Informations rapides
30 April 2020
2020- n° 112
In February 2020, downturn in sales volume in overall trade Sales volume in wholesale and retail trade - February 2020

In February 2020, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.7% after +0.8% in January). It dwindled in wholesale trade (−0.8% after +1.2%), kept declining in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.6% after −0.2%) and decreased slightly in retail trade (−0.2% after +0.7%). Among retail trade, the sales volume fell back in specialised stores (−1.7% after +0.5%), decreased again in retail trade not in stores (−0.5% after −0.2%) whereas it accelerated in non-specialised stores (+2.1% after +1.1%).

Informations rapides
No 112
Paru le :Paru le30/04/2020
Prochaine parution le : 28/08/2025 at 08:45 - June 2025
Avertissement

The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution to the overall variation. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight. All data are corrected for seasonal adjustments and working days adjustments (SA-WDA).

SA-WDA models have been reestimated on a sub-period to adjust indices on the recent past, in order to provide improved fit and better robustness (SA-WDA models were until now estimated on the whole period of indices).

In February 2020, the sales volume in overall trade fell back (−0.7% after +0.8% in January). It dwindled in wholesale trade (−0.8% after +1.2%), kept declining in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.6% after −0.2%) and decreased slightly in retail trade (−0.2% after +0.7%). Among retail trade, the sales volume fell back in specialised stores (−1.7% after +0.5%), decreased again in retail trade not in stores (−0.5% after −0.2%) whereas it accelerated in non-specialised stores (+2.1% after +1.1%).

The sales volume in overall trade decreased over the last three months

Over the last three months (December 2019 to February 2020), the sales volume in overall trade decreased by 0.3% compared to the previous three months. It decreased both in retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (−1.3%) and in wholesale trade (−0.2%), whereas it was stable in retail trade. Within retail trade, the sales volume declined in specialised stores (−0.9%) whereas it increased in non-specialised stores (+1.4%) and stabilized in retail trade not in stores.

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles
Motor vehicles and motorcycles - 45 Wholesale - 46 Retail trade - 47 Wholesale and retail trade - G
2016-01 105.23 101.81 102.46 102.44
2016-02 104.77 102.0 103.16 102.69
2016-03 104.75 102.3 102.2 102.58
2016-04 106.03 101.61 101.67 102.19
2016-05 105.93 101.75 102.84 102.6
2016-06 105.84 100.25 102.46 101.62
2016-07 103.49 100.41 102.73 101.49
2016-08 107.8 100.76 102.58 102.19
2016-09 108.17 100.81 102.81 102.34
2016-10 107.23 100.96 104.78 102.89
2016-11 110.67 103.7 103.88 104.64
2016-12 109.42 102.22 104.08 103.68
2017-01 110.45 102.24 105.14 104.14
2017-02 111.69 103.02 105.59 104.88
2017-03 113.49 104.58 105.81 106.08
2017-04 109.34 102.5 105.17 104.16
2017-05 114.33 103.91 106.27 105.93
2017-06 114.1 104.76 105.65 106.21
2017-07 115.12 106.18 107.3 107.65
2017-08 114.44 105.44 106.04 106.76
2017-09 116.35 106.05 109.19 108.29
2017-10 117.68 104.25 106.21 106.53
2017-11 117.69 106.32 109.67 108.76
2017-12 121.13 106.9 108.42 109.16
2018-01 116.91 105.14 107.83 107.43
2018-02 117.48 105.59 108.65 108.01
2018-03 118.93 105.22 110.35 108.48
2018-04 118.95 105.77 107.91 108.08
2018-05 119.2 107.39 109.76 109.59
2018-06 120.35 107.35 109.99 109.78
2018-07 118.47 105.55 109.84 108.46
2018-08 118.85 107.2 110.53 109.66
2018-09 118.24 105.23 109.93 108.27
2018-10 120.15 108.57 111.43 110.89
2018-11 117.98 107.4 110.79 109.75
2018-12 111.43 107.56 110.22 108.84
2019-01 121.45 107.85 110.85 110.46
2019-02 123.04 109.1 112.26 111.81
2019-03 121.26 108.41 111.59 110.99
2019-04 121.47 109.79 112.29 112.01
2019-05 122.06 110.02 112.26 112.21
2019-06 122.46 109.17 112.73 111.91
2019-07 123.62 109.53 111.4 111.87
2019-08 124.67 110.55 114.93 113.64
2019-09 124.07 110.33 112.85 112.82
2019-10 123.36 110.64 113.1 112.98
2019-11 124.53 110.33 114.37 113.33
2019-12 123.13 109.57 113.02 112.31
2020-01 122.88 110.89 113.78 113.26
2020-02 120.93 110.05 113.54 112.46

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

The sales volume rose by 2.1% over a year

The sales volume in overall trade grew by 2.1% over a year. It increased in all sectors: it rose in wholesale trade (+1.8%), in retail trade (+2.1%) and in trade and repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (+3.1%). Within retail trade, it grew in specialised stores (+1.9%), in non-specialised stores (+1.7%) and in retail trade not in stores (+5.1%).

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015
Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015)
NACE Classification Weight Change in %
Feb./Jan. Jan./Dec. q-o-q(1) y-o-y(2)
G Wholesale and retail trade; repair of motorvehicles and motorcycles 10000 -0.7 0.8 -0.3 2.1
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehiclesand motorcycles 1272 -1.6 -0.2 -1.3 3.1
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles andmotorcycles 5777 -0.8 1.2 -0.2 1.8
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles andmotorcycles 2952 -0.2 0.7 0.0 2.1
471 Retail sale in non-specialised stores 1109 2.1 1.1 1.4 1.7
472 to 477 Retail sale in specialised stores 1622 -1.7 0.5 -0.9 1.9
478 and 479 Retail trade not in stores 221 -0.5 -0.2 0.0 5.1
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
  • (2) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of the previous year.
  • The codes correspond to different levels of aggregation of the classification NAF rev.2
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles

SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015
Sales volume in wholesale trade and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles (SA-WDA volume, Base year 2015)
Nace Classification Weight Feb. 2020 Change in %
Feb./Jan. Jan./Dec. T/T–1 (1)
G Wolesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles 10000 112.5 -0.7 0.8 -0.3
45 Wholesale and retail trade and repair of motor vehicles and moto. 1272 120.9 -1.6 -0.2 -1.3
451 Sale of motor vehicles 850 127.0 -1.0 -0.6 -0.7
452 Maintenance and repair of motor vehicles 89 108.5 -7.7 0.0 -1.7
453 Sale of motor vehicle parts and accessories 306 108.3 -1.2 0.3 -3.7
454 Sale, maintenance and repair of moto. and related parts and accessories 27 114.6 -6.2 6.9 3.9
46 Wholesale trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. 5777 110.0 -0.8 1.2 -0.2
461 Wholesale on a fee or contract basis 813 115.4 -2.9 4.3 1.0
462 Wholesale of agricultural raw materials and live animals 390 98.0 -0.1 4.5 3.5
463 Wholesale of food, beverages and tobacco 1029 104.5 -0.3 0.2 0.1
464 Wholesale of household goods 1130 111.1 -2.0 -0.3 -0.8
465 Wholesale of information and communication equipment 331 125.2 -0.1 0.8 -3.0
466 Wholesale of other machinery, equipmt and supplies 716 115.1 0.6 -0.9 -1.1
467 Other specialised wholesale 1132 105.0 0.2 2.4 -0.7
469 Non specialised wholesale trade 236 118.0 0.8 -0.5 0.5
47 Retail trade, except of motor vehicles and moto. 2952 113.5 -0.2 0.7 0.0
471 Non-specialised stores 1109 112.9 2.1 1.1 1.4
472 to 477 Specialised stores 1622 111.0 -1.7 0.5 -0.9
472 Retail sale of food, beverages and tobacco 155 122.5 -0.9 1.2 0.4
473 Retail sale of automotive fuel 224 93.5 -1.2 0.1 0.4
474 Retail sale of information and communication equipmt 65 136.2 -1.5 3.3 -1.7
475 Retail sale of other household equipment 310 109.0 -1.5 1.5 -0.1
476 Retail sale of cultural and recreation goods 118 109.1 -1.7 0.0 -1.4
477 Retail sale of other goods 750 112.7 -2.2 -0.1 -1.7
478 et 479 Retail trade not in stores 221 135.8 -0.5 -0.2 0.0
  • (1) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months /previous three months.
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

Forecast

According to the first early estimates, the sales volume in retail trade except of motor vehicles and motorcycles should have fallen in March 2020 (−17.4%). It should have decreased by 4.1% year on year (last three months compared to the same three months of previous year).

Revisions

The variation in the sales volume of overall trade in January 2020 has been revised downwards, at +0.8% instead of +0.9% initially published.

Revision of variations

in percentage points
Revision of variations (in percentage points)
Jan./Dec. Dec./Nov. Nov./Oct. Q4 2019/Q3 2019 2019/2018
G Overall trade -0.08 -0.31 0.15 0.01 0.04
Raw series -0.06 0.02 -0.04 -0.03 0.00
SA-WDA parameters -0.02 -0.33 0.19 0.04 0.04
  • How to read: in the wholesale and retail trade; repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles, the SA-WDA variation between December 2019 and January 2020 is revised by -0.08 points. -0.06 points are due to the raw series' revision and -0.02 points to the new calculation of the SA-WDA parameters.
  • Sources: DGFiP, INSEE

For further information

Next issue: 29 May 2020 at 12h00

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