Informations Rapides ·
25 January 2024 · n° 15
In January 2024, the business climate in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor
vehicles has sharply improved Monthly survey of retailing - January 2024
In January 2024, the business climate in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles as a whole has sharply improved. At 104, the indicator that synthesizes it has gained four points and has moved above its long-term average (100). This improvement is mainly the result of the rise of the balances of opinion associated with the ordering intentions and the past sales.
- The balance of opinion related to the ordering intentions has sharply increased
- The balances of opinion on the prices have diminished
- The business managers are more positive on their recent activity in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) than in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Revisions
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In January 2024, the business climate in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles as a whole has sharply improved. At 104, the indicator that synthesizes it has gained four points and has moved above its long-term average (100). This improvement is mainly the result of the rise of the balances of opinion associated with the ordering intentions and the past sales.
tableauComposite indicator
| Business climate synthetic indicator | |
|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 103.8 |
| 2023-12 | 99.7 |
| 2023-11 | 96.5 |
| 2023-10 | 98.0 |
| 2023-09 | 102.7 |
| 2023-08 | 105.0 |
| 2023-07 | 105.6 |
| 2023-06 | 101.7 |
| 2023-05 | 96.7 |
| 2023-04 | 100.0 |
| 2023-03 | 97.5 |
| 2023-02 | 100.1 |
| 2023-01 | 99.4 |
| 2022-12 | 98.7 |
| 2022-11 | 96.1 |
| 2022-10 | 97.5 |
| 2022-09 | 96.8 |
| 2022-08 | 99.1 |
| 2022-07 | 95.4 |
| 2022-06 | 94.5 |
| 2022-05 | 94.1 |
| 2022-04 | 91.1 |
| 2022-03 | 98.7 |
| 2022-02 | 105.7 |
| 2022-01 | 104.0 |
| 2021-12 | 106.8 |
| 2021-11 | 107.8 |
| 2021-10 | 106.5 |
| 2021-09 | 108.0 |
| 2021-08 | 110.1 |
| 2021-07 | 114.1 |
| 2021-06 | 116.4 |
| 2021-05 | 107.8 |
| 2021-04 | 91.7 |
| 2021-03 | 96.4 |
| 2021-02 | 89.2 |
| 2021-01 | 93.6 |
| 2020-12 | 93.5 |
| 2020-11 | 70.9 |
| 2020-10 | 98.0 |
| 2020-09 | 98.0 |
| 2020-08 | 96.8 |
| 2020-07 | 90.4 |
| 2020-06 | 86.6 |
| 2020-05 | 61.6 |
| 2020-04 | 58.2 |
| 2020-03 | 93.6 |
| 2020-02 | 107.3 |
| 2020-01 | 106.7 |
| 2019-12 | 108.7 |
| 2019-11 | 106.7 |
| 2019-10 | 106.6 |
| 2019-09 | 107.1 |
| 2019-08 | 103.4 |
| 2019-07 | 106.0 |
| 2019-06 | 104.8 |
| 2019-05 | 104.9 |
| 2019-04 | 107.8 |
| 2019-03 | 105.1 |
| 2019-02 | 103.5 |
| 2019-01 | 102.1 |
| 2018-12 | 100.2 |
| 2018-11 | 107.4 |
| 2018-10 | 107.5 |
| 2018-09 | 110.1 |
| 2018-08 | 116.1 |
| 2018-07 | 113.9 |
| 2018-06 | 113.7 |
| 2018-05 | 113.1 |
| 2018-04 | 113.6 |
| 2018-03 | 114.5 |
| 2018-02 | 117.0 |
| 2018-01 | 117.3 |
| 2017-12 | 116.7 |
| 2017-11 | 116.2 |
| 2017-10 | 116.6 |
| 2017-09 | 113.4 |
| 2017-08 | 111.2 |
| 2017-07 | 112.0 |
| 2017-06 | 111.2 |
| 2017-05 | 107.1 |
| 2017-04 | 105.7 |
| 2017-03 | 107.8 |
| 2017-02 | 107.6 |
| 2017-01 | 108.9 |
| 2016-12 | 108.2 |
| 2016-11 | 103.2 |
| 2016-10 | 102.0 |
| 2016-09 | 102.9 |
| 2016-08 | 104.6 |
| 2016-07 | 104.5 |
| 2016-06 | 104.0 |
| 2016-05 | 106.2 |
| 2016-04 | 103.0 |
| 2016-03 | 103.9 |
| 2016-02 | 102.6 |
| 2016-01 | 104.3 |
| 2015-12 | 101.6 |
| 2015-11 | 105.1 |
| 2015-10 | 108.3 |
| 2015-09 | 106.0 |
| 2015-08 | 106.6 |
| 2015-07 | 103.2 |
| 2015-06 | 104.3 |
| 2015-05 | 103.1 |
| 2015-04 | 103.1 |
| 2015-03 | 102.2 |
| 2015-02 | 102.0 |
| 2015-01 | 98.8 |
| 2014-12 | 94.4 |
| 2014-11 | 92.8 |
| 2014-10 | 89.3 |
| 2014-09 | 88.5 |
| 2014-08 | 90.6 |
| 2014-07 | 96.7 |
| 2014-06 | 94.6 |
| 2014-05 | 96.4 |
| 2014-04 | 96.5 |
| 2014-03 | 95.4 |
| 2014-02 | 94.7 |
| 2014-01 | 95.2 |
| 2013-12 | 94.0 |
| 2013-11 | 91.9 |
| 2013-10 | 95.4 |
| 2013-09 | 97.7 |
| 2013-08 | 93.4 |
| 2013-07 | 85.4 |
| 2013-06 | 85.0 |
| 2013-05 | 83.5 |
| 2013-04 | 84.5 |
| 2013-03 | 86.4 |
| 2013-02 | 89.6 |
| 2013-01 | 85.0 |
| 2012-12 | 88.0 |
| 2012-11 | 88.2 |
| 2012-10 | 87.4 |
| 2012-09 | 85.9 |
| 2012-08 | 90.9 |
| 2012-07 | 89.3 |
| 2012-06 | 93.1 |
| 2012-05 | 90.9 |
| 2012-04 | 96.0 |
| 2012-03 | 93.3 |
| 2012-02 | 90.6 |
| 2012-01 | 88.2 |
| 2011-12 | 92.9 |
| 2011-11 | 93.8 |
| 2011-10 | 94.6 |
| 2011-09 | 93.9 |
| 2011-08 | 98.2 |
| 2011-07 | 101.4 |
| 2011-06 | 102.1 |
| 2011-05 | 103.9 |
| 2011-04 | 103.1 |
| 2011-03 | 103.7 |
| 2011-02 | 106.5 |
| 2011-01 | 106.6 |
| 2010-12 | 107.8 |
| 2010-11 | 104.3 |
| 2010-10 | 107.5 |
| 2010-09 | 105.9 |
| 2010-08 | 106.2 |
| 2010-07 | 101.0 |
| 2010-06 | 101.0 |
| 2010-05 | 101.7 |
| 2010-04 | 103.1 |
| 2010-03 | 97.8 |
| 2010-02 | 98.7 |
| 2010-01 | 98.3 |
| 2009-12 | 96.6 |
| 2009-11 | 98.2 |
| 2009-10 | 92.7 |
| 2009-09 | 90.4 |
| 2009-08 | 87.4 |
| 2009-07 | 86.0 |
| 2009-06 | 79.7 |
| 2009-05 | 80.5 |
| 2009-04 | 75.7 |
| 2009-03 | 82.4 |
| 2009-02 | 78.6 |
| 2009-01 | 77.6 |
| 2008-12 | 76.4 |
| 2008-11 | 84.0 |
| 2008-10 | 80.7 |
| 2008-09 | 96.2 |
| 2008-08 | 93.0 |
| 2008-07 | 95.4 |
| 2008-06 | 99.4 |
| 2008-05 | 103.0 |
| 2008-04 | 103.4 |
| 2008-03 | 109.3 |
| 2008-02 | 108.5 |
| 2008-01 | 110.0 |
| 2007-12 | 114.4 |
| 2007-11 | 112.6 |
| 2007-10 | 111.4 |
| 2007-09 | 111.8 |
| 2007-08 | 115.0 |
| 2007-07 | 117.0 |
| 2007-06 | 120.4 |
| 2007-05 | 114.5 |
| 2007-04 | 113.2 |
| 2007-03 | 110.9 |
| 2007-02 | 112.2 |
| 2007-01 | 107.5 |
| 2006-12 | 108.3 |
| 2006-11 | 110.7 |
| 2006-10 | 111.6 |
| 2006-09 | 110.2 |
| 2006-08 | 109.6 |
| 2006-07 | 108.0 |
| 2006-06 | 107.5 |
| 2006-05 | 105.2 |
| 2006-04 | 103.4 |
| 2006-03 | 102.1 |
| 2006-02 | 102.5 |
| 2006-01 | 103.0 |
| 2005-12 | 103.9 |
| 2005-11 | 99.5 |
| 2005-10 | 101.5 |
| 2005-09 | 98.9 |
| 2005-08 | 97.6 |
| 2005-07 | 95.8 |
| 2005-06 | 97.8 |
| 2005-05 | 101.2 |
| 2005-04 | 103.5 |
| 2005-03 | 104.1 |
| 2005-02 | 103.6 |
| 2005-01 | 105.9 |
graphiqueComposite indicator
- Source: INSEE
The balance of opinion related to the ordering intentions has sharply increased
In January 2024, the balance of opinion on the ordering intentions has increased sharply, as well as the one related to the past sales. Both balances have moved above their long-term average. The one on the expected sales is stable, below its own. The balance on the general business outlook is almost stable, above its average.
Concerning the workforce size, the balance of opinion associated with the expected change in the workforce size has slightly retreated, while the one related to its recent change has grown again. Both of them remain yet below their long-term average.
The balance of opinion associated with the current level of stocks is stable and remains well above its own. The bimonthly balance on the cash position has sharply rebounded for its part, while remaining below its long-term average. Finally, the business managers are less numerous than in the previous month to consider that the evolution of their business situation is difficult to forecast.
tableauTendency in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | Oct. 23 | Nov. 23 | Dec. 23 | Jan. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Business climate | 100 | 98 | 96 | 100 | 104 |
| General business outlook | -27 | -26 | -20 | -18 | -17 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -5 | -14 | -12 | -1 |
| Expected sales | -4 | -11 | -12 | -11 | -11 |
| Ordering intentions | -8 | -12 | -15 | -13 | -6 |
| Stocks | 10 | 22 | 23 | 19 | 19 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -3 | - | 13 | - | 4 |
| Expected selling prices | 0 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 4 |
| Cash position (2) | -15 | - | -25 | - | -20 |
| Past workforce size | -1 | -9 | -13 | -9 | -6 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -11 | -13 | -7 | -8 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 38 | 38 | 40 | 41 | 38 |
- (1) Average since 1991 (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
tableauRecent sales and ordering intentions
| Ordering intentions | Recent sales | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01 | -6.1 | -0.8 |
| 2023-12 | -13.5 | -12.5 |
| 2023-11 | -15.2 | -14.2 |
| 2023-10 | -11.6 | -5.2 |
| 2023-09 | -7.8 | 1.7 |
| 2023-08 | -8.0 | 6.2 |
| 2023-07 | -8.5 | -1.9 |
| 2023-06 | -8.8 | -9.1 |
| 2023-05 | -16.0 | -5.8 |
| 2023-04 | -11.3 | -1.6 |
| 2023-03 | -14.9 | -5.7 |
| 2023-02 | -10.4 | -1.2 |
| 2023-01 | -11.8 | 6.0 |
| 2022-12 | -10.4 | -1.4 |
| 2022-11 | -15.4 | 2.1 |
| 2022-10 | -8.7 | -2.8 |
| 2022-09 | -13.9 | -4.9 |
| 2022-08 | -7.4 | -12.3 |
| 2022-07 | -10.7 | -20.4 |
| 2022-06 | -12.6 | -16.1 |
| 2022-05 | -14.4 | -12.9 |
| 2022-04 | -18.7 | -18.6 |
| 2022-03 | -5.0 | -12.4 |
| 2022-02 | -3.1 | -7.0 |
| 2022-01 | -3.3 | -4.7 |
| 2021-12 | -1.6 | -6.2 |
| 2021-11 | -0.5 | -11.0 |
| 2021-10 | -3.8 | -17.6 |
| 2021-09 | -2.0 | -11.2 |
| 2021-08 | 3.9 | 11.0 |
| 2021-07 | 2.6 | 0.3 |
| 2021-06 | 1.0 | -2.0 |
| 2021-05 | -7.2 | -10.9 |
| 2021-04 | -16.0 | -7.4 |
| 2021-03 | -8.5 | -16.4 |
| 2021-02 | -15.5 | -14.1 |
| 2021-01 | -13.4 | -5.4 |
| 2020-12 | -11.4 | -21.8 |
| 2020-11 | -37.0 | 7.4 |
| 2020-10 | 0.4 | -2.1 |
| 2020-09 | -6.3 | 6.2 |
| 2020-08 | -3.9 | -9.9 |
| 2020-07 | -9.6 | -42.0 |
| 2020-06 | -13.8 | -48.2 |
| 2020-05 | -47.3 | -56.4 |
| 2020-04 | -56.4 | -4.3 |
| 2020-03 | -12.5 | -4.4 |
| 2020-02 | -0.6 | 1.6 |
| 2020-01 | -2.8 | 11.1 |
| 2019-12 | 1.3 | -1.5 |
| 2019-11 | -1.0 | -5.8 |
| 2019-10 | -2.5 | -6.3 |
| 2019-09 | -3.7 | 0.5 |
| 2019-08 | -7.8 | -5.0 |
| 2019-07 | -5.0 | -3.7 |
| 2019-06 | -7.6 | -9.0 |
| 2019-05 | -6.3 | -10.9 |
| 2019-04 | 0.3 | -12.9 |
| 2019-03 | -2.4 | -17.9 |
| 2019-02 | -6.2 | -10.0 |
| 2019-01 | -6.4 | -9.1 |
| 2018-12 | -5.6 | -9.1 |
| 2018-11 | -0.6 | -6.8 |
| 2018-10 | -2.2 | -8.1 |
| 2018-09 | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 2018-08 | 13.4 | 0.3 |
| 2018-07 | 3.7 | -2.1 |
| 2018-06 | 5.2 | -8.7 |
| 2018-05 | 2.6 | -6.9 |
| 2018-04 | 2.1 | -9.7 |
| 2018-03 | 2.3 | -8.2 |
| 2018-02 | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| 2018-01 | 6.3 | 1.9 |
| 2017-12 | 5.9 | 1.5 |
| 2017-11 | 7.7 | -5.1 |
| 2017-10 | 9.3 | -0.4 |
| 2017-09 | 2.3 | -1.6 |
| 2017-08 | -0.8 | -1.0 |
| 2017-07 | -1.4 | 5.5 |
| 2017-06 | -1.0 | -5.9 |
| 2017-05 | -3.2 | -5.5 |
| 2017-04 | -3.5 | -11.9 |
| 2017-03 | 0.2 | -1.8 |
| 2017-02 | -0.4 | 4.2 |
| 2017-01 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| 2016-12 | -0.1 | -1.2 |
| 2016-11 | -9.2 | -6.3 |
| 2016-10 | -8.2 | -10.7 |
| 2016-09 | -6.1 | -10.5 |
| 2016-08 | -3.9 | -4.1 |
| 2016-07 | -5.1 | -5.1 |
| 2016-06 | -3.7 | -4.0 |
| 2016-05 | -3.8 | 4.8 |
| 2016-04 | -8.7 | 1.5 |
| 2016-03 | -3.5 | -5.2 |
| 2016-02 | -6.8 | -9.2 |
| 2016-01 | -6.1 | -4.9 |
| 2015-12 | -5.2 | -15.3 |
| 2015-11 | -3.5 | 3.0 |
| 2015-10 | 0.3 | 4.4 |
| 2015-09 | -2.6 | 1.6 |
| 2015-08 | -1.5 | 8.0 |
| 2015-07 | -6.3 | -0.6 |
| 2015-06 | -1.3 | -8.3 |
| 2015-05 | -3.0 | -4.4 |
| 2015-04 | -2.2 | -2.6 |
| 2015-03 | -3.3 | -5.4 |
| 2015-02 | -1.9 | -4.3 |
| 2015-01 | -4.9 | -8.6 |
| 2014-12 | -12.7 | -10.2 |
| 2014-11 | -13.6 | -14.7 |
| 2014-10 | -16.8 | -23.7 |
| 2014-09 | -18.4 | -30.6 |
| 2014-08 | -17.3 | -19.8 |
| 2014-07 | -10.3 | -5.9 |
| 2014-06 | -13.8 | -11.9 |
| 2014-05 | -11.3 | -14.8 |
| 2014-04 | -9.6 | -21.3 |
| 2014-03 | -11.1 | -16.9 |
| 2014-02 | -13.3 | -13.1 |
| 2014-01 | -12.7 | -10.7 |
| 2013-12 | -15.2 | -10.6 |
| 2013-11 | -13.5 | -12.9 |
| 2013-10 | -13.4 | -11.5 |
| 2013-09 | -7.5 | -12.8 |
| 2013-08 | -13.4 | -18.3 |
| 2013-07 | -23.1 | -26.0 |
| 2013-06 | -19.4 | -24.4 |
| 2013-05 | -21.7 | -29.8 |
| 2013-04 | -19.6 | -31.8 |
| 2013-03 | -17.1 | -25.9 |
| 2013-02 | -14.0 | -27.2 |
| 2013-01 | -25.5 | -17.3 |
| 2012-12 | -17.7 | -21.2 |
| 2012-11 | -18.5 | -16.4 |
| 2012-10 | -19.3 | -23.0 |
| 2012-09 | -21.7 | -23.8 |
| 2012-08 | -15.1 | -8.3 |
| 2012-07 | -15.4 | -19.5 |
| 2012-06 | -12.9 | -18.3 |
| 2012-05 | -16.8 | -14.8 |
| 2012-04 | -13.7 | -8.1 |
| 2012-03 | -16.0 | -12.3 |
| 2012-02 | -15.4 | -15.4 |
| 2012-01 | -19.9 | -20.3 |
| 2011-12 | -13.9 | -17.5 |
| 2011-11 | -12.6 | -13.0 |
| 2011-10 | -13.5 | -15.7 |
| 2011-09 | -13.1 | -17.4 |
| 2011-08 | -11.3 | -6.5 |
| 2011-07 | -11.6 | -9.4 |
| 2011-06 | -11.4 | 0.1 |
| 2011-05 | -7.9 | 3.6 |
| 2011-04 | -7.2 | 1.7 |
| 2011-03 | -5.8 | -6.4 |
| 2011-02 | -2.4 | 1.6 |
| 2011-01 | -1.8 | 4.3 |
| 2010-12 | -1.3 | 4.1 |
| 2010-11 | -4.9 | -8.0 |
| 2010-10 | 1.3 | -3.9 |
| 2010-09 | -2.3 | -1.8 |
| 2010-08 | -1.6 | 4.0 |
| 2010-07 | -7.9 | -5.3 |
| 2010-06 | -4.7 | -1.0 |
| 2010-05 | -7.0 | 2.1 |
| 2010-04 | -4.5 | -2.7 |
| 2010-03 | -10.0 | -20.1 |
| 2010-02 | -9.9 | -13.0 |
| 2010-01 | -13.4 | -4.7 |
graphiqueRecent sales and ordering intentions
- Source: INSEE
The balances of opinion on the prices have diminished
In January 2024, the balance of opinion on the expected prices has sharply retreated and the bimonthly balance on the past selling prices has diminished again. Both balances, decreasing almost continuously since April 2023, remain yet slightly above their long-term average.
tableauExpected prices in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Expected prices | |
|---|---|
| 2024-01 | 3.6 |
| 2023-12 | 9.2 |
| 2023-11 | 8.0 |
| 2023-10 | 13.6 |
| 2023-09 | 14.4 |
| 2023-08 | 13.9 |
| 2023-07 | 14.4 |
| 2023-06 | 18.8 |
| 2023-05 | 26.8 |
| 2023-04 | 37.0 |
| 2023-03 | 46.7 |
| 2023-02 | 45.3 |
| 2023-01 | 41.2 |
| 2022-12 | 37.3 |
| 2022-11 | 38.2 |
| 2022-10 | 44.5 |
| 2022-09 | 40.9 |
| 2022-08 | 42.2 |
| 2022-07 | 40.3 |
| 2022-06 | 41.0 |
| 2022-05 | 41.3 |
| 2022-04 | 36.1 |
| 2022-03 | 37.5 |
| 2022-02 | 35.8 |
| 2022-01 | 26.1 |
| 2021-12 | 24.9 |
| 2021-11 | 26.2 |
| 2021-10 | 23.5 |
| 2021-09 | 15.1 |
| 2021-08 | 14.4 |
| 2021-07 | 13.4 |
| 2021-06 | 10.1 |
| 2021-05 | 3.7 |
| 2021-04 | 0.5 |
| 2021-03 | 1.7 |
| 2021-02 | -0.2 |
| 2021-01 | 0.3 |
| 2020-12 | -3.9 |
| 2020-11 | -4.0 |
| 2020-10 | 2.9 |
| 2020-09 | 1.0 |
| 2020-08 | -0.1 |
| 2020-07 | -2.7 |
| 2020-06 | -3.6 |
| 2020-05 | -8.2 |
| 2020-04 | -8.1 |
| 2020-03 | -1.5 |
| 2020-02 | 2.1 |
| 2020-01 | -0.2 |
| 2019-12 | 3.0 |
| 2019-11 | 1.5 |
| 2019-10 | 3.9 |
| 2019-09 | 1.8 |
| 2019-08 | -1.0 |
| 2019-07 | -1.2 |
| 2019-06 | -3.3 |
| 2019-05 | -0.5 |
| 2019-04 | 2.3 |
| 2019-03 | 0.9 |
| 2019-02 | 0.3 |
| 2019-01 | -2.9 |
| 2018-12 | 4.1 |
| 2018-11 | -1.3 |
| 2018-10 | -0.6 |
| 2018-09 | 0.3 |
| 2018-08 | -1.6 |
| 2018-07 | 0.7 |
| 2018-06 | -3.3 |
| 2018-05 | -2.0 |
| 2018-04 | -3.0 |
| 2018-03 | -3.4 |
| 2018-02 | 0.9 |
| 2018-01 | -3.5 |
| 2017-12 | -1.6 |
| 2017-11 | 1.4 |
| 2017-10 | 3.6 |
| 2017-09 | -2.0 |
| 2017-08 | -0.4 |
| 2017-07 | -2.5 |
| 2017-06 | -2.1 |
| 2017-05 | -7.4 |
| 2017-04 | -4.2 |
| 2017-03 | -1.1 |
| 2017-02 | -4.1 |
| 2017-01 | 0.2 |
| 2016-12 | -0.7 |
| 2016-11 | -1.2 |
| 2016-10 | -7.3 |
| 2016-09 | -6.5 |
| 2016-08 | -4.2 |
| 2016-07 | -4.5 |
| 2016-06 | -7.6 |
| 2016-05 | -4.7 |
| 2016-04 | -6.4 |
| 2016-03 | -5.1 |
| 2016-02 | -6.6 |
| 2016-01 | -8.3 |
| 2015-12 | -7.5 |
| 2015-11 | -2.8 |
| 2015-10 | -3.0 |
| 2015-09 | -7.2 |
| 2015-08 | -7.8 |
| 2015-07 | -5.6 |
| 2015-06 | -3.1 |
| 2015-05 | -7.4 |
| 2015-04 | -5.3 |
| 2015-03 | -9.3 |
| 2015-02 | -10.0 |
| 2015-01 | -11.7 |
| 2014-12 | -11.4 |
| 2014-11 | -11.8 |
| 2014-10 | -13.8 |
| 2014-09 | -14.0 |
| 2014-08 | -12.2 |
| 2014-07 | -9.7 |
| 2014-06 | -13.9 |
| 2014-05 | -14.2 |
| 2014-04 | -16.4 |
| 2014-03 | -12.7 |
| 2014-02 | -10.3 |
| 2014-01 | -2.4 |
| 2013-12 | -1.0 |
| 2013-11 | -3.6 |
| 2013-10 | -2.9 |
| 2013-09 | -0.5 |
| 2013-08 | -3.5 |
| 2013-07 | -1.6 |
| 2013-06 | -6.9 |
| 2013-05 | -0.7 |
| 2013-04 | -13.8 |
| 2013-03 | -1.6 |
| 2013-02 | -8.2 |
| 2013-01 | -6.3 |
| 2012-12 | -1.6 |
| 2012-11 | -5.0 |
| 2012-10 | -4.8 |
| 2012-09 | -0.9 |
| 2012-08 | -3.6 |
| 2012-07 | -1.8 |
| 2012-06 | -2.0 |
| 2012-05 | -1.6 |
| 2012-04 | -1.2 |
| 2012-03 | 3.7 |
| 2012-02 | 3.7 |
| 2012-01 | 5.1 |
| 2011-12 | 7.1 |
| 2011-11 | 4.8 |
| 2011-10 | 3.3 |
| 2011-09 | 3.3 |
| 2011-08 | 5.2 |
| 2011-07 | 4.8 |
| 2011-06 | 5.2 |
| 2011-05 | 9.7 |
| 2011-04 | 9.0 |
| 2011-03 | 7.6 |
| 2011-02 | 5.8 |
| 2011-01 | 2.5 |
| 2010-12 | -1.4 |
| 2010-11 | -0.2 |
| 2010-10 | 0.8 |
| 2010-09 | -1.7 |
| 2010-08 | -5.0 |
| 2010-07 | -3.6 |
| 2010-06 | -0.8 |
| 2010-05 | -3.4 |
| 2010-04 | -4.2 |
| 2010-03 | -4.3 |
| 2010-02 | -5.0 |
| 2010-01 | -5.7 |
| 2009-12 | -5.7 |
| 2009-11 | -9.3 |
| 2009-10 | -8.0 |
| 2009-09 | -4.9 |
| 2009-08 | -11.4 |
| 2009-07 | -5.7 |
| 2009-06 | -16.4 |
| 2009-05 | -17.4 |
| 2009-04 | -18.3 |
| 2009-03 | -30.6 |
| 2009-02 | -17.4 |
| 2009-01 | -17.8 |
| 2008-12 | -20.4 |
| 2008-11 | -26.8 |
| 2008-10 | -6.3 |
| 2008-09 | -15.4 |
| 2008-08 | 4.6 |
| 2008-07 | 6.0 |
| 2008-06 | 3.8 |
| 2008-05 | 1.9 |
| 2008-04 | 1.5 |
| 2008-03 | 8.1 |
| 2008-02 | 1.5 |
| 2008-01 | 5.4 |
| 2007-12 | 3.1 |
| 2007-11 | 14.5 |
| 2007-10 | 0.0 |
| 2007-09 | 7.8 |
| 2007-08 | 0.7 |
| 2007-07 | -6.0 |
| 2007-06 | -5.0 |
| 2007-05 | -1.7 |
| 2007-04 | -8.9 |
| 2007-03 | -5.8 |
| 2007-02 | -1.7 |
| 2007-01 | -6.2 |
graphiqueExpected prices in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
- Source: INSEE
The business managers are more positive on their recent activity in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) than in trade and repair of motor vehicles
In January 2024, the balance of opinion on the past sales as well as the one on the ordering intentions have sharply increased again in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) and have moved above their respective average; conversely, in trade and repair of motor vehicles, they have decreased again and have moved away from their average.
The balance on the expected selling prices has sharply diminished in retail trade (excluding motor vehicles) but remains yet well above its long-term average. In trade and repair of motor vehicles, it is stable and slightly below its own.
Finally, the balance on the expected change in the workforce size has retreated in trade and repair of motor vehicles and has moved below its long-term average. In retail trade (excluding motor vehicles), it is stable and remains below its own.
tableauBalances of opinion by sub-sector in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles
| Ave. (1) | Oct. 23 | Nov. 23 | Dec. 23 | Jan. 24 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Retail trade | |||||
| General business outlook | -28 | -26 | -20 | -16 | -14 |
| Recent sales | -7 | -7 | -22 | -13 | 7 |
| Expected sales | -2 | -13 | -13 | -9 | -9 |
| Ordering intentions | -7 | -10 | -18 | -13 | -2 |
| Stocks | 10 | 21 | 25 | 20 | 21 |
| Past selling prices (2) | -5 | - | 17 | - | 4 |
| Expected selling prices | -2 | 19 | 13 | 11 | 3 |
| Cash position (2) | -14 | - | -26 | - | -20 |
| Past workforce size | 0 | -10 | -15 | -12 | -8 |
| Expected workforce size | -4 | -15 | -15 | -9 | -9 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 36 | 36 | 39 | 39 | 36 |
| Trade and repair of motor vehicles | |||||
| General business outlook | -25 | -27 | -19 | -22 | -24 |
| Recent sales | -8 | -1 | 3 | -12 | -18 |
| Expected sales | -7 | -7 | -8 | -15 | -15 |
| Ordering intentions | -9 | -15 | -10 | -14 | -15 |
| Stocks | 12 | 24 | 19 | 16 | 16 |
| Past selling prices (2) | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 |
| Expected selling prices | 7 | 2 | -3 | 5 | 5 |
| Cash position (2) | -21 | - | -25 | - | -20 |
| Past workforce size | -7 | -10 | -8 | -3 | -1 |
| Expected workforce size | -5 | 1 | -8 | 0 | -6 |
| Economic uncertainty felt (3) | 43 | 40 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
- (1) Average since 1991 for retail trade and 2003 for trade and repair of motor vehicles (except 2004 for recent and expected sales and ordering intentions, and April 2021 for uncertainty felt).
- (2) Bimonthly question (odd-numbered months).
- (3) Non-seasonally adjusted balance.
- Source: INSEE - monthly survey in retail trade and in trade and repair of motor vehicles
Revisions
The business climate for December 2023 in retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles is unchanged (after rounding).
For more information
The whole sector “retail trade and trade and repair of motor vehicles” is composed for 70% of retail trade and for 30% of trade and repair of motor vehicles.
For the three-modality questions, a balance of opinion is the difference between weighted percentage of “increase” or “above normal” answers and weighted percentage of “decrease” or “below normal” answers.
This survey is part of the Joint Harmonised EU Programme of Business and Consumer Surveys, partly funded by the European Commission.
Company responses were collected between 28 December 2023 and 22 January 2024.
Next issue: 22 February 2024 at 8:45 am.
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