Informations rapides
28 July 2020
2020- n° 192
In July 2020, the opinion of the business managers of small building firms on their past activity is very deteriorated Quarterly survey of the building crafts sector - July 2020

Informations rapides
No 192
Paru le :Paru le28/07/2020
Warning

During the period of general lockdown, the quarterly business survey in the building crafts sector was not carried out and the values for April 2020 are then reported as « not available » in the time series. The survey has been conducted again in July 2020.

Craftsmen’s opinion on their past activity is much more deteriorated than in January…

In July 2020, the opinion of the business managers of small building firms on their past activity for the last three months is, because of the effect of the lockdown, much more deteriorated than at the beginning of the year. The corresponding balance of opinion is much lower than in January, and far lower than the low point at the beginning of 2009. To a lesser extent, these business managers are also more pessimistic about their expected activity for the next three months than in January. The corresponding balance of opinion if now below its long-term average.

Likewise, building craftsmen are much less confident than in January about the general business outlook in the building sector: the corresponding balance of opinion stands however above its long-term average, likely reflecting a relatively high proportion of firms which are considering logically their prospects better than during the weeks of lockdown.

… as their opinion on their staff size in the next three months

In July 2020, less business managers of small building firms than in January have reported an increase in their staff size over the last three months. The corresponding balance stands now well below its long-term average. The balance of opinion on the development of staff size over the next three months stands also below the point of January and has returned to its long-term average.

Less hiring difficulties than in January

In July 2020, 48% of small building firms have experienced recruiting problems – a decreasing share compared to January 2020 but still higher than its long-term average. At the same time, 36% of building craftsmen have indicated training apprentices. This share is virtually stable compared to January and stands slightly below its long-term average.

Building crafts sector economic outlook

Balances of opinion, in %, SA
Building crafts sector economic outlook (Balances of opinion, in %, SA )
Mean* Oct. 19 Jan. 20 Apr. 20 July 20
Past activity -6 2 -9 NA -53
Expected activity -8 -3 6 NA -14
General business outlook -19 5 1 NA -13
Past employment -4 -4 -2 NA -11
Expected employment -3 3 1 NA -3
Recruiting problems (in %) 41 55 54 NA 48
Apprentice training (in %) 38 38 37 NA 36
  • * Mean since October 1990.
  • Source: French business survey, building crafts sector - INSEE

Activity tendency in the building crafts sector

Activity tendency in the building crafts sector
Expected activity Past activity
1998-Q1 -17.4 -2.9
1998-Q2 -0.2 7.3
1998-Q3 4.0 14.9
1998-Q4 3.7 11.8
1999-Q1 2.6 10.7
1999-Q2 9.4 15.4
1999-Q3 9.8 17.0
1999-Q4 18.6 24.5
2000-Q1 31.5 34.7
2000-Q2 26.3 39.1
2000-Q3 27.5 41.4
2000-Q4 22.3 30.3
2001-Q1 25.8 33.0
2001-Q2 5.7 17.5
2001-Q3 1.2 7.6
2001-Q4 2.5 9.6
2002-Q1 -2.4 3.7
2002-Q2 2.5 7.5
2002-Q3 1.4 3.3
2002-Q4 2.6 0.1
2003-Q1 -5.2 -1.3
2003-Q2 -5.8 -6.0
2003-Q3 -0.5 -4.3
2003-Q4 -4.6 -7.2
2004-Q1 4.6 0.3
2004-Q2 2.8 2.7
2004-Q3 1.1 -1.2
2004-Q4 0.1 1.6
2005-Q1 1.6 -1.0
2005-Q2 -0.6 -1.3
2005-Q3 -0.1 3.4
2005-Q4 5.0 6.6
2006-Q1 4.3 3.9
2006-Q2 9.0 4.7
2006-Q3 5.8 3.5
2006-Q4 7.9 5.2
2007-Q1 4.9 6.9
2007-Q2 1.5 2.7
2007-Q3 5.5 6.1
2007-Q4 5.1 -2.8
2008-Q1 12.9 -7.3
2008-Q2 -8.8 -11.9
2008-Q3 -14.4 -16.0
2008-Q4 -35.3 -24.2
2009-Q1 -36.7 -34.5
2009-Q2 -25.8 -15.6
2009-Q3 -30.3 -29.4
2009-Q4 -20.9 -21.9
2010-Q1 -17.4 -20.2
2010-Q2 -19.1 -21.4
2010-Q3 -14.6 -18.6
2010-Q4 -6.2 -9.5
2011-Q1 -8.5 -15.4
2011-Q2 -7.2 -6.5
2011-Q3 -11.7 -9.3
2011-Q4 -17.6 -14.1
2012-Q1 -22.6 -11.2
2012-Q2 -21.2 -15.4
2012-Q3 -25.8 -18.2
2012-Q4 -39.4 -26.0
2013-Q1 -24.7 -24.1
2013-Q2 -31.7 -27.3
2013-Q3 -28.6 -28.6
2013-Q4 -24.1 -24.3
2014-Q1 -28.1 -25.1
2014-Q2 -26.1 -22.2
2014-Q3 -29.6 -31.7
2014-Q4 -33.8 -24.5
2015-Q1 -32.4 -29.8
2015-Q2 -30.0 -29.7
2015-Q3 -22.2 -14.9
2015-Q4 -17.1 -19.6
2016-Q1 -16.3 -9.5
2016-Q2 -16.6 -15.2
2016-Q3 -8.0 -12.2
2016-Q4 -8.4 -5.7
2017-Q1 -1.6 -3.7
2017-Q2 -1.9 0.6
2017-Q3 -3.7 1.5
2017-Q4 2.9 -3.7
2018-Q1 11.1 6.4
2018-Q2 -2.7 5.3
2018-Q3 1.3 1.5
2018-Q4 -2.9 -1.7
2019-Q1 -5.7 -12.5
2019-Q2 -2.2 -3.8
2019-Q3 -5.2 6.5
2019-Q4 -3.1 2.1
2020-Q1 6.2 -8.5
2020-Q2
2020-Q3 -13.9 -53.3

Activity tendency in the building crafts sector

  • Source : Insee

For further information

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 27 October 2020 at 12:00 am

Pour en savoir plus

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 27 October 2020 at 12:00 am

: bureau-de-presse@insee.fr