Population forecasts 2005-2050 for Metropolitan France

A forecast scenario is a combination of hypotheses on the three components of population change: fertility, mortality and migration. For each component, three hypotheses are made. Downloadable data allows us to consult and compare the 27 population forecast scenarios by sex and age from 1st January 2005 to 1st January 2050 created by Insee for Metropolitan France. The results of these three “working” scenarios, for educational purposes (“consistent mortality,” “nil net migration” and “European fertility”), are also accessible.There are therefore 30 scenarios that can be consulted. The accessible date includes the yearly populations sorted by sex and age (age by age up to 104 years old, and then one group for the over 104 year olds), and forecasts of the number of annual births by age of mother and number ofannual deaths by age and sex. Comparative tables allow you to access the change in various indicators according to the 30 scenarios: size of population, rate of population growth, number of annual births and deaths, natural increase, population broken down by age group and dependence ratio (aged population against working population). Data concerning the forecast hypotheses are also provided: fertility rate by age, death rate by sex and age and migration balance by sex and age.