 2014-07 | -10.3 | -5.9 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-05 | -11.3 | -14.8 |
| 2014-04 | -9.6 | -21.3 |
| 2014-03 | -11.1 | -16.9 |
| 2014-02 | -13.3 | -13.1 |
| 2014-01 | -12.7 | -10.7 |
| 2013-12 | -15.2 | -10.6 |
| 2013-11 | -13.5 | -12.9 |
| 2013-10 | -13.4 | -11.5 |
| 2013-09 | -7.5 | -12.8 |
| 2013-08 | -13.4 | -18.3 |
| 2013-07 | -23.1 | -26.0 |
| 2013-06 | -19.4 | -24.4 |
| 2013-05 | -21.7 | -29.8 |
| 2013-04 | -19.6 | -31.8 |
| 2013-03 | -17.1 | -25.9 |
| 2013-02 | -14.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-01 | -25.5 | -17.3 |
| 2012-12 | -17.7 | -21.2 |
| 2012-11 | -18.5 | -16.4 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -23.0 |
| 2012-09 | -21.7 | -23.8 |
| 2012-08 | -15.1 | -8.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.4 | -19.5 |
| 2012-06 | -12.9 | -18.3 |
| 2012-05 | -16.8 | -14.8 |
| 2012-04 | -13.7 | -8.1 |
| 2012-03 | -16.0 | -12.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.4 | -15.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.9 | -20.3 |
| 2011-12 | -13.9 | -17.5 |
| 2011-11 | -12.6 | -13.0 |
| 2011-10 | -13.5 | -15.7 |
| 2011-09 | -13.1 | -17.4 |
| 2011-08 | -11.3 | -6.5 |
| 2011-07 | -11.6 | -9.4 |
| 2011-06 | -11.4 | 0.1 |
| 2011-05 | -7.9 | 3.6 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.7 |
| 2011-03 | -5.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-02 | -2.4 | 1.6 |
| 2011-01 | -1.8 | 4.3 |
| 2010-12 | -1.3 | 4.1 |
| 2010-11 | -4.9 | -8.0 |
| 2010-10 | 1.3 | -3.9 |
| 2010-09 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| 2010-08 | -1.6 | 4.0 |
| 2010-07 | -7.9 | -5.3 |
| 2010-06 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
| 2010-05 | -7.0 | 2.1 |
| 2010-04 | -4.5 | -2.7 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.1 |
| 2010-02 | -9.9 | -13.0 |
| 2010-01 | -13.4 | -4.7 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE.
The balance on the general business outlook has retreated strongly in trade and repair of motor vehicles
The balance associated with the general business outlook has retreated strongly in trade and repair of motor vehicles and has moved away from its long-term average, while it has retreated more slightly in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and has moved closer to its own.
The balances associated with the expected change in the workforce size have diminished sharply again in trade and repair of motor vehicles and to a lesser extent in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles). Both of them have moved away from their long-term average.
The balances associated with the past sales have diminished strongly in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and more moderately in trade and repair of motor vehicles, both of them moving away from their average. The balance on the expected sales has increased again in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and has moved above its average, while it has diminished again sharply in trade and repair of motor vehicles, where it has moved away from its own. In this sub-sector, the balance associated with the expected sales has reached a level unobserved since August 2022.
The balance of opinion on the expected prices has increased slightly in retail trade and has moved away from its average. Conversely, in trade and repair of motor vehicles, it has dropped strongly and has moved away form its own.
tableauBalances of opinion by sub-sector in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | Sept. 24 | Oct. 24 | Nov. 24 | Dec. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade | |||||
| General business outlook | -28 | -20 | -22 | -21 | -23 |
| Recent sales | -8 | -9 | -12 | -4 | -16 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -7 | -9 | -3 | 1 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -10 | -10 | -9 | -6 |
| Stocks | 10 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -5 | -6 | - | -4 | - |
| Expected selling prices | -2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | -21 | - | -18 | - |
| Past workforce size | 0 | -7 | -3 | -4 | -9 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -6 | -10 | -13 | -14 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 36 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 41 |
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | |||||
| General business outlook | -25 | -23 | -28 | -27 | -38 |
| Recent sales | -9 | -10 | -13 | -14 | -16 |
| Expected sales | -8 | -9 | -8 | -18 | -22 |
| Ordering intentions | -10 | -13 | -10 | -20 | -23 |
| Stocks | 12 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 23 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 4 | -2 | - | -6 | - |
| Expected selling prices | 6 | -1 | -1 | -1 | -10 |
| Cash position (2) | -21 | -24 | - | -18 | - |
| Past workforce size | -7 | -5 | -6 | -1 | -5 |
| Expected workforce size | -5 | -2 | -2 | -4 | -8 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 41 | 36 | 32 | 36 | 38 |
- (1) Average since 1991 for retail trade and 2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles.
Revisions
The business climate for November 2024 in retail trade (including trade and repair of motor vehicles) has not been revised (after rounding).
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles” is composed for 66% of retail trade and for 34% of trade and repair of motor vehicles.
For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.
The responses of this survey were collected between 27 November and 16 December 2024; most companies answer during the first two weeks of collection.
Next issue: 23 January 2025 at 8:45 am.
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