30 November 2018
2018- n° 318In September 2018, services output was stable Index of services production - September 2018
In September 2018, output in services was stable after a strong increase in August (+2.9%).
- Services output rose over the last three months
- Output grew sharply over a year
- Further rise in business support
- Further rise in accommodation and food service activities
- Strong withdrawal in household services
- Downturn in transportation and storage
- Slight decline in information and communication
- Revisions
The commentary shows variations of subsections by decreasing contribution to the overall variation. The contribution of a subsection depends on the extent of the change and on its weight.
In September 2018, output in services was stable after a strong increase in August (+2.9%).
Services output rose over the last three months
Over the last quarter, services production increased by 1.0% compared to the previous quarter.
The production grew sharply in business support activities (+1.1%), where it went up in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+2.6%) but went down in administrative and business service activities (−0.9%). It rose significantly in transportation and storage (+1.9%), real estate activities (+1.5%) and household services (+1.0%) and more slightly in accommodation and food services activities (+0.2%). It decreased in information and communication (−0.2%).
Output grew sharply over a year
In services, output of the last quarter rose sharply over a year (+4.1%).
It went up strongly in business support (+5.2%), more strongly in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+6.9%) than in administrative and business service activities (+2.8%). It grew sharply in information and communication (+4.2%), transportation and storage (+2.5%), household services (+4.4%), accommodation and food service activities (+3.4%) and more moderatly in real estate activities (+1.6%).
graphiqueGraph1 – Index of services production
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauTable1 – Variation in the services production
| Change in % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nace classification | Weight (1) | Aug./ Jul. | Jul./ Jun. | q-o-q (2) | y-o-y (3) |
| Index of services production | 10000 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 4.1 |
| H Transportation and storage | 1504 | –0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| I Accommodation and food service activities | 870 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 | 3.4 |
| J Information and communication | 1635 | –0.5 | 0.1 | –0.2 | 4.2 |
| L Real estate activities | 964 | –1.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| M+N Business support | 4289 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 5.2 |
| M Specialised, scientific and technical activities | 2540 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 | 6.9 |
| N Administrative and business service activities | 1748 | –1.1 | 2.1 | –0.9 | 2.8 |
| R+S Household services | 738 | –4.2 | 7.8 | 1.0 | 4.4 |
- (1) Weight (10 000 = H…S excepting K, O, P, Q)
- (2) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months
- (3) Year-on-year: last three months / same three months of previous year
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
Further rise in business support
In September 2018, output in business support activities increased again (+1.4% after +3.2% in August).
It went up sharply in specialised, scientific and technical activities (+3.1% after 4.0% in August) due to an acceleration in scientific research and development (+13.1% after +10.7%) and in activities of head offices and management consultancy (+3.5% after +1.8%). However, it declined in legal and accounting activities (−2.0% after +3.5%).
In administrative and business support activities, output decreased (−1.1% after +2.1%). This downturn was marked in rental and leasing activities (−1.4% after +1.4%), in employment activities (−1.3% after +2.8%) and in services to building and landscape activities (−2.6% after +3.4%)
Further rise in accommodation and food service activities
In September, output in accommodation and food services rose again (+1.2% after +2.8%). It grew again in food and beverage service activities (+0.9% after +3.9%) and bounced back in accommodation (+2.7% after −1.4%).
Strong withdrawal in household services
Output in household sevices went down sharply in September (−4.2%) after a strong increase (+7.8%) in August. The downturn was more important in arts, entertainment and recreation (−5.5% after +10.0%) than in other personal services production (−1.6% after +3.7%).
Downturn in transportation and storage
Output in transportation and storage dwindled in September (−0.7% after +1.9%). It fell back in land transport (−0.9% after +2.5%) and in warehousing and support for transportation (−1.2% after +3.9%), but recovered in air transport (+13.6% after −2.2%).
Slight decline in information and communication
Output in information and communication dropped in September (−0.5% after +0.1%), due to motion picture, sound recording and music publishing (−0.7% after +3.5%) and publishing activities (−2.0% after −0.1%). By contrast, the output rebounded in programming and broadcasting activities (+14.0% after −7.3%).
Revisions
The month-on-month variation rate of the index of services production in August 2018 has been revised upwards by 0.3 points after being rounded. Initially published at +2.6%, it has been stated at +2.9%.
tableauTable2 – Variation in the services production
| Change in % | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weight (1) | Aug. 18 | Aug./ Jul. | Jul./ Jun. | q-o-q (2) | |
| Index of services production | 10000 | 113.2 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 |
| H transportation and storage | 1504 | 107.7 | –0.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| 49 Land transport… | 715 | 110.1 | –0.9 | 2.5 | 2.7 |
| 50 Water transport | 36 | 136.0 | 13.6 | –2.2 | 0.9 |
| 51 Air transport | 115 | 109.5 | 1.1 | –1.6 | 4.7 |
| 52 Warehousing and support for transportation | 504 | 108.0 | –1.2 | 3.9 | 1.5 |
| 53 Postal and courier activities | 135 | 84.7 | –4.2 | –5.6 | –2.9 |
| I Accommodation and food service activities | 870 | 114.2 | 1.2 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| 55 Accommodation | 205 | 104.8 | 2.7 | –1.4 | –1.2 |
| 56 Food and beverage service activities | 664 | 117.0 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 0.7 |
| J Information-communication | 1635 | 115.9 | –0.5 | 0.1 | –0.2 |
| 58 Publishing activities | 208 | 108.7 | –2.0 | –0.1 | 0.7 |
| 59 Motion picture, sound recording, music publishing | 119 | 108.8 | –0.7 | 3.5 | –1.7 |
| 60 Programming and broadcasting activities | 71 | 111.1 | 14.0 | –7.3 | –3.7 |
| 61 Telecommunications | 415 | 98.3 | –0.8 | –1.4 | –2.8 |
| 62 Computer programming... | 720 | 127.5 | –0.9 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| 63 Information services | 102 | 131.4 | –1.3 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| L Real estate activities | 964 | 102.7 | –1.8 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
| M Specialised, scientific and technical activities | 2540 | 116.5 | 3.1 | 4.0 | 2.6 |
| 69 Legal and accounting activities | 502 | 115.6 | –2.0 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
| 70 Activities of head offices and management consultancy | 739 | 119.9 | 3.5 | 1.8 | 5.1 |
| 71 Architecture and engineering activities | 491 | 108.7 | –1.1 | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| 72 Scientific research and development | 559 | 122.1 | 13.1 | 10.7 | 3.4 |
| 73 Advertising and market research | 146 | 98.4 | –3.4 | 2.9 | –2.1 |
| 74 Other professional, scientific and technical activities | 79 | 134.7 | 3.7 | 8.2 | –2.2 |
| 75 Veterinary activities | 26 | 112.8 | –3.9 | 9.2 | –0.7 |
| N Administrative and business service activities | 1748 | 115.3 | –1.1 | 2.1 | –0.9 |
| 77 Rental and leasing activities | 526 | 114.0 | –1.4 | 1.4 | 0.1 |
| 78 Employment activities | 502 | 125.8 | –1.3 | 2.8 | –2.1 |
| 79 Travel agency, tour operator | 35 | 100.1 | –1.4 | 1.1 | –0.4 |
| 80 Security and investigation | 104 | 110.2 | –0.6 | 0.3 | –1.9 |
| 81 Services to building and landscape anctivities | 245 | 110.5 | –2.6 | 3.4 | –0.9 |
| 82 Other administrative and business support activities | 336 | 108.4 | 0.7 | 1.5 | –0.3 |
| R Arts, entertainment and recreation | 460 | 120.2 | –5.5 | 10.0 | 1.9 |
| S Other personal services | 278 | 104.9 | –1.6 | 3.7 | –0.7 |
- (1) Weight (10 000 = H…S excepting K, O, P, Q)
- (2) Quarter-on-quarter: last three months / previous three months
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
tableauTable3 – Revision of variations
| Aug./ Jul. | Jul./ Jun. | Jun./ May | Q3 2018/ Q2 2018 | 2017/ 2016 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Services production | 0.23 | –0.14 | 0.19 | 0.08 | 0.01 |
| Raw series | 0.02 | –0.22 | 0.22 | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| SA-WDA parameters | 0.21 | 0.08 | –0.03 | –0.01 | 0.00 |
- How to read: in the services industries, the SA-WDA variation in output between July 2018 and August 2018 is revised by +0.23 points: +0,02 points due to the revisions of raw data and +0,21 points due to the update of SA-WDA parameters.
- Sources: DGFiP, INSEE
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