22 December 2020
2020- n° 336In October 2020, sales volume in trade recovered Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - October 2020
In October 2020, the volume of sales in trade recovered (+0.7%) after a fall in September (−2.2%). Since June, its level was higher than before the first lockdown (+2.2% in October compared to February).
All data are corrected for seasonal and working day effects (SA-WDA).
In the following paragraphs, percentage changes by subsections are presented in descending order of their contribution to the overall percentage change of the volume of sales in wholesale and retail trade index. The contribution of a subsection takes into account its weight and the magnitude of its evolution.
In October 2020, the volume of sales in trade recovered (+0.7%) after a fall in September (−2.2%). Since June, its level was higher than before the first lockdown (+2.2% in October compared to February).
In October 2020, the volume of sales in trade recovered
In October, the volume of sales in retail trade bounced back (+2.4% after −3.6% in September). Each sector contributed to this rebound: non-specialised stores (+3.9% after −2.7% in September), specialised stores (+1.2% after −4.4%) and retail trade not in stores (+3.8% after −2.2%). This upward trend was observed most notably among specialised stores, in which the strongest growth concerned information and communication equipment (+4.0% after −11.1% in September), retail sale of other household equipment (furniture, appliances, hardware, etc.: +3.0% after −3.1%) and food, beverages and tobacco (+1.4% after −2.0%). The sales volume in automotive fuel kept falling (−0.8% after −4.0% in September).
The volume of sales in wholesale trade bounced back slightly in October (+0.2% after −0.9%). This rebound was particularly sharp in the wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals (+5.3% after −3.8%) and other machinery, equipment and supplies (+5.2% after −0.8%). On the contrary, the sales volume collapsed in non specialised wholesale trade (−10.6% after +1.6% in September).
The volume of sales in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles kept falling in October (−0.8% after −3.8% in September). Its level still remained significantly higher than before the first lockdown (+6.8% compared to February).
Forecast
According to early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except that of motor vehicles and motorcycles should fall drastically in November 2020 (−18.0%), due to the second lockdown. From September to November, it should decrease by 2.5% compared to the same period one year earlier.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016-01 | 105.42 | 101.79 | 102.41 | 102.44 |
| 2016-02 | 104.26 | 102.05 | 103.07 | 102.63 |
| 2016-03 | 104.76 | 102.39 | 102.26 | 102.65 |
| 2016-04 | 105.99 | 101.61 | 101.74 | 102.21 |
| 2016-05 | 105.88 | 101.81 | 102.78 | 102.61 |
| 2016-06 | 105.81 | 100.28 | 102.53 | 101.65 |
| 2016-07 | 103.4 | 100.41 | 102.72 | 101.47 |
| 2016-08 | 107.77 | 100.78 | 102.54 | 102.19 |
| 2016-09 | 108.18 | 100.81 | 102.83 | 102.34 |
| 2016-10 | 107.17 | 100.91 | 104.73 | 102.84 |
| 2016-11 | 110.67 | 103.63 | 103.98 | 104.63 |
| 2016-12 | 109.61 | 102.06 | 104.17 | 103.65 |
| 2017-01 | 110.65 | 102.33 | 105.02 | 104.18 |
| 2017-02 | 111.49 | 103.13 | 105.62 | 104.93 |
| 2017-03 | 113.53 | 104.82 | 105.84 | 106.23 |
| 2017-04 | 109.3 | 102.59 | 105.32 | 104.25 |
| 2017-05 | 114.26 | 103.99 | 106.28 | 105.97 |
| 2017-06 | 114.09 | 104.8 | 105.74 | 106.26 |
| 2017-07 | 114.96 | 106.16 | 107.31 | 107.62 |
| 2017-08 | 114.37 | 105.43 | 105.92 | 106.72 |
| 2017-09 | 116.33 | 106.04 | 109.19 | 108.28 |
| 2017-10 | 117.7 | 104.23 | 106.17 | 106.52 |
| 2017-11 | 117.8 | 106.27 | 109.82 | 108.79 |
| 2017-12 | 121.49 | 106.74 | 108.5 | 109.14 |
| 2018-01 | 117.2 | 105.27 | 107.77 | 107.53 |
| 2018-02 | 116.94 | 105.75 | 108.65 | 108.03 |
| 2018-03 | 118.97 | 105.57 | 110.28 | 108.66 |
| 2018-04 | 118.94 | 105.9 | 108.12 | 108.22 |
| 2018-05 | 119.09 | 107.36 | 109.79 | 109.57 |
| 2018-06 | 120.32 | 107.51 | 110.04 | 109.88 |
| 2018-07 | 118.34 | 105.55 | 110.02 | 108.5 |
| 2018-08 | 118.69 | 107.14 | 110.13 | 109.49 |
| 2018-09 | 118.25 | 105.21 | 110.03 | 108.29 |
| 2018-10 | 120.22 | 108.5 | 111.51 | 110.88 |
| 2018-11 | 118.16 | 107.29 | 110.98 | 109.76 |
| 2018-12 | 111.79 | 107.37 | 110.23 | 108.78 |
| 2019-01 | 121.86 | 107.79 | 110.85 | 110.48 |
| 2019-02 | 122.24 | 109.18 | 112.29 | 111.76 |
| 2019-03 | 121.33 | 108.74 | 111.74 | 111.23 |
| 2019-04 | 121.48 | 109.76 | 112.73 | 112.13 |
| 2019-05 | 121.94 | 109.83 | 112.43 | 112.14 |
| 2019-06 | 122.47 | 109.37 | 112.93 | 112.09 |
| 2019-07 | 123.41 | 109.38 | 112.17 | 111.99 |
| 2019-08 | 124.41 | 110.35 | 114.24 | 113.29 |
| 2019-09 | 124.1 | 110.35 | 113.44 | 113.01 |
| 2019-10 | 123.52 | 110.29 | 113.45 | 112.91 |
| 2019-11 | 124.83 | 110.09 | 114.87 | 113.38 |
| 2019-12 | 123.85 | 109.42 | 113.26 | 112.39 |
| 2020-01 | 123.75 | 110.6 | 114.05 | 113.29 |
| 2020-02 | 119.77 | 109.79 | 113.76 | 112.23 |
| 2020-03 | 63.95 | 95.68 | 95.86 | 91.7 |
| 2020-04 | 29.82 | 80.59 | 78.41 | 73.49 |
| 2020-05 | 88.23 | 97.04 | 107.79 | 99.09 |
| 2020-06 | 128.86 | 110.1 | 116.92 | 114.5 |
| 2020-07 | 133.78 | 110.35 | 113.29 | 114.2 |
| 2020-08 | 134.15 | 110.09 | 120.98 | 116.36 |
| 2020-09 | 129.0 | 109.08 | 116.64 | 113.84 |
| 2020-10 | 127.96 | 109.3 | 119.48 | 114.68 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
| Nace Classification | Weight | Oct. 2020 | Change in % | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct./Sept. | Sept./Aug. | Oct./Feb. | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | |||
| G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 114.7 | 0.7 | -2.2 | 2.2 | 5.2 | 1.7 |
| 45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 1272 | 128.0 | -0.8 | -3.8 | 6.8 | 11.5 | 5.1 |
| 451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 134.5 | -0.5 | -4.2 | 7.9 | 13.1 | 6.4 |
| 452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 118.6 | 0.8 | -1.5 | 8.7 | 7.1 | 1.4 |
| 453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 113.1 | -1.9 | -2.8 | 3.2 | 9.2 | 1.9 |
| 454 Sale, maintenance and repair of motorcycles and related parts and accessories | 27 | 119.9 | -4.1 | -9.0 | 4.9 | -2.3 | 11.1 |
| 46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 5777 | 109.3 | 0.2 | -0.9 | -0.4 | 3.5 | -0.8 |
| 461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 114.1 | -1.6 | 3.4 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| 462 Agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 89.8 | 5.3 | -3.8 | -7.9 | -6.2 | -7.4 |
| 463 Food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 102.4 | -1.8 | 1.6 | -2.1 | 4.9 | -1.6 |
| 464 Household goods | 1130 | 116.7 | -1.1 | -1.0 | 5.0 | 7.9 | 4.4 |
| 465 Information and communication equipment | 331 | 127.4 | 4.5 | -5.9 | 1.0 | -3.7 | -2.2 |
| 466 Other machinery, equipment and supplies | 716 | 115.2 | 5.2 | -0.8 | 0.5 | 5.0 | -4.3 |
| 467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 101.2 | 1.6 | -4.4 | -4.2 | 4.6 | -2.9 |
| 469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 114.9 | -10.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 | -1.0 | 5.0 |
| 47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 2952 | 119.5 | 2.4 | -3.6 | 5.0 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| 471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores | 1109 | 115.7 | 3.9 | -2.7 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.5 |
| 472 to 477 Retail sale in specialised stores | 1622 | 116.9 | 1.2 | -4.4 | 4.9 | 7.3 | 4.2 |
| 472 Food, beverages and tobacco in specialised stores | 155 | 131.8 | 1.4 | -2.0 | 6.9 | 2.5 | 7.7 |
| 473 Automotive fuel in specialised stores | 224 | 88.5 | -0.8 | -4.0 | -5.3 | 16.9 | -4.0 |
| 474 Information and communication equipment in specialised stores | 65 | 135.0 | 4.0 | -11.1 | -0.8 | 8.8 | 0.4 |
| 475 Other household equipment in specialised stores | 310 | 126.6 | 3.0 | -3.1 | 16.1 | 3.3 | 14.9 |
| 476 Cultural and recreation goods in specialised stores | 118 | 115.2 | 0.7 | -8.4 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 6.2 |
| 477 Other goods in specialised stores | 750 | 117.1 | 0.7 | -4.2 | 3.1 | 8.6 | 1.4 |
| 478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 157.2 | 3.8 | -2.2 | 16.0 | 5.3 | 12.3 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
The sales volume of the past three months increased by 1.7% over a year
The volume of sales of the past three months (August to October) in overall trade increased by 1.7% compared to the same period one year earlier. It rose in retail trade (+4.7%), in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+5.1%) while it decreased in wholesale trade (−0.8%). Within retail trade, it grew in all subsections: in specialised stores (+4.2%), in non-specialised stores (+3.5%), and in retail trade not in stores (+12.3%).
Revisions
The percentage change in the sales volume of overall trade in September 2020 has been slightly revised downwards, at −2.2% instead of −2.1% initially published.
tableauRevision of variationsin percentage points
| Sept./Aug. | Aug./July | July/June | Q3 2020/Q2 2020 | 2019/2018 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G Overall trade | -0.09 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Raw series | -0.04 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| SA-WDA parameters | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.05 | 0.00 |
- How to read : in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between August 2020 and September 2020 is revised by -0.09 points. -0.04 points are due to the raw series’ revision and -0.05 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For further information
Next issue: 29 January 2021 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Next issue: 29 January 2021 at 12h00
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade
