Informations rapides
26 July 2019
2019- n° 196
In July 2019, confidence of business managers in civil engineering weakens slightly Quaterly survey of public works - July 2019

According to the business managers surveyed in July 2019, the economic climate in civil engineering has faltered. However, the civil engineering professionals remain confident: all the balances of opinion stand well above their long-term average.

Informations rapides
No 196
Paru le :Paru le26/07/2019
Warning

In the publication of July 2019, the seasonal coefficients have been updated. As a result, the set of results previously published from this survey is subject to slight revisions.

According to the business managers surveyed in July 2019, the economic climate in civil engineering has faltered. However, the civil engineering professionals remain confident: all the balances of opinion stand well above their long-term average.

Business managers’ opinion on their past activity and their order books has deteriorated slightly

In July 2019, slightly fewer business managers than in April 2019 have indicated an increase in their activity over the last three months. The corresponding balance of opinion has fallen back overall but remains largely above its long-term average. This balance of opinion has decreased slightly for both public sector clients and private sector clients. For the third consecutive quarter, fewer business managers than in the previous interrogation anticipate an increase in their activity for the next three months. The corresponding balance has decreased again for both types of clients but remains in both cases well above its long-term average. Moreover, slightly fewer business managers than in April deem that their order books remain well filled: the corresponding balance of opinion has slipped back slightly after having reached in April its highest level since July 2007. It remains far above its long-term average.

The lack of workforce remains strongly felt

In July 2019, the obstacles to production increase due to workforce shortage are as significant as in April. Indeed, 48% of businesses have indicated being hampered because of workforce shortage, as in the previous quarter. While it had declined in the beginning of the year and then bounced back in April, this share is stable in July, largely above its long-term average (16%).

Employment prospects deteriorate a little

Slightly fewer business managers than in April 2019 plan to increase their workforce in the next three months. The corresponding balance has edged down while remaining largely above its long-term average.

Public works economic outlook

Balances of opinion, in %, SA
Public works economic outlook (Balances of opinion, in %, SA)
Mean.* Oct. 18 Jan. 19 Apr. 19 Juil. 19
Past activity -5 38 34 39 33
- public-sector project -11 28 25 32 29
- private-sector project -9 33 25 32 29
Expected activity -12 29 26 22 16
- public-sector project -16 22 21 16 11
- private-sector project -15 20 19 18 11
Opinion on order books -24 17 24 31 28
Obstacles to production increase because of workforce shortage (in %) 16 48 38 48 48
Expected workforce -13 33 27 31 27
  • Note: the balances of opinion by costumer may differ from the balance of the whole, because sometimes the firms don't distinguish public-sector project and private-sector project.
  • * Mean since January 1981
  • Sources : FNTP et Insee

Activity tendency in civil engineering

Activity tendency in civil engineering
Past activity Expected activity
1998-Q1 13.6 -19.6
1998-Q2 13.2 -15.4
1998-Q3 9.5 -5.9
1998-Q4 3.6 -8.8
1999-Q1 12.2 -2.0
1999-Q2 -8.6 5.9
1999-Q3 21.0 7.4
1999-Q4 40.5 15.3
2000-Q1 31.1 21.3
2000-Q2 55.1 22.4
2000-Q3 55.7 19.2
2000-Q4 40.4 22.8
2001-Q1 30.9 8.5
2001-Q2 22.5 -4.3
2001-Q3 10.4 -12.7
2001-Q4 -0.9 -23.0
2002-Q1 -10.6 -21.7
2002-Q2 -30.5 -21.5
2002-Q3 -41.9 -10.7
2002-Q4 -37.1 -27.0
2003-Q1 -33.6 -20.2
2003-Q2 -30.9 -23.0
2003-Q3 -15.8 -13.6
2003-Q4 -1.2 -9.5
2004-Q1 13.3 6.3
2004-Q2 17.6 6.8
2004-Q3 18.8 1.8
2004-Q4 28.6 5.6
2005-Q1 7.0 0.9
2005-Q2 47.6 5.5
2005-Q3 20.2 9.4
2005-Q4 23.1 13.3
2006-Q1 26.4 17.6
2006-Q2 30.0 24.9
2006-Q3 42.1 26.8
2006-Q4 41.4 23.1
2007-Q1 39.0 16.9
2007-Q2 39.7 21.5
2007-Q3 36.2 13.9
2007-Q4 22.8 14.6
2008-Q1 20.1 2.7
2008-Q2 16.3 -16.0
2008-Q3 -10.8 -26.0
2008-Q4 -30.5 -47.6
2009-Q1 -55.3 -50.6
2009-Q2 -48.8 -52.0
2009-Q3 -50.5 -34.0
2009-Q4 -33.3 -16.1
2010-Q1 -23.1 -16.7
2010-Q2 -33.7 -20.5
2010-Q3 -15.9 -23.9
2010-Q4 -7.9 -17.9
2011-Q1 -32.5 0.0
2011-Q2 36.8 2.3
2011-Q3 26.5 0.1
2011-Q4 8.6 -4.3
2012-Q1 7.0 -12.4
2012-Q2 -12.9 -6.8
2012-Q3 -22.6 -7.6
2012-Q4 -9.8 -26.5
2013-Q1 -11.3 -13.3
2013-Q2 -18.4 -13.5
2013-Q3 -7.4 -11.9
2013-Q4 3.3 -15.6
2014-Q1 -4.2 -25.6
2014-Q2 4.2 -30.4
2014-Q3 -45.6 -48.4
2014-Q4 -60.3 -54.5
2015-Q1 -59.9 -42.3
2015-Q2 -50.2 -43.5
2015-Q3 -41.0 -31.7
2015-Q4 -37.5 -15.0
2016-Q1 -18.5 -15.6
2016-Q2 -16.8 -15.4
2016-Q3 -5.6 -1.0
2016-Q4 9.4 -5.5
2017-Q1 11.6 3.3
2017-Q2 28.8 19.5
2017-Q3 37.4 27.5
2017-Q4 29.3 32.5
2018-Q1 37.1 22.7
2018-Q2 29.4 32.3
2018-Q3 31.5 26.3
2018-Q4 38.4 28.6
2019-Q1 34.1 26.0
2019-Q2 39.1 22.0
2019-Q3 32.5 16.3

Activity tendency in civil engineering

  • Sources: FNTP and INSEE.

For further information

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 25 October 2019 at 12:00 am

Pour en savoir plus

A balance of opinion is calculated as the difference between the percentage of “increase” responses and the percentage of “decrease” responses.

Additional information (simplified and detailed methodology, nomenclature, etc.) is available on the “Documentation” tab of this page.

Next issue: 25 October 2019 at 12:00 am

: bureau-de-presse@insee.fr