30 April 2020
2020- n° 112In February 2020, downturn in sales volume in overall trade Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - February 2020
In February 2020, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.7% after +0.8% in January). It dwindled in wholesale trade (−0.8% after +1.2%), kept declining in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.6% after −0.2%) and decreased slightly in retail trade (−0.2% after +0.7%). Among retail trade, the sales volume fell back in specialised stores (−1.7% after +0.5%), decreased again in retail trade not in stores (−0.5% after −0.2%) whereas it accelerated in non-specialised stores (+2.1% after +1.1%).
The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution to the overall variation. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight. All data are corrected for seasonal adjustments and working days adjustments (SA-WDA).
SA-WDA models have been reestimated on a sub-period to adjust indices on the recent past, in order to provide improved fit and better robustness (SA-WDA models were until now estimated on the whole period of indices).
In February 2020, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.7% after +0.8% in January). It dwindled in wholesale trade (−0.8% after +1.2%), kept declining in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.6% after −0.2%) and decreased slightly in retail trade (−0.2% after +0.7%). Among retail trade, the sales volume fell back in specialised stores (−1.7% after +0.5%), decreased again in retail trade not in stores (−0.5% after −0.2%) whereas it accelerated in non-specialised stores (+2.1% after +1.1%).
The sales volume in overall trade decreased over the last three months
Over the last three months (December 2019 to February 2020), the sales volume in overall trade decreased by 0.3% compared to the previous three months. It decreased both in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.3%) and in wholesale trade (−0.2%), whereas it was stable in retail trade. Within retail trade, the sales volume declined in specialised stores (−0.9%) whereas it increased in non-specialised stores (+1.4%) and stabilized in retail trade not in stores.
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 | Wholesale - 46 | Retail trade - 47 | Wholesale and retail trade - G | |
---|---|---|---|---|
2016-01 | 105.23 | 101.81 | 102.46 | 102.44 |
2016-02 | 104.77 | 102.0 | 103.16 | 102.69 |
2016-03 | 104.75 | 102.3 | 102.2 | 102.58 |
2016-04 | 106.03 | 101.61 | 101.67 | 102.19 |
2016-05 | 105.93 | 101.75 | 102.84 | 102.6 |
2016-06 | 105.84 | 100.25 | 102.46 | 101.62 |
2016-07 | 103.49 | 100.41 | 102.73 | 101.49 |
2016-08 | 107.8 | 100.76 | 102.58 | 102.19 |
2016-09 | 108.17 | 100.81 | 102.81 | 102.34 |
2016-10 | 107.23 | 100.96 | 104.78 | 102.89 |
2016-11 | 110.67 | 103.7 | 103.88 | 104.64 |
2016-12 | 109.42 | 102.22 | 104.08 | 103.68 |
2017-01 | 110.45 | 102.24 | 105.14 | 104.14 |
2017-02 | 111.69 | 103.02 | 105.59 | 104.88 |
2017-03 | 113.49 | 104.58 | 105.81 | 106.08 |
2017-04 | 109.34 | 102.5 | 105.17 | 104.16 |
2017-05 | 114.33 | 103.91 | 106.27 | 105.93 |
2017-06 | 114.1 | 104.76 | 105.65 | 106.21 |
2017-07 | 115.12 | 106.18 | 107.3 | 107.65 |
2017-08 | 114.44 | 105.44 | 106.04 | 106.76 |
2017-09 | 116.35 | 106.05 | 109.19 | 108.29 |
2017-10 | 117.68 | 104.25 | 106.21 | 106.53 |
2017-11 | 117.69 | 106.32 | 109.67 | 108.76 |
2017-12 | 121.13 | 106.9 | 108.42 | 109.16 |
2018-01 | 116.91 | 105.14 | 107.83 | 107.43 |
2018-02 | 117.48 | 105.59 | 108.65 | 108.01 |
2018-03 | 118.93 | 105.22 | 110.35 | 108.48 |
2018-04 | 118.95 | 105.77 | 107.91 | 108.08 |
2018-05 | 119.2 | 107.39 | 109.76 | 109.59 |
2018-06 | 120.35 | 107.35 | 109.99 | 109.78 |
2018-07 | 118.47 | 105.55 | 109.84 | 108.46 |
2018-08 | 118.85 | 107.2 | 110.53 | 109.66 |
2018-09 | 118.24 | 105.23 | 109.93 | 108.27 |
2018-10 | 120.15 | 108.57 | 111.43 | 110.89 |
2018-11 | 117.98 | 107.4 | 110.79 | 109.75 |
2018-12 | 111.43 | 107.56 | 110.22 | 108.84 |
2019-01 | 121.45 | 107.85 | 110.85 | 110.46 |
2019-02 | 123.04 | 109.1 | 112.26 | 111.81 |
2019-03 | 121.26 | 108.41 | 111.59 | 110.99 |
2019-04 | 121.47 | 109.79 | 112.29 | 112.01 |
2019-05 | 122.06 | 110.02 | 112.26 | 112.21 |
2019-06 | 122.46 | 109.17 | 112.73 | 111.91 |
2019-07 | 123.62 | 109.53 | 111.4 | 111.87 |
2019-08 | 124.67 | 110.55 | 114.93 | 113.64 |
2019-09 | 124.07 | 110.33 | 112.85 | 112.82 |
2019-10 | 123.36 | 110.64 | 113.1 | 112.98 |
2019-11 | 124.53 | 110.33 | 114.37 | 113.33 |
2019-12 | 123.13 | 109.57 | 113.02 | 112.31 |
2020-01 | 122.88 | 110.89 | 113.78 | 113.26 |
2020-02 | 120.93 | 110.05 | 113.54 | 112.46 |
graphiqueSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
The sales volume rose by 2.1% over a year
The sales volume in overall trade grew by 2.1% over a year. It increased in all sectors: it rose in wholesale trade (+1.8%), in retail trade (+2.1%) and in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+3.1%). Within retail trade, it grew in specialised stores (+1.9%), in non-specialised stores (+1.7%) and in retail trade not in stores (+5.1%).
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
NACE Classification | Weight | Change in % | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb./Jan. | Jan./Dec. | q-o-q(1) | y-o-y(2) | ||
G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motorvehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | -0.7 | 0.8 | -0.3 | 2.1 |
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehiclesand motorcycles | 1272 | -1.6 | -0.2 | -1.3 | 3.1 |
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles andmotorcycles | 5777 | -0.8 | 1.2 | -0.2 | 1.8 |
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles andmotorcycles | 2952 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores | 1109 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 |
472 to 477 Retail sale in specialised stores | 1622 | -1.7 | 0.5 | -0.9 | 1.9 |
478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 | 5.1 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of the previous year.
- The codes correspond to different levels of aggregation of the classification NAF rev.2
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauSales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Nace Classification | Weight | Feb. 2020 | Change in % | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Feb./Jan. | Jan./Dec. | T/T–1 (1) | |||
G Wolesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles | 10000 | 112.5 | -0.7 | 0.8 | -0.3 |
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and moto. | 1272 | 120.9 | -1.6 | -0.2 | -1.3 |
451 Sale of motor vehicles | 850 | 127.0 | -1.0 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles | 89 | 108.5 | -7.7 | 0.0 | -1.7 |
453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories | 306 | 108.3 | -1.2 | 0.3 | -3.7 |
454 Sale, maintenance and repair of moto. and related parts and accessories | 27 | 114.6 | -6.2 | 6.9 | 3.9 |
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 5777 | 110.0 | -0.8 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis | 813 | 115.4 | -2.9 | 4.3 | 1.0 |
462 Wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals | 390 | 98.0 | -0.1 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
463 Wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco | 1029 | 104.5 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
464 Wholesale of household goods | 1130 | 111.1 | -2.0 | -0.3 | -0.8 |
465 Wholesale of information and communication equipment | 331 | 125.2 | -0.1 | 0.8 | -3.0 |
466 Wholesale of other machinery, equipmt and supplies | 716 | 115.1 | 0.6 | -0.9 | -1.1 |
467 Other specialised wholesale | 1132 | 105.0 | 0.2 | 2.4 | -0.7 |
469 Non specialised wholesale trade | 236 | 118.0 | 0.8 | -0.5 | 0.5 |
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. | 2952 | 113.5 | -0.2 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
471 Non-specialised stores | 1109 | 112.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
472 to 477 Specialised stores | 1622 | 111.0 | -1.7 | 0.5 | -0.9 |
472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco | 155 | 122.5 | -0.9 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
473 Retail sale of automotive fuel | 224 | 93.5 | -1.2 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
474 Retail sale of information and communication equipmt | 65 | 136.2 | -1.5 | 3.3 | -1.7 |
475 Retail sale of other household equipment | 310 | 109.0 | -1.5 | 1.5 | -0.1 |
476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods | 118 | 109.1 | -1.7 | 0.0 | -1.4 |
477 Retail sale of other goods | 750 | 112.7 | -2.2 | -0.1 | -1.7 |
478 et 479 Retail trade not in stores | 221 | 135.8 | -0.5 | -0.2 | 0.0 |
- (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
Forecast
According to the first early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except of motor vehicles and motorcycles should have fallen in March 2020 (−17.4%). It should have decreased by 4.1% year on year (last three months compared to the same three months of previous year).
Revisions
The variation in the sales volume of overall trade in January 2020 has been revised downwards, at +0.8% instead of +0.9% initially published.
tableauRevision of variations
Jan./Dec. | Dec./Nov. | Nov./Oct. | Q4 2019/Q3 2019 | 2019/2018 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
G Overall trade | -0.08 | -0.31 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
Raw series | -0.06 | 0.02 | -0.04 | -0.03 | 0.00 |
SA-WDA parameters | -0.02 | -0.33 | 0.19 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
- How to read: in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between December 2019 and January 2020 is revised by -0.08 points. -0.06 points are due to the raw series' revision and -0.02 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
For further information
Next issue: 29 May 2020 at 12h00
Documentation
Sales volume index in trade (pdf,35 Ko)
La note méthodologique simplifiee_anglais (pdf,28 Ko)
Pour en savoir plus
Next issue: 29 May 2020 at 12h00
Time series: Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade
Time series: Turnover index in wholesale and retail trade